1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| reid | 81 | 3350 | 2705 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd | 0.379 | 1.645 | 2.114 | 41.1 | -76 | 1008 | 3292 | 3174 | 19 |
| SRMFix | 0.184 | 1.652 | 2.102 | 69.5 | -153 | 938 | 3206 | 2857 | 36 |
| EloSRM | 0.389 | 1.658 | 2.133 | 42.1 | -77 | 1015 | 3464 | 3350 | 20 |
| initial | 0.176 | 1.660 | 2.138 | 199.9 | -517 | 854 | 3900 | 2893 | 177 |
| SRM | 0.500 | 1.668 | 2.107 | 74.5 | -240 | 900 | 3211 | 2705 | 36 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 2007-09-15 | TCCC07 Round 3 | 1 | 179 | 30.21 | -2.57 | -26 | 3350 | 20 | -114 | 2705 | 36 |
| 80 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 116 | 31.05 | -1.90 | -21 | 3376 | 17 | -43 | 2819 | 25 |
| 79 | 2007-09-01 | TCCC07 Round 1C | 1 | 6 | 15.48 | 1.37 | 28 | 3397 | 15 | 65 | 2862 | 18 |
| 78 | 2007-08-18 | TCCC07 Qual 1 | 1 | 155 | 5.05 | -4.94 | -39 | 3369 | 17 | -114 | 2797 | 22 |
| 77 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 317 | 29.45 | -3.43 | -33 | 3408 | 12 | -144 | 2911 | 12 |
| 76 | 2007-04-07 | TCO07 Round 1A | 1 | 42 | 15.81 | -1.41 | -17 | 3441 | 9 | -44 | 3055 | 7 |
| 75 | 2006-11-16 | TCCC06 Wildcard | 1 | 5 | 2.97 | -0.75 | -6 | 3458 | 8 | -39 | 3099 | 6 |
| 74 | 2006-11-15 | TCCC06 Semi 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.71 | 0.31 | 10 | 3464 | 7 | 13 | 3138 | 6 |
| 73 | 2006-10-14 | TCCC06 Round 3 | 1 | 6 | 12.13 | 1.02 | 19 | 3454 | 6 | 37 | 3125 | 7 |
| 72 | 2006-10-11 | TCCC06 Round 2C | 1 | 8 | 4.32 | -0.89 | -7 | 3435 | 6 | -23 | 3088 | 6 |
| 71 | 2006-09-27 | TCCC06 Round 1C | 1 | 1 | 5.14 | 2.36 | 31 | 3442 | 6 | 81 | 3111 | 6 |
| 70 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 1 | 2 | 12.02 | 2.59 | 38 | 3411 | 6 | 70 | 3030 | 6 |
| 69 | 2006-08-29 | SRM 318 | 1 | 3 | 18.31 | 2.61 | 41 | 3373 | 10 | 77 | 2960 | 9 |
| 68 | 2006-05-09 | SRM 301 | 1 | 21 | 13.83 | -0.60 | -5 | 3331 | 11 | -6 | 2883 | 11 |
| 67 | 2006-05-04 | TCO06 Wildcard | 1 | 7 | 4.46 | -0.65 | -7 | 3336 | 10 | -27 | 2889 | 11 |
| 66 | 2006-05-04 | TCO06 Semi 3 | 1 | 4 | 4.96 | 0.31 | 12 | 3343 | 9 | 31 | 2916 | 11 |
| 65 | 2006-03-25 | SRM 294 | 1 | 17 | 14.77 | -0.20 | 1 | 3332 | 9 | 17 | 2885 | 13 |
| 64 | 2006-03-22 | TCO06 Round 4 | 1 | 7 | 20.01 | 1.52 | 34 | 3330 | 9 | 79 | 2868 | 15 |
| 63 | 2006-03-15 | TCO06 Round 3 | 1 | 33 | 23.10 | -0.52 | -6 | 3297 | 11 | 14 | 2789 | 16 |
| 62 | 2006-03-08 | TCO06 Round 2 | 1 | 40 | 25.29 | -0.66 | -9 | 3302 | 11 | 22 | 2775 | 18 |
| 61 | 2006-03-04 | TCO06 Round 1 | 1 | 35 | ||||||||
| 60 | 2005-11-21 | SRM 273 | 1 | 127 | 10.57 | -3.59 | -40 | 3312 | 8 | -89 | 2753 | 13 |
| 59 | 2005-08-24 | TCO05 Round 2 | 1 | 318 | 33.20 | -3.35 | -36 | 3352 | 6 | -175 | 2842 | 12 |
