1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
asr | 108 | 2284 | 952 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EloSRM | 0.196 | 0.755 | 1.114 | 17.7 | -68 | 122 | 2284 | 2284 | 1850 |
Odd | 0.166 | 0.768 | 1.126 | 18.8 | -63 | 125 | 2120 | 2055 | 1576 |
SRMFix | 0.079 | 0.841 | 1.193 | 29.7 | -76 | 138 | 1825 | 1564 | 1193 |
SRM | 0.465 | 0.857 | 1.298 | 51.8 | -252 | 152 | 1387 | 952 | 1975 |
initial | 0.013 | 0.868 | 1.228 | 104.5 | -405 | 612 | 2447 | 1365 | 1482 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
108 | 2021-10-08 | SRM 815 | 2 | 45 | 61.19 | 0.44 | 19 | 2284 | 1850 | -2 | 952 | 1975 |
107 | 2021-09-29 | SRM 814 | 2 | 28 | 47.06 | 0.75 | 34 | 2266 | 1900 | 37 | 954 | 1957 |
106 | 2021-09-17 | SRM 813 | 2 | 56 | 64.48 | -0.28 | -9 | 2232 | 1997 | -63 | 917 | 2163 |
105 | 2020-01-25 | SRM 776 | 2 | 86 | 112.65 | 0.39 | 26 | 2241 | 2315 | -6 | 980 | 2579 |
104 | 2017-07-12 | SRM 718 | 2 | 115 | 93.32 | -0.30 | -4 | 2215 | 3387 | -27 | 986 | 3552 |
103 | 2017-06-30 | SRM 717 | 2 | 136 | 135.76 | -0.00 | 8 | 2219 | 3405 | -2 | 1013 | 3485 |
102 | 2014-03-21 | SRM 613 | 2 | 530 | 302.79 | -0.81 | -15 | 2211 | 5812 | -42 | 1015 | 6267 |
101 | 2014-02-25 | SRM 610 | 2 | 356 | 228.67 | -0.64 | -13 | 2226 | 5801 | -26 | 1057 | 5991 |
100 | 2014-02-15 | SRM 609 | 1 | 747 | 696.58 | -0.13 | -10 | 2239 | 5702 | -130 | 1083 | 5756 |
99 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 1 | 510 | 518.96 | 0.02 | 2 | 2249 | 2496 | -10 | 1213 | 3447 |
98 | 2008-11-12 | SRM 425 | 1 | 534 | 512.24 | -0.20 | -4 | 2247 | 2500 | -63 | 1223 | 3406 |
97 | 2008-10-28 | SRM 423 | 1 | 237 | 316.92 | -0.02 | 1 | 2251 | 2436 | -3 | 1286 | 2833 |
96 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 579 | 541.28 | -0.10 | -1 | 2250 | 2435 | -61 | 1289 | 2858 |
95 | 2008-10-08 | SRM 421 | 1 | 252 | 500.31 | 0.99 | 23 | 2251 | 2446 | 88 | 1350 | 2432 |
94 | 2008-10-02 | SRM 420 | 1 | 359 | 485.25 | 0.44 | 13 | 2228 | 2557 | 46 | 1262 | 3107 |
93 | 2008-09-24 | SRM 419 | 1 | 341 | 332.02 | -0.17 | -4 | 2215 | 2624 | -65 | 1216 | 3603 |
92 | 2008-09-20 | SRM 418 | 1 | 535 | 493.28 | -0.21 | -5 | 2219 | 2584 | -106 | 1281 | 2963 |
91 | 2008-09-11 | SRM 417 | 1 | 251 | 528.63 | 1.08 | 28 | 2223 | 2553 | 91 | 1387 | 2134 |
90 | 2008-08-26 | SRM 415 | 1 | 199 | 324.28 | 0.70 | 21 | 2195 | 2696 | 75 | 1296 | 2879 |
89 | 2008-08-16 | SRM 414 | 1 | 414 | 444.09 | -0.07 | -1 | 2174 | 2827 | -32 | 1221 | 3558 |
88 | 2008-08-06 | SRM 413 | 1 | 370 | 469.39 | 0.03 | 3 | 2175 | 2789 | 5 | 1253 | 3214 |
87 | 2008-07-23 | SRM 411 | 1 | 330 | 407.06 | 0.30 | 11 | 2173 | 2763 | 32 | 1248 | 3229 |
86 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 1 | 396 | 484.87 | -0.07 | -1 | 2162 | 2812 | -13 | 1216 | 3594 |
