1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
Thrax | 103 | 2844 | 1476 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EloSRM | 0.323 | 0.763 | 1.144 | 21.6 | -85 | 321 | 2863 | 2844 | 1801 |
Odd | 0.318 | 0.764 | 1.148 | 22.5 | -69 | 309 | 2636 | 2590 | 1907 |
SRMFix | 0.272 | 0.768 | 1.139 | 28.8 | -114 | 242 | 2191 | 2125 | 1702 |
initial | 0.096 | 0.795 | 1.188 | 95.8 | -434 | 554 | 2798 | 2364 | 1899 |
SRM | 0.555 | 0.896 | 1.525 | 64.4 | -411 | 170 | 1754 | 1476 | 2158 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
103 | 2014-09-17 | SRM 633 | 1 | 245 | 414.48 | -0.15 | -1 | 2844 | 1801 | -20 | 1476 | 2158 |
102 | 2014-09-05 | SRM 632 - TCO14 Wildcard Sweep | 1 | 338 | 298.89 | -0.18 | -2 | 2845 | 1795 | -3 | 1496 | 2052 |
101 | 2014-07-05 | TCO14 Round 2C | 1 | 558 | 552.80 | -0.36 | -6 | 2846 | 1743 | -67 | 1499 | 2010 |
100 | 2014-05-20 | SRM 621 | 1 | 269 | 403.52 | 0.58 | 12 | 2852 | 1678 | 56 | 1566 | 1682 |
99 | 2014-04-26 | TCO14 Round 1C | 1 | 146 | 234.65 | 0.68 | 11 | 2839 | 1754 | 66 | 1510 | 2050 |
98 | 2014-04-24 | SRM 618 | 1 | 295 | 278.56 | -0.08 | 0 | 2828 | 1793 | 14 | 1444 | 2368 |
97 | 2014-04-21 | SRM 617 | 1 | 657 | 432.56 | -0.60 | -9 | 2828 | 1787 | -57 | 1430 | 2441 |
96 | 2014-04-19 | TCO14 Round 1B | 1 | 1653 | 395.97 | -2.06 | -22 | 2837 | 1744 | -165 | 1487 | 2125 |
95 | 2014-04-10 | SRM 616 | 1 | 400 | 462.59 | -0.36 | -5 | 2858 | 1536 | -82 | 1652 | 1278 |
94 | 2014-03-21 | SRM 613 | 1 | 253 | 357.14 | 0.50 | 12 | 2863 | 1515 | 19 | 1734 | 1096 |
93 | 2014-03-04 | SRM 611 | 1 | 168 | 327.34 | 0.96 | 19 | 2851 | 1588 | 54 | 1715 | 1152 |
92 | 2014-02-15 | SRM 609 | 1 | 472 | 367.44 | -0.36 | -5 | 2832 | 1676 | -47 | 1661 | 1316 |
91 | 2014-02-07 | SRM 608 | 1 | 220 | 363.33 | 0.72 | 16 | 2836 | 1656 | 38 | 1708 | 1194 |
90 | 2014-01-21 | SRM 605 | 1 | 259 | 318.15 | 0.30 | 8 | 2820 | 1708 | 13 | 1670 | 1299 |
89 | 2014-01-11 | SRM 604 | 1 | 325 | 446.68 | 0.46 | 12 | 2812 | 1743 | 28 | 1657 | 1345 |
88 | 2014-01-06 | SRM 603 | 1 | 442 | 333.68 | -0.63 | -10 | 2800 | 1764 | -125 | 1629 | 1429 |
87 | 2013-12-28 | SRM 602 | 1 | 109 | 430.68 | 1.98 | 36 | 2811 | 1719 | 103 | 1754 | 1070 |
86 | 2013-12-22 | SRM 601 | 1 | 394 | 418.00 | 0.08 | 5 | 2775 | 1863 | -12 | 1651 | 1345 |
85 | 2013-12-14 | SRM 600 | 1 | 295 | 582.20 | 0.98 | 24 | 2770 | 1887 | 58 | 1663 | 1296 |
84 | 2013-12-04 | SRM 599 | 1 | 93 | 426.58 | 2.20 | 43 | 2746 | 1991 | 131 | 1605 | 1481 |
83 | 2013-11-28 | SRM 598 | 1 | 241 | 286.62 | 0.25 | 9 | 2703 | 2176 | 18 | 1474 | 2090 |
