1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ferlon | 98 | 2963 | 1800 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.143 | 0.781 | 0.969 | 26.0 | -34 | 424 | 2995 | 2963 | 641 |
| Odd | 0.163 | 0.781 | 0.972 | 27.1 | -37 | 434 | 2795 | 2759 | 668 |
| SRMFix | 0.168 | 0.782 | 0.975 | 31.2 | -52 | 295 | 2415 | 2329 | 698 |
| initial | 0.122 | 0.813 | 1.058 | 97.9 | -315 | 422 | 3020 | 2644 | 786 |
| SRM | 0.330 | 0.840 | 1.051 | 70.2 | -261 | 233 | 2062 | 1800 | 801 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 | 2011-11-17 | SRM 524 | 1 | 250 | 215.05 | -0.22 | -1 | 2963 | 641 | 16 | 1800 | 801 |
| 97 | 2011-11-12 | SRM 523 | 1 | 115 | 224.14 | 0.96 | 17 | 2964 | 623 | 91 | 1784 | 830 |
| 96 | 2011-10-04 | SRM 520 | 1 | 654 | 228.92 | -1.51 | -17 | 2947 | 653 | -122 | 1693 | 1018 |
| 95 | 2011-08-20 | SRM 515 | 1 | 308 | 210.83 | -0.55 | -5 | 2964 | 593 | -10 | 1815 | 747 |
| 94 | 2011-07-13 | SRM 512 | 1 | 214 | 238.80 | 0.16 | 5 | 2969 | 582 | 43 | 1825 | 730 |
| 93 | 2011-07-02 | SRM 511 | 1 | 588 | 326.17 | -1.09 | -11 | 2964 | 588 | -143 | 1782 | 811 |
| 92 | 2011-06-21 | SRM 510 | 1 | 243 | 154.32 | -0.66 | -6 | 2976 | 553 | -31 | 1925 | 568 |
| 91 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 986 | 412.57 | -1.26 | -13 | 2982 | 544 | -106 | 1956 | 522 |
| 90 | 2011-06-08 | SRM 509 | 1 | 141 | 211.70 | 0.59 | 10 | 2995 | 514 | 29 | 2062 | 416 |
| 89 | 2011-06-02 | SRM 508 | 1 | 166 | 226.71 | 0.45 | 9 | 2985 | 529 | 25 | 2033 | 437 |
| 88 | 2011-05-28 | SRM 507 | 1 | 43 | 214.55 | 2.32 | 26 | 2976 | 532 | 110 | 2008 | 456 |
| 87 | 2011-05-19 | TCO11 Qual 2 | 1 | 377 | 133.11 | -1.50 | -12 | 2949 | 587 | -52 | 1898 | 597 |
| 86 | 2011-05-17 | SRM 504.5 | 1 | 107 | 235.79 | 1.14 | 18 | 2962 | 549 | 74 | 1950 | 523 |
| 85 | 2011-05-11 | SRM 506 | 1 | 102 | 169.58 | 0.73 | 14 | 2944 | 571 | 63 | 1876 | 611 |
| 84 | 2011-05-03 | Member SRM 505 | 1 | 306 | 326.64 | -0.57 | -6 | 2930 | 609 | -89 | 1813 | 714 |
| 83 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 1 | 118 | 243.70 | 1.05 | 18 | 2936 | 588 | 75 | 1902 | 588 |
| 82 | 2011-04-07 | SRM 502 | 1 | 36 | 170.27 | 2.24 | 31 | 2918 | 640 | 137 | 1827 | 705 |
| 81 | 2011-03-30 | Member SRM 501 | 1 | 451 | 224.25 | -1.01 | -13 | 2887 | 715 | -60 | 1690 | 969 |
| 80 | 2011-03-08 | SRM 499 | 1 | 570 | 230.74 | -1.30 | -16 | 2900 | 667 | -110 | 1750 | 842 |
| 79 | 2011-02-26 | SRM 498 | 1 | 218 | 249.73 | 0.20 | 6 | 2916 | 632 | 28 | 1860 | 637 |
| 78 | 2011-02-10 | SRM 497 | 1 | 99 | 184.07 | 0.90 | 17 | 2910 | 642 | 73 | 1832 | 681 |
