2016 TCO Algo 3B

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

2016-08-27

Division 1

2016 TCO Algorithm - Round 3B

Rating	perf	err	err2	tau	rho	ΔR	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max
Odd	0.248	0.809	1.194	0.359	0.494	8.4	16.4	-31	132	4086
EloSRM	0.249	0.811	1.205	0.361	0.494	9.0	16.2	-30	136	4413
SRMFix	0.237	0.816	1.193	0.354	0.495	6.3	19.6	-42	90	3625
SRM	0.274	0.826	1.208	0.362	0.506	2.7	64.4	-177	183	3577
initial	0.198	0.865	1.189	0.366	0.518	23.9	104.1	-222	522	4418

Player	score	rank	seed	perf	rounds	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
rng_58	667.17	1	18.01	4.17	147	29	4027	9	160	3308	7
Um_nik	617.47	2	19.58	3.29	47	40	4014	11	152	3086	12
scott_wu	587.28	3	13.98	2.22	90	36	4105	5	83	3411	3
Enot	575.14	4	36.82	3.20	52	62	3809	53	163	2771	53
yosupo	541.73	5	39.88	3.00	70	42	3752	68	134	2866	30
bmerry	486.28	6	17.06	1.51	220	15	4029	8	81	3097	11
Blue.Mary	475.79	7	39.92	2.51	188	28	3737	75	129	2731	56
W4yneb0t	471.39	8	22.38	1.48	56	30	3962	16	73	3081	13
Egor	466.09	9	11.94	0.41	391	5	4115	4	16	3327	6
ifsmirnov	455.02	10	49.38	2.30	52	81	3668	111	152	2558	92
ksun48	451.23	11	44.32	2.01	34	64	3718	88	113	2680	66
2rf	440.21	12	31.77	1.40	169	16	3825	45	85	2793	48
lhic	437.49	13	30.35	1.22	23	45	3872	35	101	2704	60
kuniavski	423.29	14	19.93	0.51	150	12	3980	12	44	3023	14
Burunduk1	421.65	15	27.48	0.87	143	18	3881	28	20	3125	10
BSBandme	414.79	16	53.88	1.75	138	27	3550	180	118	2488	113
Kankuro	411.45	17	13.66	-0.32	100	-1	4074	7	-33	3372	4
Marcin_smu	407.65	18	27.32	0.60	40	21	3887	26	50	2834	38
xudyh	403.56	19	12.03	-0.66	33	-8	4101	6	-13	3204	8
mnbvmar	399.22	20	26.94	0.43	23	28	3899	24	51	2781	51
eddy1021	397.20	21	48.16	1.20	27	45	3650	124	92	2560	89
matthew99a	369.91	22	24.76	0.17	38	8	3907	20	30	2874	28
tourist	358.79	23	3.26	-2.82	192	-13	4413	1	-86	3577	2
KalininN	351.86	24	30.77	0.36	50	19	3840	42	26	2803	47
Vasyl[alphacom]	349.27	25	36.62	0.55	279	8	3758	66	39	2696	61
liympanda	323.02	26	39.87	0.62	386	7	3716	89	45	2631	74
K.A.D.R	272.89	27	26.33	-0.04	221	2	3880	31	-4	2927	21
RiaDWaW	270.25	28	50.85	0.86	103	26	3594	151	75	2393	151
jinzhao	248.18	29	70.16	1.27	14	136	3285	445	183	1908	483
Errichto	243.54	30	49.12	0.71	29	39	3630	132	98	2241	230
ACRush	230.38	31	11.18	-1.47	218	-10	4118	3	-77	3371	5
niyaznigmatul	225.72	32	33.47	0.06	118	4	3792	57	8	2730	57
-XraY-	225.03	33	35.92	0.12	87	5	3763	63	-6	2788	49
