1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| SleepyOverlord | 103 | 2783 | 1640 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.191 | 0.736 | 1.056 | 28.7 | -72 | 323 | 2789 | 2783 | 1644 |
| Odd | 0.232 | 0.737 | 1.064 | 27.8 | -62 | 327 | 2575 | 2570 | 1738 |
| SRMFix | 0.195 | 0.738 | 1.069 | 30.1 | -116 | 250 | 2166 | 2158 | 1486 |
| initial | 0.113 | 0.787 | 1.118 | 94.7 | -283 | 700 | 2760 | 2559 | 1252 |
| SRM | 0.363 | 0.788 | 1.181 | 69.6 | -215 | 195 | 1790 | 1640 | 1348 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 2013-02-19 | SRM 571 | 1 | 459 | 390.21 | -0.23 | -5 | 2783 | 1644 | -37 | 1640 | 1348 |
| 102 | 2012-06-02 | Round 2C | 1 | 421 | 566.74 | 0.43 | 14 | 2789 | 1454 | 24 | 1677 | 1198 |
| 101 | 2012-04-23 | SRM 541 | 1 | 230 | 464.50 | 1.01 | 24 | 2774 | 1507 | 75 | 1653 | 1309 |
| 100 | 2012-04-21 | TCO12 Round 2A | 1 | 458 | 770.21 | -0.12 | -1 | 2750 | 1628 | -25 | 1578 | 1605 |
| 99 | 2012-04-11 | SRM 540 | 1 | 371 | 457.33 | 0.28 | 11 | 2751 | 1562 | 26 | 1603 | 1465 |
| 98 | 2012-04-07 | TCO12 Round 1B | 1 | 114 | 461.42 | 2.02 | 40 | 2740 | 1596 | 109 | 1577 | 1570 |
| 97 | 2012-03-31 | TCO12 Round 1A | 1 | 1297 | 542.10 | -1.26 | -26 | 2699 | 1756 | -104 | 1468 | 2044 |
| 96 | 2012-02-09 | SRM 532 | 1 | 383 | 389.21 | -0.02 | 3 | 2725 | 1521 | -1 | 1572 | 1477 |
| 95 | 2012-01-31 | SRM 531 | 1 | 397 | 453.78 | -0.36 | -8 | 2722 | 1526 | -71 | 1573 | 1473 |
| 94 | 2011-10-13 | SRM 521 | 1 | 506 | 328.43 | -0.62 | -13 | 2730 | 1353 | -76 | 1644 | 1147 |
| 93 | 2011-09-14 | SRM 518 | 1 | 122 | 401.11 | 1.72 | 46 | 2743 | 1266 | 104 | 1720 | 953 |
| 92 | 2011-06-08 | SRM 509 | 1 | 125 | 438.48 | 1.81 | 42 | 2697 | 1418 | 123 | 1616 | 1269 |
| 91 | 2011-06-02 | SRM 508 | 1 | 535 | 457.88 | -0.23 | -4 | 2656 | 1577 | -17 | 1493 | 1726 |
| 90 | 2011-05-28 | SRM 507 | 1 | 196 | 442.46 | 1.18 | 37 | 2659 | 1551 | 95 | 1510 | 1639 |
| 89 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 400 | 524.18 | 0.39 | 17 | 2622 | 1624 | 51 | 1415 | 2022 |
| 88 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 1 | 292 | 475.20 | 0.70 | 32 | 2605 | 1668 | 86 | 1364 | 2302 |
| 87 | 2010-12-18 | Member SRM 491 | 1 | 689 | 412.88 | -0.76 | -22 | 2572 | 1653 | -167 | 1278 | 2708 |
| 86 | 2010-12-08 | SRM 490 | 1 | 296 | 402.99 | 0.44 | 22 | 2594 | 1543 | 58 | 1445 | 1722 |
| 85 | 2010-11-13 | SRM 487 | 1 | 440 | 444.36 | 0.01 | 5 | 2572 | 1594 | 20 | 1387 | 1962 |
| 84 | 2010-10-21 | Member SRM 485 | 1 | 400 | 354.95 | -0.17 | -4 | 2567 | 1603 | -2 | 1367 | 2066 |
| 83 | 2010-04-03 | SRM 466 | 1 | 540 | 445.40 | -0.29 | -8 | 2571 | 1264 | -10 | 1369 | 1796 |