| 77 | 2011-01-22 | Member SRM 494 | 1 | 243 | 235.19 | -0.05 | 2 | 2892 | 664 | 25 | 1759 | 816 |
| 76 | 2011-01-12 | SRM 493 | 1 | 186 | 179.82 | -0.06 | 1 | 2891 | 664 | 29 | 1734 | 859 |
| 75 | 2010-12-28 | SRM 492 | 1 | 118 | 183.25 | 0.64 | 14 | 2889 | 661 | 83 | 1705 | 919 |
| 74 | 2010-12-18 | Member SRM 491 | 1 | 291 | 240.04 | -0.28 | -2 | 2876 | 689 | 29 | 1622 | 1117 |
| 73 | 2010-12-08 | SRM 490 | 1 | 471 | 227.18 | -1.08 | -15 | 2878 | 672 | -59 | 1593 | 1171 |
| 72 | 2010-11-13 | SRM 487 | 1 | 489 | 314.89 | -0.93 | -12 | 2893 | 623 | -105 | 1652 | 1008 |
| 71 | 2010-10-26 | SRM 486 | 1 | 667 | 219.57 | -1.65 | -19 | 2905 | 589 | -170 | 1757 | 791 |
| 70 | 2010-10-05 | SRM 484 | 1 | 306 | 124.99 | -1.29 | -15 | 2924 | 555 | -99 | 1927 | 525 |
| 69 | 2010-09-25 | SRM 483 | 1 | 66 | 198.67 | 1.59 | 24 | 2938 | 513 | 76 | 2026 | 401 |
| 68 | 2010-09-15 | Member SRM 482 | 1 | 138 | 222.62 | 0.69 | 14 | 2914 | 558 | 43 | 1950 | 494 |
| 67 | 2010-09-09 | SRM 481 | 1 | 103 | 206.89 | 1.01 | 18 | 2900 | 587 | 64 | 1907 | 555 |
| 66 | 2010-08-26 | SRM 480 | 1 | 54 | 153.35 | 1.51 | 24 | 2882 | 625 | 91 | 1843 | 643 |
| 65 | 2010-07-28 | SRM 477 | 1 | 340 | 223.30 | -0.61 | -7 | 2858 | 673 | -29 | 1752 | 784 |
| 64 | 2010-07-17 | SRM 476 | 1 | 392 | 248.33 | -0.66 | -8 | 2865 | 659 | -45 | 1781 | 734 |
| 63 | 2010-07-10 | TCO10 Round 3 | 1 | 176 | 201.38 | -0.20 | -2 | 2874 | 638 | -15 | 1826 | 662 |
| 62 | 2010-07-06 | SRM 475 | 1 | 221 | 182.62 | -0.28 | -2 | 2876 | 630 | -11 | 1841 | 645 |
| 61 | 2010-06-30 | Member Single Round Match 474 | 1 | 184 | 155.05 | -0.25 | -2 | 2878 | 616 | -8 | 1852 | 626 |
| 60 | 2010-06-26 | TCO10 Round 2 | 1 | 232 | 377.39 | 0.70 | 17 | 2881 | 607 | 67 | 1860 | 614 |
| 59 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 208 | 484.14 | 1.22 | 24 | 2864 | 634 | 99 | 1793 | 714 |
| 58 | 2010-06-17 | SRM 473 | 1 | 154 | 183.07 | 0.25 | 8 | 2840 | 679 | 52 | 1694 | 881 |
| 57 | 2010-06-05 | SRM 472 | 1 | 457 | 292.86 | -0.89 | -14 | 2831 | 689 | -104 | 1642 | 1003 |
| 56 | 2010-05-20 | SRM 470 | 1 | 349 | 253.40 | -0.46 | -6 | 2845 | 636 | -14 | 1746 | 751 |
| 55 | 2010-05-04 | SRM 469 | 1 | 415 | 241.72 | -0.78 | -12 | 2851 | 597 | -44 | 1760 | 697 |
| 54 | 2010-05-02 | TCO10 Qual 1 | 1 | 85 | 159.36 | 0.91 | 18 | 2863 | 568 | 69 | 1804 | 613 |
| 53 | 2010-04-20 | Member SRM 468 | 1 | 235 | 240.61 | 0.03 | 4 | 2845 | 583 | 33 | 1735 | 713 |
| 52 | 2010-04-03 | SRM 466 | 1 | 382 | 266.71 | -0.52 | -8 | 2841 | 581 | -7 | 1702 | 769 |
