1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
Sigmar | 96 | 3220 | 2208 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odd | 0.386 | 1.054 | 1.390 | 28.9 | -86 | 265 | 3002 | 3001 | 394 |
EloSRM | 0.402 | 1.055 | 1.390 | 27.8 | -97 | 269 | 3220 | 3220 | 398 |
SRMFix | 0.322 | 1.060 | 1.404 | 40.7 | -106 | 250 | 2606 | 2581 | 368 |
SRM | 0.528 | 1.114 | 1.495 | 72.7 | -283 | 168 | 2312 | 2208 | 320 |
initial | 0.158 | 1.130 | 1.514 | 136.1 | -416 | 714 | 3446 | 3022 | 381 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
96 | 2013-05-11 | TCO13 Round 2C | 1 | 140 | 235.35 | 0.75 | 20 | 3220 | 398 | 28 | 2208 | 320 |
95 | 2013-04-20 | TCO13 Round 2B | 1 | 432 | 263.05 | -0.72 | -11 | 3200 | 419 | -45 | 2180 | 336 |
94 | 2013-02-23 | TCO13 Round 1A | 1 | 100 | 117.09 | 0.23 | 9 | 3212 | 368 | 18 | 2225 | 299 |
93 | 2012-07-09 | SRM 549 | 1 | 48 | 104.60 | 1.12 | 15 | 3202 | 319 | 59 | 2207 | 297 |
92 | 2012-06-16 | SRM 546 | 1 | 89 | 155.52 | 0.80 | 12 | 3187 | 333 | 54 | 2148 | 348 |
91 | 2012-06-02 | Round 2C | 1 | 442 | 225.22 | -0.97 | -8 | 3175 | 351 | -42 | 2094 | 400 |
90 | 2012-05-29 | SRM 544 | 1 | 353 | 202.18 | -1.19 | -11 | 3183 | 328 | -165 | 2136 | 369 |
89 | 2012-05-19 | SRM 543 | 1 | 168 | 152.87 | -0.14 | 1 | 3194 | 313 | -11 | 2301 | 223 |
88 | 2012-05-12 | TCO12 Round 2B | 1 | 135 | 257.28 | 0.93 | 14 | 3193 | 321 | 38 | 2312 | 221 |
87 | 2012-04-23 | SRM 541 | 1 | 29 | 185.76 | 2.68 | 28 | 3179 | 328 | 104 | 2274 | 246 |
86 | 2012-04-21 | TCO12 Round 2A | 1 | 426 | 313.99 | -0.47 | -4 | 3152 | 366 | -23 | 2170 | 340 |
85 | 2012-04-11 | SRM 540 | 1 | 283 | 164.57 | -0.78 | -7 | 3156 | 353 | -31 | 2193 | 323 |
84 | 2012-03-31 | TCO12 Round 1A | 1 | 4 | 159.11 | 5.31 | 34 | 3163 | 333 | 160 | 2224 | 286 |
83 | 2012-03-20 | SRM 538 | 1 | 137 | 148.56 | 0.12 | 5 | 3129 | 362 | 25 | 2064 | 423 |
82 | 2012-03-17 | SRM 537 | 1 | 473 | 186.02 | -1.35 | -13 | 3125 | 375 | -65 | 2039 | 448 |
81 | 2012-03-07 | SRM 536 | 1 | 363 | 140.70 | -1.37 | -14 | 3138 | 360 | -64 | 2104 | 393 |
80 | 2012-03-03 | SRM 535 | 1 | 532 | 141.49 | -1.91 | -18 | 3152 | 335 | -114 | 2168 | 335 |
79 | 2012-02-18 | SRM 533 | 1 | 98 | 147.21 | 0.59 | 11 | 3170 | 306 | 25 | 2282 | 231 |
78 | 2012-02-09 | SRM 532 | 1 | 46 | 147.20 | 1.68 | 24 | 3158 | 324 | 70 | 2257 | 250 |
77 | 2012-01-14 | SRM 529 | 1 | 202 | 153.14 | -0.40 | -3 | 3134 | 351 | -11 | 2187 | 316 |
