1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| orchidea | 73 | 2380 | 1101 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd | 0.075 | 0.595 | 0.895 | 22.4 | -50 | 191 | 2176 | 2145 | 3797 |
| EloSRM | 0.087 | 0.596 | 0.901 | 22.6 | -47 | 195 | 2385 | 2380 | 3773 |
| SRMFix | 0.089 | 0.626 | 0.924 | 28.6 | -94 | 184 | 1697 | 1601 | 3679 |
| initial | 0.052 | 0.716 | 1.033 | 86.2 | -263 | 431 | 2001 | 1657 | 3462 |
| SRM | 0.433 | 0.734 | 1.068 | 41.8 | -262 | 137 | 1257 | 1101 | 4194 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 2015-07-23 | SRM 663 | 2 | 113 | 165.50 | 0.55 | 26 | 2380 | 3773 | 29 | 1101 | 4194 |
| 72 | 2015-04-11 | 2015 TCO 1A | 1 | 645 | 804.27 | 0.32 | 27 | 2354 | 4835 | 38 | 1072 | 5454 |
| 71 | 2014-08-30 | SRM 631 | 2 | 415 | 247.12 | -0.75 | -12 | 2327 | 5173 | -21 | 1034 | 6269 |
| 70 | 2014-05-10 | SRM 620 | 2 | 392 | 277.57 | -0.50 | -6 | 2340 | 5020 | -5 | 1055 | 6105 |
| 69 | 2014-04-26 | TCO14 Round 1C | 1 | 930 | 682.76 | -0.45 | -11 | 2345 | 4968 | -31 | 1060 | 6064 |
| 68 | 2014-04-12 | TCO14 Round 1A | 1 | 1347 | 1,298.85 | -0.05 | 1 | 2356 | 4661 | -2 | 1091 | 5529 |
| 67 | 2014-01-11 | SRM 604 | 2 | 196 | 280.21 | 0.52 | 15 | 2356 | 4547 | 44 | 1093 | 5614 |
| 66 | 2013-12-28 | SRM 602 | 2 | 906 | 219.48 | -2.04 | -27 | 2340 | 4578 | -93 | 1049 | 6012 |
| 65 | 2013-12-22 | SRM 601 | 2 | 243 | 189.60 | -0.36 | -3 | 2367 | 4318 | 6 | 1142 | 4954 |
| 64 | 2013-12-14 | SRM 600 | 1 | 889 | 835.98 | -0.18 | -9 | 2370 | 4278 | -77 | 1136 | 5034 |
| 63 | 2013-11-20 | SRM 597 | 1 | 474 | 558.70 | -0.08 | -3 | 2379 | 4091 | -16 | 1213 | 4154 |
| 62 | 2013-05-18 | SRM 579 | 1 | 563 | 624.52 | -0.10 | -3 | 2382 | 3958 | -28 | 1229 | 3950 |
| 61 | 2013-05-11 | TCO13 Round 2C | 1 | 518 | 721.62 | -0.01 | 2 | 2385 | 3965 | 11 | 1257 | 3711 |
| 60 | 2013-04-20 | TCO13 Round 2B | 1 | 498 | 820.12 | 0.07 | 8 | 2383 | 4018 | 34 | 1246 | 3854 |
| 59 | 2013-03-02 | TCO13 Round 1B | 1 | 525 | 855.22 | 0.70 | 35 | 2375 | 4049 | 54 | 1212 | 4208 |
| 58 | 2013-02-23 | TCO13 Round 1A | 1 | 1015 | 874.91 | -0.21 | -8 | 2340 | 4273 | -22 | 1158 | 4702 |
| 57 | 2013-02-19 | SRM 571 | 2 | 29 | 278.66 | 3.32 | 89 | 2348 | 4163 | 102 | 1180 | 4472 |
| 56 | 2012-05-19 | SRM 543 | 2 | 685 | 230.71 | -1.57 | -26 | 2259 | 4730 | -75 | 1078 | 5431 |
| 55 | 2012-04-14 | TCO12 Round 1C | 1 | 709 | 886.86 | 0.32 | 19 | 2285 | 4539 | 19 | 1153 | 4769 |
| 54 | 2012-04-07 | TCO12 Round 1B | 1 | 947 | 1,049.62 | 0.15 | 13 | 2266 | 4553 | 6 | 1134 | 4868 |
| 53 | 2011-12-28 | SRM 528 | 2 | 97 | 259.34 | 1.42 | 38 | 2254 | 4274 | 57 | 1128 | 4692 |
