Ariza

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

Player	Rounds	Elo	SRM
Ariza	134	2526	990

Rating	perf	err	err2	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max	R	rank
Odd	0.119	0.519	0.782	15.6	-38	193	2310	2260	2339
SRMFix	0.125	0.520	0.786	18.8	-57	125	1817	1792	2008
EloSRM	0.117	0.521	0.784	14.6	-41	179	2565	2526	2326
initial	0.043	0.556	0.844	67.0	-413	384	2248	1888	1987
SRM	0.330	0.620	0.944	41.7	-165	107	1397	990	4041

#	date	round	division	rank	seed	perf	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
134	2017-04-08	TCO17 Round 1B	1	315	248.69	-0.56	-27	2526	2326	-89	990	4041
133	2015-08-25	SRM 666	1	331	252.26	-0.42	-12	2554	2808	-151	1079	4355
132	2015-07-23	SRM 663	2	35	83.94	1.26	22	2565	2776	71	1230	3235
131	2015-05-09	2015 TCO 1C	1	536	291.30	-0.88	-19	2543	3335	-81	1159	4417
130	2015-02-17	SRM 650	1	255	277.18	0.12	6	2562	3335	5	1240	3887
129	2014-10-14	SRM 636	1	446	393.39	-0.30	-5	2557	3405	-88	1235	4148
128	2014-10-04	SRM 635	1	222	397.46	0.01	2	2562	3364	4	1323	3187
127	2014-09-17	SRM 633	1	245	474.52	0.05	3	2560	3369	10	1319	3225
126	2014-09-05	SRM 632 - TCO14 Wildcard Sweep	1	201	461.88	1.20	27	2557	3393	102	1309	3295
125	2014-07-05	TCO14 Round 2C	1	391	736.99	0.91	21	2530	3512	107	1207	4421
124	2014-05-20	SRM 621	1	747	609.35	-0.31	-5	2509	3646	-146	1100	5530
123	2014-05-17	TCO14 Round 2A	1	790	946.65	-0.13	-2	2514	3611	-17	1246	3958
122	2014-05-10	SRM 620	1	678	742.15	0.13	4	2516	3642	8	1263	3828
121	2014-04-26	TCO14 Round 1C	1	558	505.11	-0.14	0	2512	3651	-3	1255	3922
120	2014-04-24	SRM 618	1	421	407.41	-0.22	-4	2512	3579	-70	1258	3811
119	2014-04-19	TCO14 Round 1B	1	866	808.54	-0.10	0	2516	3535	-23	1328	3186
118	2014-04-12	TCO14 Round 1A	1	906	1,073.32	0.24	7	2516	3454	5	1351	2959
117	2014-04-10	SRM 616	1	400	572.45	-0.06	0	2509	3411	-16	1346	2914
116	2014-04-04	SRM 615	1	389	567.76	0.55	14	2509	3394	40	1362	2776
115	2014-03-29	SRM 614	1	397	535.73	-0.04	0	2495	3494	-15	1322	3103
114	2014-03-21	SRM 613	1	538	573.67	0.09	4	2495	3476	-21	1337	2980
113	2014-03-11	SRM 612	1	305	368.44	0.26	9	2491	3483	0	1358	2823
112	2014-03-04	SRM 611	1	287	520.84	0.86	23	2482	3610	68	1358	2885
111	2014-02-07	SRM 608	1	389	521.16	-0.08	-1	2458	3822	-19	1290	3485
110	2014-02-03	SRM 607	1	350	593.92	0.76	22	2459	3793	67	1309	3301
109	2014-01-21	SRM 605	1	464	493.12	-0.17	-3	2437	3919	-52	1242	3959