izrak	218.94	34	31.15	-0.13	22	2	3818	48	13	2658	72
marek.cygan	200.94	35	32.82	-0.09	247	1	3797	56	-22	2836	36
subscriber	198.12	36	26.42	-0.45	156	-3	3874	34	-20	2835	37
Merkurev	195.94	37	25.64	-0.53	60	-7	3880	30	-25	2823	41
ShikXD	193.59	38	28.84	-0.40	79	-5	3841	41	-26	2812	43
LeBron	185.57	39	37.18	-0.07	194	1	3743	71	-10	2683	65
dj3500	181.89	40	47.09	0.24	97	10	3628	133	38	2384	155
Swistakk	180.65	41	34.69	-0.24	55	-2	3771	61	-14	2659	71
Milanin	179.04	42	53.22	0.34	227	8	3541	186	17	2419	140
sdya	177.39	43	27.84	-0.63	157	-8	3851	39	-77	3014	15
Ra16bit	174.43	44	40.46	-0.12	183	0	3703	96	-7	2547	96
sky58	162.62	45	38.85	-0.21	257	-1	3721	84	-15	2569	86
ffao	161.11	46	31.13	-0.56	108	-6	3811	51	-42	2726	58
Michael_Levin	158.05	47	53.45	0.19	244	5	3535	193	15	2364	165
natsugiri	156.73	48	52.84	0.14	160	4	3542	185	16	2302	199
chokudai	152.78	49	41.81	-0.23	217	-2	3684	103	-43	2676	67
sugim48	152.44	50	41.66	-0.26	65	-3	3685	101	-21	2503	110
Arterm	149.16	51	40.34	-0.34	88	-4	3700	97	-38	2574	85
John Dethridge	145.06	52	44.03	-0.24	211	-3	3655	122	-37	2547	96
pashka	126.89	53	32.99	-0.68	167	-7	3787	58	-50	2609	77
lxhimo	122.53	54	67.27	0.32	301	7	3257	485	69	1791	628
FatalEagle	120.88	55	52.42	-0.07	51	1	3545	184	-22	2372	163
skyvn97	112.16	56	54.23	-0.05	99	1	3519	205	-10	2205	250
ariacas	111.45	57	47.26	-0.27	101	-4	3612	142	-45	2405	145
Dembel	108.08	58	56.63	-0.03	78	1	3481	236	1	2052	356
mgch	95.18	59	67.00	0.18	28	15	3273	465	21	1919	467
anrieff	75.00	60	60.33	0.01	330	1	3415	297	1	2074	334
ainu7	65.03	61	28.40	-1.10	300	-9	3843	40	-115	2809	45
Kriii	25.00	62	42.23	-0.55	122	-8	3673	109	-76	2494	111
Endagorion	0.00	63	19.98	-1.78	54	-24	4015	10	-177	2869	29
qwerty787788	0.00	63	28.69	-1.25	113	-14	3876	32	-163	2819	42
snuke	0.00	63	32.51	-1.08	148	-9	3825	46	-138	2676	67
wenhanhuang	0.00	63	32.92	-1.06	28	-26	3802	54	-125	2512	109
liymsheep	0.00	63	39.59	-0.79	12	-30	3705	94	-133	2461	128
aaaaajack	0.00	63	44.55	-0.62	16	-30	3636	129	-100	2200	253
embe	0.00	63	56.36	-0.28	157	-8	3465	250	-85	2217	243
Ronnoc	0.00	63	56.42	-0.28	22	-12	3459	256	-52	1959	428
camypaper	0.00	63	65.62	-0.06	61	-1	3209	549	-57	2036	369
rickytheta	0.00	63	66.68	-0.04	30	-1	3156	636	-17	1730	720
dnvtmf	0.00	63	67.22	-0.03	39	0	3124	697	-50	1977	413
pdwd	0.00	63	69.34	0.02	116	1	2921	1121	39	1500	1305
logicmachine	-25.00	75	53.92	-0.48	196	-7	3516	211	-157	2171	270
dreamoon	-75.00	76	36.86	-1.04	165	-12	3735	78	-159	2339	177