1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| rafaeldaigo | 104 | 3246 | 2231 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.261 | 0.930 | 1.245 | 31.2 | -97 | 712 | 3249 | 3246 | 356 |
| SRMFix | 0.235 | 0.937 | 1.249 | 39.7 | -117 | 671 | 2708 | 2591 | 351 |
| SRM | 0.410 | 0.981 | 1.311 | 67.4 | -288 | 357 | 2456 | 2231 | 306 |
| initial | 0.145 | 1.005 | 1.319 | 121.0 | -296 | 548 | 3424 | 2996 | 408 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 | 2013-05-11 | TCO13 Round 2C | 1 | 167 | 212.65 | 0.35 | 12 | 3246 | 356 | 4 | 2231 | 306 |
| 103 | 2013-04-20 | TCO13 Round 2B | 1 | 274 | 247.21 | -0.15 | 1 | 3234 | 359 | -17 | 2227 | 300 |
| 102 | 2013-03-31 | TCO13 Round 2A | 1 | 299 | 269.27 | -0.15 | 1 | 3233 | 359 | -17 | 2244 | 300 |
| 101 | 2013-03-02 | TCO13 Round 1B | 1 | 117 | 93.11 | -0.33 | -2 | 3232 | 348 | -14 | 2261 | 276 |
| 100 | 2012-06-02 | Round 2C | 1 | 375 | 183.11 | -1.03 | -14 | 3235 | 272 | -63 | 2275 | 249 |
| 99 | 2012-05-12 | TCO12 Round 2B | 1 | 144 | 219.86 | 0.61 | 18 | 3249 | 249 | 21 | 2338 | 210 |
| 98 | 2012-04-21 | TCO12 Round 2A | 1 | 153 | 266.53 | 0.80 | 23 | 3231 | 259 | 34 | 2317 | 216 |
| 97 | 2012-03-31 | TCO12 Round 1A | 1 | 27 | 139.07 | 2.37 | 44 | 3208 | 272 | 72 | 2283 | 238 |
| 96 | 2011-07-09 | TCO11 Round 3 | 1 | 167 | 163.81 | -0.03 | 2 | 3164 | 290 | 3 | 2211 | 290 |
| 95 | 2011-07-02 | SRM 511 | 1 | 235 | 149.78 | -0.65 | -7 | 3162 | 289 | -22 | 2208 | 294 |
| 94 | 2011-06-25 | TCO11 Round 2 | 1 | 243 | 223.07 | -0.12 | 1 | 3169 | 277 | 2 | 2230 | 280 |
| 93 | 2011-06-21 | SRM 510 | 1 | 97 | 90.42 | -0.10 | 2 | 3168 | 273 | 17 | 2228 | 280 |
| 92 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 65 | 289.38 | 2.15 | 36 | 3167 | 275 | 109 | 2211 | 297 |
| 91 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 208 | 105.28 | -0.98 | -9 | 3131 | 303 | 2 | 2102 | 368 |
| 90 | 2011-05-11 | SRM 506 | 1 | 52 | 103.55 | 0.99 | 23 | 3140 | 275 | 76 | 2100 | 358 |
| 89 | 2011-03-19 | SRM 500 | 1 | 168 | 181.41 | 0.11 | 6 | 3117 | 304 | 53 | 2024 | 437 |
| 88 | 2011-01-12 | SRM 493 | 1 | 220 | 213.23 | -0.72 | -9 | 3111 | 293 | -89 | 1971 | 488 |
| 87 | 2010-12-28 | SRM 492 | 1 | 20 | 108.30 | 2.44 | 36 | 3120 | 287 | 153 | 2060 | 394 |
| 86 | 2010-12-18 | Member SRM 491 | 1 | 46 | 154.44 | 1.75 | 31 | 3084 | 319 | 140 | 1907 | 566 |
| 85 | 2010-11-18 | SRM 488 | 1 | 276 | 178.28 | -1.05 | -14 | 3054 | 349 | -103 | 1767 | 778 |
| 84 | 2010-10-21 | Member SRM 485 | 1 | 470 | 163.29 | -1.70 | -21 | 3068 | 320 | -162 | 1870 | 610 |
| 83 | 2010-10-05 | SRM 484 | 1 | 59 | 84.84 | 0.52 | 13 | 3089 | 291 | 67 | 2032 | 400 |
| 82 | 2010-09-09 | SRM 481 | 1 | 388 | 214.34 | -1.23 | -16 | 3076 | 305 | -136 | 1965 | 478 |
| 81 | 2010-06-30 | Member Single Round Match 474 | 1 | 92 | 94.36 | 0.04 | 4 | 3092 | 273 | 27 | 2101 | 334 |
| 80 | 2010-06-26 | TCO10 Round 2 | 1 | 584 | 216.36 | -1.43 | -19 | 3088 | 272 | -118 | 2074 | 359 |
| 79 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 372 | 243.11 | -0.61 | -7 | 3107 | 257 | -21 | 2192 | 260 |
