1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warden | 132 | 3613 | 1992 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.102 | 0.963 | 1.220 | 27.1 | -54 | 465 | 3703 | 3613 | 121 |
| SRMFix | 0.179 | 0.970 | 1.247 | 36.1 | -111 | 297 | 2832 | 2727 | 106 |
| Odd | 0.138 | 0.970 | 1.231 | 27.9 | -54 | 437 | 3346 | 3266 | 116 |
| SRM | 0.390 | 1.015 | 1.339 | 65.4 | -184 | 251 | 2555 | 1992 | 228 |
| initial | 0.091 | 1.031 | 1.340 | 124.1 | -428 | 522 | 3510 | 2629 | 260 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 | 2020-09-05 | 2020 TCO Parallel 4 | 1 | 33 | 39.89 | -0.67 | -10 | 3613 | 121 | -138 | 1992 | 228 |
| 131 | 2020-08-18 | TCO20 Round 3B | 1 | 172 | 67.81 | -1.56 | -29 | 3623 | 118 | -161 | 2130 | 164 |
| 130 | 2020-07-09 | TCO20 Round 2A | 1 | 199 | 53.73 | -1.89 | -40 | 3652 | 114 | -94 | 2291 | 116 |
| 129 | 2019-08-03 | TCO19 Round 4 | 1 | 64 | 54.67 | -0.47 | -9 | 3692 | 113 | -72 | 2385 | 121 |
| 128 | 2019-07-18 | TCO19 Round 3B | 1 | 31 | 24.74 | -0.32 | -3 | 3701 | 109 | -20 | 2457 | 104 |
| 127 | 2019-06-04 | TCO19 Round 2B | 1 | 26 | 44.65 | 0.78 | 20 | 3703 | 112 | 33 | 2477 | 102 |
| 126 | 2018-12-14 | TCO19 SRM 744 | 1 | 12 | 27.80 | 1.21 | 21 | 3683 | 120 | 68 | 2444 | 119 |
| 125 | 2018-11-28 | TCO19 SRM 742 | 1 | 23 | 28.07 | 0.29 | 8 | 3662 | 131 | 25 | 2376 | 142 |
| 124 | 2018-10-20 | TCO19 SRM 740 | 1 | 31 | 33.06 | 0.09 | 4 | 3654 | 134 | 19 | 2351 | 149 |
| 123 | 2018-08-25 | TCO18 Wildcard | 1 | 13 | 8.50 | -0.61 | -7 | 3650 | 138 | -34 | 2332 | 155 |
| 122 | 2018-07-28 | 2018 TCO 4 | 1 | 87 | 59.51 | -0.56 | -8 | 3657 | 140 | -125 | 2366 | 149 |
| 121 | 2018-07-21 | TCO18 India Fun | 1 | 8 | 3.78 | -1.08 | -9 | 3665 | 132 | -59 | 2491 | 106 |
| 120 | 2018-07-19 | 2018 TCO 3B | 1 | 44 | 51.20 | 0.22 | 6 | 3673 | 129 | -4 | 2550 | 93 |
| 119 | 2018-07-07 | 2018 TCO 3A | 1 | 69 | 83.73 | 0.28 | 7 | 3667 | 131 | -1 | 2554 | 94 |
| 118 | 2018-06-02 | 2018 TCO 2A | 1 | 61 | 97.58 | 0.68 | 13 | 3660 | 129 | 20 | 2555 | 94 |
| 117 | 2018-05-26 | TCO18 Beijing | 1 | 3 | 9.21 | 1.62 | 21 | 3647 | 134 | 71 | 2535 | 93 |
| 116 | 2018-05-16 | SRM 734 | 1 | 26 | 17.44 | -0.58 | -6 | 3627 | 149 | -37 | 2464 | 117 |
