TCO '03 Round 3

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

2003-10-29

Division 1

2003 TCO - Online Round 3

Rating	perf	err	err2	tau	rho	ΔR	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max
EloSRM	0.206	0.675	0.922	0.434	0.601	8.3	18.4	-76	106	3379
Odd	0.210	0.677	0.934	0.429	0.593	6.5	18.8	-76	103	3257
SRMFix	0.183	0.683	0.943	0.412	0.573	5.9	26.1	-152	148	3321
SRM	0.229	0.696	0.977	0.395	0.549	0.4	55.9	-165	189	3301
initial	0.141	0.778	1.059	0.308	0.438	17.0	93.7	-391	364	3851

Player	score	rank	seed	perf	rounds	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
Yarin	1,393.11	1	9.78	3.29	71	26	3192	4	112	2952	5
tomek	1,315.23	2	4.80	1.26	17	32	3379	1	52	3196	2
snewman	1,184.14	3	9.54	1.67	7	71	3243	3	102	2980	4
reid	1,121.63	4	12.32	1.62	36	41	3143	5	44	2996	3
dmwright	1,057.32	5	21.05	2.07	124	21	2963	16	65	2733	11
tjq	1,025.03	6	26.08	2.12	51	27	2898	20	74	2595	16
SnapDragon	987.31	7	4.23	-0.73	76	-3	3376	2	-30	3301	1
radeye	894.86	8	17.07	1.09	78	14	3021	11	48	2698	12
LunaticFringe	833.28	9	35.33	1.97	67	22	2783	30	127	2218	50
futo	806.02	10	64.76	2.70	18	86	2558	93	189	2007	100
Klinck	734.49	11	48.09	2.13	8	105	2737	37	143	2250	43
WishingBone	712.81	12	16.19	0.43	68	7	3030	10	13	2825	7
NGBronson	655.00	13	15.19	0.22	59	9	3051	8	3	2849	6
venco	638.44	14	18.78	0.42	56	12	2990	14	18	2677	13
evd	628.82	15	42.21	1.49	69	34	2724	42	63	2418	29
ZorbaTHut	617.93	16	14.62	-0.13	116	1	3054	7	-1	2818	8
along	571.97	17	49.29	1.54	57	26	2646	62	83	2242	44
bladerunner	550.25	18	15.82	-0.19	25	1	3031	9	-7	2745	10
Oblok	550.06	19	51.80	1.45	70	20	2616	74	79	2215	51
XuChuan	547.43	20	40.29	1.01	30	30	2738	36	57	2338	32
achurch	539.21	21	56.64	1.43	9	80	2630	67	125	2118	68
Modulator	539.03	22	59.04	1.42	51	26	2553	98	109	2060	84
DjinnKahn	538.84	23	27.94	0.28	116	5	2852	25	15	2478	22
cvoinescu	538.25	24	22.52	-0.09	7	6	2926	19	29	2441	25
abiczo	528.94	25	61.18	1.29	22	49	2556	95	108	2022	96
madking	520.57	26	52.55	1.01	26	40	2629	68	74	2133	66
bigg_nate	515.77	27	26.72	-0.02	69	3	2866	22	-2	2568	18
space	514.56	28	61.56	1.14	12	89	2592	85	97	2079	78
bstanescu	510.97	29	16.44	-0.82	47	-9	3010	12	-27	2637	15
ChristopherH	501.19	30	16.84	-0.83	19	-15	2996	13	-33	2673	14
milhouse	490.75	31	39.64	0.36	29	17	2732	38	33	2266	38
schveiguy	481.80	32	42.47	0.41	49	13	2699	50	21	2294	35
dpecora	478.63	33	65.61	0.99	62	35	2498	125	82	2009	99
DrewHudson	478.10	34	64.12	0.92	39	30	2508	119	65	2059	85
kyky	467.69	35	67.50	0.95	132	12	2457	143	44	2118	68
ambrose	466.47	36	28.23	-0.35	106	-2	2841	26	-22	2509	20
cnettel	464.83	37	48.12	0.38	20	18	2650	61	39	2136	63
Wasteland	455.00	38	48.81	0.36	41	18	2643	64	18	2228	47
jasonw	450.74	39	60.46	0.63	36	31	2545	102	52	2048	88
Jan_Kuipers	448.49	40	35.24	-0.18	9	-1	2761	33	12	2255	42
hamster	441.52	41	42.04	0.04	7	13	2703	49	25	2177	56
adic	439.73	42	44.94	0.10	41	6	2668	55	1	2258	41
Abednego	426.39	43	52.19	0.28	79	7	2599	81	4	2221	49
Parchandri	421.19	44	59.20	0.43	23	18	2544	103	46	2004	102
antimatter	406.21	45	35.62	-0.34	69	-2	2755	34	-37	2423	27
Googly	400.24	46	66.30	0.53	62	14	2470	137	53	1943	126
