1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| along | 122 | 2678 | 1559 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd | 0.068 | 0.890 | 1.324 | 27.4 | -91 | 988 | 2576 | 2488 | 2061 |
| EloSRM | 0.007 | 0.893 | 1.324 | 27.1 | -90 | 1010 | 2678 | 2678 | 2021 |
| SRMFix | 0.022 | 0.909 | 1.337 | 38.9 | -194 | 996 | 2597 | 2144 | 1514 |
| SRM | 0.291 | 0.918 | 1.347 | 67.4 | -344 | 625 | 2308 | 1559 | 1701 |
| initial | 0.078 | 0.977 | 1.388 | 117.7 | -324 | 966 | 3243 | 2342 | 1962 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 | 2012-05-12 | TCO12 Round 2B | 1 | 539 | 767.16 | 0.51 | 24 | 2678 | 2021 | 35 | 1559 | 1701 |
| 121 | 2012-04-14 | TCO12 Round 1C | 1 | 573 | 379.35 | -0.60 | -12 | 2655 | 2100 | -24 | 1524 | 1877 |
| 120 | 2012-03-31 | TCO12 Round 1A | 1 | 747 | 601.90 | -0.31 | -8 | 2667 | 1915 | -23 | 1548 | 1651 |
| 119 | 2010-08-14 | SRM 479 | 1 | 286 | 336.64 | 0.24 | 11 | 2675 | 1178 | 33 | 1571 | 1206 |
| 118 | 2010-07-28 | SRM 477 | 1 | 136 | 372.07 | 1.45 | 45 | 2664 | 1192 | 120 | 1538 | 1318 |
| 117 | 2010-07-17 | SRM 476 | 1 | 590 | 411.54 | -0.65 | -21 | 2620 | 1336 | -115 | 1418 | 1759 |
| 116 | 2010-05-20 | SRM 470 | 1 | 385 | 389.94 | 0.02 | 6 | 2641 | 1164 | 13 | 1533 | 1253 |
| 115 | 2009-06-13 | SRM 442 | 1 | 385 | 309.01 | -0.32 | -7 | 2634 | 1068 | -6 | 1520 | 1342 |
| 114 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 1 | 408 | 343.46 | -0.60 | -15 | 2641 | 1046 | -85 | 1526 | 1369 |
| 113 | 2008-09-20 | SRM 418 | 1 | 370 | 279.94 | -0.40 | -6 | 2657 | 868 | -21 | 1611 | 1096 |
| 112 | 2008-08-16 | SRM 414 | 1 | 358 | 234.87 | -0.61 | -9 | 2663 | 857 | -43 | 1632 | 1060 |
| 111 | 2008-05-06 | SRM 401 | 1 | 189 | 274.91 | 0.54 | 11 | 2672 | 755 | 66 | 1675 | 866 |
| 110 | 2008-05-01 | SRM 400 | 1 | 348 | 310.45 | -0.52 | -7 | 2661 | 767 | -69 | 1609 | 1006 |
| 109 | 2008-04-15 | SRM 398 | 1 | 293 | 237.48 | -0.30 | -3 | 2667 | 754 | -11 | 1678 | 837 |
| 108 | 2008-04-03 | SRM 396 | 1 | 107 | 235.43 | 1.14 | 21 | 2671 | 747 | 100 | 1689 | 838 |
| 107 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 1 | 227 | 271.28 | 0.26 | 7 | 2650 | 790 | 54 | 1589 | 1083 |
| 106 | 2008-03-06 | SRM 392 | 1 | 564 | 298.03 | -0.97 | -15 | 2643 | 789 | -164 | 1535 | 1242 |
| 105 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 865 | 749.25 | -0.59 | -8 | 2657 | 739 | -120 | 1699 | 812 |
| 104 | 2008-02-13 | TCO08 Qual 3 | 1 | 67 | 122.93 | 0.88 | 15 | 2665 | 717 | 28 | 1819 | 612 |
