1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
eldering | 113 | 2972 | 1736 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odd | 0.077 | 0.936 | 1.235 | 32.5 | -59 | 823 | 2724 | 2710 | 1295 |
SRMFix | 0.063 | 0.939 | 1.226 | 41.1 | -118 | 753 | 2591 | 2301 | 1014 |
EloSRM | 0.004 | 0.942 | 1.237 | 32.9 | -58 | 828 | 2987 | 2972 | 1210 |
SRM | 0.326 | 0.963 | 1.232 | 71.6 | -198 | 415 | 2249 | 1736 | 1106 |
initial | 0.114 | 1.028 | 1.315 | 123.8 | -411 | 591 | 3070 | 2707 | 894 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
113 | 2014-07-05 | TCO14 Round 2C | 1 | 558 | 481.54 | -0.56 | -15 | 2972 | 1210 | -110 | 1736 | 1106 |
112 | 2014-05-17 | TCO14 Round 2A | 1 | 474 | 566.55 | 0.26 | 15 | 2987 | 1154 | 8 | 1846 | 862 |
111 | 2014-04-19 | TCO14 Round 1B | 1 | 57 | 357.41 | 2.65 | 74 | 2972 | 1199 | 99 | 1838 | 896 |
110 | 2013-09-07 | SRM 590 | 1 | 440 | 309.11 | -0.51 | -14 | 2898 | 1252 | -46 | 1739 | 1067 |
109 | 2013-05-11 | TCO13 Round 2C | 1 | 87 | 537.06 | 2.63 | 83 | 2911 | 1236 | 137 | 1785 | 968 |
108 | 2013-03-09 | TCO13 Round 1C | 1 | 234 | 262.90 | 0.17 | 13 | 2829 | 1534 | 27 | 1648 | 1414 |
107 | 2012-06-02 | Round 2C | 1 | 539 | 569.12 | -0.36 | -8 | 2816 | 1353 | -69 | 1621 | 1383 |
106 | 2012-04-21 | TCO12 Round 2A | 1 | 458 | 737.31 | -0.18 | -2 | 2824 | 1266 | -47 | 1690 | 1177 |
105 | 2012-04-07 | TCO12 Round 1B | 1 | 276 | 342.84 | 0.31 | 15 | 2827 | 1184 | 22 | 1737 | 1020 |
104 | 2012-03-31 | TCO12 Round 1A | 1 | 792 | 408.16 | -0.96 | -27 | 2811 | 1215 | -59 | 1715 | 1044 |
103 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 1079 | 552.34 | -0.97 | -28 | 2839 | 911 | -108 | 1774 | 850 |
102 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 267 | 284.14 | 0.09 | 11 | 2866 | 784 | 4 | 1882 | 606 |
101 | 2010-09-25 | SRM 483 | 1 | 134 | 251.44 | 0.91 | 41 | 2855 | 694 | 56 | 1878 | 600 |
100 | 2010-05-12 | TCO10 Qual 2 | 1 | 60 | 217.79 | 1.86 | 66 | 2814 | 695 | 90 | 1822 | 627 |
99 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 1 | 160 | 254.31 | 0.67 | 24 | 2748 | 756 | 65 | 1732 | 792 |
98 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 375 | 247.43 | -0.60 | -10 | 2724 | 759 | -1 | 1667 | 938 |
97 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 1 | 369 | 304.64 | -0.61 | -14 | 2734 | 731 | -77 | 1668 | 969 |
96 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 1 | 497 | 221.15 | -1.17 | -27 | 2748 | 689 | -117 | 1745 | 783 |
95 | 2008-08-06 | SRM 413 | 1 | 370 | 257.69 | -0.83 | -17 | 2776 | 569 | -115 | 1862 | 565 |
94 | 2008-03-08 | TCO08 Round 4 | 1 | 116 | 117.46 | -0.11 | -2 | 2792 | 495 | -25 | 1977 | 426 |
93 | 2008-03-01 | TCO08 Round 3 | 1 | 128 | 219.11 | 0.78 | 24 | 2795 | 488 | 68 | 2002 | 396 |
92 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 100 | 422.80 | 2.08 | 43 | 2770 | 523 | 134 | 1934 | 466 |