mathijs	396.11	47	40.05	-0.23	6	-5	2706	47	-6	2237	45
mathgodleo	381.33	48	63.93	0.41	143	9	2489	130	24	2043	90
Logan	365.33	49	59.78	0.29	117	9	2529	109	9	2110	72
jshute	363.56	50	38.79	-0.37	16	-9	2715	46	-5	2171	59
UFP2161	285.79	51	79.76	0.64	29	32	2336	227	71	1780	193
PurpleBob	285.59	52	68.13	0.39	53	12	2450	148	63	1751	217
PAKETA	284.09	53	68.73	0.38	42	14	2445	149	37	1924	132
skanthak	281.58	54	51.85	-0.06	17	3	2599	82	10	2029	93
AdamSelene	279.49	55	80.40	0.55	62	22	2317	239	47	1814	168
jonmac	278.69	56	44.93	-0.32	80	-4	2658	57	-17	2164	60
eldering	268.94	57	35.23	-0.69	7	-30	2732	39	-39	2210	52
toast	239.79	58	82.03	0.50	60	20	2293	260	68	1699	248
Ryan	238.27	59	51.69	-0.19	52	-1	2596	84	-21	2136	63
doeth	235.99	60	43.58	-0.46	79	-7	2668	54	-47	2263	39
chogyonim	234.41	61	70.88	0.22	47	14	2423	166	24	1856	148
sliu	233.96	62	72.41	0.22	46	14	2406	175	26	1810	172
MisterZimbu	233.70	63	87.18	0.47	41	21	2212	354	49	1719	238
haha	233.68	64	37.66	-0.76	26	-17	2719	44	-56	2232	46
dokon	230.66	65	71.64	0.14	15	13	2413	169	18	1850	152
jonderry	230.36	66	61.11	-0.11	70	0	2507	120	-27	2057	86
ragnabot	230.19	67	61.06	-0.13	43	-1	2507	121	-16	1977	112
wleite	229.01	68	59.60	-0.19	29	-2	2520	112	-23	2001	103
Minsk	228.86	69	55.75	-0.31	17	-10	2549	99	-20	1919	133
hgliebe	226.86	70	59.57	-0.23	8	-8	2514	115	-29	1945	124
dary	226.52	71	17.18	-2.05	7	-76	2929	18	-125	2460	23
jfreyss	224.67	72	71.58	-0.01	59	2	2404	176	-22	1909	135
pzhao	222.73	73	47.61	-0.62	16	-24	2612	75	-53	2055	87
(Lx.xx)(Lx.xx)	221.76	74	79.61	0.10	19	10	2317	240	14	1709	242
Yi_Zhang	218.27	75	54.41	-0.46	36	-8	2564	92	-45	2001	103
gilbert	215.82	76	49.89	-0.61	74	-7	2607	78	-52	2029	93
Maris	209.36	77	49.61	-0.63	32	-16	2600	80	-69	2085	77
halflife	206.71	78	56.93	-0.45	44	-12	2536	105	-54	2001	103
dplass	206.23	79	94.07	0.25	17	21	2049	571	30	1420	533
koehrsen	203.50	80	68.28	-0.23	21	-6	2430	161	-48	1877	145
Vaduz	203.36	81	82.34	0.02	90	3	2271	281	-20	1745	221
vorthys	196.11	82	49.26	-0.74	42	-12	2609	77	-61	1943	126
assembler	190.87	83	67.23	-0.30	77	-4	2443	152	-36	1803	178
Larry	187.05	84	62.98	-0.42	93	-5	2485	132	-75	1996	108
cbaray	185.31	85	71.34	-0.25	7	-18	2386	185	-49	1687	257
legakis	185.00	86	37.71	-1.19	48	-16	2720	43	-105	2089	76
turuthok	174.10	87	68.39	-0.35	132	-4	2432	160	-75	1936	128
obfuscator	160.02	88	44.32	-0.99	47	-23	2645	63	-131	2188	55
sandeepgupta	149.21	89	71.27	-0.32	30	-12	2392	182	-69	1757	211
shuvovse	131.78	90	69.85	-0.37	120	-5	2415	168	-69	1784	192
emmpee	84.03	91	88.23	-0.04	72	0	2171	402	-63	1653	285
gepa	0.00	92	49.64	-0.93	23	-25	2605	79	-139	1960	117
zoidal	0.00	92	57.50	-0.72	75	-16	2534	108	-154	2105	74
kyotov	0.00	92	66.76	-0.50	105	-10	2444	151	-123	1850	152
router	0.00	92	67.36	-0.49	26	-22	2425	165	-108	1742	223
kats	0.00	92	74.81	-0.34	10	-20	2340	222	-96	1594	328
huntergt	0.00	92	90.66	-0.06	66	-1	2068	540	-36	1402	567
ColinMacLeod	-50.00	98	59.13	-0.74	106	-11	2520	113	-164	1947	122
Ag98	-50.00	98	87.29	-0.17	44	-5	2178	394	-106	1399	569
malpt	-100.00	100	29.85	-1.74	97	-20	2803	28	-165	2438	26