82 | 2013-11-20 | SRM 597 | 1 | 272 | 447.60 | 0.72 | 21 | 2694 | 2231 | 61 | 1456 | 2180 |
81 | 2013-11-01 | SRM 596 | 1 | 244 | 462.47 | 0.92 | 27 | 2672 | 2344 | 82 | 1395 | 2527 |
80 | 2013-09-27 | SRM 592 | 1 | 423 | 417.94 | -0.02 | 2 | 2645 | 2434 | 2 | 1313 | 3096 |
79 | 2013-09-16 | SRM 591 | 2 | 4 | 44.24 | 3.47 | 32 | 2643 | 2414 | 144 | 1311 | 3078 |
78 | 2013-08-27 | SRM 589 | 1 | 665 | 443.82 | -0.60 | -15 | 2611 | 2605 | -169 | 1167 | 4558 |
77 | 2013-06-18 | SRM 583 | 1 | 363 | 496.41 | 0.45 | 14 | 2626 | 2453 | 56 | 1336 | 2882 |
76 | 2013-06-14 | SRM 582 | 1 | 351 | 395.43 | 0.17 | 7 | 2611 | 2536 | 33 | 1280 | 3315 |
75 | 2013-06-03 | SRM 581 | 1 | 317 | 335.20 | -0.26 | -5 | 2604 | 2574 | -39 | 1247 | 3614 |
74 | 2013-05-02 | SRM 578 | 1 | 339 | 384.95 | -0.23 | -4 | 2609 | 2650 | -39 | 1286 | 3442 |
73 | 2013-04-11 | SRM 576 | 1 | 383 | 365.76 | -0.07 | 0 | 2614 | 2679 | -15 | 1325 | 3194 |
72 | 2013-04-06 | SRM 575 | 2 | 9 | 77.86 | 3.11 | 28 | 2613 | 2707 | 144 | 1340 | 3135 |
71 | 2013-03-25 | SRM 574 | 1 | 602 | 541.97 | -0.34 | -7 | 2585 | 2843 | -48 | 1196 | 4474 |
70 | 2013-03-14 | SRM 573 | 1 | 567 | 394.86 | -0.54 | -13 | 2593 | 2793 | -171 | 1244 | 3943 |
69 | 2013-02-13 | SRM 570 | 1 | 191 | 511.09 | 1.42 | 37 | 2606 | 2562 | 109 | 1415 | 2417 |
68 | 2013-01-29 | SRM 568 | 2 | 7 | 81.02 | 3.53 | 31 | 2569 | 2711 | 147 | 1306 | 3157 |
67 | 2013-01-12 | SRM 566 | 2 | 191 | 76.21 | -1.32 | -10 | 2538 | 2860 | 33 | 1159 | 4611 |
66 | 2012-12-20 | SRM 565 | 2 | 204 | 62.20 | -1.71 | -13 | 2548 | 2808 | 28 | 1126 | 4890 |
65 | 2012-11-30 | SRM 562 | 2 | 7 | ||||||||
64 | 2012-11-20 | SRM 561 | 1 | 608 | 424.58 | -0.53 | -12 | 2561 | 2734 | -173 | 1098 | 5106 |
63 | 2012-11-10 | SRM 560 | 1 | 599 | 435.63 | -0.46 | -10 | 2573 | 2685 | -112 | 1271 | 3471 |
62 | 2012-10-10 | SRM 557 | 1 | 475 | 496.00 | -0.27 | -5 | 2583 | 2606 | -60 | 1383 | 2583 |
61 | 2012-09-13 | SRM 556 | 1 | 304 | 410.11 | 0.43 | 13 | 2588 | 2574 | 28 | 1443 | 2227 |
60 | 2012-09-07 | SRM 555 | 1 | 159 | 503.69 | 1.66 | 38 | 2575 | 2660 | 128 | 1415 | 2379 |
59 | 2012-09-01 | SRM 554 | 1 | 524 | 587.45 | 0.16 | 7 | 2537 | 2853 | 20 | 1287 | 3324 |
58 | 2012-08-22 | SRM 553 | 1 | 343 | 364.59 | -0.25 | -5 | 2530 | 2880 | -40 | 1267 | 3486 |
57 | 2012-08-16 | SRM 552 | 1 | 237 | 353.24 | -0.06 | 0 | 2535 | 2840 | 0 | 1307 | 3157 |
56 | 2012-07-09 | SRM 549 | 2 | 4 | 59.90 | 3.90 | 31 | 2535 | 2829 | 143 | 1307 | 3165 |
55 | 2012-07-02 | SRM 548 | 1 | 479 | 430.96 | -0.30 | -7 | 2504 | 2992 | -64 | 1164 | 4456 |
