TCO '03 Round 2

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

2003-10-22

Division 1

2003 TCO - Online Round 2

Rating	perf	err	err2	tau	rho	ΔR	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max
EloSRM	0.198	0.787	1.076	0.365	0.507	9.8	24.0	-79	203	3379
Odd	0.203	0.791	1.081	0.361	0.503	8.7	24.3	-78	186	3246
SRMFix	0.174	0.795	1.090	0.361	0.509	5.5	31.0	-154	166	3316
SRM	0.221	0.802	1.094	0.354	0.495	-2.2	68.2	-392	211	3331
initial	0.131	0.876	1.219	0.315	0.445	15.7	105.4	-473	404	3964

Player	score	rank	seed	perf	rounds	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
SnapDragon	1,419.69	1	4.97	2.31	75	18	3379	1	59	3331	1
tomek	1,389.37	2	6.22	1.64	16	39	3348	2	62	3144	2
Yarin	1,355.76	3	12.22	2.03	70	20	3165	4	71	2840	6
malpt	1,222.90	4	43.62	3.45	96	40	2824	27	106	2603	16
bladerunner	1,182.00	5	21.79	2.12	24	38	3030	9	68	2752	10
snewman	1,133.97	6	14.25	1.25	6	66	3172	3	93	2878	4
bigg_nate	1,114.11	7	38.04	2.44	68	35	2863	23	92	2570	19
dmwright	1,080.33	8	26.80	1.74	122	20	2953	17	46	2738	11
along	1,051.15	9	75.67	3.07	55	40	2621	72	142	2163	58
radeye	1,020.35	10	20.52	1.04	76	13	3022	10	28	2759	9
NGBronson	993.87	11	19.52	0.83	58	19	3042	7	22	2846	5
adic	988.39	12	67.72	2.50	39	43	2669	51	106	2289	37
jonmac	937.80	13	69.37	2.42	79	46	2662	53	122	2181	56
LunaticFringe	928.36	14	47.06	1.75	65	20	2778	30	116	2204	51
evd	918.02	15	64.39	2.10	68	44	2689	47	83	2355	29
tjq	908.84	16	35.03	1.13	50	18	2871	21	44	2521	21
kyotov	889.83	17	108.41	2.67	104	46	2454	149	152	1973	116
Wasteland	880.68	18	79.38	2.14	40	64	2625	70	96	2210	50
antimatter	876.61	19	49.93	1.39	67	19	2757	35	44	2483	24
DrewHudson	871.87	20	104.98	2.39	37	61	2486	128	137	2026	94
pzhao	856.64	21	84.04	2.00	15	101	2636	62	130	2108	70
ChristopherH	852.22	22	20.71	-0.09	18	5	3011	12	4	2706	13
schveiguy	841.73	23	62.56	1.44	48	30	2687	48	65	2273	41
cvoinescu	834.09	24	37.62	0.65	5	55	2887	19	80	2359	28
haha	811.23	25	55.76	1.16	25	37	2736	37	63	2288	38
kyky	805.37	26	106.31	2.03	130	20	2438	155	101	2075	83
eldering	797.30	27	58.30	1.11	6	79	2762	33	90	2249	45
XuChuan	793.88	28	58.36	1.06	28	32	2715	42	57	2297	36
Minsk	793.48	29	95.24	1.72	16	83	2559	92	136	1939	130
koehrsen	776.96	30	116.35	1.96	20	71	2436	157	135	1925	135
Abednego	737.08	31	76.96	1.31	78	19	2592	81	55	2217	49
venco	734.40	32	22.61	-0.50	55	-4	2978	15	-16	2659	15
bstanescu	698.77	33	19.30	-0.77	46	-8	3019	11	-21	2664	14
skanthak	685.05	34	82.98	1.29	16	55	2596	80	106	2019	99
AdamSelene	672.62	35	138.47	1.98	61	54	2296	264	145	1767	212
futo	637.01	36	100.46	1.48	16	61	2510	110	115	1956	121
cbaray	632.35	37	145.22	1.97	6	203	2404	175	211	1736	224
Googly	630.44	38	102.36	1.43	60	28	2467	138	99	1952	123
obfuscator	620.23	39	65.20	0.74	46	28	2668	52	23	2319	31
Jan_Kuipers	545.25	40	50.98	0.35	8	31	2762	34	53	2243	46
WishingBone	541.56	41	20.57	-1.00	66	-7	3002	14	-36	2726	12
gilbert	504.59	42	71.41	0.77	72	13	2618	75	51	2101	72
DjinnKahn	487.86	43	35.27	-0.29	114	-1	2851	24	-14	2491	22