| 115 | 2018-05-12 | TCO18 Fun Round Poland | 1 | 2 | 4.37 | 1.13 | 15 | 3633 | 147 | 50 | 2501 | 107 |
| 114 | 2018-05-03 | TCO18 Fun 1B | 1 | 15 | 12.32 | -0.28 | -2 | 3617 | 154 | -24 | 2451 | 120 |
| 113 | 2018-04-14 | SRM 733 | 1 | 26 | 27.50 | 0.08 | 4 | 3619 | 145 | -5 | 2475 | 106 |
| 112 | 2018-03-29 | SRM 732 | 1 | 15 | 21.17 | 0.50 | 11 | 3615 | 150 | 12 | 2480 | 113 |
| 111 | 2018-03-17 | SRM 731 | 1 | 5 | 29.22 | 2.55 | 33 | 3604 | 152 | 90 | 2468 | 114 |
| 110 | 2018-02-20 | SRM 730 | 1 | 18 | 41.85 | 1.22 | 22 | 3571 | 168 | 54 | 2378 | 141 |
| 109 | 2018-01-25 | SRM 728 | 1 | 67 | 45.20 | -0.57 | -7 | 3549 | 186 | -32 | 2324 | 161 |
| 108 | 2018-01-10 | SRM 727 | 1 | 14 | 24.32 | 0.80 | 15 | 3556 | 185 | 42 | 2356 | 152 |
| 107 | 2017-12-19 | SRM 726 | 1 | 6 | 16.20 | 1.43 | 24 | 3541 | 193 | 69 | 2314 | 169 |
| 106 | 2017-11-28 | SRM 724 | 1 | 27 | 36.28 | 0.43 | 11 | 3517 | 208 | 40 | 2245 | 206 |
| 105 | 2017-11-18 | SRM 723 | 1 | 13 | 43.64 | 1.69 | 30 | 3506 | 211 | 95 | 2205 | 227 |
| 104 | 2017-10-12 | SRM 722 | 1 | 37 | 39.54 | 0.10 | 5 | 3476 | 231 | 35 | 2110 | 271 |
| 103 | 2017-09-26 | SRM 721 | 1 | 62 | 49.30 | -0.33 | -4 | 3471 | 234 | 20 | 2075 | 283 |
| 102 | 2017-07-22 | TCO17 Round 2C | 1 | 173 | 157.58 | -0.78 | -9 | 3474 | 235 | -125 | 2055 | 300 |
| 101 | 2017-07-08 | TCO17 Round 2B | 1 | 72 | 89.11 | 0.30 | 8 | 3484 | 228 | 38 | 2180 | 240 |
| 100 | 2017-05-30 | SRM 715 | 1 | 4 | 42.38 | 3.40 | 37 | 3476 | 236 | 165 | 2142 | 259 |
| 99 | 2017-05-20 | TCO17 Round 2A | 1 | 332 | 130.55 | -1.35 | -18 | 3438 | 277 | -85 | 1977 | 383 |
| 98 | 2017-05-07 | SRM 714 | 1 | 191 | 56.73 | -1.75 | -20 | 3456 | 257 | -96 | 2062 | 325 |
| 97 | 2017-04-26 | SRM 713 | 1 | 3 | 34.11 | 3.51 | 38 | 3476 | 244 | 151 | 2158 | 268 |
| 96 | 2017-04-18 | SRM 712 | 1 | 183 | 118.26 | -1.09 | -14 | 3439 | 274 | -141 | 2007 | 365 |
| 95 | 2017-03-25 | SRM 711 | 1 | 200 | 64.47 | -1.63 | -22 | 3453 | 260 | -119 | 2148 | 261 |
| 94 | 2017-03-09 | SRM 710 | 1 | 16 | 43.54 | 1.44 | 24 | 3474 | 243 | 64 | 2267 | 198 |
| 93 | 2017-02-21 | SRM 709 | 1 | 45 | 67.73 | 0.59 | 13 | 3450 | 264 | 41 | 2203 | 236 |