| 82 | 2010-02-13 | Member SRM 461 | 1 | 437 | 392.50 | -0.46 | -15 | 2579 | 1364 | -52 | 1379 | 1929 |
| 81 | 2009-09-23 | SRM 449 | 1 | 541 | 438.90 | -0.57 | -15 | 2594 | 1237 | -79 | 1431 | 1696 |
| 80 | 2009-09-10 | SRM 448 | 1 | 301 | 352.96 | 0.23 | 14 | 2610 | 1184 | 40 | 1510 | 1396 |
| 79 | 2009-04-19 | SRM 438 | 1 | 191 | 297.12 | -0.19 | -2 | 2596 | 1177 | -14 | 1470 | 1602 |
| 78 | 2009-03-24 | SRM 437 | 1 | 107 | 418.41 | 1.97 | 55 | 2598 | 1169 | 169 | 1484 | 1550 |
| 77 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 1322 | 819.07 | -0.77 | -21 | 2543 | 1360 | -134 | 1315 | 2592 |
| 76 | 2009-02-28 | TCO09 Qual 2 | 1 | 193 | 365.71 | 0.92 | 31 | 2565 | 1238 | 81 | 1449 | 1706 |
| 75 | 2008-12-20 | SRM 430 | 1 | 531 | 390.54 | -0.61 | -16 | 2534 | 1350 | -88 | 1368 | 2248 |
| 74 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 1 | 432 | 347.22 | -0.32 | -8 | 2550 | 1245 | -18 | 1456 | 1681 |
| 73 | 2008-09-04 | SRM 416 | 1 | 436 | 301.71 | -0.53 | -13 | 2558 | 1168 | -50 | 1474 | 1635 |
| 72 | 2008-06-26 | SRM 407 | 1 | 265 | 304.14 | 0.20 | 10 | 2571 | 1057 | 43 | 1524 | 1407 |
| 71 | 2008-05-24 | SRM 402 | 1 | 140 | 262.90 | 0.91 | 26 | 2561 | 1069 | 102 | 1481 | 1523 |
| 70 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 769 | 563.67 | -0.48 | -11 | 2535 | 1094 | -118 | 1379 | 1844 |
| 69 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 824 | 684.01 | -0.29 | -5 | 2546 | 1048 | -8 | 1497 | 1361 |
| 68 | 2008-02-05 | TCO08 Qual 1 | 1 | 386 | 271.17 | -0.60 | -9 | 2550 | 989 | -18 | 1505 | 1306 |
| 67 | 2007-12-13 | SRM 383 | 1 | 209 | 223.68 | 0.10 | 5 | 2559 | 917 | 37 | 1523 | 1245 |
| 66 | 2007-10-23 | SRM 373 | 1 | 175 | 187.16 | 0.10 | 5 | 2554 | 866 | 43 | 1486 | 1235 |
| 65 | 2007-10-17 | SRM 372 | 1 | 448 | 278.24 | -0.69 | -11 | 2550 | 874 | -46 | 1443 | 1375 |
| 64 | 2007-10-13 | SRM 371 | 1 | 546 | 297.97 | -0.87 | -15 | 2561 | 844 | -100 | 1489 | 1233 |
| 63 | 2007-10-09 | SRM 370 | 1 | 101 | 270.29 | 1.42 | 28 | 2575 | 807 | 122 | 1589 | 956 |
| 62 | 2007-10-04 | SRM 369 | 1 | 310 | ||||||||
| 61 | 2007-10-02 | SRM 368 | 1 | 248 | 290.07 | -0.33 | -5 | 2547 | 860 | -30 | 1467 | 1288 |
| 60 | 2007-09-12 | SRM 365 | 1 | 294 | 339.02 | -0.33 | -4 | 2552 | 835 | -34 | 1497 | 1185 |
| 59 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 433 | 369.65 | -0.23 | -3 | 2556 | 807 | 5 | 1531 | 1103 |
| 58 | 2007-09-04 | SRM 364 | 1 | 342 | 259.05 | -0.40 | -7 | 2559 | 796 | -25 | 1526 | 1126 |
| 57 | 2007-08-30 | TCCC07 Round 1B | 1 | 80 | 142.82 | 0.84 | 20 | 2566 | 772 | 96 | 1551 | 1055 |
| 56 | 2007-08-21 | TCCC07 Qual 2 | 1 | 91 | 111.40 | 0.29 | 9 | 2546 | 811 | 80 | 1455 | 1315 |