| 103 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 259 | 266.07 | 0.04 | 3 | 2651 | 727 | -4 | 1791 | 638 |
| 102 | 2008-01-24 | SRM 389 | 1 | 118 | 253.61 | 1.10 | 23 | 2647 | 727 | 73 | 1795 | 622 |
| 101 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 388 | 281.64 | -0.46 | -7 | 2624 | 783 | -52 | 1722 | 743 |
| 100 | 2008-01-09 | SRM 387 | 1 | 193 | 193.11 | 0.00 | 3 | 2632 | 755 | -6 | 1774 | 662 |
| 99 | 2008-01-05 | SRM 386 | 1 | 222 | 243.52 | 0.13 | 6 | 2629 | 759 | 5 | 1780 | 648 |
| 98 | 2007-12-27 | SRM 385 | 1 | 111 | 255.86 | 1.20 | 29 | 2622 | 775 | 75 | 1775 | 653 |
| 97 | 2007-12-19 | SRM 384 | 1 | 124 | 186.47 | 0.59 | 19 | 2593 | 833 | 49 | 1700 | 763 |
| 96 | 2007-12-13 | SRM 383 | 1 | 122 | 227.52 | 0.90 | 29 | 2574 | 882 | 73 | 1651 | 862 |
| 95 | 2007-12-11 | SRM 382 | 1 | 288 | 239.59 | -0.55 | -15 | 2545 | 942 | -92 | 1578 | 1055 |
| 94 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 343 | 275.29 | -0.32 | -5 | 2559 | 714 | -30 | 1670 | 732 |
| 93 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 1 | 232 | 259.10 | 0.16 | 7 | 2564 | 708 | 12 | 1700 | 665 |
| 92 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 229 | 251.50 | 0.14 | 7 | 2557 | 707 | 15 | 1688 | 686 |
| 91 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 157 | 302.34 | 0.94 | 26 | 2550 | 708 | 77 | 1673 | 713 |
| 90 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 437 | 425.51 | -0.04 | 2 | 2524 | 757 | 11 | 1596 | 856 |
| 89 | 2007-04-12 | TCO07 Round 1C | 1 | 219 | 117.94 | -0.89 | -18 | 2522 | 750 | -53 | 1585 | 883 |
| 88 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 261 | 197.33 | -0.40 | -6 | 2540 | 669 | 1 | 1638 | 738 |
| 87 | 2007-03-28 | SRM 344 | 1 | 176 | 240.94 | 0.45 | 22 | 2546 | 650 | 49 | 1637 | 724 |
| 86 | 2007-03-22 | SRM 343 | 1 | 270 | 211.38 | -0.35 | -11 | 2524 | 690 | -16 | 1588 | 823 |
| 85 | 2006-03-17 | SRM 293 | 1 | 245 | 130.66 | -0.91 | -15 | 2536 | 432 | -58 | 1604 | 635 |
| 84 | 2006-03-04 | TCO06 Round 1 | 1 | 624 | ||||||||
| 83 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 2/10/13 | 1 | 22 | 56.73 | 1.37 | 26 | 2551 | 394 | 103 | 1662 | 535 |
| 82 | 2006-02-21 | SRM 291 | 1 | 194 | 161.85 | -0.26 | -4 | 2525 | 424 | 18 | 1559 | 667 |
| 81 | 2006-02-14 | SRM 289 | 1 | 86 | 118.80 | 0.47 | 16 | 2529 | 402 | 77 | 1541 | 680 |