reid	479.16	44	12.88	-1.77	35	-30	3102	6	-78	2952	3
dary	464.47	45	16.96	-1.41	6	-56	3005	13	-22	2585	17
kats	459.28	46	128.56	1.48	8	109	2408	172	143	1807	186
turuthok	439.09	47	108.16	1.20	130	15	2424	164	72	1976	114
Klinck	435.70	48	75.55	0.65	7	50	2632	65	56	2107	71
assembler	435.43	49	102.88	1.07	75	18	2454	148	91	1883	147
Vaduz	434.91	50	140.61	1.49	88	39	2268	292	106	1786	200
PAKETA	433.74	51	109.37	1.10	41	29	2431	161	87	1887	145
Yi_Zhang	431.80	52	82.84	0.67	34	19	2560	91	55	2026	94
Ryan	423.83	53	81.29	0.62	50	13	2563	90	55	2022	96
jfreyss	384.24	54	114.68	1.09	58	27	2401	178	70	1931	131
ColinMacLeod	337.69	55	87.55	0.67	105	14	2530	103	33	2111	67
sandeepgupta	334.97	56	119.44	1.09	29	56	2405	174	90	1826	174
mathijs	294.57	57	55.59	-0.04	5	11	2711	43	25	2243	46
gepa	291.18	58	69.68	0.26	22	15	2630	67	35	2099	75
jonderry	279.60	59	94.96	0.69	68	13	2490	124	34	2040	90
emmpee	276.68	60	154.85	1.37	71	36	2172	417	96	1716	241
Ag98	271.01	61	151.08	1.31	42	35	2197	383	116	1662	280
MisterZimbu	270.13	62	153.29	1.31	40	44	2191	389	118	1670	272
hamster	247.83	63	69.18	0.14	5	24	2642	60	41	2085	78
achurch	245.72	64	87.58	0.45	7	41	2557	93	55	1995	107
mathgodleo	244.16	65	96.46	0.57	142	10	2480	131	32	2019	99
ragnabot	243.46	66	92.27	0.48	42	16	2508	115	37	1993	110
dokon	242.51	67	117.92	0.82	14	44	2401	179	79	1832	171
UFP2161	242.43	68	132.42	0.96	27	44	2321	242	80	1771	210
doeth	241.76	69	59.76	-0.22	78	-1	2676	49	-25	2310	34
dplass	241.76	69	176.18	1.34	16	84	2028	619	152	1390	599
cnettel	241.63	71	67.30	-0.08	19	3	2631	66	11	2097	76
shuvovse	241.62	72	107.95	0.58	119	10	2420	166	55	1853	158
milhouse	241.28	73	49.15	-0.57	27	-12	2731	39	-16	2256	44
router	241.19	74	108.23	0.55	25	39	2447	151	55	1850	160
jasonw	241.16	75	91.56	0.29	35	18	2514	108	23	1996	106
Logan	240.87	76	88.28	0.22	116	8	2520	106	3	2101	72
wleite	240.85	77	91.04	0.24	27	10	2508	113	18	2003	103
Oblok	240.68	78	74.13	-0.08	68	1	2591	82	-3	2122	64
abiczo	240.68	78	91.97	0.23	21	14	2507	116	35	1914	137
legakis	240.35	80	49.13	-0.70	47	-8	2735	38	-29	2194	54
(Lx.xx)(Lx.xx)	240.24	81	134.78	0.74	18	43	2306	253	79	1695	256
vorthys	239.94	82	70.39	-0.22	40	-1	2609	77	21	1949	124
Maris	239.93	83	68.58	-0.28	31	-4	2617	76	-23	2154	59
halflife	239.63	84	82.58	-0.02	43	4	2548	97	-5	2055	87
madking	239.00	85	73.87	-0.20	25	-2	2589	83	-9	2059	86
Modulator	238.82	86	83.19	-0.05	49	2	2542	99	-6	2040	90
ZorbaTHut	238.69	87	17.49	-2.31	114	-12	3040	8	-104	2763	8
chogyonim	238.37	88	111.88	0.35	46	20	2409	170	33	1832	171
Larry	238.27	89	97.45	0.13	91	4	2469	137	0	1994	109
dpecora	238.24	90	99.51	0.14	61	9	2463	140	11	1927	133
huntergt	238.08	91	166.57	0.87	65	25	2069	554	111	1438	518
toast	238.06	92	136.72	0.57	59	21	2273	287	70	1631	307
ambrose	237.99	93	36.96	-1.33	104	-13	2824	26	-77	2479	25
jshute	237.69	94	58.91	-0.67	14	-23	2656	56	-26	2085	78
zoidal	237.57	95	80.79	-0.23	74	-3	2550	96	-54	2259	43
sliu	236.96	96	114.16	0.25	45	15	2392	182	28	1784	201