54 | 2012-06-25 | SRM 547 | 1 | 319 | 338.01 | -0.19 | -4 | 2510 | 2950 | -34 | 1228 | 3897 |
53 | 2012-06-16 | SRM 546 | 1 | 420 | 527.80 | -0.12 | -2 | 2514 | 2985 | -15 | 1262 | 3669 |
52 | 2012-06-07 | SRM 545 | 1 | 480 | 562.83 | -0.16 | -3 | 2516 | 2981 | -30 | 1277 | 3530 |
51 | 2012-05-29 | SRM 544 | 1 | 568 | 422.66 | -0.45 | -11 | 2519 | 2935 | -179 | 1307 | 3248 |
50 | 2012-05-19 | SRM 543 | 1 | 236 | 649.17 | 1.46 | 41 | 2530 | 2886 | 104 | 1486 | 2029 |
49 | 2012-05-08 | SRM 542 | 1 | 234 | 357.73 | 0.61 | 22 | 2489 | 3165 | 54 | 1382 | 2717 |
48 | 2012-04-14 | TCO12 Round 1C | 1 | 648 | 613.47 | -0.08 | 1 | 2467 | 3256 | -8 | 1328 | 3114 |
47 | 2012-04-11 | SRM 540 | 1 | 381 | 591.58 | -0.02 | 2 | 2466 | 3171 | 4 | 1336 | 2957 |
46 | 2012-04-07 | TCO12 Round 1B | 1 | 769 | 762.47 | -0.01 | 3 | 2465 | 3148 | -6 | 1332 | 2967 |
45 | 2012-04-04 | SRM 539 | 1 | 312 | ||||||||
44 | 2012-03-31 | TCO12 Round 1A | 1 | 664 | 900.55 | 0.44 | 16 | 2462 | 3107 | 29 | 1338 | 2866 |
43 | 2012-03-20 | SRM 538 | 1 | 430 | 595.00 | 0.47 | 19 | 2446 | 3185 | 41 | 1309 | 3116 |
42 | 2012-03-03 | SRM 535 | 1 | 621 | 686.92 | 0.14 | 8 | 2426 | 3251 | 2 | 1268 | 3477 |
41 | 2012-02-18 | SRM 533 | 1 | 481 | 659.07 | 0.42 | 18 | 2419 | 3256 | 43 | 1266 | 3449 |
40 | 2012-02-09 | SRM 532 | 1 | 413 | 539.27 | -0.04 | 1 | 2400 | 3357 | -5 | 1223 | 3852 |
39 | 2012-01-19 | SRM 530 | 2 | 23 | 111.22 | 2.27 | 32 | 2400 | 3343 | 102 | 1228 | 3756 |
38 | 2012-01-14 | SRM 529 | 2 | 530 | 146.97 | -1.85 | -20 | 2368 | 3514 | -35 | 1126 | 4723 |
37 | 2011-12-28 | SRM 528 | 1 | 687 | 567.56 | -0.30 | -10 | 2387 | 3379 | -161 | 1161 | 4387 |
36 | 2011-12-23 | SRM 526.5 | 1 | 268 | 501.74 | 0.90 | 38 | 2398 | 3280 | 87 | 1322 | 2891 |
35 | 2011-12-17 | SRM 527 | 1 | 511 | 608.18 | -0.09 | -2 | 2359 | 3509 | -22 | 1235 | 3647 |
34 | 2011-11-17 | SRM 524 | 1 | 525 | 584.68 | 0.16 | 10 | 2361 | 3435 | -2 | 1257 | 3405 |
33 | 2011-10-13 | SRM 521 | 1 | 639 | 569.60 | -0.17 | -5 | 2352 | 3432 | -98 | 1259 | 3317 |
32 | 2011-10-04 | SRM 520 | 1 | 413 | 670.28 | 0.70 | 31 | 2357 | 3371 | 51 | 1357 | 2517 |
31 | 2011-09-19 | SRM 519 | 1 | 279 | 508.60 | 0.86 | 38 | 2326 | 3544 | 78 | 1306 | 2926 |
30 | 2011-09-14 | SRM 518 | 1 | 572 | 691.42 | 0.27 | 15 | 2287 | 3775 | 11 | 1228 | 3587 |
29 | 2011-09-10 | SRM 517 | 2 | 73 | 280.18 | 1.94 | 37 | 2272 | 3835 | 72 | 1217 | 3657 |
28 | 2011-08-20 | SRM 515 | 2 | 42 | 251.90 | 2.58 | 45 | 2235 | 3994 | 100 | 1145 | 4292 |
27 | 2011-08-09 | SRM 514 | 2 | 327 | 196.43 | -0.74 | -10 | 2190 | 4305 | -11 | 1045 | 5272 |