| 92 | 2017-02-09 | SRM 708 | 1 | 85 | 58.00 | -0.55 | -7 | 3437 | 273 | -9 | 2162 | 257 |
| 91 | 2017-01-30 | SRM 707 by Blizzard | 1 | 11 | 44.47 | 2.02 | 31 | 3444 | 266 | 100 | 2171 | 251 |
| 90 | 2017-01-11 | SRM 705 Sponsored By Blizzard | 1 | 14 | 58.28 | 2.06 | 33 | 3413 | 295 | 128 | 2071 | 327 |
| 89 | 2016-12-29 | SRM 704 | 1 | 212 | 146.23 | -0.98 | -14 | 3380 | 320 | -135 | 1943 | 417 |
| 88 | 2016-11-14 | SRM 702 | 1 | 11 | 45.94 | 2.06 | 31 | 3394 | 307 | 117 | 2078 | 321 |
| 87 | 2016-10-26 | SRM 701 | 1 | 76 | 88.66 | 0.22 | 7 | 3363 | 335 | 44 | 1961 | 403 |
| 86 | 2016-10-12 | SRM 700 | 1 | 35 | 61.34 | 0.81 | 16 | 3356 | 339 | 79 | 1917 | 453 |
| 85 | 2016-09-26 | SRM 699 (Cisco) | 1 | 101 | 77.83 | -0.38 | -4 | 3339 | 361 | 28 | 1838 | 553 |
| 84 | 2016-09-17 | SRM 698 (Google) | 1 | 116 | 96.49 | -0.27 | -2 | 3344 | 363 | 39 | 1810 | 591 |
| 83 | 2016-09-10 | 2016 TCO Fun Round | 1 | 19 | 33.64 | -0.25 | -4 | 3346 | 363 | -111 | 1771 | 646 |
| 82 | 2016-08-18 | SRM 697 | 1 | 12 | 64.25 | 2.42 | 35 | 3350 | 369 | 154 | 1882 | 527 |
| 81 | 2016-08-10 | SRM 696 | 1 | 36 | 59.88 | 0.73 | 17 | 3315 | 414 | 99 | 1728 | 743 |
| 80 | 2016-07-19 | SRM 695 | 1 | 171 | 167.16 | -0.68 | -10 | 3299 | 432 | -78 | 1629 | 937 |
| 79 | 2016-06-25 | SRM 693 | 1 | 50 | 97.11 | 0.96 | 19 | 3308 | 427 | 117 | 1707 | 782 |
| 78 | 2016-06-18 | 2016 TCO Algo 2C | 1 | 215 | 258.26 | -0.47 | -7 | 3289 | 453 | -71 | 1590 | 1057 |
| 77 | 2016-05-30 | SRM 691 | 1 | 118 | 210.85 | -0.29 | -3 | 3296 | 456 | -44 | 1661 | 951 |
| 76 | 2016-05-26 | 2016 TCO Algo 2B | 1 | 139 | 352.39 | -0.17 | -1 | 3299 | 449 | -55 | 1705 | 841 |
| 75 | 2016-05-12 | 2016 TCO Algo 2A | 1 | 172 | 389.11 | -0.23 | -2 | 3300 | 447 | -66 | 1760 | 760 |
| 74 | 2016-04-23 | SRM 689 | 1 | 267 | 190.94 | -0.90 | -15 | 3302 | 436 | -136 | 1826 | 687 |
| 73 | 2016-04-15 | SRM 688 | 1 | 150 | 235.70 | -0.44 | -6 | 3317 | 419 | -97 | 1962 | 508 |
| 72 | 2016-04-07 | SRM 687 | 1 | 74 | 99.02 | 0.42 | 13 | 3323 | 414 | 27 | 2059 | 421 |
| 71 | 2016-03-28 | SRM 686 | 1 | 19 | 76.11 | 2.00 | 39 | 3310 | 422 | 103 | 2032 | 440 |