| 51 | 2010-03-25 | Member SRM 465 | 1 | 385 | 181.91 | -1.22 | -20 | 2848 | 568 | -171 | 1709 | 758 |
| 50 | 2010-03-16 | SRM 464 | 1 | 181 | 226.35 | 0.32 | 11 | 2869 | 556 | 30 | 1880 | 537 |
| 49 | 2010-03-02 | SRM 463 | 1 | 155 | 216.81 | 0.48 | 14 | 2858 | 593 | 45 | 1850 | 601 |
| 48 | 2010-02-17 | SRM 462 | 1 | 118 | 170.18 | 0.53 | 16 | 2843 | 617 | 55 | 1805 | 669 |
| 47 | 2010-02-13 | Member SRM 461 | 1 | 437 | 288.97 | -0.90 | -16 | 2828 | 637 | -129 | 1750 | 765 |
| 46 | 2010-02-06 | SRM 460 | 1 | 124 | 220.79 | 0.83 | 23 | 2844 | 609 | 55 | 1879 | 569 |
| 45 | 2010-01-19 | SRM 459 | 1 | 111 | 257.14 | 1.21 | 31 | 2821 | 646 | 87 | 1824 | 649 |
| 44 | 2010-01-14 | Member SRM 458 | 1 | 361 | 235.60 | -0.62 | -12 | 2790 | 730 | -48 | 1737 | 790 |
| 43 | 2010-01-04 | SRM 457 | 1 | 252 | 182.24 | -0.47 | -9 | 2802 | 693 | -33 | 1785 | 707 |
| 42 | 2009-12-22 | SRM 456 | 1 | 208 | 179.73 | -0.21 | -2 | 2810 | 663 | -8 | 1818 | 639 |
| 41 | 2009-12-17 | Member SRM 455 | 1 | 154 | 206.50 | 0.42 | 17 | 2812 | 653 | 37 | 1826 | 629 |
| 40 | 2009-11-25 | SRM 453.5 | 1 | 198 | 230.22 | 0.22 | 11 | 2796 | 694 | 31 | 1789 | 700 |
| 39 | 2009-10-20 | SRM 451 | 1 | 306 | 171.66 | -0.83 | -17 | 2785 | 710 | -61 | 1758 | 748 |
| 38 | 2009-10-17 | SRM 450 | 1 | 426 | 197.33 | -1.11 | -24 | 2801 | 656 | -111 | 1819 | 645 |
| 37 | 2009-09-23 | SRM 449 | 1 | 176 | 271.82 | 0.63 | 22 | 2825 | 595 | 42 | 1930 | 500 |
| 36 | 2009-07-23 | SRM 445 | 1 | 104 | 257.46 | 1.31 | 34 | 2803 | 630 | 88 | 1888 | 533 |
| 35 | 2009-07-08 | SRM 444 | 1 | 404 | 241.99 | -0.74 | -15 | 2768 | 694 | -61 | 1800 | 652 |
| 34 | 2009-06-23 | SRM 443 | 1 | 358 | 179.37 | -1.00 | -21 | 2783 | 672 | -109 | 1861 | 558 |
| 33 | 2009-06-13 | SRM 442 | 1 | 90 | 244.24 | 1.44 | 39 | 2804 | 617 | 84 | 1970 | 428 |
| 32 | 2009-05-27 | SRM 441 | 1 | 98 | 227.55 | 1.22 | 36 | 2764 | 704 | 80 | 1886 | 526 |
| 31 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 1 | 207 | 259.59 | 0.33 | 14 | 2728 | 806 | 27 | 1806 | 652 |
| 30 | 2009-04-30 | SRM 439 | 1 | 122 | 208.45 | 0.77 | 27 | 2714 | 849 | 59 | 1779 | 710 |
| 29 | 2009-04-19 | SRM 438 | 1 | 93 | 250.94 | 1.43 | 44 | 2687 | 910 | 106 | 1720 | 810 |
| 28 | 2009-03-24 | SRM 437 | 1 | 263 | 369.24 | 0.49 | 21 | 2644 | 1033 | 57 | 1614 | 1099 |
| 27 | 2009-03-11 | SRM 436 | 1 | 158 | 386.04 | 1.29 | 44 | 2623 | 1070 | 129 | 1557 | 1274 |
| 26 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 1198 | 732.19 | -0.71 | -21 | 2579 | 1216 | -79 | 1428 | 1844 |
| 25 | 2009-02-28 | TCO09 Qual 2 | 1 | 286 | 321.46 | 0.17 | 11 | 2599 | 1126 | 49 | 1507 | 1464 |
