TCO17 New 3B

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

2017-09-09

Division 1

2017 TCO Algorithm - New Round 3B

Rating	perf	err	err2	tau	rho	ΔR	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max
SRM	0.299	0.860	1.206	0.179	0.261	2.3	62.3	-191	164	3685
Odd	0.284	0.884	1.224	0.203	0.289	6.4	17.3	-45	82	4067
SRMFix	0.271	0.888	1.222	0.205	0.285	4.2	20.7	-88	71	3612
EloSRM	0.286	0.890	1.230	0.207	0.293	7.9	18.3	-48	95	4437
initial	0.253	0.936	1.328	0.083	0.113	30.4	112.7	-279	701	4212

Player	score	rank	seed	perf	rounds	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
qwerty787788	569.03	1	35.78	5.16	125	43	3924	28	161	2951	21
Um_nik	473.88	2	15.66	2.97	60	41	4163	4	103	3274	4
ikatanic	439.40	3	35.94	3.58	175	35	3914	31	124	2984	18
rng_58	351.90	4	11.72	1.55	163	15	4209	3	25	3685	1
RRx	341.39	5	59.49	3.57	102	72	3727	98	164	2608	73
anta	320.17	6	35.41	2.56	151	28	3913	33	78	3093	13
Petr	319.14	7	4.07	-0.78	433	-2	4437	1	-9	3683	2
Kankuro	306.93	8	19.01	1.25	106	26	4097	9	44	3234	6
ainu7	295.38	9	41.82	2.22	310	23	3846	54	116	2657	62
ShikXD	294.45	10	31.34	1.65	93	27	3952	20	67	2953	20
kuniavski	282.20	11	30.00	1.45	160	19	3959	19	77	2896	24
Deretin	253.26	12	38.91	1.70	70	44	3895	38	85	2807	39
eatmore	236.89	13	27.18	1.06	39	33	4003	15	65	2935	22
bmerry	211.25	14	19.49	0.48	229	9	4073	12	8	3183	8
Burunduk1	210.32	15	38.44	1.36	147	32	3887	41	45	2985	17
chemthan	210.28	16	73.76	2.20	39	71	3560	180	157	2354	158
kmjp	207.04	17	61.48	1.86	142	27	3662	127	115	2508	99
Egor	206.63	18	16.13	-0.16	406	1	4115	7	9	3099	11
Marcin_smu	205.91	19	32.26	0.76	50	25	3941	22	42	2869	27
ilyakor	200.89	20	41.04	1.04	151	21	3851	51	62	2702	53
sd0061	198.64	21	56.28	1.42	66	34	3721	99	96	2517	98
HTML_Sanek	196.49	22	57.51	1.39	28	63	3738	94	102	2489	110
niyaznigmatul	191.17	23	37.91	0.72	128	15	3875	45	38	2805	40
Vasyl[alphacom]	190.83	24	47.42	0.98	282	19	3790	72	43	2742	49
krismaz	190.07	25	62.49	1.32	18	95	3719	103	116	2410	132
eddy1021	188.98	26	64.28	1.31	41	48	3653	132	107	2372	148
Sevenkplus	188.93	27	26.04	-0.05	54	5	3988	16	1	3029	16
dreamoon	188.88	28	60.37	1.11	194	14	3660	128	80	2457	118
sugim48	185.92	29	44.65	0.62	86	13	3810	65	39	2671	59
pieguy	183.52	30	39.26	0.39	143	11	3859	49	32	2701	54
panjf1987	182.84	31	35.21	0.18	11	26	3913	32	57	2574	82
uwi	182.71	32	49.51	0.63	181	11	3762	85	67	2465	114
liympanda	182.45	33	51.82	0.65	410	6	3736	95	36	2609	72
zemen	180.99	34	50.97	0.58	72	19	3756	88	41	2573	83
anrieff	179.47	35	74.41	1.09	348	16	3495	221	70	2375	146
cki86201	178.75	36	40.04	0.15	8	23	3863	47	33	2637	67
ainta	175.92	37	45.64	0.30	41	17	3804	68	45	2495	107
LeBron	174.24	38	46.44	0.29	212	6	3785	77	14	2672	57
dzhulgakov	172.02	39	33.00	-0.24	129	-1	3907	34	0	2769	46
gs14004	170.68	40	50.75	0.34	11	29	3769	83	46	2496	106
KalininN	169.85	41	34.52	-0.25	55	-2	3892	39	-13	2783	44