| 52 | 2011-11-12 | SRM 523 | 2 | 178 | 266.89 | 0.58 | 21 | 2215 | 4411 | 38 | 1071 | 5222 |
| 51 | 2011-08-20 | SRM 515 | 2 | 516 | 233.74 | -1.14 | -18 | 2194 | 4259 | -42 | 1033 | 5368 |
| 50 | 2011-07-02 | SRM 511 | 2 | 357 | 270.21 | -0.40 | -4 | 2213 | 4106 | 1 | 1075 | 4894 |
| 49 | 2011-06-08 | SRM 509 | 2 | 309 | 234.93 | -0.40 | -4 | 2217 | 4078 | 5 | 1074 | 4897 |
| 48 | 2011-05-28 | SRM 507 | 2 | 315 | 246.02 | -0.36 | -3 | 2220 | 3948 | 8 | 1069 | 4862 |
| 47 | 2011-05-24 | TCO11 Qual 3 | 1 | 772 | 472.09 | -0.71 | -24 | 2223 | 3904 | -93 | 1061 | 4911 |
| 46 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 939 | 914.27 | -0.04 | 2 | 2247 | 3630 | -10 | 1154 | 4007 |
| 45 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 1 | 647 | 640.88 | -0.15 | -7 | 2245 | 3611 | -55 | 1164 | 3924 |
| 44 | 2011-02-26 | SRM 498 | 2 | 74 | 234.01 | 1.66 | 45 | 2252 | 3407 | 49 | 1219 | 3245 |
| 43 | 2010-12-18 | Member SRM 491 | 2 | 264 | 204.51 | -0.37 | -3 | 2207 | 3525 | -11 | 1170 | 3649 |
| 42 | 2010-12-08 | SRM 490 | 1 | 494 | 545.64 | -0.07 | -2 | 2211 | 3463 | -19 | 1181 | 3531 |
| 41 | 2010-11-13 | SRM 487 | 1 | 489 | 586.34 | -0.03 | 1 | 2213 | 3357 | -4 | 1200 | 3281 |
| 40 | 2010-05-02 | TCO10 Qual 1 | 1 | 432 | 561.46 | 0.38 | 18 | 2212 | 2873 | 27 | 1204 | 2959 |
| 39 | 2010-04-03 | SRM 466 | 2 | 114 | 177.72 | 0.64 | 17 | 2194 | 2885 | 34 | 1177 | 3108 |
| 38 | 2010-03-25 | Member SRM 465 | 2 | 202 | 119.41 | -0.76 | -9 | 2177 | 2917 | -19 | 1143 | 3310 |
| 37 | 2010-03-16 | SRM 464 | 2 | 208 | 186.43 | -0.16 | 2 | 2186 | 2925 | 9 | 1162 | 3233 |
| 36 | 2010-03-02 | SRM 463 | 1 | 584 | 555.59 | -0.07 | -2 | 2184 | 3162 | -56 | 1153 | 3516 |
| 35 | 2010-02-06 | SRM 460 | 2 | 64 | 218.07 | 1.77 | 37 | 2186 | 3132 | 58 | 1209 | 3080 |
| 34 | 2010-01-19 | SRM 459 | 2 | 270 | 209.35 | -0.37 | -3 | 2149 | 3342 | -15 | 1151 | 3474 |
| 33 | 2010-01-14 | Member SRM 458 | 2 | 197 | 187.53 | -0.07 | 4 | 2153 | 3289 | -1 | 1166 | 3348 |
| 32 | 2010-01-04 | SRM 457 | 2 | 127 | 161.83 | 0.35 | 15 | 2149 | 3282 | 18 | 1167 | 3334 |
| 31 | 2009-12-17 | Member SRM 455 | 2 | 39 | 240.93 | 2.63 | 58 | 2134 | 3337 | 93 | 1149 | 3441 |
| 30 | 2009-11-05 | SRM 452 | 2 | 174 | 254.30 | 0.55 | 20 | 2076 | 3733 | 34 | 1056 | 4329 |
| 29 | 2009-10-20 | SRM 451 | 2 | 335 | 208.05 | -0.69 | -12 | 2056 | 3831 | -25 | 1022 | 4577 |
| 28 | 2009-10-17 | SRM 450 | 2 | 264 | 249.90 | -0.08 | 4 | 2068 | 3750 | 13 | 1047 | 4377 |
| 27 | 2009-09-10 | SRM 448 | 2 | 184 | 278.65 | 0.60 | 23 | 2064 | 3763 | 44 | 1034 | 4501 |
