1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
sigma425 | 101 | 3787 | 2716 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EloSRM | 0.454 | 0.932 | 1.300 | 29.3 | -51 | 377 | 3787 | 3787 | 88 |
SRMFix | 0.430 | 0.936 | 1.307 | 38.2 | -121 | 412 | 2945 | 2944 | 82 |
Odd | 0.471 | 0.938 | 1.307 | 30.0 | -47 | 369 | 3432 | 3432 | 92 |
SRM | 0.515 | 0.963 | 1.377 | 56.4 | -228 | 194 | 2730 | 2716 | 52 |
initial | 0.194 | 0.967 | 1.344 | 116.5 | -302 | 496 | 3646 | 3507 | 64 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
101 | 2018-07-28 | 2018 TCO 4 | 1 | 47 | 47.68 | 0.02 | 4 | 3787 | 88 | -14 | 2716 | 52 |
100 | 2018-07-07 | 2018 TCO 3A | 1 | 38 | 64.67 | 0.77 | 19 | 3783 | 84 | 22 | 2730 | 53 |
99 | 2018-06-26 | SRM 735 | 1 | 12 | 20.16 | 0.75 | 20 | 3764 | 88 | 24 | 2708 | 55 |
98 | 2018-06-14 | 2018 TCO 2B | 1 | 9 | 25.12 | 1.48 | 30 | 3744 | 99 | 39 | 2684 | 61 |
97 | 2018-03-29 | SRM 732 | 1 | 6 | 16.81 | 1.49 | 29 | 3713 | 106 | 39 | 2645 | 62 |
96 | 2018-01-25 | SRM 728 | 1 | 15 | 35.87 | 1.26 | 28 | 3685 | 118 | 43 | 2606 | 73 |
95 | 2017-11-18 | SRM 723 | 1 | 20 | 30.29 | 0.60 | 15 | 3657 | 130 | 21 | 2563 | 92 |
94 | 2017-10-12 | SRM 722 | 1 | 6 | 28.68 | 2.26 | 35 | 3642 | 139 | 86 | 2542 | 97 |
93 | 2017-09-02 | Fun SRM 2017-09-02 | 1 | 1 | 10.62 | 3.41 | 45 | 3607 | 147 | 166 | 2456 | 112 |
92 | 2017-08-14 | SRM 719 | 1 | 57 | 22.04 | -1.37 | -17 | 3563 | 178 | -70 | 2290 | 179 |
91 | 2017-07-22 | TCO17 Round 2C | 1 | 41 | 59.70 | 0.54 | 13 | 3580 | 165 | 23 | 2360 | 151 |
90 | 2017-07-08 | TCO17 Round 2B | 1 | 52 | 74.19 | 0.51 | 13 | 3567 | 173 | 27 | 2337 | 161 |
89 | 2017-05-30 | SRM 715 | 1 | 29 | 32.67 | 0.17 | 6 | 3554 | 182 | 13 | 2310 | 171 |
88 | 2017-05-20 | TCO17 Round 2A | 1 | 62 | 112.08 | 0.85 | 19 | 3548 | 195 | 52 | 2297 | 182 |
87 | 2017-05-07 | SRM 714 | 1 | 47 | 50.59 | 0.11 | 5 | 3528 | 207 | 19 | 2245 | 212 |
86 | 2017-04-18 | SRM 712 | 1 | 10 | 55.98 | 2.48 | 38 | 3523 | 207 | 108 | 2226 | 221 |
85 | 2017-03-25 | SRM 711 | 1 | 83 | 62.27 | -0.41 | -6 | 3485 | 236 | -4 | 2118 | 279 |
84 | 2017-03-09 | SRM 710 | 1 | 42 | 107.84 | -0.26 | -2 | 3491 | 233 | -104 | 2122 | 275 |
83 | 2017-02-09 | SRM 708 | 1 | 55 | 51.55 | -0.09 | 1 | 3493 | 226 | 3 | 2226 | 222 |
82 | 2017-01-21 | SRM 706 | 1 | 127 | 64.92 | -0.97 | -14 | 3492 | 227 | -49 | 2223 | 221 |
81 | 2016-12-29 | SRM 704 | 1 | 17 | 72.16 | 2.09 | 36 | 3506 | 209 | 91 | 2272 | 192 |
