onigiri

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

Player	Rounds	Elo	SRM
onigiri	100	3107	1636

Rating	perf	err	err2	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max	R	rank
EloSRM	0.257	1.048	1.495	28.5	-87	548	3121	3107	515
SRMFix	0.238	1.068	1.529	40.6	-151	443	2459	2297	438
SRM	0.523	1.078	1.667	80.2	-284	196	2099	1636	563
initial	0.109	1.215	1.719	146.3	-542	925	3139	2494	435

#	date	round	division	rank	seed	perf	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
100	2019-05-10	TCO19 SRM 758	1	107	102.09	-0.45	-14	3107	515	-94	1636	563
99	2019-04-29	SRM 757	1	36	79.66	1.15	49	3121	492	88	1730	463
98	2019-04-20	TCO19 Round 1A	1	153	139.86	-0.13	1	3071	540	23	1642	560
97	2015-04-25	2015 TCO 1B	1	264	142.85	-0.89	-15	3070	960	4	1619	1380
96	2015-01-15	SRM 646	1	250	148.53	-0.99	-17	3085	911	-117	1615	1456
95	2014-11-28	SRM 639	1	78	175.29	1.17	24	3103	857	102	1732	1104
94	2014-10-04	SRM 635	1	222	300.90	-0.39	-5	3078	921	-51	1630	1439
93	2014-08-21	SRM 630	1	441	148.71	-1.60	-20	3083	885	-166	1681	1265
92	2014-07-22	SRM 628	1	116	204.29	0.82	15	3103	822	70	1847	835
91	2014-07-10	SRM 627	1	225	220.31	-0.03	2	3087	866	27	1777	982
90	2014-06-28	SRM 626	1	127	255.14	1.01	19	3085	862	92	1750	1071
89	2014-06-19	SRM 625	1	712	235.05	-1.60	-20	3067	924	-166	1658	1325
88	2014-06-12	SRM 624	1	84	293.98	1.81	30	3087	876	121	1824	889
87	2014-06-07	TCO14 Round 2B	1	315	481.18	0.61	15	3057	951	72	1703	1199
86	2014-06-04	SRM 623	1	355	188.92	-0.91	-15	3042	990	-70	1631	1429
85	2014-05-10	SRM 620	1	232	322.35	0.48	12	3057	947	65	1701	1245
84	2014-05-05	SRM 619	1	300	242.61	-0.31	-3	3045	977	18	1636	1450
83	2014-04-21	SRM 617	1	831	272.24	-1.62	-23	3048	954	-168	1618	1505
82	2014-04-12	TCO14 Round 1A	1	397	326.05	-0.28	-2	3072	865	21	1786	992
81	2014-04-10	SRM 616	1	792	246.52	-1.70	-26	3073	830	-168	1765	1014
80	2014-03-21	SRM 613	1	348	206.76	-0.75	-12	3099	763	-54	1933	670
79	2014-03-11	SRM 612	1	84	149.15	0.83	23	3111	731	44	1987	591
78	2014-02-03	SRM 607	1	79	233.77	1.56	35	3088	785	87	1943	672
77	2013-11-28	SRM 598	1	168	137.60	-0.29	-3	3053	842	-4	1856	813
76	2013-09-27	SRM 592	1	387	183.99	-1.07	-14	3056	792	-72	1860	792
75	2013-09-16	SRM 591	1	126	143.85	0.19	7	3070	750	20	1932	657
74	2013-09-07	SRM 590	1	602	265.46	-1.36	-18	3063	768	-170	1912	692
73	2013-08-01	SRM 587	1	107	138.11	0.37	10	3082	703	2	2082	428
72	2013-06-18	SRM 583	1	221	221.91	0.01	3	3072	713	-19	2080	433