91 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 655 | 471.78 | -0.47 | -8 | 2728 | 594 | -20 | 1800 | 644 |
90 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 37 | 204.78 | 2.47 | 42 | 2735 | 570 | 118 | 1820 | 605 |
89 | 2008-01-05 | SRM 386 | 1 | 108 | 222.01 | 1.04 | 28 | 2694 | 628 | 93 | 1702 | 769 |
88 | 2007-12-13 | College Tour SRM 383 | 1 | 38 | 12.05 | -1.66 | -27 | 2666 | 666 | -94 | 1609 | 971 |
87 | 2007-09-15 | TCCC07 Round 3 | 1 | 198 | 190.93 | -0.31 | -6 | 2692 | 544 | -39 | 1703 | 708 |
86 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 156 | 297.58 | 0.93 | 26 | 2699 | 526 | 89 | 1742 | 641 |
85 | 2007-09-01 | TCCC07 Round 1C | 1 | 57 | 144.77 | 1.34 | 36 | 2673 | 560 | 120 | 1653 | 796 |
84 | 2007-08-21 | TCCC07 Qual 2 | 1 | 353 | 74.72 | -2.24 | -31 | 2638 | 615 | -77 | 1533 | 1092 |
83 | 2007-08-11 | SRM 363 | 1 | 434 | ||||||||
82 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 1 | 385 | 198.09 | -0.96 | -19 | 2669 | 512 | -52 | 1610 | 832 |
81 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 367 | 261.32 | -0.79 | -14 | 2688 | 446 | -81 | 1662 | 728 |
80 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 1 | 352 | 196.57 | -1.06 | -17 | 2702 | 362 | -139 | 1743 | 571 |
79 | 2007-01-17 | SRM 335 | 1 | 244 | 143.29 | -0.77 | -12 | 2719 | 330 | -48 | 1882 | 381 |
78 | 2007-01-13 | SRM 334 | 1 | 180 | 137.40 | -0.39 | -5 | 2731 | 305 | -16 | 1930 | 328 |
77 | 2007-01-04 | SRM 333 | 1 | 93 | 126.66 | 0.45 | 15 | 2736 | 300 | 38 | 1946 | 309 |
76 | 2006-10-05 | TCCC06 Round 2A | 1 | 89 | 48.49 | -0.88 | -14 | 2722 | 278 | -79 | 1908 | 320 |
75 | 2006-09-21 | TCCC06 Round 1A | 1 | 29 | 64.79 | 1.16 | 23 | 2735 | 255 | 69 | 1987 | 268 |
74 | 2006-09-07 | TCCC06 Qual 1 | 1 | 64 | 52.42 | -0.29 | 0 | 2712 | 272 | 20 | 1918 | 302 |
73 | 2006-08-03 | SRM 314 | 1 | 44 | 90.55 | 1.04 | 21 | 2713 | 263 | 76 | 1898 | 307 |
72 | 2006-07-26 | SRM 313 | 1 | 239 | 97.16 | -1.30 | -18 | 2691 | 287 | -73 | 1822 | 386 |
71 | 2006-07-22 | SRM 312 | 1 | 80 | 116.25 | 0.54 | 15 | 2709 | 260 | 52 | 1895 | 307 |
70 | 2006-07-12 | SRM 311 | 1 | 204 | 88.56 | -1.20 | -20 | 2694 | 277 | -76 | 1843 | 349 |
69 | 2006-06-28 | SRM 309 | 1 | 50 | 77.72 | 0.64 | 18 | 2714 | 249 | 52 | 1919 | 288 |
68 | 2006-06-08 | SRM 306 | 1 | 178 | 130.10 | -0.85 | -15 | 2696 | 270 | -117 | 1867 | 328 |
67 | 2006-03-04 | TCO06 Round 1 | 1 | 399 | ||||||||
66 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 5/6/12 | 1 | 39 | 32.34 | -0.23 | 0 | 2711 | 221 | 14 | 1984 | 225 |
65 | 2006-02-04 | SRM 287 | 1 | 57 | 94.04 | 0.72 | 16 | 2711 | 195 | 53 | 1970 | 219 |
64 | 2006-01-30 | SRM 286 | 1 | 101 | 96.36 | -0.07 | 2 | 2695 | 218 | 16 | 1917 | 253 |
63 | 2006-01-21 | SRM 284 | 1 | 127 | 83.96 | -0.60 | -8 | 2693 | 212 | -13 | 1901 | 256 |