76 | 2011-12-17 | SRM 527 | 1 | 117 | 166.05 | 0.50 | 10 | 3138 | 344 | 37 | 2198 | 311 |
75 | 2011-11-17 | SRM 524 | 1 | 514 | 133.27 | -1.96 | -18 | 3127 | 346 | -142 | 2161 | 327 |
74 | 2011-10-25 | SRM 522 | 1 | 38 | 96.35 | 1.34 | 18 | 3145 | 320 | 56 | 2303 | 212 |
73 | 2011-10-13 | SRM 521 | 1 | 4 | 138.06 | 5.11 | 38 | 3127 | 339 | 168 | 2247 | 252 |
72 | 2011-10-04 | SRM 520 | 1 | 204 | 161.98 | -0.33 | -2 | 3089 | 397 | -5 | 2079 | 413 |
71 | 2011-09-19 | SRM 519 | 1 | 169 | 116.23 | -0.54 | -5 | 3092 | 388 | -15 | 2084 | 405 |
70 | 2011-09-14 | SRM 518 | 1 | 417 | 151.43 | -1.46 | -14 | 3096 | 375 | -86 | 2099 | 390 |
69 | 2011-09-10 | SRM 517 | 1 | 99 | 158.60 | 0.68 | 12 | 3111 | 354 | 35 | 2185 | 304 |
68 | 2011-08-30 | SRM 516 | 1 | 120 | 136.33 | 0.18 | 6 | 3099 | 369 | 20 | 2150 | 329 |
67 | 2011-08-20 | SRM 515 | 1 | 50 | 162.12 | 1.70 | 23 | 3093 | 372 | 87 | 2130 | 352 |
66 | 2011-08-09 | SRM 514 | 1 | 52 | 124.74 | 1.26 | 19 | 3070 | 414 | 87 | 2043 | 423 |
65 | 2011-07-26 | SRM 513 | 1 | 203 | 156.80 | -0.37 | -3 | 3051 | 441 | 10 | 1956 | 534 |
64 | 2011-07-13 | SRM 512 | 1 | 843 | 182.82 | -2.22 | -21 | 3054 | 432 | -173 | 1946 | 540 |
63 | 2011-07-09 | TCO11 Round 3 | 1 | 186 | 193.72 | 0.06 | 4 | 3075 | 412 | 1 | 2119 | 365 |
62 | 2011-07-02 | SRM 511 | 1 | 306 | 192.05 | -0.67 | -7 | 3071 | 412 | -37 | 2118 | 375 |
61 | 2011-06-25 | TCO11 Round 2 | 1 | 82 | 296.94 | 1.86 | 29 | 3079 | 402 | 101 | 2155 | 336 |
60 | 2011-06-21 | SRM 510 | 1 | 212 | 124.93 | -0.76 | -8 | 3050 | 429 | -35 | 2054 | 418 |
59 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 197 | 367.73 | 0.90 | 17 | 3058 | 410 | 54 | 2089 | 395 |
58 | 2011-06-02 | SRM 508 | 1 | 217 | 189.84 | -0.19 | 0 | 3041 | 434 | 6 | 2035 | 434 |
57 | 2011-05-28 | SRM 507 | 1 | 104 | 173.35 | 0.74 | 15 | 3041 | 428 | 59 | 2029 | 431 |
56 | 2011-05-17 | SRM 504.5 | 1 | 608 | 179.60 | -1.76 | -20 | 3027 | 442 | -129 | 1970 | 498 |
55 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 80 | 160.49 | 1.00 | 17 | 3047 | 407 | 49 | 2099 | 371 |
54 | 2011-05-03 | Member SRM 505 | 1 | 306 | 297.95 | -0.70 | -9 | 3030 | 428 | -122 | 2050 | 398 |
53 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 1 | 63 | 193.50 | 1.62 | 27 | 3039 | 413 | 64 | 2172 | 301 |
52 | 2011-04-07 | SRM 502 | 1 | 63 | 132.30 | 1.07 | 21 | 3012 | 456 | 48 | 2108 | 354 |