| 58 | 2005-08-20 | TCO05 Round 1 | 1 | 5 | 16.84 | 1.75 | 36 | 3388 | 6 | 68 | 3017 | 6 |
| 57 | 2005-08-16 | TCO05 Qual 1/3 | 1 | 2 | 5.20 | 1.38 | 34 | 3351 | 7 | 66 | 2949 | 8 |
| 56 | 2005-01-26 | TCCC05 Round 3 | 1 | 55 | 24.04 | -1.59 | -15 | 3317 | 5 | -174 | 2883 | 9 |
| 55 | 2005-01-19 | TCCC05 Round 2 | 1 | 16 | 8.15 | -0.97 | -9 | 3332 | 5 | -30 | 3057 | 5 |
| 54 | 2005-01-15 | TCCC05 Round 1 | 1 | 28 | 7.49 | -1.90 | -19 | 3341 | 4 | -57 | 3087 | 5 |
| 53 | 2005-01-11 | TCCC05 Qual 4 | 1 | 6 | 2.34 | -1.36 | -14 | 3360 | 4 | -49 | 3144 | 3 |
| 52 | 2004-11-12 | TCO04 Finals | 1 | 3 | 2.99 | -0.01 | 4 | 3374 | 4 | -18 | 3193 | 2 |
| 51 | 2004-11-11 | TCO04 Semifinal 3 | 1 | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04 | 22 | 3370 | 4 | 59 | 3211 | 2 |
| 50 | 2004-09-29 | TCO04 Round 4 | 1 | 1 | 8.57 | 3.10 | 45 | 3348 | 4 | 106 | 3152 | 3 |
| 49 | 2004-09-22 | TCO04 Round 3 | 1 | 22 | 9.87 | -1.16 | -14 | 3303 | 4 | -46 | 3046 | 6 |
| 48 | 2004-09-14 | TCO04 Round 2 | 1 | 12 | 10.54 | -0.19 | 2 | 3318 | 4 | -8 | 3092 | 5 |
| 47 | 2004-09-11 | TCO04 Round 1 | 1 | 4 | 12.28 | 1.62 | 34 | 3316 | 4 | 42 | 3100 | 5 |
| 46 | 2004-09-07 | TCO04 Qual 3 | 1 | 1 | 4.18 | 2.06 | 46 | 3282 | 4 | 65 | 3058 | 5 |
| 45 | 2004-04-16 | TCCC '04 Finals | 1 | 3 | 2.74 | -0.35 | -3 | 3236 | 4 | -29 | 2993 | 5 |
| 44 | 2004-04-15 | TCCC '04 Semifinals 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04 | 22 | 3239 | 4 | 65 | 3022 | 3 |
| 43 | 2004-03-17 | TCCC '04 Round 4 | 1 | 6 | 6.86 | 0.19 | 9 | 3217 | 5 | 18 | 2957 | 5 |
| 42 | 2004-03-10 | TCCC '04 Round 3 | 1 | 46 | 7.02 | -2.71 | -31 | 3208 | 5 | -129 | 2939 | 6 |
| 41 | 2004-03-03 | TCCC '04 Round 2 | 1 | 11 | 6.81 | -0.69 | -7 | 3239 | 4 | -30 | 3068 | 3 |
| 40 | 2004-02-28 | TCCC '04 Round 1 | 1 | 5 | 7.67 | 0.62 | 20 | 3246 | 3 | 8 | 3098 | 3 |
| 39 | 2004-02-23 | TCCC '04 Qual. 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.47 | 1.31 | 33 | 3226 | 4 | 45 | 3090 | 3 |
| 38 | 2003-12-04 | TCO '03 Semifinals 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.78 | -0.16 | 3 | 3194 | 5 | -18 | 3045 | 4 |
| 37 | 2003-11-05 | TCO '03 Round 4 | 1 | 2 | 9.32 | 2.22 | 47 | 3191 | 5 | 67 | 3063 | 3 |
| 36 | 2003-10-29 | TCO '03 Round 3 | 1 | 4 | 12.32 | 1.62 | 41 | 3143 | 5 | 44 | 2996 | 3 |
| 35 | 2003-10-22 | TCO '03 Round 2 | 1 | 44 | 12.88 | -1.77 | -30 | 3102 | 6 | -78 | 2952 | 3 |
| 34 | 2003-10-15 | TCO '03 Round 1 | 1 | 2 | 17.12 | 3.10 | 68 | 3132 | 5 | 64 | 3030 | 3 |
| 33 | 2003-10-01 | SRM 166 | 1 | 5 | 11.35 | 1.18 | 45 | 3064 | 5 | 16 | 2966 | 4 |
| 32 | 2003-02-26 | TCCC '03 Round 2 | 1 | 2 | 9.91 | 2.31 | 43 | 3019 | 4 | 58 | 2950 | 4 |
| 31 | 2003-02-18 | TCCC '03 NE/SE Regional | 1 | 12 | 3.17 | -1.92 | -23 | 2976 | 5 | -71 | 2892 | 5 |