108	2014-01-11	SRM 604	2	21	213.92	3.35	29	2440	3879	100	1294	3440
107	2014-01-06	SRM 603	2	52	156.35	1.59	21	2411	4048	68	1194	4502
106	2013-12-22	SRM 601	2	516	165.95	-1.64	-14	2390	4131	-47	1126	5116
105	2013-12-14	SRM 600	2	152	183.43	0.27	8	2404	4008	42	1173	4675
104	2013-12-04	SRM 599	2	302	173.28	-0.80	-7	2397	4042	5	1131	5071
103	2013-11-28	SRM 598	2	230	111.48	-1.04	-10	2404	3933	0	1126	5046
102	2013-11-20	SRM 597	2	207	137.20	-0.59	-5	2414	3824	27	1126	5028
101	2013-06-18	SRM 583	2	161	133.97	-0.26	0	2419	3627	43	1099	5077
100	2013-04-26	SRM 577	2	656	113.72	-2.53	-15	2419	3734	-77	1056	5614
99	2013-04-11	SRM 576	2	38	102.25	1.43	16	2434	3750	91	1133	5029
98	2013-03-25	SRM 574	1	812	656.57	-0.31	-7	2418	3894	-165	1042	6020
97	2013-03-09	TCO13 Round 1C	1	763	623.91	-0.29	-3	2425	3789	-10	1207	4308
96	2013-03-02	TCO13 Round 1B	1	798	747.55	-0.10	0	2428	3701	0	1217	4158
95	2013-02-19	SRM 571	2	114	150.32	0.41	7	2428	3605	31	1217	4070
94	2013-02-13	SRM 570	2	174	134.69	-0.37	-1	2420	3640	15	1186	4414
93	2013-02-06	SRM 569	1	430	430.46	-0.18	-4	2422	3598	-31	1171	4573
92	2013-01-29	SRM 568	1	537	554.61	-0.16	-3	2425	3576	-35	1202	4231
91	2013-01-21	SRM 567	1	488	504.06	-0.14	-3	2429	3498	-42	1237	3766
90	2012-12-20	SRM 565	1	444	581.23	0.37	12	2431	3489	46	1279	3374
89	2012-12-12	SRM 564	1	501	562.60	0.17	7	2419	3563	20	1233	3822
88	2012-12-08	SRM 563	1	328	408.35	-0.06	0	2413	3556	1	1213	4007
87	2012-11-30	SRM 562	1	339
86	2012-11-20	SRM 561	2	104	98.22	-0.08	2	2413	3584	20	1212	4046
85	2012-10-10	SRM 557	1	475	556.05	-0.10	-2	2411	3601	-11	1192	4261
84	2012-09-07	SRM 555	1	590	554.28	-0.23	-4	2412	3605	-68	1203	4201
83	2012-09-01	SRM 554	1	562	663.07	0.24	8	2417	3540	15	1271	3458
82	2012-08-22	SRM 553	1	343	394.48	-0.14	-2	2409	3554	-31	1256	3583
81	2012-08-04	SRM 551	1	540	560.77	0.05	3	2411	3544	-29	1287	3309
80	2012-07-21	SRM 550	1	306	606.00	0.99	25	2408	3546	97	1316	3073
79	2012-07-02	SRM 548	1	479	470.29	-0.18	-3	2383	3680	-68	1219	3950
78	2012-06-16	SRM 546	1	420	558.83	-0.04	0	2386	3772	-9	1287	3435
77	2012-06-02	Round 2C	1	539	726.05	-0.01	1	2386	3742	0	1296	3337
76	2012-05-29	SRM 544	1	353	437.14	-0.07	-1	2386	3764	-26	1296	3346
75	2012-05-19	SRM 543	1	660	675.46	-0.16	-3	2386	3791	-75	1322	3140
74	2012-05-12	TCO12 Round 2B	1	460	995.50	1.11	30	2389	3819	104	1397	2596
73	2012-05-08	SRM 542	1	286	349.45	-0.10	-2	2359	4013	-25	1293	3477
72	2012-04-23	SRM 541	1	489	645.70	-0.03	0	2361	3997	-8	1318	3261