51 | 2011-03-19 | SRM 500 | 1 | 286 | 247.56 | -0.21 | -1 | 2991 | 489 | -13 | 2060 | 397 |
50 | 2011-03-08 | SRM 499 | 1 | 72 | 203.07 | 1.50 | 26 | 2992 | 479 | 71 | 2073 | 385 |
49 | 2011-02-10 | SRM 497 | 1 | 58 | 165.19 | 1.51 | 27 | 2966 | 517 | 92 | 2002 | 460 |
48 | 2011-02-01 | SRM 496 | 1 | 155 | 206.57 | 0.41 | 11 | 2939 | 575 | 44 | 1910 | 568 |
47 | 2011-01-27 | SRM 495 | 1 | 480 | 263.47 | -1.14 | -16 | 2928 | 599 | -153 | 1866 | 640 |
46 | 2011-01-22 | Member SRM 494 | 1 | 146 | 215.09 | 0.56 | 14 | 2944 | 555 | 31 | 2019 | 437 |
45 | 2011-01-12 | SRM 493 | 1 | 56 | 176.50 | 1.66 | 32 | 2929 | 584 | 95 | 1988 | 468 |
44 | 2010-12-28 | SRM 492 | 1 | 255 | 171.38 | -0.58 | -8 | 2897 | 639 | -38 | 1893 | 595 |
43 | 2010-12-18 | Member SRM 491 | 1 | 68 | 243.43 | 1.84 | 34 | 2906 | 622 | 108 | 1931 | 538 |
42 | 2010-12-08 | SRM 490 | 1 | 97 | 247.65 | 1.35 | 29 | 2872 | 685 | 99 | 1823 | 691 |
41 | 2010-11-30 | Member SRM 489 | 1 | 324 | 233.09 | -0.48 | -7 | 2843 | 752 | -14 | 1724 | 863 |
40 | 2010-11-18 | SRM 488 | 1 | 276 | 229.42 | -0.69 | -11 | 2850 | 731 | -108 | 1738 | 835 |
39 | 2010-11-13 | SRM 487 | 1 | 215 | 264.53 | 0.30 | 11 | 2861 | 690 | 31 | 1846 | 640 |
38 | 2010-10-26 | SRM 486 | 1 | 116 | 256.58 | 1.14 | 27 | 2851 | 721 | 86 | 1815 | 680 |
37 | 2010-10-21 | Member SRM 485 | 1 | 173 | 225.53 | 0.38 | 13 | 2824 | 783 | 51 | 1729 | 844 |
36 | 2010-10-05 | SRM 484 | 1 | 335 | 165.18 | -1.03 | -18 | 2811 | 821 | -80 | 1678 | 959 |
35 | 2010-09-25 | SRM 483 | 1 | 115 | 259.20 | 1.17 | 29 | 2829 | 763 | 96 | 1758 | 778 |
34 | 2010-09-15 | Member SRM 482 | 1 | 491 | 321.10 | -0.84 | -16 | 2800 | 834 | -116 | 1662 | 996 |
33 | 2010-09-09 | SRM 481 | 1 | 124 | 256.58 | 1.05 | 28 | 2816 | 793 | 83 | 1778 | 744 |
32 | 2010-08-26 | SRM 480 | 1 | 69 | 197.42 | 1.52 | 35 | 2789 | 838 | 115 | 1695 | 914 |
31 | 2010-08-14 | SRM 479 | 1 | 620 | 281.82 | -1.18 | -24 | 2753 | 928 | -196 | 1580 | 1181 |
30 | 2010-08-04 | Member SRM 478 | 1 | 64 | 285.76 | 2.16 | 49 | 2777 | 869 | 138 | 1776 | 740 |
29 | 2010-07-28 | SRM 477 | 1 | 314 | 304.54 | -0.04 | 3 | 2728 | 985 | 9 | 1638 | 1037 |
28 | 2010-07-17 | SRM 476 | 1 | 357 | 339.02 | -0.08 | 1 | 2726 | 992 | 5 | 1629 | 1057 |
27 | 2010-07-06 | SRM 475 | 1 | 211 | 257.59 | 0.29 | 13 | 2725 | 980 | 40 | 1624 | 1051 |
26 | 2010-06-30 | Member Single Round Match 474 | 1 | 277 | 211.18 | -0.39 | -9 | 2711 | 1010 | -28 | 1584 | 1145 |