| 55 | 2007-08-18 | TCCC07 Qual 1 | 1 | 835 | 181.35 | -2.20 | -28 | 2536 | 831 | -147 | 1375 | 1612 |
| 54 | 2007-08-11 | SRM 363 | 1 | 494 | ||||||||
| 53 | 2007-08-07 | SRM 362 | 1 | 326 | ||||||||
| 52 | 2007-08-01 | SRM 361 | 1 | 310 | 238.07 | -0.38 | -7 | 2565 | 752 | -17 | 1522 | 1084 |
| 51 | 2007-07-24 | SRM 360 | 1 | 509 | 254.72 | -1.06 | -20 | 2571 | 739 | -162 | 1539 | 1047 |
| 50 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 52 | 258.94 | 2.32 | 49 | 2591 | 696 | 148 | 1701 | 692 |
| 49 | 2007-07-02 | SRM 356 | 1 | 175 | 195.51 | 0.14 | 8 | 2542 | 773 | 33 | 1553 | 987 |
| 48 | 2007-06-20 | SRM 355 | 1 | 89 | 232.50 | 1.38 | 38 | 2535 | 784 | 127 | 1520 | 1080 |
| 47 | 2007-06-14 | SRM 354 | 1 | 573 | 285.79 | -1.00 | -24 | 2497 | 892 | -181 | 1393 | 1471 |
| 46 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 408 | 292.59 | -0.48 | -11 | 2520 | 828 | -42 | 1574 | 924 |
| 45 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 1 | 162 | 286.04 | 0.82 | 29 | 2531 | 783 | 75 | 1616 | 828 |
| 44 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 165 | 288.61 | 0.81 | 30 | 2502 | 856 | 84 | 1541 | 1017 |
| 43 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 584 | 315.72 | -0.90 | -25 | 2472 | 896 | -184 | 1457 | 1201 |
| 42 | 2007-04-07 | TCO07 Round 1A | 1 | 135 | 318.59 | 1.24 | 42 | 2496 | 810 | 93 | 1641 | 772 |
| 41 | 2007-03-31 | TCO07 Qual 2 | 1 | 302 | 250.31 | -0.27 | -4 | 2455 | 883 | 4 | 1548 | 959 |
| 40 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 613 | 228.30 | -1.42 | -33 | 2458 | 861 | -90 | 1544 | 942 |
| 39 | 2006-12-09 | SRM 329 | 1 | 208 | 228.03 | 0.13 | 8 | 2491 | 707 | 22 | 1634 | 722 |
| 38 | 2006-11-29 | SRM 328 | 1 | 110 | 194.43 | 0.82 | 29 | 2483 | 707 | 75 | 1612 | 762 |
| 37 | 2006-09-23 | TCCC06 Round 1B | 1 | 340 | 161.95 | -1.07 | -23 | 2454 | 692 | -81 | 1537 | 901 |
| 36 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 1 | 246 | 193.95 | -0.34 | -6 | 2477 | 635 | -17 | 1618 | 709 |
| 35 | 2006-09-07 | TCCC06 Qual 1 | 1 | 122 | 117.73 | -0.05 | 3 | 2483 | 614 | 24 | 1635 | 644 |
| 34 | 2006-08-19 | SRM 316 | 1 | 217 | 164.23 | -0.40 | -8 | 2480 | 613 | -21 | 1611 | 697 |
| 33 | 2006-08-09 | SRM 315 | 1 | 208 | 162.76 | -0.35 | -8 | 2487 | 597 | -27 | 1632 | 667 |
| 32 | 2006-08-03 | SRM 314 | 1 | 208 | 139.43 | -0.58 | -13 | 2495 | 584 | -40 | 1659 | 622 |
| 31 | 2006-07-26 | SRM 313 | 1 | 290 | 150.78 | -0.94 | -22 | 2508 | 559 | -91 | 1699 | 553 |
| 30 | 2006-07-22 | SRM 312 | 1 | 86 | 180.17 | 1.07 | 39 | 2531 | 518 | 71 | 1790 | 428 |
| 29 | 2006-07-12 | SRM 311 | 1 | 140 | 145.30 | 0.05 | 7 | 2492 | 566 | 10 | 1719 | 518 |
