1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| mikepred | 41 | 2113 | 1087 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.141 | 0.773 | 1.082 | 30.8 | -54 | 201 | 2131 | 2113 | 3099 |
| Odd | 0.149 | 0.779 | 1.084 | 32.3 | -36 | 198 | 2006 | 1982 | 3172 |
| SRMFix | 0.158 | 0.838 | 1.146 | 48.4 | -94 | 219 | 1688 | 1626 | 3301 |
| SRM | 0.479 | 0.890 | 1.243 | 58.0 | -321 | 152 | 1306 | 1087 | 5779 |
| initial | 0.099 | 0.979 | 1.326 | 117.9 | -324 | 470 | 1935 | 1675 | 3141 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 2 | 192 | 196.72 | 0.04 | 6 | 2113 | 3099 | 31 | 1087 | 5779 |
| 40 | 2008-07-10 | SRM 409 | 2 | 672 | 253.10 | -1.61 | -24 | 2107 | 3109 | -122 | 1056 | 6162 |
| 39 | 2008-05-24 | SRM 402 | 2 | 34 | 152.46 | 2.16 | 41 | 2131 | 2823 | 88 | 1178 | 3704 |
| 38 | 2008-05-01 | SRM 400 | 2 | 407 | 155.58 | -1.39 | -21 | 2090 | 2958 | -59 | 1090 | 4033 |
| 37 | 2008-04-12 | SRM 397 | 2 | 165 | 163.93 | -0.01 | 5 | 2111 | 2867 | 14 | 1149 | 3498 |
| 36 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 2 | 133 | 168.26 | 0.34 | 14 | 2106 | 2899 | 28 | 1135 | 3624 |
| 35 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 865 | 1,133.40 | 0.01 | 3 | 2092 | 2887 | 10 | 1107 | 3874 |
| 34 | 2008-02-13 | TCO08 Qual 3 | 1 | 480 | 457.88 | -0.07 | 2 | 2089 | 2891 | 5 | 1097 | 3998 |
| 33 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 1145 | 690.22 | -0.73 | -26 | 2088 | 2869 | -109 | 1092 | 4012 |
| 32 | 2007-12-27 | SRM 385 | 2 | 143 | 117.40 | -0.28 | -1 | 2114 | 2617 | 7 | 1201 | 3106 |
| 31 | 2007-10-13 | SRM 371 | 1 | 574 | 523.31 | -0.13 | -4 | 2115 | 2348 | -61 | 1194 | 2759 |
| 30 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 592 | 614.57 | -0.13 | -4 | 2119 | 2260 | -51 | 1255 | 2245 |
| 29 | 2007-09-04 | SRM 364 | 1 | 338 | 441.36 | 0.38 | 21 | 2123 | 2234 | 35 | 1306 | 1953 |
| 28 | 2007-08-30 | TCCC07 Round 1B | 1 | 174 | 309.95 | 0.83 | 34 | 2101 | 2318 | 70 | 1271 | 2132 |
| 27 | 2007-08-21 | TCCC07 Qual 2 | 1 | 185 | 317.71 | 0.78 | 30 | 2067 | 2476 | 55 | 1201 | 2671 |
| 26 | 2007-08-11 | SRM 363 | 2 | 139 | 149.28 | 0.10 | 8 | 2037 | 2576 | 25 | 1146 | 2991 |
| 25 | 2007-08-07 | SRM 362 | 2 | 203 | ||||||||
| 24 | 2007-07-24 | SRM 360 | 2 | 210 | 129.10 | -0.70 | -9 | 2029 | 2601 | -10 | 1121 | 3140 |
| 23 | 2007-07-12 | SRM 357 | 2 | 222 | 107.36 | -1.05 | -15 | 2038 | 2478 | -34 | 1131 | 2995 |
| 22 | 2007-07-02 | SRM 356 | 2 | 27 | 101.30 | 1.91 | 40 | 2053 | 2391 | 86 | 1165 | 2824 |
| 21 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 2 | 142 | 167.13 | 0.24 | 11 | 2013 | 2524 | 43 | 1079 | 3338 |
| 20 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 2 | 396 | 126.84 | -1.64 | -25 | 2002 | 2552 | -51 | 1036 | 3635 |
| 19 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 520 | 466.23 | -0.18 | -9 | 2027 | 2392 | -126 | 1087 | 3251 |
| 18 | 2007-05-09 | SRM 348 | 2 | 32 | 89.60 | 1.48 | 37 | 2036 | 2356 | 70 | 1213 | 2466 |
| 17 | 2007-05-01 | SRM 347 | 2 | 51 | 139.87 | 1.46 | 40 | 1999 | 2495 | 80 | 1143 | 2871 |
| 16 | 2007-04-24 | SRM 346 | 2 | 281 | 102.33 | -1.46 | -27 | 1960 | 2680 | -74 | 1063 | 3389 |
| 15 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 2 | 74 | 175.03 | 1.24 | 40 | 1987 | 2530 | 66 | 1137 | 2886 |
| 14 | 2007-04-10 | TCO07 Round 1B | 1 | 276 | 355.40 | -0.08 | -1 | 1946 | 2708 | -11 | 1071 | 3316 |
| 13 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 398 | 646.07 | 0.70 | 45 | 1947 | 2643 | 73 | 1082 | 3258 |
| 12 | 2007-03-28 | SRM 344 | 2 | 357 | 286.57 | -0.86 | -21 | 1902 | 2856 | -89 | 1009 | 3753 |
| 11 | 2007-03-22 | SRM 343 | 2 | 182 | 135.73 | -0.42 | -8 | 1922 | 2726 | -9 | 1098 | 3081 |
| 10 | 2007-03-14 | SRM 342 | 2 | 238 | 124.53 | -0.93 | -26 | 1930 | 2687 | -46 | 1107 | 3040 |
| 9 | 2007-03-10 | SRM 341 | 2 | 16 | 229.64 | 3.84 | 124 | 1956 | 2495 | 152 | 1153 | 2694 |
| 8 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 2 | 209 | 216.33 | 0.05 | 13 | 1832 | 3378 | 9 | 1001 | 4100 |
| 7 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 2 | 137 | 189.78 | 0.47 | 40 | 1819 | 3427 | 36 | 992 | 4149 |
| 6 | 2007-02-07 | SRM 338 | 2 | 300 | 188.12 | -0.67 | -29 | 1780 | 3661 | -43 | 956 | 4397 |
| 5 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 2 | 191 | 238.95 | 0.32 | 40 | 1809 | 3429 | 32 | 999 | 4035 |
| 4 | 2007-01-25 | SRM 336 | 2 | 131 | 208.89 | 0.67 | 80 | 1769 | 3645 | 39 | 967 | 4245 |
| 3 | 2007-01-13 | SRM 334 | 2 | 269 | 326.50 | 0.28 | 54 | 1690 | 4114 | 6 | 928 | 4563 |
| 2 | 2007-01-04 | SRM 333 | 2 | 213 | 417.25 | 0.97 | 201 | 1635 | 4443 | 43 | 922 | 4580 |
| 1 | 2006-12-28 | SRM 332 | 2 | 232 | 226.17 | -0.28 | -54 | 1434 | 5947 | -321 | 879 | 4921 |