1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
Lockjaw | 84 | 1753 | 981 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EloSRM | 0.092 | 0.678 | 0.912 | 16.0 | -55 | 98 | 1785 | 1753 | 1456 |
Odd | 0.115 | 0.678 | 0.912 | 17.5 | -53 | 91 | 1711 | 1660 | 1562 |
SRMFix | 0.093 | 0.699 | 0.930 | 26.8 | -66 | 112 | 1552 | 1450 | 1568 |
initial | 0.012 | 0.777 | 1.024 | 93.5 | -245 | 462 | 1835 | 1322 | 1912 |
SRM | 0.442 | 0.779 | 1.070 | 48.6 | -267 | 133 | 1204 | 981 | 2063 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
84 | 2004-09-07 | TCO04 Qual 3 | 1 | 142 | 121.44 | -0.23 | -3 | 1753 | 1456 | -9 | 981 | 2063 |
83 | 2004-09-01 | SRM 210 | 2 | 124 | 61.62 | -1.01 | -8 | 1756 | 1391 | -30 | 990 | 1966 |
82 | 2004-08-28 | SRM 209 | 2 | 109 | 50.40 | -1.11 | -9 | 1764 | 1351 | -36 | 1020 | 1832 |
81 | 2004-08-18 | SRM 208 | 2 | 94 | 56.16 | -0.74 | -6 | 1773 | 1323 | -17 | 1056 | 1685 |
80 | 2004-08-10 | SRM 207 | 2 | 84 | 47.76 | -0.82 | -6 | 1779 | 1303 | -18 | 1073 | 1617 |
79 | 2004-08-04 | SRM 206 | 2 | 22 | 54.29 | 1.30 | 16 | 1785 | 1282 | 72 | 1091 | 1560 |
78 | 2004-07-21 | SRM 204 | 2 | 92 | 42.16 | -1.13 | -9 | 1769 | 1303 | -39 | 1019 | 1818 |
77 | 2004-07-07 | SRM 202 | 2 | 46 | 50.08 | 0.12 | 4 | 1778 | 1281 | 25 | 1058 | 1645 |
76 | 2004-06-29 | SRM 201 | 2 | 27 | 38.68 | 0.52 | 9 | 1774 | 1280 | 48 | 1033 | 1736 |
75 | 2004-06-21 | SRM 200 | 2 | 25 | 69.29 | 1.47 | 18 | 1765 | 1301 | 85 | 985 | 1945 |
74 | 2004-06-16 | SRM 199 | 2 | 167 | 52.77 | -1.66 | -15 | 1748 | 1348 | -170 | 900 | 2302 |
73 | 2004-06-12 | SRM 198 | 2 | 13 | 48.94 | 1.91 | 22 | 1762 | 1301 | 84 | 1070 | 1605 |
72 | 2004-06-02 | SRM 197 | 2 | 114 | 78.59 | -0.93 | -8 | 1740 | 1355 | -85 | 986 | 1942 |
71 | 2004-05-27 | SRM 196 | 2 | 110 | 47.03 | -1.23 | -10 | 1748 | 1335 | -68 | 1071 | 1620 |
70 | 2004-05-18 | SRM 195 | 2 | 44 | 51.50 | 0.23 | 6 | 1758 | 1308 | 13 | 1139 | 1405 |
69 | 2004-05-15 | SRM 194 | 2 | 110 | 48.40 | -1.18 | -10 | 1753 | 1307 | -69 | 1126 | 1426 |
68 | 2004-05-05 | SRM 193 | 2 | 41 | 45.53 | 0.15 | 5 | 1763 | 1288 | 4 | 1195 | 1221 |
67 | 2004-04-27 | SRM 192 | 2 | 22 | 48.24 | 1.13 | 16 | 1758 | 1307 | 37 | 1191 | 1239 |
66 | 2004-04-24 | SRM 191 | 2 | 44 | 42.05 | -0.06 | 2 | 1742 | 1340 | 8 | 1154 | 1361 |
65 | 2004-03-31 | SRM 189 | 2 | 34 | 49.00 | 0.53 | 9 | 1740 | 1331 | 23 | 1146 | 1367 |
64 | 2004-03-16 | SRM 187 | 2 | 48 | 69.85 | 0.54 | 10 | 1731 | 1358 | 28 | 1123 | 1432 |
63 | 2004-03-13 | SRM 186 | 2 | 61 | 63.17 | 0.05 | 4 | 1721 | 1368 | 9 | 1095 | 1522 |
62 | 2004-03-01 | SRM 185 | 2 | 103 | 73.47 | -0.49 | -3 | 1718 | 1396 | -14 | 1086 | 1575 |
61 | 2004-02-23 | TCCC '04 Qual. 5 | 1 | 103 | 80.43 | -0.36 | -7 | 1721 | 1390 | -67 | 1100 | 1556 |