| 28 | 2006-07-06 | SRM 310 | 1 | 44 | 150.52 | 1.77 | 63 | 2485 | 571 | 115 | 1709 | 517 |
| 27 | 2006-06-28 | SRM 309 | 1 | 61 | 167.04 | 1.45 | 57 | 2422 | 685 | 101 | 1594 | 706 |
| 26 | 2006-06-24 | SRM 308 | 1 | 132 | 179.21 | 0.44 | 27 | 2365 | 798 | 49 | 1493 | 934 |
| 25 | 2006-06-14 | SRM 307 | 1 | 37 | 187.54 | 2.34 | 104 | 2337 | 858 | 183 | 1444 | 1084 |
| 24 | 2006-06-08 | SRM 306 | 1 | 178 | 213.44 | -0.14 | -4 | 2233 | 1123 | -3 | 1261 | 1882 |
| 23 | 2006-05-31 | SRM 305 | 1 | 200 | 200.44 | 0.00 | 6 | 2238 | 1105 | 14 | 1264 | 1828 |
| 22 | 2006-05-27 | SRM 304 | 1 | 401 | 248.50 | -0.70 | -47 | 2231 | 1113 | -215 | 1250 | 1914 |
| 21 | 2006-05-18 | SRM 303 | 1 | 71 | 216.42 | 1.61 | 147 | 2279 | 970 | 112 | 1465 | 989 |
| 20 | 2005-10-18 | SRM 268 | 1 | 145 | 204.81 | 0.50 | 49 | 2132 | 944 | 57 | 1353 | 1010 |
| 19 | 2005-10-05 | SRM 267 | 1 | 136 | 189.33 | -0.05 | 2 | 2083 | 1047 | 6 | 1296 | 1198 |
| 18 | 2005-09-27 | SRM 265 | 1 | 190 | 259.71 | 0.45 | 70 | 2081 | 1031 | 55 | 1290 | 1202 |
| 17 | 2005-01-11 | TCCC05 Qual 3 | 1 | 93 | 87.22 | -0.56 | -35 | 2011 | 884 | -107 | 1235 | 1136 |
| 16 | 2004-10-06 | SRM 214 | 1 | 120 | 134.20 | 0.16 | 21 | 2047 | 804 | 13 | 1342 | 843 |
| 15 | 2004-09-25 | SRM 212 | 1 | 152 | 141.38 | -0.10 | -4 | 2026 | 813 | -41 | 1329 | 865 |
| 14 | 2004-09-14 | SRM 211 | 1 | 131 | 131.03 | 0.00 | 8 | 2030 | 793 | -28 | 1370 | 750 |
| 13 | 2004-02-28 | TCCC '04 Round 1 | 1 | 227 | 200.63 | -0.18 | -6 | 2022 | 699 | -24 | 1398 | 635 |
| 12 | 2004-02-23 | TCCC '04 Qual. 1 | 1 | 28 | 52.61 | 0.91 | 73 | 2028 | 684 | 93 | 1422 | 596 |
| 11 | 2003-10-28 | SRM 169 | 2 | 1 | 42.39 | 5.41 | 100 | 1956 | 718 | 195 | 1329 | 682 |
| 10 | 2003-10-21 | SRM 168 | 2 | 77 | 39.99 | -0.94 | -21 | 1855 | 961 | 11 | 1134 | 1308 |
| 9 | 2003-10-15 | TCO '03 Round 1 | 1 | 430 | 345.24 | -0.32 | -23 | 1876 | 921 | -108 | 1123 | 1340 |
| 8 | 2003-10-14 | SRM 167 | 1 | 189 | 177.24 | -0.09 | -3 | 1899 | 849 | -27 | 1231 | 987 |
| 7 | 2003-10-07 | TCO '03 Qual. Round 1 | 1 | 146 | 271.74 | 0.90 | 83 | 1902 | 839 | 78 | 1258 | 882 |
| 6 | 2003-09-08 | SRM 163 | 2 | 44 | 53.40 | 0.28 | 31 | 1819 | 960 | 30 | 1180 | 1042 |
| 5 | 2003-08-23 | SRM 160 | 2 | 8 | 55.14 | 2.78 | 160 | 1788 | 989 | 158 | 1150 | 1134 |
| 4 | 2003-08-06 | SRM 158 | 2 | 68 | 91.90 | 0.44 | 58 | 1628 | 1389 | 34 | 992 | 1608 |
| 3 | 2003-07-28 | SRM 157 | 2 | 133 | 67.67 | -0.98 | -72 | 1570 | 1548 | -107 | 958 | 1719 |
| 2 | 2003-07-23 | SRM 156 | 1 | 130 | 129.20 | -0.01 | 6 | 1643 | 1332 | -176 | 1065 | 1359 |
| 1 | 2003-07-17 | SRM 155 | 2 | 66 | 150.74 | 1.19 | 323 | 1636 | 1338 | 41 | 1241 | 835 |