| 24 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 768 | 331.52 | -1.21 | -30 | 2589 | 1129 | -67 | 1458 | 1602 |
| 23 | 2009-02-12 | SRM 435 | 1 | 120 | 287.94 | 1.26 | 51 | 2619 | 1064 | 130 | 1525 | 1414 |
| 22 | 2009-02-07 | SRM 434 | 1 | 323 | 356.25 | 0.14 | 12 | 2568 | 1256 | 44 | 1395 | 2063 |
| 21 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 1 | 366 | 360.26 | -0.02 | 4 | 2556 | 1298 | 29 | 1351 | 2392 |
| 20 | 2009-01-06 | SRM 432 | 1 | 285 | 311.85 | 0.13 | 12 | 2552 | 1302 | 45 | 1322 | 2595 |
| 19 | 2008-12-20 | SRM 430 | 1 | 660 | 359.57 | -0.89 | -34 | 2540 | 1330 | -215 | 1277 | 2923 |
| 18 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 1 | 324 | 337.82 | 0.06 | 9 | 2574 | 1188 | 22 | 1492 | 1530 |
| 17 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 1 | 40 | 422.42 | 3.40 | 134 | 2565 | 1182 | 233 | 1470 | 1614 |
| 16 | 2008-11-12 | SRM 425 | 1 | 640 | 411.61 | -0.67 | -34 | 2430 | 1710 | -202 | 1237 | 3256 |
| 15 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 395 | 432.85 | 0.13 | 16 | 2464 | 1545 | 21 | 1439 | 1797 |
| 14 | 2008-08-06 | SRM 413 | 1 | 370 | 382.52 | -0.26 | -10 | 2448 | 1561 | -39 | 1418 | 1950 |
| 13 | 2008-07-23 | SRM 411 | 1 | 355 | 291.33 | -0.28 | -12 | 2459 | 1506 | -43 | 1457 | 1709 |
| 12 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 1 | 237 | 412.25 | 0.80 | 57 | 2471 | 1462 | 85 | 1500 | 1521 |
| 11 | 2008-07-10 | SRM 409 | 1 | 365 | 414.39 | 0.18 | 21 | 2414 | 1659 | 27 | 1415 | 1942 |
| 10 | 2008-06-17 | SRM 406 | 1 | 184 | 289.21 | 0.65 | 60 | 2393 | 1699 | 100 | 1388 | 2127 |
| 9 | 2008-06-14 | SRM 405 | 1 | 484 | 432.85 | -0.35 | -26 | 2333 | 1901 | -70 | 1288 | 2905 |
| 8 | 2008-06-05 | SRM 404 | 1 | 379 | 433.35 | 0.19 | 29 | 2359 | 1782 | 37 | 1358 | 2330 |
| 7 | 2008-04-12 | SRM 397 | 1 | 386 | 420.25 | 0.12 | 22 | 2330 | 1855 | 13 | 1321 | 2195 |
| 6 | 2008-04-03 | SRM 396 | 1 | 371 | 407.02 | 0.13 | 26 | 2308 | 1952 | 11 | 1308 | 2301 |
| 5 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 2 | 43 | 122.29 | 1.51 | 100 | 2282 | 2035 | 100 | 1297 | 2361 |
| 4 | 2008-03-11 | SRM 393 | 2 | 57 | 196.24 | 1.78 | 147 | 2181 | 2495 | 119 | 1197 | 3148 |
| 3 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 2 | 148 | 260.97 | 0.82 | 111 | 2035 | 3148 | 75 | 1078 | 4155 |
| 2 | 2007-12-08 | SRM 381 | 1 | 538 | 510.36 | -0.13 | -33 | 1924 | 3631 | -261 | 1003 | 4704 |
| 1 | 2007-11-20 | SRM 378 | 2 | 172 | 508.19 | 1.56 | 424 | 1957 | 3305 | 64 | 1264 | 2387 |