80 | 2016-12-13 | SRM 703 | 1 | 9 | 40.73 | 2.18 | 38 | 3470 | 241 | 97 | 2181 | 251 |
79 | 2016-09-26 | SRM 699 (Cisco) | 1 | 120 | 61.90 | -0.96 | -13 | 3432 | 270 | -39 | 2084 | 318 |
78 | 2016-09-17 | SRM 698 (Google) | 1 | 91 | 76.83 | -0.24 | -2 | 3445 | 269 | -1 | 2123 | 295 |
77 | 2016-08-18 | SRM 697 | 1 | 80 | 52.86 | -0.76 | -9 | 3447 | 275 | -31 | 2124 | 301 |
76 | 2016-07-19 | SRM 695 | 1 | 85 | 60.38 | -0.49 | -5 | 3456 | 264 | -6 | 2155 | 282 |
75 | 2016-07-09 | SRM 694 | 1 | 19 | 67.36 | 1.83 | 27 | 3461 | 262 | 94 | 2161 | 287 |
74 | 2016-06-18 | 2016 TCO Algo 2C | 1 | 124 | 107.04 | -0.21 | -1 | 3434 | 289 | 9 | 2067 | 360 |
73 | 2016-06-09 | SRM 692 | 1 | 188 | 34.96 | -2.45 | -26 | 3435 | 286 | -170 | 2058 | 362 |
72 | 2016-05-30 | SRM 691 | 1 | 80 | 80.49 | 0.01 | 3 | 3461 | 273 | -4 | 2228 | 265 |
71 | 2016-05-26 | 2016 TCO Algo 2B | 1 | 122 | 124.58 | -0.05 | 2 | 3458 | 273 | -8 | 2232 | 254 |
70 | 2016-05-12 | 2016 TCO Algo 2A | 1 | 118 | 148.03 | 0.33 | 9 | 3456 | 266 | 18 | 2240 | 251 |
69 | 2016-04-23 | SRM 689 | 1 | 35 | 94.23 | 1.43 | 24 | 3447 | 273 | 66 | 2222 | 267 |
68 | 2016-04-15 | SRM 688 | 1 | 128 | 85.37 | -0.66 | -7 | 3422 | 293 | -31 | 2156 | 312 |
67 | 2016-04-07 | SRM 687 | 1 | 86 | 75.20 | -0.19 | -1 | 3430 | 282 | -9 | 2187 | 301 |
66 | 2016-03-28 | SRM 686 | 1 | 62 | 51.24 | -0.28 | -2 | 3431 | 281 | -12 | 2196 | 295 |
65 | 2016-03-19 | SRM 685 | 1 | 37 | 78.72 | 1.09 | 21 | 3432 | 275 | 49 | 2208 | 279 |
64 | 2016-03-07 | SRM 684 | 1 | 129 | 74.28 | -0.80 | -11 | 3411 | 293 | -44 | 2159 | 308 |
63 | 2016-02-29 | SRM 683 | 1 | 63 | 63.26 | 0.01 | 3 | 3423 | 282 | 0 | 2203 | 283 |
62 | 2016-02-22 | SRM 682 | 1 | 30 | 58.32 | 0.96 | 21 | 3419 | 285 | 45 | 2203 | 281 |
61 | 2016-02-06 | SRM 681 | 1 | 36 | ||||||||
60 | 2016-01-28 | SRM 680 | 1 | 25 | 76.66 | 1.62 | 28 | 3398 | 304 | 67 | 2158 | 308 |
59 | 2015-12-26 | SRM 677 | 1 | 82 | 83.68 | 0.03 | 4 | 3370 | 329 | 8 | 2091 | 353 |
58 | 2015-12-18 | SRM 676 | 1 | 142 | 85.49 | -0.73 | -11 | 3366 | 329 | -40 | 2083 | 368 |
57 | 2015-12-10 | SRM 675 | 1 | 130 | 77.85 | -0.74 | -10 | 3377 | 316 | -42 | 2123 | 326 |
56 | 2015-11-30 | SRM 674 | 1 | 60 | 57.76 | -0.06 | 2 | 3387 | 304 | -7 | 2165 | 302 |
55 | 2015-11-18 | SRM 673 | 1 | 27 | 81.25 | 1.59 | 30 | 3385 | 309 | 60 | 2172 | 298 |
54 | 2015-10-20 | SRM 672 | 1 | 63 | 63.10 | 0.00 | 3 | 3355 | 347 | -1 | 2112 | 342 |