60 | 2004-02-17 | SRM 184 | 2 | 36 | 81.20 | 1.17 | 17 | 1728 | 1352 | 46 | 1167 | 1287 |
59 | 2004-02-11 | SRM 183 | 2 | 60 | 68.60 | 0.19 | 6 | 1711 | 1403 | 9 | 1121 | 1437 |
58 | 2004-02-07 | SRM 182 | 2 | 59 | 65.30 | 0.15 | 5 | 1706 | 1418 | 16 | 1112 | 1471 |
57 | 2004-01-28 | SRM 181 | 2 | 103 | 72.06 | -0.52 | -4 | 1700 | 1419 | -23 | 1096 | 1547 |
56 | 2004-01-07 | SRM 178 | 2 | 139 | 62.19 | -1.16 | -11 | 1705 | 1351 | -71 | 1119 | 1418 |
55 | 2003-12-30 | SRM 177 | 2 | 61 | 50.08 | -0.28 | -1 | 1715 | 1317 | -14 | 1190 | 1186 |
54 | 2003-12-22 | SRM 176 | 2 | 8 | 46.86 | 2.55 | 27 | 1716 | 1301 | 91 | 1204 | 1134 |
53 | 2003-12-17 | SRM 175 | 2 | 20 | 56.82 | 1.51 | 21 | 1689 | 1376 | 67 | 1113 | 1410 |
52 | 2003-12-13 | SRM 174 | 2 | 136 | 58.08 | -1.23 | -12 | 1668 | 1436 | -39 | 1046 | 1659 |
51 | 2003-11-25 | SRM 173 | 2 | 39 | 73.60 | 0.92 | 15 | 1680 | 1398 | 45 | 1085 | 1495 |
50 | 2003-11-12 | SRM 171 | 2 | 128 | 78.60 | -0.70 | -7 | 1665 | 1407 | -31 | 1040 | 1629 |
49 | 2003-11-08 | SRM 170 | 2 | 99 | 58.91 | -0.75 | -7 | 1672 | 1363 | -24 | 1071 | 1498 |
48 | 2003-10-28 | SRM 169 | 2 | 105 | 79.23 | -0.41 | -3 | 1679 | 1344 | -16 | 1095 | 1395 |
47 | 2003-10-21 | SRM 168 | 2 | 28 | 87.38 | 1.64 | 23 | 1682 | 1364 | 75 | 1111 | 1379 |
46 | 2003-10-14 | SRM 167 | 2 | 109 | 86.39 | -0.34 | -2 | 1659 | 1444 | -8 | 1036 | 1632 |
45 | 2003-10-09 | TCO '03 Qual. Round 2 | 1 | 232 | 263.30 | 0.18 | 7 | 1661 | 1458 | 27 | 1044 | 1616 |
44 | 2003-10-07 | TCO '03 Qual. Round 1 | 1 | 350 | 344.65 | -0.02 | 2 | 1654 | 1428 | 2 | 1017 | 1663 |
43 | 2003-10-01 | SRM 166 | 2 | 59 | 99.68 | 0.76 | 15 | 1652 | 1398 | 46 | 1015 | 1626 |
42 | 2003-09-23 | SRM 165 | 2 | 63 | 76.46 | 0.28 | 9 | 1637 | 1441 | 29 | 969 | 1762 |
41 | 2003-09-20 | SRM 164 | 2 | 51 | 69.96 | 0.46 | 12 | 1628 | 1437 | 49 | 940 | 1825 |
40 | 2003-09-08 | SRM 163 | 2 | 143 | 84.85 | -0.75 | -11 | 1616 | 1466 | -46 | 891 | 1967 |
39 | 2003-09-03 | SRM 162 | 2 | 134 | 87.29 | -0.87 | -13 | 1627 | 1426 | -97 | 937 | 1805 |
38 | 2003-08-28 | SRM 161 | 2 | 47 | 62.91 | 0.42 | 12 | 1640 | 1384 | 25 | 1034 | 1473 |
37 | 2003-08-23 | SRM 160 | 2 | 109 | 53.00 | -1.04 | -15 | 1628 | 1405 | -82 | 1009 | 1552 |
36 | 2003-07-28 | SRM 157 | 2 | 56 | 69.60 | 0.31 | 10 | 1643 | 1346 | 15 | 1091 | 1273 |
35 | 2003-07-17 | SRM 155 | 2 | 87 | 73.23 | -0.25 | -1 | 1632 | 1350 | -11 | 1076 | 1306 |
34 | 2003-07-09 | SRM 154 | 2 | 85 | 76.29 | -0.16 | 1 | 1634 | 1344 | -15 | 1087 | 1273 |
33 | 2003-07-01 | SRM 153 | 2 | 26 | 74.61 | 1.52 | 29 | 1633 | 1349 | 57 | 1102 | 1226 |
32 | 2003-06-25 | SRM 152 | 2 | 7 | 96.52 | 3.78 | 56 | 1604 | 1468 | 133 | 1045 | 1424 |
31 | 2003-06-17 | SRM 151 | 2 | 147 | 102.70 | -0.79 | -13 | 1547 | 1666 | -92 | 912 | 1921 |