25 | 2010-06-26 | TCO10 Round 2 | 1 | 599 | 473.44 | -0.34 | -9 | 2721 | 980 | -57 | 1612 | 1071 |
24 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 679 | 599.10 | -0.18 | -2 | 2730 | 946 | -6 | 1669 | 950 |
23 | 2010-06-17 | SRM 473 | 1 | 402 | 225.03 | -0.92 | -26 | 2732 | 933 | -178 | 1675 | 917 |
22 | 2010-05-20 | SRM 470 | 1 | 113 | 342.03 | 1.60 | 51 | 2758 | 825 | 92 | 1853 | 581 |
21 | 2010-05-12 | TCO10 Qual 2 | 1 | 65 | 278.16 | 2.10 | 56 | 2707 | 947 | 101 | 1761 | 733 |
20 | 2010-05-04 | SRM 469 | 1 | 259 | 391.45 | 0.60 | 28 | 2651 | 1079 | 45 | 1660 | 890 |
19 | 2010-04-20 | Member SRM 468 | 1 | 268 | 381.66 | 0.51 | 26 | 2623 | 1115 | 44 | 1615 | 944 |
18 | 2010-04-15 | SRM 467 | 1 | 171 | 284.77 | 0.74 | 38 | 2596 | 1199 | 68 | 1571 | 1057 |
17 | 2010-04-03 | SRM 466 | 1 | 281 | 489.20 | 0.80 | 42 | 2558 | 1310 | 78 | 1503 | 1256 |
16 | 2010-03-25 | Member SRM 465 | 1 | 187 | 316.31 | 0.76 | 45 | 2516 | 1463 | 86 | 1425 | 1536 |
15 | 2010-03-16 | SRM 464 | 1 | 650 | 448.86 | -0.60 | -27 | 2471 | 1647 | -167 | 1339 | 1974 |
14 | 2010-03-02 | SRM 463 | 1 | 325 | 420.27 | 0.37 | 28 | 2498 | 1680 | 24 | 1506 | 1388 |
13 | 2010-02-13 | Member SRM 461 | 1 | 227 | 487.73 | 1.10 | 69 | 2470 | 1790 | 98 | 1482 | 1485 |
12 | 2010-02-06 | SRM 460 | 1 | 178 | 511.55 | 1.52 | 101 | 2401 | 2063 | 152 | 1384 | 1889 |
11 | 2010-01-19 | SRM 459 | 1 | 514 | 527.31 | 0.04 | 8 | 2300 | 2518 | -15 | 1232 | 2856 |
10 | 2010-01-14 | Member SRM 458 | 1 | 476 | 507.04 | 0.09 | 14 | 2292 | 2523 | -10 | 1247 | 2727 |
9 | 2010-01-04 | SRM 457 | 1 | 303 | 376.34 | -0.06 | -1 | 2278 | 2574 | -28 | 1257 | 2660 |
8 | 2009-12-22 | SRM 456 | 2 | 16 | 147.07 | 3.20 | 110 | 2279 | 2564 | 131 | 1285 | 2461 |
7 | 2009-12-17 | Member SRM 455 | 2 | 280 | 161.29 | -0.80 | -26 | 2169 | 3118 | -11 | 1154 | 3397 |
6 | 2009-12-05 | SRM 454 | 2 | 43 | 281.17 | 2.71 | 138 | 2195 | 2991 | 135 | 1165 | 3350 |
5 | 2009-11-05 | SRM 452 | 2 | 398 | 224.48 | -0.83 | -38 | 2057 | 3871 | -19 | 1030 | 4558 |
4 | 2009-10-20 | SRM 451 | 2 | 65 | 316.47 | 2.28 | 177 | 2095 | 3574 | 138 | 1049 | 4357 |
3 | 2009-10-17 | SRM 450 | 2 | 145 | 649.15 | 2.16 | 269 | 1918 | 4876 | 145 | 911 | 6080 |
2 | 2009-09-23 | SRM 449 | 2 | 948 | 621.63 | -0.68 | -97 | 1648 | 7208 | -283 | 766 | 7880 |
1 | 2009-09-10 | SRM 448 | 2 | 561 | 687.41 | 0.29 | 120 | 1745 | 6321 | -151 | 1049 | 4378 |