| 70 | 2016-03-19 | SRM 685 | 1 | 138 | 108.42 | -0.35 | -5 | 3271 | 478 | -11 | 1929 | 545 |
| 69 | 2016-02-29 | SRM 683 | 1 | 121 | 86.69 | -0.48 | -8 | 3276 | 464 | -19 | 1940 | 539 |
| 68 | 2016-01-28 | SRM 680 | 1 | 60 | 100.84 | 0.75 | 20 | 3284 | 442 | 55 | 1959 | 506 |
| 67 | 2016-01-20 | SRM 679 | 1 | 134 | 112.65 | -0.25 | -3 | 3264 | 473 | 6 | 1904 | 570 |
| 66 | 2015-12-26 | SRM 677 | 1 | 135 | 103.91 | -0.38 | -6 | 3267 | 463 | 0 | 1898 | 574 |
| 65 | 2015-12-18 | SRM 676 | 1 | 70 | 113.71 | 0.70 | 24 | 3273 | 452 | 69 | 1898 | 575 |
| 64 | 2015-12-10 | SRM 675 | 1 | 254 | 101.31 | -1.33 | -29 | 3249 | 490 | -85 | 1829 | 668 |
| 63 | 2015-11-18 | SRM 673 | 1 | 107 | 98.03 | -0.13 | 1 | 3278 | 446 | 16 | 1914 | 563 |
| 62 | 2015-10-10 | SRM 670 | 1 | 269 | 135.29 | -0.99 | -23 | 3277 | 447 | -43 | 1898 | 588 |
| 61 | 2015-08-01 | SRM 664 | 1 | 92 | 96.31 | 0.07 | 7 | 3301 | 409 | 36 | 1941 | 557 |
| 60 | 2015-07-23 | SRM 663 | 1 | 74 | 108.92 | 0.56 | 22 | 3294 | 419 | 66 | 1905 | 602 |
| 59 | 2015-07-18 | 2015 TCO 2C | 1 | 188 | 261.11 | -0.43 | -10 | 3272 | 454 | -95 | 1839 | 714 |
| 58 | 2015-05-31 | 2015 TCO 2A | 1 | 136 | 255.03 | 0.91 | 38 | 3282 | 462 | 89 | 1934 | 648 |
| 57 | 2015-04-25 | 2015 TCO 1B | 1 | 119 | 90.85 | -0.39 | -7 | 3244 | 550 | 33 | 1845 | 828 |
| 56 | 2014-07-05 | TCO14 Round 2C | 1 | 558 | 335.18 | -1.08 | -14 | 3251 | 459 | -125 | 1812 | 881 |
| 55 | 2014-06-07 | TCO14 Round 2B | 1 | 684 | 275.05 | -1.31 | -17 | 3265 | 428 | -68 | 1937 | 676 |
| 54 | 2014-05-17 | TCO14 Round 2A | 1 | 380 | 286.08 | -0.41 | -4 | 3281 | 393 | 7 | 2005 | 571 |
| 53 | 2014-05-10 | SRM 620 | 1 | 174 | 175.98 | 0.02 | 4 | 3286 | 389 | 41 | 1998 | 608 |
| 52 | 2014-05-05 | SRM 619 | 1 | 654 | 129.85 | -2.35 | -25 | 3282 | 393 | -178 | 1957 | 671 |
| 51 | 2014-04-21 | SRM 617 | 1 | 63 | 151.80 | 1.27 | 22 | 3307 | 350 | 59 | 2135 | 402 |
| 50 | 2014-04-10 | SRM 616 | 1 | 84 | 151.01 | 0.85 | 17 | 3285 | 359 | 48 | 2076 | 441 |
| 49 | 2014-04-04 | SRM 615 | 1 | 204 | 136.48 | -0.58 | -7 | 3268 | 374 | -14 | 2028 | 502 |
| 48 | 2014-03-29 | SRM 614 | 1 | 167 | 137.81 | -0.28 | -2 | 3275 | 367 | 5 | 2042 | 493 |