| 80 | 2006-01-24 | SRM 285 | 1 | 82 | 127.78 | 0.64 | 21 | 2513 | 407 | 100 | 1464 | 837 |
| 79 | 2006-01-21 | SRM 284 | 1 | 265 | 147.84 | -0.98 | -22 | 2492 | 427 | -80 | 1364 | 1104 |
| 78 | 2006-01-05 | SRM 281 | 1 | 214 | 158.06 | -0.76 | -18 | 2514 | 397 | -57 | 1444 | 886 |
| 77 | 2005-12-17 | SRM 277 | 1 | 414 | 142.66 | -1.54 | -39 | 2532 | 360 | -169 | 1501 | 746 |
| 76 | 2005-08-16 | TCO05 Qual 7/8 | 1 | 92 | 43.67 | -1.08 | -21 | 2571 | 239 | -12 | 1670 | 418 |
| 75 | 2005-06-29 | SRM 249 | 1 | 109 | 114.84 | -0.55 | -11 | 2592 | 204 | -78 | 1682 | 359 |
| 74 | 2005-06-21 | SRM 248 | 1 | 137 | 99.79 | -0.46 | -10 | 2604 | 195 | 5 | 1760 | 303 |
| 73 | 2004-10-18 | SRM 216 | 1 | 106 | 63.19 | -1.09 | -14 | 2614 | 137 | -128 | 1755 | 268 |
| 72 | 2004-10-16 | SRM 215 | 1 | 20 | 35.95 | 0.85 | 16 | 2627 | 133 | 76 | 1883 | 178 |
| 71 | 2004-09-28 | SRM 213 | 1 | 110 | 71.55 | -0.98 | -13 | 2611 | 137 | -111 | 1807 | 230 |
| 70 | 2004-09-14 | TCO04 Round 2 | 1 | 114 | 86.58 | -0.40 | -5 | 2624 | 124 | -20 | 1918 | 166 |
| 69 | 2004-09-14 | SRM 211 | 1 | 129 | 43.70 | -1.57 | -21 | 2629 | 122 | -109 | 1938 | 155 |
| 68 | 2004-09-11 | TCO04 Round 1 | 1 | 96 | 103.51 | 0.12 | 6 | 2650 | 112 | 25 | 2047 | 118 |
| 67 | 2004-09-07 | TCO04 Qual 1 | 1 | 10 | 18.31 | 0.87 | 19 | 2644 | 109 | 76 | 2022 | 117 |
| 66 | 2004-09-01 | SRM 210 | 1 | 145 | 58.22 | -1.32 | -20 | 2625 | 113 | -74 | 1946 | 140 |
| 65 | 2004-08-28 | SRM 209 | 1 | 13 | 48.59 | 1.90 | 39 | 2645 | 105 | 116 | 2020 | 114 |
| 64 | 2004-08-10 | SRM 207 | 1 | 130 | 61.33 | -1.28 | -22 | 2606 | 120 | -166 | 1904 | 157 |
| 63 | 2004-08-04 | SRM 206 | 1 | 41 | 46.82 | 0.19 | 10 | 2628 | 111 | 8 | 2070 | 102 |
| 62 | 2004-07-15 | SRM 203 | 1 | 49 | 29.32 | -0.74 | -13 | 2618 | 109 | -44 | 2062 | 102 |
| 61 | 2004-01-07 | SRM 178 | 1 | 96 | 35.75 | -1.42 | -15 | 2631 | 76 | -77 | 2106 | 74 |
| 60 | 2003-11-12 | SRM 171 | 1 | 66 | 37.04 | -0.83 | -8 | 2647 | 63 | -38 | 2183 | 57 |
| 59 | 2003-11-08 | SRM 170 | 1 | 16 | 28.12 | 0.81 | 14 | 2654 | 58 | 40 | 2221 | 44 |
| 58 | 2003-11-05 | TCO '03 Round 4 | 1 | 34 | 32.17 | -0.38 | -6 | 2640 | 62 | -61 | 2181 | 51 |
| 57 | 2003-10-29 | TCO '03 Round 3 | 1 | 17 | 49.29 | 1.54 | 26 | 2646 | 62 | 83 | 2242 | 44 |
| 56 | 2003-10-28 | SRM 169 | 1 | 40 | 33.58 | -0.25 | -1 | 2620 | 72 | -4 | 2159 | 58 |
| 55 | 2003-10-22 | TCO '03 Round 2 | 1 | 9 | 75.67 | 3.07 | 40 | 2621 | 72 | 142 | 2163 | 58 |
