windfall

1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

Player	Rounds	Elo	SRM
windfall	16	2075	901

Rating	perf	err	err2	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max	R	rank
initial	0.134	0.792	1.024	95.3	-203	261	1784	1458	4351
EloSRM	0.397	0.818	1.077	63.4	-75	148	2112	2075	3981
Odd	0.409	0.822	1.086	59.6	-61	139	1966	1926	4055
SRMFix	0.391	0.869	1.137	63.8	-102	150	1569	1490	4169
SRM	0.558	1.057	1.329	110.8	-423	141	1041	901	5749

#	date	round	division	rank	seed	perf	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
16	2010-06-05	SRM 472	2	740	281.63	-1.50	-37	2075	3981	-140	901	5749
15	2010-05-20	SRM 470	2	237	280.81	0.24	18	2112	3649	30	1041	4361
14	2010-05-04	SRM 469	2	150	313.74	1.06	47	2095	3649	68	1011	4564
13	2010-04-20	Member SRM 468	2	452	255.78	-0.82	-23	2047	3835	-20	943	5169
12	2010-04-15	SRM 467	2	120	219.58	0.87	49	2071	3653	68	963	4944
11	2010-04-03	SRM 466	2	83	394.75	2.25	104	2022	3977	129	895	5586
10	2010-03-25	Member SRM 465	2	74	371.60	2.33	133	1918	4676	141	766	7062
9	2010-03-16	SRM 464	2	320	658.80	1.04	97	1785	5753	96	625	8271
8	2010-03-02	SRM 463	2	290	694.67	1.26	148	1688	6862	126	529	9208
7	2010-02-13	Member SRM 461	2	792	901.23	0.19	41	1540	8764	28	403	9609
6	2010-02-06	SRM 460	2	691	960.71	0.48	122	1499	9333	51	375	9709
5	2009-08-08	SRM 446	2	838	855.00	-0.13	-20	1378	10231	-43	324	10200
4	2009-02-07	SRM 434	2	865	748.41	-0.24	-38	1398	12736	-143	367	12782
3	2009-01-06	SRM 432	2	539	498.81	-0.18	-33	1436	12332	-138	510	12315
2	2008-10-18	SRM 422	2	659	696.04	-0.18	-29	1469	11564	-129	648	11416
1	2008-09-04	SRM 416	2	554	490.40	-0.30	-75	1498	11007	-423	777	10074