| 47 | 2014-03-21 | SRM 613 | 1 | 161 | 132.36 | -0.28 | -2 | 3276 | 360 | 8 | 2037 | 505 |
| 46 | 2014-03-11 | SRM 612 | 1 | 167 | 89.31 | -0.90 | -13 | 3278 | 350 | -31 | 2029 | 509 |
| 45 | 2014-02-07 | SRM 608 | 1 | 65 | 132.98 | 1.03 | 21 | 3291 | 343 | 74 | 2060 | 473 |
| 44 | 2014-02-03 | SRM 607 | 1 | 407 | 131.20 | -1.65 | -22 | 3270 | 371 | -88 | 1986 | 605 |
| 43 | 2014-01-29 | SRM 606 | 1 | 51 | 90.22 | 0.82 | 20 | 3292 | 338 | 55 | 2074 | 459 |
| 42 | 2014-01-21 | SRM 605 | 1 | 244 | 104.18 | -1.23 | -18 | 3273 | 364 | -41 | 2019 | 531 |
| 41 | 2014-01-11 | SRM 604 | 1 | 267 | 144.43 | -0.89 | -13 | 3290 | 338 | -21 | 2060 | 467 |
| 40 | 2014-01-06 | SRM 603 | 1 | 87 | 104.66 | 0.27 | 10 | 3303 | 321 | 40 | 2081 | 449 |
| 39 | 2013-12-28 | SRM 602 | 1 | 246 | 131.55 | -0.90 | -14 | 3293 | 333 | -13 | 2041 | 497 |
| 38 | 2013-12-04 | SRM 599 | 1 | 163 | 109.91 | -0.57 | -8 | 3307 | 305 | 13 | 2054 | 476 |
| 37 | 2013-11-20 | SRM 597 | 1 | 417 | 92.14 | -2.18 | -29 | 3315 | 286 | -86 | 2041 | 498 |
| 36 | 2013-11-01 | SRM 596 | 1 | 291 | 90.26 | -1.69 | -24 | 3343 | 252 | -51 | 2127 | 400 |
| 35 | 2013-10-24 | SRM 595 | 1 | 265 | 50.86 | -2.38 | -34 | 3367 | 215 | -131 | 2178 | 346 |
| 34 | 2013-10-15 | SRM 594 | 1 | 11 | 87.13 | 2.99 | 48 | 3402 | 179 | 122 | 2309 | 228 |
| 33 | 2013-10-05 | SRM 593 | 1 | 51 | 104.18 | 1.03 | 26 | 3354 | 226 | 71 | 2187 | 341 |
| 32 | 2013-09-27 | SRM 592 | 1 | 515 | 78.19 | -2.72 | -37 | 3327 | 262 | -184 | 2116 | 393 |
| 31 | 2013-09-07 | SRM 590 | 1 | 58 | 98.09 | 0.76 | 22 | 3365 | 206 | 29 | 2300 | 225 |
| 30 | 2013-08-27 | SRM 589 | 1 | 58 | 97.48 | 0.75 | 22 | 3343 | 232 | 32 | 2271 | 254 |
| 29 | 2013-07-27 | SRM 586 | 1 | 67 | 101.07 | 0.59 | 19 | 3321 | 259 | 28 | 2239 | 287 |
| 28 | 2013-06-18 | SRM 583 | 1 | 51 | 132.21 | 1.37 | 32 | 3302 | 287 | 62 | 2211 | 317 |
| 27 | 2013-06-14 | SRM 582 | 1 | 127 | 105.78 | -0.26 | -2 | 3269 | 323 | -6 | 2149 | 366 |
| 26 | 2013-05-25 | SRM 580 | 1 | 195 | 136.14 | -0.52 | -8 | 3271 | 331 | -19 | 2155 | 372 |
| 25 | 2013-05-18 | SRM 579 | 1 | 112 | 142.68 | 0.35 | 14 | 3279 | 315 | 23 | 2174 | 353 |