71	2012-04-21	TCO12 Round 2A	1	458	876.49	0.07	3	2361	3965	40	1326	3157
70	2012-04-14	TCO12 Round 1C	1	588	773.58	0.40	10	2357	4001	9	1286	3522
69	2012-04-11	SRM 540	1	381	618.50	0.04	3	2347	4005	25	1277	3512
68	2012-04-07	TCO12 Round 1B	1	794	935.04	0.24	8	2345	3977	4	1252	3716
67	2012-04-04	SRM 539	1	396
66	2012-03-31	TCO12 Round 1A	1	866	1,053.00	0.28	9	2337	3967	11	1248	3703
65	2012-03-20	SRM 538	1	530	653.19	0.30	11	2327	3980	21	1237	3790
64	2012-03-07	SRM 536	2	108	206.10	0.93	14	2316	4032	41	1216	4040
63	2012-02-23	SRM 534	1	567	540.53	-0.18	-4	2302	4054	-77	1175	4431
62	2012-02-18	SRM 533	1	517	637.10	-0.07	-1	2306	3969	-17	1252	3600
61	2012-02-09	SRM 532	1	413	561.81	0.02	2	2307	3936	-2	1269	3388
60	2012-01-31	SRM 531	1	397	566.82	-0.04	0	2305	3925	-3	1271	3348
59	2012-01-19	SRM 530	1	351	510.52	0.54	20	2305	3923	45	1274	3313
58	2012-01-14	SRM 529	2	117	231.39	0.98	17	2285	4025	31	1229	3716
57	2011-12-28	SRM 528	1	540	583.80	-0.07	-1	2269	4152	-40	1198	4044
56	2011-12-23	SRM 526.5	2	36	173.32	2.27	30	2270	4106	66	1238	3610
55	2011-12-17	SRM 527	2	209	249.10	0.25	8	2240	4328	13	1172	4280
54	2011-12-06	SRM 526	2	167	138.65	-0.27	-1	2232	4334	-8	1159	4362
53	2011-11-29	SRM 525	1	604	647.41	-0.10	-3	2233	4335	-48	1167	4315
52	2011-11-17	SRM 524	2	21	229.86	3.45	42	2236	4275	96	1215	3794
51	2011-11-12	SRM 523	2	204	278.13	0.45	12	2194	4563	19	1119	4740
50	2011-10-13	SRM 521	2	277	302.16	0.12	6	2182	4589	10	1100	4831
49	2011-10-04	SRM 520	2	178	333.49	0.91	20	2176	4602	39	1090	4911
48	2011-09-19	SRM 519	2	363	256.18	-0.50	-6	2156	4747	-23	1051	5310
47	2011-09-14	SRM 518	2	272	328.92	0.27	10	2162	4702	19	1074	5076
46	2011-09-10	SRM 517	2	229	389.17	0.76	19	2152	4700	40	1055	5201
45	2011-08-30	SRM 516	2	354	279.59	-0.34	-3	2133	4799	-8	1015	5562
44	2011-08-20	SRM 515	2	140	324.47	1.21	28	2136	4747	64	1023	5475
43	2011-08-09	SRM 514	2	150	281.60	0.91	24	2108	4991	60	959	6246
42	2011-07-13	SRM 512	2	494	417.79	-0.24	-1	2085	5155	15	899	6956
41	2011-06-18	TCO11 Round 1	1	1311	1,321.94	-0.08	-3	2086	5067	-35	884	6970
40	2011-06-08	SRM 509	2	816	433.52	-1.14	-18	2089	5064	-104	919	6607
39	2011-06-02	SRM 508	2	420	574.96	-0.46	-6	2108	4869	-68	1023	5332
38	2011-05-28	SRM 507	2	134	392.59	1.55	38	2114	4743	54	1091	4660
37	2011-05-19	TCO11 Qual 2	1	536	927.91	0.79	38	2076	4994	68	1037	5163
36	2011-05-17	SRM 504.5	2	549	449.14	-0.29	-4	2038	5277	-12	969	5785