hgliebe	236.80	97	86.02	-0.17	7	-2	2522	105	-8	1974	115
PurpleBob	236.08	98	99.22	0.02	51	3	2459	146	14	1855	156
space	235.36	99	90.05	-0.14	11	0	2503	118	-17	1982	111
Parchandri	235.23	100	87.22	-0.20	21	-2	2516	107	-2	1927	133
Wombatfreak	234.55	101	120.33	0.25	7	31	2375	193	36	1767	212
Kavan	234.30	102	73.12	-0.48	14	-12	2583	84	-29	2037	92
po	234.06	103	49.04	-1.07	68	-13	2731	40	-73	2277	40
Greyve	233.88	104	102.54	-0.03	23	4	2443	153	4	1859	152
TAG	233.88	104	122.94	0.23	16	20	2350	220	50	1614	322
dvickrey	233.76	106	65.52	-0.69	62	-12	2627	68	-54	2135	62
Koroibos	233.75	107	127.59	0.25	33	22	2326	238	26	1736	224
merolish	233.67	108	140.88	0.38	27	21	2248	318	52	1624	316
Ken Alverson	233.29	109	74.28	-0.55	38	-13	2576	87	-43	2064	85
dangelo	233.21	110	53.87	-1.03	64	-15	2696	46	-86	2362	27
axch	232.02	111	70.82	-0.65	57	-12	2596	79	-52	2116	66
gladius	232.01	112	117.54	0.07	59	4	2363	205	3	1810	183
O_O	231.71	113	74.37	-0.60	84	-5	2583	85	-57	2144	61
Tinkles	231.33	114	145.57	0.35	15	25	2223	346	58	1529	409
mas13081	231.15	115	166.14	0.53	14	39	2087	532	76	1438	518
JayTea	231.00	116	161.60	0.48	24	26	2112	496	61	1526	417
lars	230.93	117	41.11	-1.51	63	-14	2788	29	-98	2338	30
abheek	230.90	118	122.27	0.05	3	24	2357	212	0	1770	211
the_one_smiley	230.42	119	132.52	0.16	71	6	2282	278	15	1695	256
CompuSciNut	230.33	120	155.42	0.37	3	83	2215	361	56	1618	320
ValD	230.00	121	136.06	0.17	117	4	2260	304	4	1726	235
cruizza	229.78	122	86.72	-0.49	24	-12	2509	112	-46	1948	126
dgarthur	229.77	123	22.08	-2.48	48	-23	2966	16	-120	2576	18
giginim	229.57	124	176.37	0.51	36	22	1970	714	75	1356	647
aussie	229.41	125	132.74	0.09	18	11	2286	275	12	1567	367
TheFaxman	229.38	126	140.81	0.16	16	14	2242	326	17	1585	350
leelin	229.29	127	157.46	0.31	94	13	2130	469	15	1601	334
valeriy	228.66	128	106.63	-0.26	36	-7	2410	167	-30	1839	164
danlief	228.61	129	135.26	0.07	5	18	2279	284	11	1652	292
mcphee	228.13	130	121.95	-0.09	5	0	2336	231	-14	1726	235
Dumitru	228.05	131	157.77	0.27	17	20	2135	455	25	1499	447
mortijingle	227.98	132	82.90	-0.67	11	-36	2505	117	-44	1840	163
farsight	227.31	133	136.62	0.04	39	3	2256	308	-14	1709	246
Running Wild	226.98	134	137.94	0.04	58	3	2248	319	-17	1709	246
Fred[dy]	226.86	135	148.19	0.13	5	32	2213	363	24	1557	379
enderx	226.64	136	74.06	-0.88	24	-28	2564	89	-63	1973	116
cgu	226.64	136	161.64	0.24	39	13	2095	518	24	1487	459
tenken	226.48	138	121.07	-0.19	25	-5	2335	232	-22	1706	249
phark4evr	224.04	139	176.22	0.34	33	17	1967	717	27	1440	515
bengle	223.98	140	144.01	0.04	36	7	2215	362	5	1547	387
tph	222.86	141	100.82	-0.48	38	-15	2432	160	-61	1878	151
Porgery	222.55	142	133.10	-0.09	48	-1	2273	288	-23	1697	254
fiveEasyPieces	222.40	143	127.00	-0.17	6	-9	2299	259	-28	1647	296
Hitiek	222.11	144	151.10	0.07	6	16	2178	406	-4	1514	434
joeli	221.41	145	98.48	-0.56	34	-11	2449	150	-58	1824	175
dana	220.99	146	95.38	-0.62	80	-8	2469	136	-78	1972	118
nealzane	220.99	146	147.22	0.01	12	6	2191	388	2	1480	466
ccooper	220.41	148	157.24	0.09	33	11	2130	470	15	1466	488