62 | 2006-01-05 | SRM 281 | 1 | 51 | 89.78 | 0.82 | 19 | 2701 | 199 | 72 | 1914 | 242 |
61 | 2005-12-21 | SRM 279 | 1 | 81 | ||||||||
60 | 2005-12-08 | SRM 276 | 1 | 273 | 145.96 | -1.15 | -17 | 2682 | 208 | -151 | 1842 | 291 |
59 | 2005-11-23 | SRM 274 | 1 | 117 | 58.46 | -1.00 | -14 | 2699 | 187 | -61 | 1993 | 185 |
58 | 2005-11-21 | SRM 273 | 1 | 128 | 90.53 | -0.50 | -7 | 2714 | 172 | -30 | 2054 | 159 |
57 | 2005-11-19 | SRM 272 | 1 | 25 | 100.10 | 2.00 | 38 | 2720 | 160 | 95 | 2084 | 131 |
56 | 2005-10-26 | SRM 269 | 1 | 94 | 55.00 | -0.77 | -13 | 2682 | 186 | -51 | 1989 | 172 |
55 | 2005-08-31 | TCO05 Round 3 | 1 | 106 | 99.27 | -0.10 | 1 | 2695 | 168 | -9 | 2040 | 153 |
54 | 2005-08-24 | TCO05 Round 2 | 1 | 79 | 132.98 | 0.75 | 20 | 2694 | 160 | 51 | 2049 | 141 |
53 | 2005-08-20 | TCO05 Round 1 | 1 | 114 | 165.41 | 0.54 | 16 | 2674 | 169 | 39 | 1998 | 165 |
52 | 2005-08-16 | TCO05 Qual 1/3 | 1 | 55 | 40.76 | -0.43 | -6 | 2659 | 175 | -11 | 1959 | 186 |
51 | 2005-07-26 | SRM 254 | 1 | 66 | 50.65 | -0.38 | -5 | 2664 | 161 | -16 | 1970 | 172 |
50 | 2005-07-23 | SRM 253 | 1 | 38 | 80.91 | 1.09 | 29 | 2669 | 157 | 71 | 1986 | 166 |
49 | 2005-06-21 | SRM 248 | 1 | 162 | 90.55 | -0.84 | -15 | 2640 | 175 | -56 | 1915 | 199 |
48 | 2005-05-14 | SRM 242 | 1 | 50 | 57.54 | 0.20 | 9 | 2655 | 152 | 26 | 1971 | 172 |
47 | 2005-05-04 | SRM 241 | 1 | 48 | 51.08 | 0.09 | 6 | 2647 | 154 | 24 | 1945 | 179 |
46 | 2005-04-30 | SRM 240 | 1 | 48 | 53.59 | 0.16 | 8 | 2640 | 159 | 33 | 1921 | 192 |
45 | 2005-04-18 | SRM 239 | 1 | 43 | 63.95 | 0.57 | 19 | 2632 | 163 | 60 | 1888 | 204 |
44 | 2005-01-19 | TCCC05 Round 2 | 1 | 128 | 80.32 | -0.67 | -13 | 2612 | 153 | -48 | 1828 | 224 |
43 | 2005-01-15 | TCCC05 Round 1 | 1 | 78 | 93.93 | 0.27 | 10 | 2625 | 140 | 55 | 1876 | 190 |
42 | 2005-01-11 | TCCC05 Qual 2 | 1 | 21 | 24.33 | 0.21 | 9 | 2615 | 145 | 64 | 1821 | 218 |
41 | 2004-12-28 | SRM 225 | 1 | 92 | 46.70 | -0.98 | -17 | 2606 | 151 | -29 | 1757 | 265 |
40 | 2004-12-22 | SRM 224 | 1 | 22 | 49.20 | 1.16 | 29 | 2623 | 140 | 112 | 1786 | 245 |
39 | 2004-12-18 | SRM 223 | 1 | 33 | 60.97 | 0.89 | 27 | 2594 | 156 | 118 | 1674 | 330 |
38 | 2004-11-23 | SRM 220 | 1 | 88 | 57.07 | -0.62 | -12 | 2568 | 161 | 26 | 1556 | 460 |
37 | 2004-11-20 | SRM 219 | 1 | 151 | 47.91 | -1.66 | -31 | 2580 | 150 | -94 | 1530 | 476 |
36 | 2004-09-25 | SRM 212 | 1 | 77 | 46.33 | -0.73 | -11 | 2611 | 137 | 29 | 1624 | 384 |
35 | 2004-09-07 | TCO04 Qual 2 | 1 | 155 | 55.38 | -1.74 | -27 | 2622 | 120 | -191 | 1595 | 403 |
34 | 2004-08-28 | SRM 209 | 1 | 92 | 41.47 | -1.15 | -19 | 2649 | 102 | -25 | 1786 | 230 |
33 | 2004-08-18 | SRM 208 | 1 | 132 | 40.09 | -1.72 | -26 | 2668 | 97 | -98 | 1811 | 206 |
32 | 2004-08-10 | SRM 207 | 1 | 40 | 38.30 | -0.06 | 3 | 2694 | 91 | 55 | 1909 | 156 |