26 | 2011-07-13 | SRM 512 | 2 | 748 | 273.62 | -1.45 | -21 | 2200 | 4219 | -57 | 1056 | 5143 |
25 | 2011-07-02 | SRM 511 | 2 | 364 | 260.75 | -0.48 | -5 | 2222 | 4051 | 0 | 1113 | 4554 |
24 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 1311 | 1,244.07 | -0.17 | -7 | 2227 | 4000 | -96 | 1113 | 4511 |
23 | 2011-06-08 | SRM 509 | 2 | 35 | 266.07 | 2.93 | 50 | 2234 | 3966 | 103 | 1209 | 3681 |
22 | 2011-06-02 | SRM 508 | 2 | 333 | 299.19 | -0.15 | 1 | 2184 | 4275 | 6 | 1106 | 4570 |
21 | 2011-05-28 | SRM 507 | 2 | 260 | 292.72 | 0.17 | 10 | 2182 | 4211 | 20 | 1100 | 4566 |
20 | 2011-05-24 | TCO11 Qual 3 | 1 | 280 | 561.83 | 1.00 | 45 | 2172 | 4263 | 86 | 1080 | 4745 |
19 | 2011-05-19 | TCO11 Qual 2 | 1 | 693 | 861.70 | 0.31 | 20 | 2127 | 4591 | 37 | 994 | 5597 |
18 | 2011-05-17 | SRM 504.5 | 2 | 119 | 439.20 | 1.88 | 56 | 2107 | 4689 | 101 | 957 | 5914 |
17 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 1066 | 1,125.93 | -0.15 | -7 | 2051 | 5088 | -29 | 856 | 7099 |
16 | 2011-05-11 | SRM 506 | 2 | 676 | 236.67 | -1.51 | -38 | 2058 | 5035 | -126 | 885 | 6753 |
15 | 2011-05-03 | Member SRM 505 | 2 | 339 | 322.22 | -0.07 | 4 | 2096 | 4714 | 7 | 1011 | 5355 |
14 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 2 | 477 | 312.78 | -0.61 | -15 | 2092 | 4745 | -19 | 1004 | 5400 |
13 | 2011-03-30 | Member SRM 501 | 2 | 295 | 272.18 | -0.12 | 3 | 2107 | 4571 | 16 | 1023 | 5133 |
12 | 2011-03-19 | SRM 500 | 2 | 162 | 380.18 | 1.23 | 59 | 2104 | 4534 | 71 | 1007 | 5255 |
11 | 2011-03-08 | SRM 499 | 2 | 293 | 411.95 | 0.49 | 34 | 2045 | 4960 | 43 | 936 | 5946 |
10 | 2011-02-26 | SRM 498 | 2 | 517 | 414.61 | -0.32 | -9 | 2010 | 5220 | -8 | 893 | 6347 |
9 | 2011-02-10 | SRM 497 | 2 | 276 | 336.03 | 0.28 | 29 | 2019 | 5175 | 30 | 901 | 6318 |
8 | 2011-01-27 | SRM 495 | 2 | 258 | 495.49 | 0.94 | 73 | 1990 | 5342 | 72 | 871 | 6596 |
7 | 2011-01-12 | SRM 493 | 2 | 422 | 296.59 | -0.51 | -26 | 1917 | 5835 | -23 | 799 | 7543 |
6 | 2010-11-18 | SRM 488 | 2 | 306 | 340.32 | 0.15 | 26 | 1943 | 5433 | 32 | 822 | 6936 |
5 | 2010-11-13 | SRM 487 | 2 | 426 | 512.03 | 0.26 | 42 | 1917 | 5584 | 36 | 790 | 7404 |
4 | 2010-10-05 | SRM 484 | 2 | 351 | 373.84 | 0.09 | 27 | 1875 | 5830 | 24 | 754 | 7701 |
3 | 2010-08-26 | SRM 480 | 2 | 132 | 597.40 | 2.18 | 321 | 1848 | 5853 | 170 | 730 | 7674 |
2 | 2010-08-04 | Member SRM 478 | 2 | 854 | 723.71 | -0.32 | -57 | 1527 | 9310 | -229 | 560 | 9057 |
1 | 2010-07-28 | SRM 477 | 2 | 770 | 677.85 | -0.38 | -85 | 1584 | 8290 | -411 | 789 | 6958 |