| 78 | 2010-06-17 | SRM 473 | 1 | 16 | 99.72 | 2.64 | 39 | 3114 | 245 | 116 | 2213 | 249 |
| 77 | 2010-05-04 | SRM 469 | 1 | 266 | 134.21 | -0.99 | -13 | 3075 | 255 | -37 | 2097 | 311 |
| 76 | 2010-04-20 | Member SRM 468 | 1 | 139 | 131.08 | -0.08 | 2 | 3087 | 235 | 13 | 2134 | 260 |
| 75 | 2010-04-15 | SRM 467 | 1 | 85 | 96.32 | 0.18 | 8 | 3086 | 240 | 31 | 2121 | 273 |
| 74 | 2010-04-03 | SRM 466 | 1 | 125 | 152.02 | 0.28 | 10 | 3078 | 240 | 41 | 2090 | 297 |
| 73 | 2010-03-25 | Member SRM 465 | 1 | 385 | 121.00 | -1.81 | -26 | 3068 | 255 | -170 | 2049 | 337 |
| 72 | 2010-02-17 | SRM 462 | 1 | 72 | 88.20 | 0.29 | 10 | 3094 | 247 | 16 | 2219 | 257 |
| 71 | 2010-02-13 | Member SRM 461 | 1 | 209 | 117.09 | -0.84 | -13 | 3084 | 250 | -41 | 2203 | 263 |
| 70 | 2010-02-06 | SRM 460 | 1 | 139 | 104.17 | -0.42 | -5 | 3096 | 243 | -18 | 2244 | 239 |
| 69 | 2009-12-22 | SRM 456 | 1 | 56 | 88.69 | 0.66 | 19 | 3101 | 226 | 34 | 2262 | 225 |
| 68 | 2009-10-20 | SRM 451 | 1 | 70 | 81.42 | 0.22 | 9 | 3082 | 233 | 21 | 2228 | 249 |
| 67 | 2009-09-10 | SRM 448 | 1 | 224 | 113.32 | -0.98 | -14 | 3074 | 230 | -42 | 2207 | 252 |
| 66 | 2009-08-25 | SRM 447 | 1 | 290 | 91.32 | -1.67 | -24 | 3088 | 219 | -101 | 2249 | 224 |
| 65 | 2009-06-23 | SRM 443 | 1 | 99 | 80.92 | -0.29 | -2 | 3111 | 201 | -12 | 2350 | 175 |
| 64 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 1 | 6 | 105.32 | 4.13 | 44 | 3113 | 201 | 139 | 2362 | 175 |
| 63 | 2009-04-30 | SRM 439 | 1 | 99 | 78.09 | -0.34 | -2 | 3069 | 230 | -14 | 2223 | 246 |
| 62 | 2009-03-14 | TCO09 Round 2 | 1 | 305 | 204.80 | -0.57 | -7 | 3071 | 216 | -37 | 2237 | 237 |
| 61 | 2009-03-11 | SRM 436 | 1 | 149 | 126.94 | -0.23 | -1 | 3078 | 207 | -10 | 2274 | 215 |
| 60 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 313 | 234.89 | -0.41 | -4 | 3079 | 212 | -19 | 2284 | 214 |
| 59 | 2009-02-12 | SRM 435 | 1 | 151 | 85.59 | -0.82 | -10 | 3083 | 211 | -45 | 2303 | 208 |
| 58 | 2009-02-07 | SRM 434 | 1 | 265 | 94.70 | -1.48 | -17 | 3093 | 205 | -96 | 2348 | 181 |
| 57 | 2008-12-23 | SRM 431 | 1 | 68 | 72.34 | 0.09 | 5 | 3110 | 176 | -10 | 2444 | 140 |
| 56 | 2008-12-20 | SRM 430 | 1 | 81 | 98.12 | 0.28 | 8 | 3105 | 182 | -2 | 2454 | 136 |
| 55 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 1 | 26 | 99.64 | 1.94 | 28 | 3097 | 192 | 60 | 2456 | 137 |
| 54 | 2008-12-02 | SRM 428 | 1 | 70 | 115.42 | 0.72 | 16 | 3069 | 209 | 21 | 2396 | 159 |
| 53 | 2008-11-25 | SRM 427 | 1 | 15 | 88.50 | 2.56 | 37 | 3053 | 219 | 87 | 2375 | 162 |
| 52 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 1 | 70 | 128.85 | 0.88 | 20 | 3016 | 248 | 31 | 2288 | 213 |
| 51 | 2008-10-28 | SRM 423 | 1 | 84 | 94.50 | 0.17 | 7 | 2996 | 264 | 0 | 2257 | 224 |
| 50 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 85 | 141.17 | 0.73 | 17 | 2989 | 270 | 28 | 2257 | 219 |
| 49 | 2008-10-08 | SRM 421 | 1 | 55 | 134.91 | 1.30 | 26 | 2972 | 291 | 54 | 2229 | 235 |
| 48 | 2008-10-02 | SRM 420 | 1 | 165 | 132.73 | -0.31 | -3 | 2946 | 320 | -20 | 2175 | 269 |