| 54 | 2003-10-21 | SRM 168 | 1 | 40 | 43.74 | 0.13 | 6 | 2581 | 84 | 23 | 2021 | 96 |
| 53 | 2003-10-15 | TCO '03 Round 1 | 1 | 142 | 93.88 | -0.60 | -7 | 2575 | 81 | -12 | 1998 | 101 |
| 52 | 2003-10-01 | SRM 166 | 1 | 34 | 49.96 | 0.56 | 13 | 2582 | 69 | 54 | 2010 | 91 |
| 51 | 2003-08-28 | SRM 161 | 1 | 88 | 26.17 | -1.75 | -20 | 2569 | 68 | -119 | 1956 | 103 |
| 50 | 2003-08-23 | SRM 160 | 1 | 22 | 23.33 | 0.08 | 5 | 2588 | 61 | 13 | 2075 | 76 |
| 49 | 2003-08-06 | SRM 158 | 1 | 65 | 27.10 | -1.26 | -14 | 2584 | 61 | -62 | 2062 | 77 |
| 48 | 2003-07-23 | SRM 156 | 1 | 64 | 26.06 | -1.30 | -16 | 2597 | 55 | -79 | 2124 | 62 |
| 47 | 2003-07-17 | SRM 155 | 1 | 21 | 21.59 | 0.04 | 4 | 2613 | 54 | 0 | 2203 | 45 |
| 46 | 2003-07-09 | SRM 154 | 1 | 16 | 23.72 | 0.57 | 13 | 2609 | 54 | 27 | 2203 | 45 |
| 45 | 2003-06-17 | SRM 151 | 1 | 25 | 27.40 | 0.13 | 6 | 2596 | 56 | 12 | 2176 | 53 |
| 44 | 2003-06-11 | SRM 150 | 1 | 41 | 21.58 | -0.93 | -11 | 2590 | 60 | -42 | 2164 | 54 |
| 43 | 2003-06-02 | SRM 149 | 1 | 30 | 24.84 | -0.27 | -2 | 2601 | 56 | -6 | 2206 | 47 |
| 42 | 2003-05-28 | SRM 148 | 1 | 39 | 22.37 | -0.80 | -9 | 2603 | 55 | -22 | 2212 | 44 |
| 41 | 2003-05-22 | SRM 147 | 1 | 4 | 21.02 | 2.39 | 35 | 2612 | 52 | 106 | 2234 | 39 |
| 40 | 2003-05-14 | SRM 146 | 1 | 1 | 20.09 | 4.33 | 46 | 2577 | 59 | 186 | 2128 | 60 |
| 39 | 2003-05-06 | SRM 145 | 1 | 24 | 27.84 | 0.18 | 8 | 2530 | 71 | 44 | 1942 | 101 |
| 38 | 2003-04-30 | SRM 144 | 1 | 40 | 29.76 | -0.43 | -5 | 2523 | 70 | 5 | 1898 | 115 |
| 37 | 2003-04-15 | SRM 142 | 1 | 8 | 31.80 | 1.99 | 35 | 2528 | 70 | 138 | 1893 | 118 |
| 36 | 2003-03-18 | SRM 139 | 1 | 102 | 32.10 | -1.67 | -22 | 2493 | 77 | -112 | 1755 | 181 |
| 35 | 2003-03-10 | SRM 138 | 1 | 29 | 38.74 | 0.42 | 12 | 2515 | 72 | 63 | 1867 | 127 |
| 34 | 2003-03-06 | SRM 137 | 1 | 66 | 30.63 | -1.11 | -16 | 2503 | 76 | -36 | 1804 | 146 |
| 33 | 2003-03-05 | TCCC '03 Round 3 | 1 | 46 | 43.67 | -0.08 | 2 | 2519 | 71 | 40 | 1840 | 132 |
| 32 | 2003-02-26 | TCCC '03 Round 2 | 1 | 118 | 48.73 | -1.27 | -18 | 2516 | 68 | -36 | 1800 | 144 |
| 31 | 2003-02-25 | SRM 136 | 1 | 44 | 30.27 | -0.54 | -7 | 2535 | 61 | 24 | 1836 | 129 |
| 30 | 2003-02-22 | TCCC '03 Int'l Regional | 1 | 60 | 14.59 | -2.02 | -29 | 2542 | 59 | -108 | 1812 | 137 |
| 29 | 2003-02-08 | SRM 134 | 1 | 76 | 50.03 | -1.14 | -17 | 2570 | 52 | -137 | 1920 | 96 |
| 28 | 2002-12-23 | SRM 126 | 1 | 17 | 15.29 | -0.15 | 1 | 2587 | 42 | 19 | 2057 | 63 |