85 | 2008-07-10 | SRM 409 | 1 | 490 | 508.67 | -0.11 | -2 | 2163 | 2787 | -55 | 1229 | 3430 |
84 | 2008-06-26 | SRM 407 | 1 | 473 | 488.70 | 0.05 | 3 | 2165 | 2729 | -35 | 1284 | 2929 |
83 | 2008-06-14 | SRM 405 | 1 | 426 | 531.58 | 0.32 | 12 | 2162 | 2714 | 14 | 1319 | 2657 |
82 | 2008-05-28 | SRM 403 | 2 | 2 | 107.09 | 5.74 | 44 | 2149 | 2749 | 152 | 1305 | 2735 |
81 | 2008-05-24 | SRM 402 | 2 | 45 | 158.13 | 1.81 | 25 | 2105 | 2944 | 78 | 1153 | 3921 |
80 | 2008-05-06 | SRM 401 | 2 | 419 | 299.27 | -0.97 | -10 | 2080 | 3048 | -93 | 1075 | 5029 |
79 | 2008-05-01 | SRM 400 | 2 | 244 | 164.44 | -0.57 | -5 | 2090 | 2961 | -27 | 1168 | 3308 |
78 | 2008-04-12 | SRM 397 | 2 | 138 | 175.73 | 0.35 | 10 | 2095 | 2943 | 14 | 1195 | 3142 |
77 | 2008-04-03 | SRM 396 | 2 | 119 | 177.12 | 0.57 | 14 | 2085 | 3014 | 22 | 1181 | 3262 |
76 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 2 | 135 | 188.19 | 0.48 | 13 | 2072 | 3084 | 20 | 1159 | 3444 |
75 | 2008-03-11 | SRM 393 | 1 | 502 | 495.43 | -0.11 | -4 | 2059 | 3128 | -66 | 1139 | 3592 |
74 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 865 | 1,144.53 | 0.02 | 3 | 2062 | 3042 | -12 | 1205 | 3045 |
73 | 2008-02-13 | TCO08 Qual 3 | 1 | 517 | 480.43 | -0.11 | 0 | 2059 | 3064 | -32 | 1217 | 3003 |
72 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 594 | 759.24 | 0.35 | 18 | 2059 | 3030 | 3 | 1249 | 2700 |
71 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 1 | 453 | 493.67 | 0.12 | 5 | 2042 | 2383 | -18 | 1246 | 2235 |
70 | 2007-05-23 | SRM 350 | 1 | 339 | 382.06 | -0.01 | 1 | 2036 | 2362 | -37 | 1264 | 2069 |
69 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 289 | 478.29 | 0.73 | 22 | 2036 | 2360 | 65 | 1301 | 1853 |
68 | 2007-05-09 | SRM 348 | 1 | 278 | 351.97 | 0.34 | 12 | 2014 | 2446 | 24 | 1236 | 2310 |
67 | 2007-05-01 | SRM 347 | 2 | 74 | 126.41 | 0.77 | 12 | 2002 | 2482 | 44 | 1212 | 2452 |
66 | 2007-04-24 | SRM 346 | 2 | 11 | 113.08 | 3.36 | 32 | 1989 | 2526 | 118 | 1168 | 2709 |
65 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 2 | 133 | 173.56 | 0.38 | 9 | 1958 | 2681 | 37 | 1050 | 3517 |
64 | 2007-04-03 | TCO07 Qual 3 | 1 | 489 | 392.95 | -0.63 | -9 | 1949 | 2688 | -86 | 1013 | 3775 |
63 | 2007-03-31 | TCO07 Qual 2 | 1 | 682 | 625.56 | -0.12 | -1 | 1958 | 2606 | -10 | 1099 | 3148 |
62 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 798 | 595.49 | -0.42 | -9 | 1959 | 2565 | -62 | 1109 | 3069 |
61 | 2007-03-28 | SRM 344 | 2 | 150 | 159.79 | 0.09 | 5 | 1968 | 2479 | 15 | 1171 | 2636 |
60 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 2 | 44 | 149.50 | 1.76 | 23 | 1963 | 2602 | 75 | 1156 | 2873 |
59 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 2 | 300 | 112.50 | -1.42 | -14 | 1940 | 2721 | -67 | 1081 | 3407 |