NSantos	219.69	149	148.08	-0.01	17	3	2185	395	23	1404	584
mbarb	218.88	150	130.24	-0.20	22	-8	2281	280	-22	1606	332
grotmol	218.76	151	44.25	-1.77	15	-52	2726	41	-136	2197	53
amirshim	217.38	152	141.23	-0.11	7	-3	2222	347	-20	1573	361
FogleBird	216.85	153	146.63	-0.06	59	0	2192	387	-17	1534	400
omasoud	216.79	154	141.94	-0.12	32	-2	2219	350	-19	1509	436
TheSkipper	216.74	155	149.25	-0.06	18	1	2175	412	-17	1468	484
tck	216.70	156	125.99	-0.31	61	-8	2305	256	-44	1644	300
harisuthan	215.77	157	175.11	0.16	27	10	1971	713	13	1350	660
dark_legend	215.43	158	118.07	-0.42	17	-19	2338	227	-61	1694	258
PacerGuy	215.25	159	96.93	-0.71	10	-34	2433	159	-101	1812	180
Jumping John	214.79	160	95.52	-0.74	38	-15	2460	142	-89	1824	175
jlittle	211.01	161	155.42	-0.05	34	0	2132	462	-28	1506	438
userundefined	210.50	162	155.04	-0.06	37	0	2135	454	-13	1347	666
rcrdev	210.18	163	188.79	0.21	8	34	1786	1092	41	1023	1666
bsdude	207.79	164	94.93	-0.79	19	-22	2456	147	-100	1798	192
pearl	207.50	165	154.21	-0.10	59	-1	2139	449	-26	1469	483
PongsriBunny	206.45	166	156.59	-0.08	54	-1	2122	482	-39	1543	391
roguexz	203.67	167	164.20	-0.02	14	2	2067	560	-23	1396	594
Tomson	197.06	168	126.52	-0.41	13	-23	2288	273	-72	1614	322
ntrhieu	196.99	169	67.31	-1.33	82	-19	2609	78	-141	2109	69
jms137	194.14	170	34.02	-2.32	74	-16	2846	25	-170	2303	35
bmerry	194.07	171	34.34	-2.32	23	-57	2802	28	-183	2262	42
jburnim	193.46	172	78.78	-1.13	22	-35	2528	104	-132	1857	153
reiners	191.13	173	169.29	-0.03	74	0	2021	636	-22	1361	639
TekGoNos	188.74	174	87.09	-1.00	18	-29	2490	125	-139	1835	167
qubits	184.18	175	84.72	-1.05	76	-23	2509	111	-136	1955	122
Ken_Vogel	183.23	176	59.48	-1.56	87	-15	2660	55	-150	2020	98
solman	182.37	177	114.27	-0.63	51	-17	2360	210	-125	1780	202
alexcchan	179.77	178	128.31	-0.47	42	-21	2279	283	-128	1772	207
coachbudka	179.51	179	127.68	-0.49	37	-14	2290	269	-69	1451	509
ante	179.12	180	55.30	-1.70	53	-26	2675	50	-177	2122	64
thooot	174.27	181	109.26	-0.73	20	-21	2382	189	-137	1716	241
irulet	171.97	182	185.57	0.03	52	3	1820	1026	-34	1182	1140
nacul	168.67	183	159.05	-0.20	19	-10	2096	514	-70	1371	631
Pops	168.60	184	130.09	-0.50	100	-8	2283	277	-138	1729	233
Slamin	168.41	185	96.47	-0.94	93	-10	2460	143	-163	1820	178
Gagan	167.53	186	177.99	-0.06	28	-3	1926	798	-60	1266	882
Nexius	163.98	187	180.28	-0.05	23	-2	1898	864	-61	1273	861
port6000	161.61	188	137.61	-0.45	5	-42	2205	375	-165	1444	512
sargentm	152.81	189	165.81	-0.19	8	-15	2036	603	-108	1336	689
GamePimp	152.41	190	168.04	-0.18	3	-30	2002	667	-180	1302	776
Ruberik	142.70	191	77.01	-1.31	14	-39	2534	101	-216	1775	205
Harold	130.23	192	102.37	-0.91	4	-78	2361	207	-276	1575	358
EuclidCT	128.80	193	171.83	-0.17	7	-16	1980	698	-134	1186	1125
overwise	0.00	194	58.68	-1.73	9	-64	2619	73	-283	1881	149
dweebo	0.00	194	174.74	-0.16	7	-16	1945	765	-160	1228	989
loopy	-10.45	196	37.33	-2.39	14	-62	2772	31	-250	2079	81
frane	-32.76	197	93.02	-1.08	5	-79	2409	168	-392	1506	438