| 27 | 2002-12-12 | SRM 124 | 1 | 61 | 19.74 | -1.63 | -26 | 2586 | 41 | -96 | 2038 | 69 |
| 26 | 2002-12-10 | SRM 123 | 1 | 47 | 17.96 | -1.39 | -21 | 2612 | 34 | -68 | 2134 | 54 |
| 25 | 2002-12-04 | SRM 122 | 1 | 14 | 14.34 | 0.03 | 6 | 2633 | 27 | 17 | 2202 | 41 |
| 24 | 2002-11-13 | SRM 120 | 1 | 54 | 17.62 | -1.62 | -26 | 2628 | 28 | -93 | 2185 | 43 |
| 23 | 2002-10-30 | TCI '02 Round 4 | 1 | 35 | 25.37 | -0.46 | -7 | 2653 | 20 | -30 | 2278 | 28 |
| 22 | 2002-10-29 | SRM 118 | 1 | 16 | 18.02 | 0.17 | 9 | 2660 | 21 | 18 | 2308 | 27 |
| 21 | 2002-10-23 | TCI '02 Round 3 | 1 | 6 | 49.59 | 3.05 | 54 | 2651 | 22 | 125 | 2290 | 29 |
| 20 | 2002-10-21 | SRM 117 | 1 | 15 | 22.38 | 0.58 | 20 | 2597 | 34 | 41 | 2165 | 47 |
| 19 | 2002-10-16 | TCI '02 Round 2 | 1 | 61 | 57.40 | -0.09 | 3 | 2577 | 37 | 16 | 2124 | 49 |
| 18 | 2002-10-15 | SRM 116 | 1 | 52 | 23.93 | -1.12 | -23 | 2574 | 32 | -43 | 2108 | 51 |
| 17 | 2002-10-10 | TCI '02 Round 1 B | 1 | 19 | 31.78 | 0.74 | 27 | 2597 | 29 | 59 | 2151 | 41 |
| 16 | 2002-09-24 | SRM 114 | 1 | 35 | 20.66 | -0.76 | -14 | 2570 | 35 | 1 | 2092 | 49 |
| 15 | 2002-09-04 | SRM 111 | 1 | 19 | 20.35 | 0.10 | 10 | 2584 | 30 | 43 | 2091 | 49 |
| 14 | 2002-08-27 | SRM 110 | 1 | 8 | 21.24 | 1.41 | 46 | 2574 | 33 | 114 | 2048 | 54 |
| 13 | 2002-08-21 | SRM 109 | 1 | 3 | 24.86 | 3.05 | 79 | 2528 | 43 | 193 | 1934 | 83 |
| 12 | 2002-08-12 | SRM 108 | 1 | 84 | 24.09 | -1.88 | -45 | 2449 | 64 | -232 | 1741 | 149 |
| 11 | 2002-08-07 | SRM 107 | 1 | 25 | 21.34 | -0.23 | -1 | 2494 | 51 | 12 | 1973 | 66 |
| 10 | 2002-08-01 | SRM 106 | 1 | 12 | 25.11 | 1.06 | 51 | 2495 | 50 | 89 | 1961 | 68 |
| 9 | 2002-07-24 | SRM 105 | 1 | 25 | 31.25 | 0.32 | 25 | 2444 | 64 | 56 | 1872 | 96 |
| 8 | 2002-06-26 | SRM 101 | 1 | 68 | 62.22 | -0.13 | 3 | 2419 | 68 | 41 | 1816 | 115 |
| 7 | 2002-06-24 | SRM 100 | 1 | 105 | 64.41 | -0.70 | -23 | 2416 | 69 | 16 | 1775 | 127 |
| 6 | 2002-06-19 | SRM 98 | 1 | 39 | 67.64 | 0.79 | 57 | 2439 | 59 | 119 | 1759 | 127 |
| 5 | 2002-06-12 | SRM 97 | 1 | 247 | 51.79 | -2.28 | -90 | 2382 | 73 | -344 | 1640 | 186 |
| 4 | 2002-06-11 | SRM 96 | 1 | 36 | 54.30 | 0.59 | 61 | 2472 | 43 | 52 | 1984 | 62 |
| 3 | 2002-06-05 | SRM 95 | 1 | 65 | 51.84 | -0.33 | -9 | 2411 | 59 | -3 | 1932 | 69 |
| 2 | 2002-06-03 | SRM 94 | 1 | 38 | 81.71 | 1.10 | 155 | 2421 | 52 | 110 | 1935 | 70 |
| 1 | 2002-05-30 | SRM 93 | 2 | 1 | 281.02 | 8.14 | 1010 | 2266 | 107 | 625 | 1825 | 94 |