ariacas	166.74	42	63.56	0.60	113	15	3628	143	44	2450	121
ACRush	162.59	43	16.38	-1.39	226	-9	4101	8	-48	3068	15
pashka	157.93	44	41.31	-0.09	176	1	3829	59	3	2645	65
ksun48	155.20	45	38.12	-0.24	56	-1	3857	50	-16	2748	47
OgieKako	154.28	46	68.25	0.57	218	12	3572	171	51	2311	177
nuip	154.14	47	75.91	0.69	128	16	3473	234	50	2341	166
ShadoWsaZ	154.02	48	71.21	0.57	118	20	3543	194	42	2363	153
VArtem	153.82	49	43.27	-0.18	123	0	3809	66	-14	2672	57
sdya	149.07	50	38.75	-0.37	162	-4	3848	53	-40	2845	32
LoRd_TaPaKaH	144.87	51	59.66	0.23	56	18	3672	120	12	2468	113
Blue.Mary	138.27	52	47.16	-0.14	200	0	3773	81	-9	2581	80
narri	110.60	53	81.98	0.63	207	21	3365	328	59	2121	266
_pperm	108.36	54	69.17	0.36	224	9	3557	183	19	2348	161
Kostroma	104.35	55	57.68	0.07	60	6	3679	114	1	2459	116
natsugiri	100.62	56	58.68	0.07	178	3	3666	125	-17	2565	86
K.A.D.R	100.00	57	40.62	-0.49	246	-3	3832	58	-10	2493	108
Silver_Soul	93.63	58	55.42	-0.07	42	2	3697	109	-5	2434	127
RAVEman	75.00	59	42.52	-0.48	310	-3	3817	62	-5	2402	134
klamathix	75.00	59	77.15	0.38	104	15	3445	255	28	2226	210
matthew99a	50.00	61	29.37	-1.07	46	-19	3930	25	-69	2840	33
_aid	50.00	61	52.34	-0.23	55	-3	3719	100	-16	2437	125
krijgertje	25.00	63	34.21	-0.88	220	-10	3886	42	-96	2954	19
xudyh	0.00	64	22.78	-1.75	46	-23	4156	5	-171	3163	9
dotory1158	0.00	64	33.70	-1.18	12	-41	3929	26	-100	2612	71
xyz111	0.00	64	35.15	-1.12	31	-35	3914	30	-95	2641	66
Merkurev	0.00	64	36.82	-1.06	65	-20	3905	36	-98	2690	55
Baz93	0.00	64	41.16	-0.89	55	-21	3844	55	-99	2683	56
snuke	0.00	64	42.19	-0.86	165	-8	3844	56	-95	2663	61
HYEA	0.00	64	42.74	-0.84	8	-48	3797	69	-72	2289	184
tomekkulczynski	0.00	64	44.88	-0.77	149	-11	3806	67	-99	2716	52
hogloid	0.00	64	45.54	-0.75	77	-11	3797	70	-64	2440	123
darnley	0.00	64	46.02	-0.73	136	-14	3788	73	-82	2579	81
Eryx	0.00	64	46.59	-0.72	237	-9	3786	76	-85	2616	70
baklazan4247	0.00	64	47.17	-0.70	58	-13	3774	80	-77	2524	96
Arterm	0.00	64	49.16	-0.64	102	-10	3751	91	-71	2501	102
chokudai	0.00	64	50.32	-0.60	225	-8	3738	93	-93	2652	64
Ra16bit	0.00	64	50.75	-0.59	188	-9	3731	97	-76	2538	94
sky58	0.00	64	50.98	-0.59	272	-5	3732	96	-65	2461	115
PaulJefferys	0.00	64	52.96	-0.53	159	-9	3702	107	-64	2378	143
lg5293	0.00	64	53.61	-0.51	87	-8	3694	111	-65	2454	120
tmt514	0.00	64	57.94	-0.40	40	-17	3625	144	-62	2385	141
liymsheep	0.00	64	60.09	-0.35	30	-11	3598	153	-34	2128	260
LiangYaxiong	0.00	64	60.43	-0.34	48	-11	3593	157	-47	2240	206
Voover	0.00	64	60.83	-0.33	143	-4	3593	155	-61	2372	148
cafelier	0.00	64	61.06	-0.32	256	-5	3590	159	-56	2367	151
jonathanirvings	0.00	64	66.07	-0.21	86	-7	3501	217	-37	2237	208
bigINnnner	0.00	64	75.25	-0.02	34	0	3251	451	9	1900	427
ivanilos	0.00	64	78.29	0.03	54	4	3017	783	45	1757	573
lhic	-25.00	90	19.02	-2.25	35	-34	4042	14	-191	2872	26
DEGwer	-25.00	90	46.35	-0.96	87	-14	3763	84	-167	2557	89
Dlougach	-50.00	92	59.97	-0.62	78	-17	3633	139	-168	2323	171