TCCC '04 Qual. 2

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

2004-02-23

Division 1

2004 TCCC - Qualification Problem Set 2

Rating	perf	err	err2	tau	rho	ΔR	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max
SRMFix	0.110	0.554	0.931	0.494	0.626	20.3	53.7	-104	824	3145
Odd	0.121	0.554	0.929	0.474	0.602	36.8	56.4	-61	978	3114
EloSRM	0.115	0.556	0.932	0.474	0.602	37.2	59.4	-57	990	3226
initial	0.091	0.578	0.968	0.479	0.612	11.0	69.6	-338	679	3724
SRM	0.210	0.608	0.940	0.487	0.617	-6.8	100.1	-223	847	3090

Player	score	rank	seed	perf	rounds	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
reid	883.60	1	2.47	1.31	39	33	3226	4	45	3090	3
hsaniva	786.20	2	102.34	5.68	1	990	2334	260	847	2047	94
zbogi	694.51	3	24.93	3.06	5	186	2522	125	245	1975	111
aneubeck	621.24	4	7.01	0.81	13	50	2895	24	63	2502	23
John Dethridge	590.60	5	2.37	-1.07	63	-8	3199	6	-11	2967	4
monsoon	586.40	6	13.69	1.19	11	52	2647	71	93	2078	86
doeth	556.54	7	11.34	0.70	80	22	2690	59	29	2292	47
Alexandre	549.71	8	17.82	1.16	38	46	2533	120	84	1932	132
supernova	543.39	9	48.29	2.42	21	73	2032	675	153	1567	395
thegreensniper	540.64	10	51.78	2.37	10	122	2032	676	197	1429	584
robymus	524.59	11	18.14	0.72	7	79	2558	107	85	1940	130
cyfra	519.40	12	29.62	1.30	3	171	2422	182	136	1833	170
j_johnso	502.96	13	43.48	1.74	47	44	2073	610	110	1550	420
RobertNix	437.79	14	36.38	1.38	33	78	2216	389	104	1577	387
amit333a	347.80	15	102.34	2.77	1	685	2029	683	474	1674	279
moveyourbody	337.75	16	83.64	2.39	2	387	1919	918	315	1459	546
LunaticFringe	287.54	17	7.54	-1.17	75	-10	2809	32	-38	2356	36
UFP2161	286.56	18	26.20	0.54	33	22	2335	259	64	1688	262
gilbert	286.41	19	13.70	-0.47	85	-4	2591	95	34	1822	177
androm	281.91	20	50.58	1.34	40	69	1996	755	121	1340	769
tjq	279.21	21	4.86	-2.11	69	-14	2959	20	-58	2480	26
Abednego	275.85	22	11.46	-0.94	91	-8	2656	66	-14	2142	70
centipede80	274.61	23	25.64	0.16	79	4	2327	264	6	1824	175
phark4evr	272.73	24	43.09	0.84	41	25	2060	635	77	1451	560
dvickrey	265.47	25	12.62	-0.99	63	-20	2607	91	-50	2085	84
paisa	265.38	26	27.51	0.08	64	8	2297	290	14	1710	246
Henry	263.47	27	22.90	-0.24	11	-5	2371	219	17	1698	254
Fluff	261.37	28	19.39	-0.53	24	-14	2436	171	-8	1830	172
grotmol	259.74	29	7.26	-2.00	17	-57	2776	41	-72	2264	53
Cosmin.ro	258.96	30	27.92	-0.10	36	1	2282	308	19	1605	351
connect4	258.77	31	33.50	0.11	19	11	2196	416	103	1208	1179
gevak	249.84	32	36.45	0.19	6	36	2173	451	25	1556	413
konsept	235.70	33	33.98	0.04	74	5	2182	437	44	1426	588
hauser	234.13	34	22.53	-0.59	10	-22	2362	224	-10	1679	272
farsight	226.64	35	27.46	-0.35	53	-4	2286	302	-2	1611	343
youzai	225.48	36	102.34	1.51	1	459	1803	1156	257	1457	548
Mosher	222.89	37	50.44	0.45	56	20	1949	844	82	1186	1245
frypan	215.92	38	23.22	-0.71	8	-51	2319	272	-37	1727	239
Wronkyn	215.81	39	34.08	-0.19	13	-7	2168	457	46	1356	727