71	2013-06-14	SRM 582	1	43	190.97	2.15	33	3069	718	83	2099	421
70	2013-05-25	SRM 580	1	141	267.82	0.93	18	3037	821	39	2016	514
69	2013-05-02	SRM 578	1	215	187.67	-0.20	-1	3018	871	-24	1977	571
68	2013-04-26	SRM 577	1	152	268.90	0.82	17	3019	856	37	2001	532
67	2013-04-20	TCO13 Round 2B	1	90	475.99	2.40	37	3003	903	122	1964	594
66	2013-04-11	SRM 576	1	119	205.21	0.79	17	2966	1005	54	1842	858
65	2013-03-31	TCO13 Round 2A	1	438	652.67	-0.25	-3	2949	1057	-65	1788	977
64	2013-03-25	SRM 574	1	559	281.73	-0.99	-14	2952	1029	-95	1853	833
63	2013-03-14	SRM 573	1	82	221.58	1.43	27	2966	965	73	1948	640
62	2013-03-06	SRM 572	1	278	244.51	-0.19	-1	2939	1051	-21	1875	766
61	2013-02-23	TCO13 Round 1A	1	56	307.15	2.46	36	2940	1025	115	1896	711
60	2013-02-19	SRM 571	1	409	308.54	-0.41	-6	2904	1122	-34	1781	932
59	2013-02-13	SRM 570	1	65	318.12	2.29	43	2910	1095	127	1815	851
58	2013-02-06	SRM 569	1	27	275.36	3.35	58	2867	1260	175	1688	1187
57	2013-01-21	SRM 567	1	443	312.61	-0.50	-10	2810	1470	-37	1513	1820
56	2012-12-20	SRM 565	1	425	353.81	-0.26	-4	2820	1417	-12	1550	1677
55	2012-12-12	SRM 564	1	89	357.89	2.01	44	2824	1397	150	1562	1636
54	2012-11-30	SRM 562	1	66
53	2012-11-20	SRM 561	1	250	315.62	0.34	12	2779	1582	62	1412	2375
52	2012-11-10	SRM 560	1	174	346.35	0.99	28	2767	1645	116	1350	2831
51	2012-10-19	SRM 558	1	650	344.90	-0.94	-20	2739	1756	-178	1234	3807
50	2012-10-10	SRM 557	1	475	417.16	-0.52	-11	2759	1659	-67	1412	2380
49	2012-09-13	SRM 556	1	581	295.71	-0.98	-20	2769	1608	-180	1479	2030
48	2012-09-07	SRM 555	1	252	347.90	0.46	16	2789	1515	30	1659	1250
47	2012-07-09	SRM 549	1	354	283.92	-0.32	-5	2773	1543	-41	1629	1333
46	2012-07-02	SRM 548	1	162	308.11	0.93	25	2778	1509	61	1670	1193
45	2012-06-25	SRM 547	1	198	254.22	0.36	13	2754	1620	29	1609	1410
44	2012-05-29	SRM 544	1	353	342.21	-0.43	-8	2741	1668	-90	1580	1563
43	2012-05-08	SRM 542	1	147	247.61	0.75	21	2749	1646	48	1670	1251
42	2012-04-11	SRM 540	1	371	476.27	0.34	11	2728	1675	24	1622	1387
41	2012-03-31	TCO12 Round 1A	1	558	553.94	-0.01	3	2717	1666	10	1598	1438
40	2012-03-20	SRM 538	1	98	429.24	2.13	43	2714	1648	141	1588	1441
39	2012-03-17	SRM 537	1	681	535.61	-0.35	-7	2671	1860	-43	1447	2143
38	2012-03-07	SRM 536	1	85	473.73	2.48	51	2677	1814	173	1490	1905
37	2012-02-23	SRM 534	1	559	386.60	-0.54	-12	2626	2045	-75	1317	3019
36	2012-02-18	SRM 533	1	265	517.21	0.96	29	2638	1964	99	1392	2402