35	2011-05-11	SRM 506	2	210	290.55	0.47	21	2042	5172	27	981	5640
34	2011-04-16	Member SRM 503	2	447	400.94	-0.16	0	2021	5337	1	954	5900
33	2010-12-18	Member SRM 491	2	619	360.50	-0.78	-14	2021	4933	-39	953	5630
32	2010-11-30	Member SRM 489	2	114	359.08	1.66	39	2034	4757	81	992	5116
31	2010-11-18	SRM 488	2	267	286.55	0.10	8	1995	4991	20	911	5895
30	2010-11-13	SRM 487	2	350	399.62	0.19	11	1987	5003	24	891	6049
29	2010-10-26	SRM 486	2	329	449.39	0.45	18	1977	5062	43	867	6385
28	2010-10-21	Member SRM 485	2	546	408.08	-0.74	-16	1959	5134	-61	824	6667
27	2010-10-05	SRM 484	2	229	294.16	0.36	17	1975	5030	39	885	6046
26	2010-08-14	SRM 479	2	453	405.30	-0.16	0	1957	5019	12	846	6346
25	2010-08-04	Member SRM 478	2	606	363.48	-0.74	-16	1958	4994	-31	834	6437
24	2010-07-28	SRM 477	2	402	369.61	-0.12	1	1974	4777	14	865	6104
23	2010-07-17	SRM 476	2	480	390.67	-0.30	-4	1972	4761	6	851	6225
22	2010-06-05	SRM 472	2	550	332.57	-0.73	-16	1977	4679	-34	845	6335
21	2010-05-24	TCO10 Qual 3	1	596	631.96	0.08	8	1993	4573	27	879	6054
20	2010-05-20	SRM 470	2	752	428.28	-1.01	-24	1985	4544	-107	852	6433
19	2010-05-12	TCO10 Qual 2	1	626	810.28	0.37	25	2009	4364	52	959	5180
18	2010-05-04	SRM 469	2	455	369.96	-0.30	-5	1983	4451	-7	907	5662
17	2010-04-20	Member SRM 468	2	458	314.19	-0.54	-13	1988	4286	-18	914	5470
16	2010-04-15	SRM 467	2	183	248.55	0.44	25	2001	4155	37	932	5278
15	2010-04-03	SRM 466	2	620	314.44	-0.98	-27	1976	4294	-48	895	5586
14	2010-03-25	Member SRM 465	2	396	202.72	-0.97	-27	2003	4047	-49	943	5058
13	2010-03-16	SRM 464	2	213	346.55	0.70	39	2030	3901	49	992	4593
12	2010-03-02	SRM 463	2	165	346.76	1.07	58	1991	4444	70	943	5390
11	2010-01-19	SRM 459	2	344	416.50	0.28	24	1933	4851	29	873	6176
10	2010-01-14	Member SRM 458	2	485	446.52	-0.56	-22	1909	4983	-71	844	6446
9	2009-12-22	SRM 456	2	350	295.87	-0.24	-5	1931	4753	-10	915	5481
8	2009-12-17	Member SRM 455	2	392	355.38	-0.14	1	1936	4697	-7	925	5372
7	2009-11-05	SRM 452	2	165	455.97	1.47	104	1935	4798	86	932	5745
6	2009-10-17	SRM 450	2	378	516.69	0.45	51	1832	5569	30	846	7032
5	2009-09-23	SRM 449	2	561	588.22	-0.35	-22	1781	6034	-63	816	7280
4	2009-09-10	SRM 448	2	675	467.37	-0.53	-40	1803	5806	-90	879	6443
3	2009-08-25	SRM 447	2	544	380.01	-0.52	-41	1842	5420	-96	969	5207
2	2009-08-08	SRM 446	2	399	519.70	0.38	86	1883	5074	-38	1065	4187
1	2009-07-23	SRM 445	2	507	719.64	0.50	179	1797	5782	-97	1103	3875