binaryni	208.72	40	26.39	-0.60	33	-25	2284	304	-13	1614	341
nerx	201.56	41	102.34	1.32	1	417	1761	1270	218	1418	602
Phantom	200.91	42	48.55	0.21	39	12	1967	811	15	1412	615
charleston	193.71	43	42.08	-0.03	6	7	2057	638	3	1453	554
torbich	192.39	44	102.34	1.22	1	394	1737	1330	195	1395	649
marek.cygan	192.03	45	102.34	1.18	1	386	1730	1361	188	1388	660
ChickenHelper	189.88	46	70.31	0.61	32	47	1723	1389	78	1118	1481
chogyonim	181.67	47	20.67	-1.18	48	-33	2390	200	-67	1789	194
billy	175.93	48	34.69	-0.47	70	-10	2155	477	-17	1484	509
distill	175.53	49	102.34	1.06	1	355	1699	1458	159	1359	718
miracle	174.22	50	89.61	0.84	16	69	1540	1980	153	843	2633
JWizard	168.37	51	48.06	-0.09	64	0	1963	821	26	1271	983
tracert	165.35	52	102.34	0.98	1	333	1677	1523	138	1338	779
Crystal_tc	161.48	53	68.20	0.36	9	35	1736	1340	70	1113	1502
tomek2	153.56	54	102.34	0.92	1	319	1663	1573	124	1324	824
Kentaro	148.55	55	68.26	0.31	15	36	1735	1341	69	1096	1570
king	141.71	56	68.14	0.28	7	49	1750	1295	70	1115	1491
yongshin	141.33	57	87.11	0.61	11	47	1543	1972	138	836	2663
merlin422	137.81	58	102.34	0.82	1	291	1635	1669	97	1297	903
Olexiy	0.00	59	51.00	-0.92	8	-36	2538	115	-223	1787	197
AdamSelene	0.00	59	59.34	-0.70	64	-14	2319	271	-164	1675	276
aussie	0.00	59	62.08	-0.64	24	-19	2244	351	-120	1404	634
bruhaha	0.00	59	66.26	-0.54	5	-40	2116	544	-167	1358	721
sireesh118	0.00	59	67.31	-0.52	6	-36	2093	580	-133	1295	913
riveria	0.00	59	68.90	-0.49	8	-31	2055	643	-102	1219	1137
necramirez	0.00	59	70.30	-0.46	11	-20	2027	687	-87	1201	1204
Sputnik	0.00	59	70.66	-0.45	12	-19	2019	709	-110	1313	857
decypher	0.00	59	72.78	-0.41	8	-26	1951	839	-88	1174	1297
Wufucius	0.00	59	74.84	-0.37	3	-42	1872	1020	-153	1214	1157
mathman	0.00	59	75.43	-0.36	8	-42	1853	1069	-84	1159	1342
stupidblinn	0.00	59	75.53	-0.35	54	-12	1880	1003	-61	1146	1391
captainnimrod	0.00	59	75.83	-0.35	5	-33	1849	1077	-108	1181	1271
loveislife	0.00	59	76.68	-0.33	8	-21	1832	1103	-38	996	1974
bh	0.00	59	78.32	-0.30	28	-8	1789	1187	-57	1118	1481
AleaActaEst	0.00	59	79.54	-0.28	131	-3	1750	1297	-56	1131	1437
dgmeat	0.00	59	79.77	-0.28	8	-19	1726	1379	-57	1070	1660
primet21	0.00	59	79.84	-0.27	22	-9	1733	1349	-63	1133	1432
swanksax2	0.00	59	79.85	-0.27	14	-12	1729	1362	-53	1080	1625
eleven11	0.00	59	80.04	-0.27	3	-34	1701	1447	-134	1169	1304
Sigs	0.00	59	80.27	-0.27	11	-26	1700	1453	-33	984	2019
john7331	0.00	59	80.56	-0.26	21	-9	1706	1430	-37	1031	1807
Jugularon	0.00	59	80.69	-0.26	11	-15	1695	1467	-13	941	2166
AI	0.00	59	81.53	-0.24	78	-4	1675	1531	-27	1009	1926
proNeo	0.00	59	81.91	-0.24	3	-32	1632	1681	-74	1036	1789
sodapoptop	0.00	59	81.94	-0.24	17	-10	1653	1607	-26	984	2019
Mixel	0.00	59	82.92	-0.22	17	-7	1617	1738	-5	907	2291
JazzyChad	0.00	59	83.75	-0.20	2	-28	1564	1895	-122	1071	1655
uler3161	0.00	59	84.29	-0.20	35	-8	1563	1905	8	883	2398