58 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 2 | 312 | 128.58 | -1.28 | -12 | 1954 | 2607 | -51 | 1148 | 2899 |
57 | 2007-01-25 | SRM 336 | 2 | 24 | 101.90 | 2.09 | 26 | 1966 | 2514 | 68 | 1199 | 2545 |
56 | 2007-01-13 | SRM 334 | 2 | 83 | 146.52 | 0.82 | 15 | 1939 | 2631 | 46 | 1131 | 2954 |
55 | 2006-12-28 | SRM 332 | 2 | 123 | 79.00 | -0.64 | -6 | 1924 | 2666 | -11 | 1085 | 3257 |
54 | 2006-12-13 | SRM 330 | 2 | 73 | 91.04 | 0.32 | 8 | 1930 | 2603 | 30 | 1096 | 3160 |
53 | 2006-12-09 | SRM 329 | 2 | 333 | 121.48 | -1.46 | -14 | 1922 | 2623 | -59 | 1066 | 3376 |
52 | 2006-11-29 | SRM 328 | 2 | 48 | 115.06 | 1.26 | 20 | 1936 | 2532 | 72 | 1125 | 2945 |
51 | 2006-11-11 | SRM 326 | 2 | 201 | 112.29 | -0.84 | -8 | 1916 | 2599 | -10 | 1053 | 3499 |
50 | 2006-11-02 | SRM 325 | 2 | 284 | 106.78 | -1.41 | -15 | 1924 | 2549 | -60 | 1063 | 3338 |
49 | 2006-10-19 | SRM 323 | 2 | 115 | 109.91 | -0.06 | 2 | 1940 | 2418 | 18 | 1123 | 2860 |
48 | 2006-10-09 | SRM 322 | 2 | 73 | 110.99 | 0.60 | 13 | 1937 | 2412 | 47 | 1105 | 2975 |
47 | 2006-10-02 | SRM 321 | 2 | 114 | 97.22 | -0.23 | 0 | 1924 | 2465 | 16 | 1058 | 3278 |
46 | 2006-09-30 | SRM 320 | 2 | 315 | 113.87 | -1.47 | -16 | 1924 | 2446 | -50 | 1042 | 3439 |
45 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 2 | 41 | 117.29 | 1.52 | 25 | 1941 | 2320 | 93 | 1092 | 3053 |
44 | 2006-08-29 | SRM 318 | 2 | 337 | 91.26 | -1.88 | -20 | 1915 | 2343 | -98 | 999 | 3608 |
43 | 2006-08-19 | SRM 316 | 2 | 201 | 85.42 | -1.24 | -13 | 1935 | 2286 | -35 | 1097 | 2882 |
42 | 2006-08-09 | SRM 315 | 2 | 94 | 74.84 | -0.33 | -2 | 1948 | 2250 | 4 | 1132 | 2730 |
41 | 2006-07-26 | SRM 313 | 2 | 257 | 83.91 | -1.62 | -17 | 1950 | 2209 | -58 | 1128 | 2756 |
40 | 2006-07-22 | SRM 312 | 2 | 33 | 100.49 | 1.61 | 27 | 1967 | 2112 | 76 | 1186 | 2390 |
39 | 2006-07-06 | SRM 310 | 2 | 156 | 115.87 | -0.96 | -10 | 1940 | 2182 | -89 | 1110 | 2783 |
38 | 2006-06-28 | SRM 309 | 1 | 252 | 265.28 | -0.11 | -3 | 1950 | 2113 | -38 | 1199 | 2246 |
37 | 2006-06-24 | SRM 308 | 2 | 39 | 81.41 | 1.06 | 22 | 1953 | 2085 | 46 | 1237 | 2013 |
36 | 2006-06-14 | SRM 307 | 2 | 74 | 62.20 | -0.25 | 0 | 1931 | 2181 | -4 | 1191 | 2299 |
35 | 2006-05-31 | SRM 305 | 1 | 203 | 242.43 | -0.03 | 0 | 1932 | 2153 | -13 | 1195 | 2240 |
34 | 2006-05-27 | SRM 304 | 2 | 104 | 103.64 | -0.00 | 5 | 1931 | 2140 | 18 | 1208 | 2148 |
33 | 2006-05-18 | SRM 303 | 1 | 196 | 240.21 | 0.00 | 2 | 1927 | 2137 | -12 | 1190 | 2222 |
32 | 2006-05-11 | SRM 302 | 2 | 29 | 78.29 | 1.43 | 30 | 1924 | 2127 | 70 | 1202 | 2122 |
31 | 2006-05-09 | SRM 301 | 2 | 19 | 94.11 | 2.31 | 46 | 1894 | 2218 | 100 | 1132 | 2513 |
30 | 2006-04-27 | SRM 300 | 2 | 137 | 122.44 | -0.71 | -11 | 1849 | 2410 | -59 | 1032 | 3160 |