| 26 | 2009-08-25 | SRM 447 | 2 | 360 | 235.57 | -0.61 | -11 | 2041 | 3900 | -8 | 990 | 4915 |
| 25 | 2009-07-23 | SRM 445 | 2 | 294 | 277.41 | -0.08 | 3 | 2052 | 3787 | 15 | 998 | 4815 |
| 24 | 2009-07-08 | SRM 444 | 2 | 158 | 284.03 | 0.85 | 31 | 2049 | 3831 | 63 | 983 | 5024 |
| 23 | 2009-05-27 | SRM 441 | 2 | 254 | 251.64 | -0.01 | 6 | 2018 | 4014 | 24 | 920 | 6143 |
| 22 | 2009-04-19 | SRM 438 | 2 | 320 | 344.20 | -0.61 | -12 | 2012 | 4034 | -49 | 896 | 8218 |
| 21 | 2009-03-24 | SRM 437 | 2 | 253 | 269.94 | 0.09 | 9 | 2024 | 3980 | 26 | 945 | 7410 |
| 20 | 2009-03-11 | SRM 436 | 2 | 261 | 253.91 | -0.04 | 4 | 2015 | 4051 | 23 | 919 | 7850 |
| 19 | 2009-03-04 | TCO09 Qual 3 | 1 | 622 | 588.75 | -0.08 | 1 | 2011 | 4052 | 27 | 896 | 8245 |
| 18 | 2009-02-28 | TCO09 Qual 2 | 1 | 1202 | 862.00 | -0.48 | -22 | 2010 | 3979 | -59 | 869 | 8522 |
| 17 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 995 | 824.76 | -0.27 | -13 | 2032 | 3730 | -34 | 928 | 7675 |
| 16 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 2 | 233 | 237.13 | 0.02 | 8 | 2045 | 3801 | 28 | 962 | 7325 |
| 15 | 2009-01-06 | SRM 432 | 2 | 174 | 199.09 | 0.19 | 15 | 2037 | 3846 | 40 | 934 | 7691 |
| 14 | 2008-12-20 | SRM 430 | 2 | 484 | 304.11 | -1.00 | -26 | 2022 | 3961 | -85 | 894 | 8419 |
| 13 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 2 | 196 | 247.31 | 0.34 | 22 | 2049 | 3712 | 42 | 979 | 7212 |
| 12 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 2 | 46 | 319.00 | 2.79 | 96 | 2027 | 3811 | 137 | 937 | 7645 |
| 11 | 2008-11-12 | SRM 425 | 2 | 541 | 383.36 | -0.86 | -28 | 1931 | 4620 | -64 | 800 | 9451 |
| 10 | 2008-11-06 | SRM 424 | 2 | 627 | 255.33 | -1.40 | -47 | 1959 | 4336 | -154 | 864 | 8509 |
| 9 | 2008-10-08 | SRM 421 | 2 | 198 | 272.59 | 0.46 | 34 | 2007 | 3953 | 33 | 1018 | 6732 |
| 8 | 2008-10-02 | SRM 420 | 2 | 227 | 253.47 | 0.16 | 21 | 1973 | 4193 | 19 | 985 | 7465 |
| 7 | 2008-09-11 | SRM 417 | 2 | 134 | 362.03 | 1.43 | 94 | 1952 | 4319 | 82 | 966 | 7660 |
| 6 | 2008-09-04 | SRM 416 | 2 | 474 | 272.64 | -0.80 | -44 | 1859 | 5175 | -84 | 884 | 8621 |
| 5 | 2008-08-16 | SRM 414 | 2 | 314 | 318.23 | 0.02 | 16 | 1903 | 4765 | -8 | 968 | 7696 |
| 4 | 2008-07-31 | SRM 412 | 2 | 353 | 333.73 | -0.08 | 7 | 1887 | 4852 | -15 | 976 | 7603 |
| 3 | 2008-07-10 | SRM 409 | 2 | 197 | 561.17 | 1.51 | 195 | 1879 | 4877 | 86 | 991 | 7455 |
| 2 | 2008-07-01 | SRM 408 | 2 | 331 | 481.05 | 0.54 | 132 | 1684 | 6894 | -33 | 905 | 8312 |
| 1 | 2008-06-26 | SRM 407 | 2 | 386 | 524.52 | -0.11 | -12 | 1552 | 9280 | -262 | 938 | 7912 |