53 | 2015-10-14 | SRM 671 | 1 | 127 | 95.46 | -0.41 | -5 | 3352 | 346 | -21 | 2113 | 340 |
52 | 2015-10-10 | SRM 670 | 1 | 101 | 120.91 | 0.26 | 9 | 3356 | 338 | 9 | 2134 | 319 |
51 | 2015-09-11 | SRM 667 | 1 | 83 | 100.89 | 0.28 | 9 | 3347 | 346 | 14 | 2125 | 324 |
50 | 2015-08-25 | SRM 666 | 1 | 64 | 63.20 | -0.02 | 3 | 3338 | 351 | 1 | 2111 | 336 |
49 | 2015-08-22 | 2015 TCO 2D | 1 | 93 | 108.29 | 0.22 | 8 | 3335 | 359 | 11 | 2110 | 338 |
48 | 2015-08-11 | SRM 665 | 1 | 137 | ||||||||
47 | 2015-08-01 | SRM 664 | 1 | 70 | 91.09 | 0.37 | 11 | 3326 | 374 | 22 | 2099 | 355 |
46 | 2015-07-23 | SRM 663 | 1 | 176 | 94.16 | -0.90 | -13 | 3315 | 388 | -48 | 2077 | 388 |
45 | 2015-07-18 | 2015 TCO 2C | 1 | 184 | 131.84 | -0.48 | -7 | 3328 | 371 | -35 | 2125 | 342 |
44 | 2015-07-09 | SRM 662 | 1 | 81 | 62.07 | -0.38 | -5 | 3335 | 357 | -26 | 2160 | 334 |
43 | 2015-06-20 | 2015 TCO 2B | 1 | 98 | 137.20 | 0.48 | 15 | 3340 | 363 | 27 | 2186 | 327 |
42 | 2015-06-11 | SRM 661 | 1 | 14 | 78.67 | 2.49 | 45 | 3325 | 391 | 103 | 2159 | 354 |
41 | 2015-06-04 | SRM 660 | 1 | 77 | 115.00 | 0.58 | 17 | 3280 | 472 | 34 | 2056 | 472 |
40 | 2015-05-12 | SRM 659 | 1 | 187 | 69.42 | -1.43 | -25 | 3262 | 507 | -106 | 2022 | 539 |
39 | 2015-05-05 | SRM 658 | 1 | 130 | 116.30 | -0.16 | 0 | 3287 | 454 | -11 | 2128 | 402 |
38 | 2015-04-27 | SRM 657 | 1 | 37 | 83.46 | 1.21 | 32 | 3287 | 454 | 56 | 2139 | 393 |
37 | 2015-04-17 | SRM 656 | 1 | 205 | 113.64 | -0.85 | -15 | 3256 | 517 | -48 | 2083 | 462 |
36 | 2015-04-09 | SRM 655 | 1 | 90 | 124.20 | 0.46 | 17 | 3271 | 469 | 22 | 2131 | 389 |
35 | 2015-03-17 | SRM 653 | 1 | 51 | 138.91 | 1.45 | 39 | 3254 | 496 | 71 | 2109 | 415 |
34 | 2015-02-10 | SRM 649 | 1 | 63 | 148.18 | 1.23 | 33 | 3215 | 583 | 70 | 2038 | 503 |
33 | 2015-01-24 | SRM 647 | 1 | 185 | 137.93 | -0.42 | -8 | 3182 | 670 | -16 | 1968 | 618 |
32 | 2015-01-12 | SRM 645 | 1 | 189 | 220.40 | -0.55 | -11 | 3189 | 645 | -111 | 1984 | 584 |
31 | 2014-12-27 | SRM 643 | 1 | 39 | 160.83 | 2.04 | 49 | 3200 | 613 | 100 | 2095 | 431 |
30 | 2014-12-16 | SRM 642 | 1 | 143 | 107.90 | -0.41 | -8 | 3151 | 743 | -25 | 1995 | 581 |
29 | 2014-12-11 | SRM 641 | 1 | 9 | 173.52 | 4.27 | 84 | 3159 | 722 | 194 | 2020 | 532 |
28 | 2014-12-09 | SRM 640 | 1 | 189 | 133.91 | -0.50 | -12 | 3075 | 930 | -33 | 1826 | 867 |
27 | 2014-11-02 | SRM 638 | 1 | 46 | 144.94 | 1.66 | 48 | 3087 | 897 | 96 | 1859 | 819 |