29 | 2006-04-22 | SRM 299 | 2 | 45 | 141.55 | 1.65 | 42 | 1860 | 2332 | 82 | 1091 | 2713 |
28 | 2006-04-11 | SRM 298 | 2 | 26 | 159.77 | 2.62 | 58 | 1818 | 2511 | 120 | 1009 | 3281 |
27 | 2006-03-17 | SRM 293 | 2 | 242 | 151.31 | -0.68 | -13 | 1760 | 2640 | -12 | 889 | 3904 |
26 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 5/6/12 | 1 | 257 | 217.97 | -0.23 | -8 | 1773 | 2532 | -19 | 901 | 3729 |
25 | 2006-02-21 | SRM 291 | 2 | 155 | 172.39 | 0.15 | 11 | 1781 | 2404 | 35 | 920 | 3403 |
24 | 2006-02-16 | SRM 290 | 2 | 255 | 97.25 | -1.39 | -31 | 1770 | 2410 | -86 | 885 | 3633 |
23 | 2005-10-05 | SRM 267 | 2 | 269 | 90.04 | -1.65 | -24 | 1801 | 1877 | -133 | 971 | 2744 |
22 | 2005-10-01 | SRM 266 | 2 | 148 | 161.59 | -0.64 | -9 | 1825 | 1761 | -76 | 1104 | 2006 |
21 | 2005-09-14 | SRM 263 | 2 | 56 | 85.92 | 0.62 | 19 | 1834 | 1693 | 32 | 1180 | 1644 |
20 | 2005-09-09 | SRM 262 | 2 | 45 | 82.24 | 0.87 | 25 | 1815 | 1762 | 42 | 1148 | 1824 |
19 | 2005-08-30 | SRM 261 | 2 | 163 | 102.46 | -0.67 | -11 | 1790 | 1927 | -30 | 1106 | 2065 |
18 | 2005-08-22 | SRM 259 | 2 | 15 | 78.05 | 2.38 | 52 | 1801 | 1807 | 105 | 1136 | 1877 |
17 | 2005-08-16 | TCO05 Qual 5/10 | 1 | 238 | 201.17 | -0.24 | -9 | 1749 | 1990 | -35 | 1031 | 2355 |
16 | 2005-08-10 | SRM 258 | 2 | 49 | 120.58 | 1.30 | 40 | 1757 | 1855 | 64 | 1066 | 2057 |
15 | 2005-08-08 | SRM 257 | 2 | 141 | 122.01 | -0.21 | -1 | 1717 | 1979 | -9 | 1002 | 2311 |
14 | 2005-08-02 | SRM 256 | 2 | 44 | 143.80 | 1.71 | 57 | 1718 | 1953 | 91 | 1011 | 2250 |
13 | 2005-07-28 | SRM 255 | 2 | 58 | 138.76 | 1.26 | 52 | 1661 | 2135 | 79 | 920 | 2695 |
12 | 2005-07-23 | SRM 253 | 2 | 169 | 162.06 | -0.06 | 4 | 1610 | 2264 | 13 | 841 | 3049 |
11 | 2005-07-12 | SRM 251 | 2 | 163 | 108.26 | -0.61 | -20 | 1605 | 2253 | -43 | 828 | 3092 |
10 | 2005-07-07 | SRM 250 | 2 | 172 | 109.48 | -0.65 | -21 | 1625 | 2182 | -35 | 871 | 2847 |
9 | 2005-06-29 | SRM 249 | 2 | 67 | 117.04 | 0.80 | 51 | 1646 | 2080 | 54 | 906 | 2656 |
8 | 2005-06-21 | SRM 248 | 2 | 121 | 162.25 | 0.42 | 37 | 1595 | 2273 | 40 | 852 | 2938 |
7 | 2005-06-18 | SRM 247 | 2 | 155 | 147.45 | -0.07 | 5 | 1559 | 2361 | 6 | 812 | 3103 |
6 | 2005-06-09 | SRM 246 | 2 | 171 | 121.87 | -0.49 | -23 | 1553 | 2345 | -39 | 806 | 3082 |
5 | 2005-05-23 | SRM 244 | 2 | 53 | 138.86 | 1.39 | 122 | 1577 | 2250 | 105 | 845 | 2885 |
4 | 2005-05-17 | SRM 243 | 2 | 98 | 154.38 | 0.66 | 98 | 1455 | 2709 | 46 | 740 | 3379 |
3 | 2005-05-14 | SRM 242 | 2 | 196 | 209.82 | 0.10 | 31 | 1357 | 3169 | -44 | 694 | 3542 |
2 | 2005-05-04 | SRM 241 | 2 | 171 | 133.20 | -0.41 | -68 | 1325 | 3359 | -252 | 738 | 3364 |
1 | 2005-04-30 | SRM 240 | 2 | 132 | 179.26 | -0.14 | -11 | 1393 | 2911 | -210 | 990 | 2138 |