35	2012-02-09	SRM 532	1	413	469.36	-0.24	-5	2609	2096	-24	1293	3175
34	2012-01-31	SRM 531	1	378	491.87	0.35	14	2614	2060	54	1317	2943
33	2012-01-19	SRM 530	1	328	372.84	0.18	9	2600	2117	37	1263	3426
32	2012-01-14	SRM 529	1	681	495.43	-0.58	-15	2591	2155	-110	1226	3751
31	2011-12-28	SRM 528	2	1	64.47	6.01	47	2605	2057	196	1336	2786
30	2011-12-23	SRM 526.5	2	366	41.70	-3.13	-26	2559	2302	-36	1140	4548
29	2011-12-17	SRM 527	1	511	528.15	-0.29	-7	2584	2141	-33	1176	4241
28	2011-12-06	SRM 526	1	469	294.06	-0.67	-19	2592	2086	-201	1209	3870
27	2011-11-29	SRM 525	1	782	453.88	-0.79	-21	2610	1992	-203	1410	2232
26	2011-11-17	SRM 524	1	171	452.75	1.40	47	2631	1854	94	1613	1275
25	2011-11-12	SRM 523	1	426	473.08	0.10	8	2584	2096	-10	1519	1636
24	2011-10-25	SRM 522	1	342	341.87	-0.00	4	2577	2118	-24	1529	1585
23	2011-10-13	SRM 521	1	101	489.45	2.28	72	2573	2124	147	1553	1477
22	2011-10-04	SRM 520	1	271	593.65	1.13	48	2501	2484	97	1406	2216
21	2011-09-19	SRM 519	2	10	109.86	3.46	51	2453	2745	131	1309	2894
20	2011-09-14	SRM 518	2	409	121.25	-1.75	-24	2401	3069	-21	1178	4091
19	2011-09-10	SRM 517	1	594	594.74	-0.25	-9	2425	2862	-47	1199	3834
18	2011-08-30	SRM 516	1	501	490.42	-0.28	-11	2434	2770	-72	1246	3349
17	2011-08-20	SRM 515	2	3	129.30	5.43	74	2445	2678	189	1318	2712
16	2011-08-09	SRM 514	2	406	89.62	-2.18	-33	2371	3131	-46	1129	4452
15	2011-07-26	SRM 513	2	73	135.62	0.89	29	2404	2947	91	1175	4048
14	2011-07-13	SRM 512	2	196	151.91	-0.37	-3	2375	3111	56	1084	4883
13	2011-07-02	SRM 511	2	821	122.17	-2.75	-44	2377	3076	-73	1028	5349
12	2011-06-21	SRM 510	2	535	66.52	-3.01	-47	2421	2802	-85	1101	4618
11	2011-06-18	TCO11 Round 1	1	1311	1,024.91	-0.45	-26	2468	2535	-131	1186	3867
10	2011-06-08	SRM 509	1	358	609.41	0.77	58	2494	2377	103	1317	2743
9	2011-06-02	SRM 508	1	540	609.74	-0.15	-6	2436	2664	-22	1214	3622
8	2011-05-28	SRM 507	1	561	585.70	0.06	13	2442	2594	8	1236	3343
7	2011-05-19	TCO11 Qual 2	1	508	547.30	0.11	18	2430	2635	39	1228	3394
6	2011-05-17	SRM 504.5	2	78	161.16	1.05	61	2412	2700	113	1189	3746
5	2011-05-14	TCO11 Qual 1	1	1438	720.61	-1.02	-87	2351	2987	-284	1076	4703
4	2011-05-11	SRM 506	1	396	414.23	0.06	21	2437	2488	-30	1360	2329
3	2011-05-03	Member SRM 505	1	306	486.18	0.00	14	2416	2613	-20	1390	2164
2	2011-04-16	Member SRM 503	1	472	672.45	0.51	150	2402	2679	19	1410	2030
1	2011-03-30	Member SRM 501	2	119	637.90	2.42	548	2252	3518	191	1391	2127