| 24 | 2013-05-11 | TCO13 Round 2C | 1 | 308 | 186.16 | -0.73 | -12 | 3265 | 330 | -31 | 2151 | 370 |
| 23 | 2013-04-26 | SRM 577 | 1 | 200 | 125.50 | -0.67 | -11 | 3277 | 311 | -24 | 2182 | 333 |
| 22 | 2013-04-20 | TCO13 Round 2B | 1 | 354 | 200.44 | -0.82 | -15 | 3288 | 293 | -34 | 2206 | 310 |
| 21 | 2013-04-06 | SRM 575 | 1 | 147 | 143.34 | -0.04 | 5 | 3302 | 257 | 15 | 2240 | 298 |
| 20 | 2013-03-31 | TCO13 Round 2A | 1 | 178 | 235.94 | 0.41 | 18 | 3298 | 267 | 42 | 2225 | 312 |
| 19 | 2013-03-25 | SRM 574 | 1 | 189 | 113.40 | -0.74 | -14 | 3280 | 288 | -6 | 2183 | 351 |
| 18 | 2013-03-14 | SRM 573 | 1 | 25 | 99.13 | 1.99 | 53 | 3294 | 267 | 109 | 2189 | 341 |
| 17 | 2013-03-06 | SRM 572 | 1 | 129 | 111.08 | -0.22 | -1 | 3240 | 339 | 26 | 2080 | 467 |
| 16 | 2013-03-02 | TCO13 Round 1B | 1 | 12 | 118.60 | 3.30 | 73 | 3241 | 334 | 169 | 2054 | 486 |
| 15 | 2013-02-19 | SRM 571 | 1 | 554 | 141.55 | -1.97 | -48 | 3168 | 418 | -124 | 1885 | 715 |
| 14 | 2013-02-06 | SRM 569 | 1 | 396 | 89.72 | -2.14 | -54 | 3216 | 349 | -151 | 2009 | 512 |
| 13 | 2013-01-29 | SRM 568 | 1 | 204 | 103.21 | -0.98 | -26 | 3270 | 277 | -35 | 2160 | 357 |
| 12 | 2013-01-21 | SRM 567 | 1 | 77 | 106.01 | 0.46 | 29 | 3296 | 241 | 40 | 2195 | 327 |
| 11 | 2013-01-12 | SRM 566 | 1 | 68 | 142.39 | 1.07 | 57 | 3267 | 274 | 71 | 2155 | 352 |
| 10 | 2012-12-20 | SRM 565 | 1 | 72 | 179.48 | 1.32 | 71 | 3210 | 347 | 95 | 2084 | 428 |
| 9 | 2012-12-12 | SRM 564 | 1 | 155 | 170.13 | 0.13 | 19 | 3140 | 454 | 29 | 1989 | 539 |
| 8 | 2012-12-08 | SRM 563 | 1 | 60 | 168.91 | 1.49 | 97 | 3121 | 483 | 115 | 1960 | 577 |
| 7 | 2012-11-30 | SRM 562 | 1 | 11 | ||||||||
| 6 | 2012-11-20 | SRM 561 | 1 | 129 | 214.12 | 0.73 | 67 | 3024 | 688 | 74 | 1845 | 760 |
| 5 | 2012-10-30 | SRM 559 | 1 | 96 | 194.72 | 1.02 | 101 | 2957 | 866 | 102 | 1771 | 911 |
| 4 | 2012-10-19 | SRM 558 | 1 | 202 | 341.77 | 0.76 | 98 | 2856 | 1231 | 84 | 1669 | 1211 |
| 3 | 2012-10-10 | SRM 557 | 1 | 308 | 457.65 | 0.57 | 103 | 2758 | 1667 | 58 | 1585 | 1515 |
| 2 | 2012-09-13 | SRM 556 | 1 | 150 | 550.76 | 1.88 | 465 | 2655 | 2197 | 251 | 1527 | 1793 |
| 1 | 2012-09-07 | SRM 555 | 2 | 218 | 628.73 | 1.53 | 413 | 2190 | 5377 | 76 | 1276 | 3437 |