26 | 2014-10-23 | SRM 637 | 1 | 346 | 233.74 | -0.57 | -13 | 3039 | 1048 | -37 | 1763 | 1041 |
25 | 2014-10-14 | SRM 636 | 1 | 134 | 190.52 | 0.50 | 23 | 3052 | 1002 | 43 | 1800 | 939 |
24 | 2014-09-17 | SRM 633 | 1 | 110 | 280.60 | 1.35 | 46 | 3029 | 1063 | 96 | 1757 | 1047 |
23 | 2014-09-05 | SRM 632 - TCO14 Wildcard Sweep | 1 | 348 | 222.37 | -0.65 | -18 | 2983 | 1219 | -40 | 1661 | 1334 |
22 | 2014-08-21 | SRM 630 | 1 | 101 | 194.07 | 0.94 | 39 | 3001 | 1142 | 84 | 1701 | 1207 |
21 | 2014-08-12 | SRM 629 | 1 | 140 | 284.41 | 1.02 | 45 | 2962 | 1271 | 94 | 1617 | 1488 |
20 | 2014-07-22 | SRM 628 | 1 | 152 | 316.08 | 1.06 | 48 | 2917 | 1436 | 112 | 1523 | 1883 |
19 | 2014-07-05 | TCO14 Round 2C | 1 | 465 | 501.98 | 0.11 | 11 | 2869 | 1638 | 38 | 1411 | 2520 |
18 | 2014-06-19 | SRM 625 | 1 | 694 | 345.86 | -1.02 | -38 | 2858 | 1671 | -228 | 1373 | 2772 |
17 | 2014-06-12 | SRM 624 | 1 | 528 | 386.84 | -0.45 | -17 | 2896 | 1516 | -52 | 1601 | 1548 |
16 | 2014-06-07 | TCO14 Round 2B | 1 | 525 | 626.05 | 0.25 | 22 | 2913 | 1435 | 23 | 1653 | 1361 |
15 | 2014-05-20 | SRM 621 | 1 | 519 | 353.55 | -0.56 | -24 | 2891 | 1519 | -66 | 1630 | 1452 |
14 | 2014-05-17 | TCO14 Round 2A | 1 | 138 | 766.09 | 2.47 | 137 | 2915 | 1426 | 179 | 1696 | 1225 |
13 | 2014-05-10 | SRM 620 | 1 | 278 | 609.81 | 1.13 | 89 | 2778 | 2086 | 97 | 1517 | 1993 |
12 | 2014-04-12 | TCO14 Round 1A | 1 | 504 | 915.70 | 0.86 | 73 | 2689 | 2460 | 68 | 1420 | 2470 |
11 | 2014-03-04 | SRM 611 | 1 | 341 | 429.87 | -0.15 | -8 | 2616 | 2817 | -32 | 1352 | 2924 |
10 | 2013-12-22 | SRM 601 | 1 | 408 | 544.71 | 0.42 | 46 | 2624 | 2666 | 43 | 1384 | 2644 |
9 | 2013-11-01 | SRM 596 | 1 | 524 | 504.96 | -0.05 | 2 | 2578 | 2827 | -31 | 1341 | 2905 |
8 | 2013-10-15 | SRM 594 | 1 | 377 | 517.46 | 0.45 | 55 | 2576 | 2827 | 33 | 1372 | 2715 |
7 | 2013-10-05 | SRM 593 | 2 | 13 | 198.14 | 3.93 | 140 | 2521 | 3108 | 154 | 1339 | 2934 |
6 | 2013-09-07 | SRM 590 | 2 | 302 | 166.79 | -0.86 | -30 | 2381 | 3964 | 11 | 1185 | 4386 |
5 | 2013-07-27 | SRM 586 | 2 | 20 | 265.56 | 3.73 | 183 | 2410 | 3705 | 183 | 1174 | 4427 |
4 | 2013-06-18 | SRM 583 | 2 | 582 | 401.76 | -1.00 | -51 | 2227 | 5054 | -145 | 991 | 6165 |
3 | 2013-06-14 | SRM 582 | 1 | 436 | 473.01 | -0.10 | -15 | 2278 | 4636 | -84 | 1136 | 4726 |
2 | 2013-05-25 | SRM 580 | 2 | 64 | 619.60 | 3.28 | 377 | 2293 | 4584 | 172 | 1220 | 4005 |
1 | 2013-05-18 | SRM 579 | 2 | 608 | 722.63 | 0.25 | 104 | 1916 | 8165 | -152 | 1048 | 5712 |