31 | 2004-08-04 | SRM 206 | 1 | 144 | 49.39 | -1.69 | -26 | 2691 | 90 | -167 | 1854 | 172 |
30 | 2004-07-31 | SRM 205 | 1 | 145 | 30.15 | -2.29 | -35 | 2717 | 77 | -198 | 2021 | 113 |
29 | 2004-07-07 | SRM 202 | 1 | 4 | 31.26 | 2.97 | 51 | 2752 | 62 | 122 | 2219 | 70 |
28 | 2004-06-29 | SRM 201 | 1 | 32 | 24.50 | -0.38 | -4 | 2701 | 82 | 1 | 2097 | 95 |
27 | 2004-06-12 | SRM 198 | 1 | 9 | 26.87 | 1.58 | 38 | 2705 | 78 | 88 | 2096 | 96 |
26 | 2004-05-15 | SRM 194 | 1 | 55 | 33.76 | -0.70 | -12 | 2667 | 87 | -8 | 2008 | 114 |
25 | 2004-04-06 | SRM 190 | 1 | 33 | 32.66 | -0.02 | 4 | 2679 | 78 | 40 | 2016 | 109 |
24 | 2004-03-17 | TCCC '04 Round 4 | 1 | 45 | 26.61 | -0.76 | -19 | 2675 | 79 | -193 | 1976 | 119 |
23 | 2004-03-13 | SRM 186 | 1 | 15 | 32.86 | 1.13 | 30 | 2694 | 71 | 55 | 2169 | 75 |
22 | 2004-03-10 | TCCC '04 Round 3 | 1 | 30 | 43.46 | 0.54 | 21 | 2663 | 77 | 45 | 2114 | 82 |
21 | 2004-03-03 | TCCC '04 Round 2 | 1 | 48 | 50.15 | 0.06 | 7 | 2642 | 80 | 16 | 2069 | 94 |
20 | 2004-02-28 | TCCC '04 Round 1 | 1 | 77 | 53.47 | -0.53 | -10 | 2635 | 78 | -8 | 2053 | 96 |
19 | 2004-02-23 | TCCC '04 Qual. 1 | 1 | 15 | 13.39 | -0.16 | 1 | 2645 | 74 | 29 | 2061 | 90 |
18 | 2004-02-17 | SRM 184 | 1 | 35 | 42.00 | 0.26 | 15 | 2644 | 74 | 43 | 2032 | 95 |
17 | 2004-02-07 | SRM 182 | 1 | 96 | 33.53 | -1.52 | -34 | 2629 | 80 | -72 | 1989 | 107 |
16 | 2004-01-28 | SRM 181 | 1 | 23 | 37.45 | 0.70 | 30 | 2663 | 62 | 68 | 2061 | 90 |
15 | 2004-01-17 | SRM 179 | 1 | 38 | 30.79 | -0.30 | -5 | 2633 | 72 | 19 | 1993 | 103 |
14 | 2003-12-30 | SRM 177 | 1 | 13 | 27.46 | 1.08 | 41 | 2637 | 70 | 100 | 1974 | 104 |
13 | 2003-12-22 | SRM 176 | 1 | 130 | 33.18 | -1.97 | -53 | 2597 | 86 | -187 | 1874 | 136 |
12 | 2003-12-13 | SRM 174 | 1 | 48 | 25.63 | -0.90 | -24 | 2650 | 63 | -33 | 2061 | 85 |
11 | 2003-11-25 | SRM 173 | 1 | 89 | 29.38 | -1.60 | -43 | 2674 | 55 | -83 | 2094 | 76 |
10 | 2003-11-20 | SRM 172 | 1 | 41 | 25.48 | -0.69 | -18 | 2717 | 43 | -16 | 2177 | 54 |
9 | 2003-11-12 | SRM 171 | 1 | 14 | 34.80 | 1.31 | 61 | 2735 | 40 | 78 | 2193 | 53 |
8 | 2003-11-08 | SRM 170 | 1 | 69 | 21.54 | -1.68 | -58 | 2675 | 52 | -95 | 2115 | 67 |
7 | 2003-10-29 | TCO '03 Round 3 | 1 | 57 | 35.23 | -0.69 | -30 | 2732 | 39 | -39 | 2210 | 52 |
6 | 2003-10-22 | TCO '03 Round 2 | 1 | 27 | 58.30 | 1.11 | 79 | 2762 | 33 | 90 | 2249 | 45 |
5 | 2003-10-15 | TCO '03 Round 1 | 1 | 80 | 68.71 | -0.22 | -1 | 2683 | 47 | 22 | 2159 | 63 |
4 | 2003-10-14 | SRM 167 | 1 | 36 | 34.49 | -0.06 | 13 | 2684 | 45 | 47 | 2137 | 66 |
3 | 2003-09-20 | SRM 164 | 1 | 21 | 35.16 | 0.74 | 96 | 2670 | 45 | 112 | 2090 | 71 |
2 | 2003-08-23 | SRM 160 | 1 | 4 | 66.56 | 4.06 | 430 | 2575 | 64 | 363 | 1978 | 99 |
1 | 2003-08-12 | SRM 159 | 2 | 4 | 128.78 | 5.01 | 828 | 2145 | 389 | 415 | 1615 | 280 |