| 30 | 2002-11-22 | TCI '02 Semifinals 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.54 | -0.38 | 0 | 2999 | 4 | -28 | 2963 | 4 |
| 29 | 2002-10-30 | TCI '02 Round 4 | 1 | 14 | 8.06 | -0.80 | -9 | 3000 | 4 | -43 | 2991 | 3 |
| 28 | 2002-10-23 | TCI '02 Round 3 | 1 | 33 | 9.75 | -1.76 | -21 | 3008 | 4 | -73 | 3034 | 1 |
| 27 | 2002-10-16 | TCI '02 Round 2 | 1 | 1 | 12.12 | 3.60 | 52 | 3029 | 2 | 84 | 3107 | 1 |
| 26 | 2002-10-09 | TCI '02 Round 1 A | 1 | 2 | 6.73 | 1.75 | 36 | 2978 | 4 | 34 | 3023 | 1 |
| 25 | 2002-07-16 | SRM 104 | 1 | 3 | 5.28 | 0.82 | 20 | 2942 | 4 | 13 | 2989 | 2 |
| 24 | 2002-06-12 | SRM 97 | 1 | 1 | 9.70 | 3.28 | 41 | 2922 | 3 | 83 | 2976 | 1 |
| 23 | 2002-06-11 | SRM 96 | 1 | 12 | 8.36 | -0.52 | -3 | 2881 | 4 | -20 | 2893 | 1 |
| 22 | 2002-05-30 | SRM 93 | 1 | 1 | 10.26 | 3.36 | 45 | 2884 | 3 | 89 | 2913 | 1 |
| 21 | 2002-05-29 | SRM 92 | 1 | 5 | 9.70 | 0.96 | 23 | 2839 | 4 | 28 | 2824 | 3 |
| 20 | 2002-05-01 | SRM 85 | 1 | 11 | 10.45 | -0.07 | 4 | 2816 | 3 | 9 | 2796 | 3 |
| 19 | 2002-04-30 | SRM 84 | 1 | 1 | 13.53 | 3.76 | 53 | 2812 | 2 | 123 | 2787 | 3 |
| 18 | 2002-04-27 | SRM 83 | 1 | 1 | 15.07 | 3.91 | 57 | 2759 | 4 | 127 | 2664 | 3 |
| 17 | 2002-04-03 | SRM 77 | 1 | 8 | 17.54 | 1.13 | 29 | 2702 | 4 | 57 | 2537 | 10 |
| 16 | 2002-04-01 | SRM 76 | 1 | 2 | 17.90 | 3.16 | 55 | 2673 | 5 | 118 | 2480 | 12 |
| 15 | 2002-03-13 | TCCC '02 Reg. Final | 1 | 21 | 8.31 | -1.34 | -23 | 2618 | 6 | -91 | 2362 | 16 |
| 14 | 2002-03-11 | SRM 71 | 1 | 109 | 14.47 | -2.91 | -41 | 2642 | 5 | -136 | 2453 | 10 |
| 13 | 2002-03-07 | SRM 70 | 1 | 14 | 11.56 | -0.28 | 1 | 2682 | 3 | -4 | 2589 | 5 |
| 12 | 2002-03-06 | TCCC '02 Reg. Semifinal | 1 | 9 | 10.64 | 0.24 | 16 | 2682 | 4 | 23 | 2593 | 5 |
| 11 | 2002-02-20 | SRM 67 | 1 | 2 | 17.20 | 3.10 | 70 | 2666 | 4 | 118 | 2570 | 6 |
| 10 | 2002-02-19 | TCCC '02 NE/SE Reg. Quart. | 1 | 1 | 12.42 | 3.63 | 84 | 2596 | 6 | 152 | 2452 | 9 |
| 9 | 2002-02-13 | SRM 66 | 1 | 24 | 16.37 | -0.55 | -11 | 2512 | 14 | -10 | 2300 | 14 |
| 8 | 2002-02-06 | SRM 64 | 1 | 11 | 18.88 | 0.78 | 42 | 2523 | 8 | 53 | 2310 | 14 |
| 7 | 2002-01-31 | SRM 62 | 1 | 14 | 18.10 | 0.37 | 30 | 2480 | 14 | 32 | 2257 | 15 |
| 6 | 2002-01-26 | SRM 60 | 1 | 23 | 16.47 | -0.48 | -11 | 2450 | 13 | -27 | 2225 | 16 |
| 5 | 2002-01-23 | SRM 59 | 1 | 23 | 16.67 | -0.46 | -13 | 2461 | 12 | 23 | 2252 | 15 |
| 4 | 2002-01-16 | SRM 58 | 1 | 17 | 14.88 | -0.19 | 3 | 2474 | 12 | 51 | 2229 | 15 |
| 3 | 2002-01-15 | SRM 57 | 1 | 2 | 36.15 | 4.18 | 297 | 2471 | 12 | 318 | 2178 | 17 |
| 2 | 2002-01-09 | SRM 56 | 1 | 47 | 27.85 | -0.76 | -77 | 2174 | 53 | -240 | 1860 | 44 |
| 1 | 2002-01-07 | SRM 55 | 2 | 1 | 149.04 | 7.22 | 1015 | 2251 | 33 | 900 | 2100 | 21 |