wbo	0.00	59	84.32	-0.20	6	-13	1557	1929	-35	987	2008
vbs_turing	0.00	59	84.92	-0.18	19	-8	1538	1985	11	875	2427
mrtrin	0.00	59	86.25	-0.16	6	-11	1482	2146	4	900	2329
Nekkrist	0.00	59	86.64	-0.16	4	-13	1465	2209	-4	906	2298
preben	0.00	59	87.22	-0.15	9	-8	1445	2277	30	822	2759
vsage	0.00	59	87.35	-0.14	2	-17	1431	2323	-79	994	1980
vikask	0.00	59	87.89	-0.14	3	-13	1413	2388	-5	897	2341
chhllk	0.00	59	88.90	-0.12	2	-13	1371	2551	-56	955	2125
anand_nalya	0.00	59	89.06	-0.12	5	-8	1369	2558	76	633	3500
abbas08	0.00	59	89.28	-0.11	4	-8	1359	2604	23	733	3115
arun_zero	0.00	59	89.63	-0.11	2	-14	1338	2693	-69	977	2032
Innocuous	0.00	59	89.64	-0.11	8	-6	1346	2660	66	723	3149
kikiboy	0.00	59	89.78	-0.10	3	-8	1337	2699	12	850	2593
mattdobs	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
elak_67	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
romil_s_n	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
bavo	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
newvision	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
ShortBus	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
PushZero	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
ZeemanChen	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
jigrv	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
abdullahjavid	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
kikotores	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
p4peter	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
heyram	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
hsjeebm	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
mostly_magic	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
huibrian	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
ksingri	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
ankit_dube	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
sexylover	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
gmonty	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
spsuheligirl	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
raashi	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
kaj	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
Sauruven00	0.00	59	89.81	-0.10	1	-16	1328	2738	-171	1029	1816
ching	0.00	59	89.83	-0.10	10	-6	1337	2696	70	678	3340
Sully15	0.00	59	91.25	-0.08	2	-7	1268	3120	-1	861	2521
DevonBetts	0.00	59	91.25	-0.08	2	-7	1268	3120	-1	861	2521
tanmoy	0.00	59	91.34	-0.08	2	-8	1263	3143	-21	896	2345
Sheep_ut	0.00	59	91.71	-0.07	10	-3	1249	3228	101	623	3521
Ruben	0.00	59	91.90	-0.07	3	-5	1237	3348	24	813	2779
nes3	0.00	59	92.10	-0.07	2	-6	1225	3426	28	812	2791
wonderboy	0.00	59	92.51	-0.06	2	-6	1201	3632	3	856	2559
bastardx	0.00	59	92.64	-0.06	2	-6	1194	3678	39	795	2856
Futurist	0.00	59	93.21	-0.05	6	-2	1161	3795	125	574	3632