30 | 2003-06-11 | SRM 150 | 2 | 53 | 82.93 | 0.65 | 19 | 1560 | 1663 | 27 | 1004 | 1620 |
29 | 2003-06-02 | SRM 149 | 2 | 80 | 86.59 | 0.11 | 7 | 1542 | 1722 | 11 | 977 | 1728 |
28 | 2003-05-28 | SRM 148 | 2 | 75 | 89.57 | 0.26 | 11 | 1535 | 1752 | 17 | 966 | 1771 |
27 | 2003-05-22 | SRM 147 | 2 | 42 | 94.96 | 1.18 | 31 | 1524 | 1785 | 62 | 949 | 1836 |
26 | 2003-05-14 | SRM 146 | 2 | 55 | 93.20 | 0.76 | 25 | 1493 | 1872 | 53 | 887 | 2100 |
25 | 2003-04-30 | SRM 144 | 2 | 44 | 131.66 | 1.58 | 44 | 1468 | 1959 | 95 | 834 | 2427 |
24 | 2003-04-15 | SRM 142 | 2 | 95 | 104.25 | 0.13 | 9 | 1424 | 2132 | 29 | 739 | 2865 |
23 | 2003-04-10 | SRM 141 | 2 | 168 | 119.66 | -0.49 | -11 | 1415 | 2166 | -28 | 710 | 3017 |
22 | 2003-03-26 | SRM 140 | 2 | 133 | 107.52 | -0.31 | -6 | 1426 | 2178 | -18 | 738 | 2952 |
21 | 2003-03-18 | SRM 139 | 2 | 100 | 95.75 | -0.06 | 2 | 1433 | 2176 | 3 | 756 | 2933 |
20 | 2003-03-06 | SRM 137 | 2 | 123 | 120.81 | -0.03 | 4 | 1430 | 2205 | 14 | 753 | 2968 |
19 | 2003-02-25 | SRM 136 | 2 | 96 | 98.47 | 0.04 | 6 | 1427 | 2216 | 18 | 739 | 3040 |
18 | 2003-02-11 | SRM 135 | 2 | 138 | 132.04 | -0.06 | 3 | 1420 | 2288 | 8 | 721 | 3238 |
17 | 2003-02-08 | SRM 134 | 2 | 81 | 118.56 | 0.55 | 26 | 1418 | 2276 | 65 | 713 | 3248 |
16 | 2003-02-05 | SRM 133 | 2 | 100 | 143.52 | 0.52 | 28 | 1392 | 2348 | 65 | 648 | 3522 |
15 | 2003-01-30 | SRM 131 | 2 | 199 | 141.74 | -0.49 | -14 | 1364 | 2440 | -19 | 583 | 3770 |
14 | 2003-01-06 | SRM 128 | 2 | 104 | 132.41 | 0.35 | 22 | 1378 | 2328 | 53 | 602 | 3671 |
13 | 2003-01-02 | SRM 127 | 2 | 138 | 110.96 | -0.54 | -19 | 1356 | 2403 | -51 | 549 | 3804 |
12 | 2002-12-23 | SRM 126 | 2 | 84 | 97.18 | 0.21 | 18 | 1375 | 2307 | 41 | 600 | 3656 |
11 | 2002-12-16 | SRM 125 | 2 | 141 | 119.96 | -0.47 | -20 | 1357 | 2366 | -30 | 559 | 3760 |
10 | 2002-12-12 | SRM 124 | 2 | 197 | 109.95 | -0.86 | -37 | 1377 | 2282 | -133 | 589 | 3688 |
9 | 2002-12-10 | SRM 123 | 2 | 96 | 130.85 | 0.45 | 36 | 1414 | 2122 | 50 | 722 | 3069 |
8 | 2002-12-04 | SRM 122 | 2 | 70 | 116.45 | 0.73 | 59 | 1378 | 2234 | 70 | 672 | 3321 |
7 | 2002-11-26 | SRM 121 | 2 | 102 | 133.19 | 0.38 | 42 | 1318 | 2447 | 56 | 602 | 3579 |
6 | 2002-11-13 | SRM 120 | 2 | 153 | 153.12 | 0.00 | 10 | 1276 | 2598 | 2 | 546 | 3737 |
5 | 2002-11-07 | SRM 119 | 2 | 144 | 159.90 | 0.15 | 28 | 1267 | 2644 | 5 | 544 | 3737 |
4 | 2002-10-29 | SRM 118 | 2 | 172 | 117.78 | -0.57 | -55 | 1238 | 2792 | -181 | 539 | 3711 |
3 | 2002-10-21 | SRM 117 | 2 | 104 | 148.86 | 0.49 | 98 | 1293 | 2476 | 22 | 720 | 3042 |
2 | 2002-10-15 | SRM 116 | 2 | 200 | 156.07 | -0.36 | -54 | 1195 | 3213 | -235 | 698 | 3166 |
1 | 2002-09-30 | SRM 115 | 2 | 136 | 159.27 | -0.16 | -24 | 1250 | 2637 | -267 | 933 | 1869 |