| 47 | 2008-09-24 | SRM 419 | 1 | 27 | 111.52 | 2.05 | 38 | 2949 | 309 | 88 | 2195 | 252 |
| 46 | 2008-09-04 | SRM 416 | 1 | 47 | 158.28 | 1.75 | 35 | 2911 | 355 | 84 | 2107 | 322 |
| 45 | 2008-08-26 | SRM 415 | 1 | 126 | 100.93 | -0.32 | -4 | 2875 | 404 | -14 | 2023 | 391 |
| 44 | 2008-06-26 | SRM 407 | 1 | 157 | 159.98 | 0.03 | 4 | 2879 | 392 | 10 | 2037 | 375 |
| 43 | 2008-06-17 | SRM 406 | 1 | 204 | 109.36 | -0.90 | -15 | 2875 | 392 | -58 | 2027 | 383 |
| 42 | 2008-06-05 | SRM 404 | 1 | 92 | 158.97 | 0.79 | 20 | 2890 | 367 | 49 | 2085 | 326 |
| 41 | 2008-05-28 | SRM 403 | 1 | 64 | 121.28 | 0.92 | 23 | 2870 | 395 | 68 | 2036 | 364 |
| 40 | 2008-05-06 | SRM 401 | 1 | 207 | 184.84 | -0.16 | 0 | 2847 | 411 | 7 | 1968 | 429 |
| 39 | 2008-04-03 | SRM 396 | 1 | 74 | 163.31 | 1.14 | 25 | 2847 | 407 | 89 | 1961 | 442 |
| 38 | 2008-03-26 | SRM 395 | 1 | 59 | 137.18 | 1.22 | 26 | 2822 | 449 | 103 | 1872 | 555 |
| 37 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 1 | 428 | 242.02 | -1.05 | -17 | 2796 | 503 | -143 | 1769 | 711 |
| 36 | 2008-03-11 | SRM 393 | 1 | 169 | 176.97 | 0.07 | 5 | 2814 | 456 | 26 | 1912 | 488 |
| 35 | 2008-03-06 | SRM 392 | 1 | 408 | 262.08 | -0.89 | -17 | 2808 | 466 | -131 | 1886 | 518 |
| 34 | 2008-02-26 | SRM 391 | 1 | 64 | 149.84 | 1.23 | 30 | 2825 | 429 | 80 | 2017 | 389 |
| 33 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 584 | 360.14 | -0.70 | -14 | 2795 | 485 | -76 | 1937 | 462 |
| 32 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 599 | 387.40 | -0.63 | -11 | 2809 | 449 | -44 | 2013 | 391 |
| 31 | 2008-02-05 | TCO08 Qual 1 | 1 | 32 | 141.45 | 2.14 | 39 | 2820 | 415 | 99 | 2057 | 328 |
| 30 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 37 | 229.15 | 2.63 | 58 | 2781 | 473 | 150 | 1958 | 425 |
| 29 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 289 | 232.73 | -0.31 | -5 | 2724 | 563 | -18 | 1808 | 604 |
| 28 | 2008-01-09 | SRM 387 | 1 | 102 | 164.38 | 0.69 | 24 | 2729 | 549 | 60 | 1826 | 575 |
| 27 | 2008-01-05 | SRM 386 | 1 | 280 | 198.33 | -0.50 | -10 | 2705 | 601 | -22 | 1766 | 668 |
| 26 | 2007-12-19 | SRM 384 | 1 | 199 | 137.18 | -0.54 | -12 | 2715 | 572 | -30 | 1788 | 627 |
| 25 | 2007-12-13 | SRM 383 | 1 | 169 | 157.93 | -0.10 | 1 | 2727 | 541 | 11 | 1818 | 583 |
| 24 | 2007-12-11 | SRM 382 | 1 | 62 | 169.91 | 1.45 | 47 | 2726 | 536 | 113 | 1807 | 586 |
| 23 | 2007-12-08 | SRM 381 | 1 | 243 | 219.14 | -0.15 | -1 | 2678 | 631 | 19 | 1694 | 773 |
| 22 | 2007-11-28 | SRM 379 | 1 | 143 | 157.89 | 0.14 | 11 | 2679 | 619 | 44 | 1675 | 806 |
| 21 | 2007-10-23 | SRM 373 | 1 | 195 | 145.54 | -0.42 | -10 | 2668 | 615 | 0 | 1631 | 858 |
| 20 | 2007-10-17 | SRM 372 | 1 | 115 | 239.67 | 1.06 | 43 | 2678 | 591 | 114 | 1631 | 855 |
| 19 | 2007-10-04 | SRM 369 | 1 | 310 | ||||||||
| 18 | 2007-09-12 | SRM 365 | 1 | 557 | 243.31 | -1.26 | -35 | 2636 | 638 | -185 | 1517 | 1130 |
| 17 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 305 | 302.44 | -0.01 | 5 | 2670 | 574 | 30 | 1702 | 713 |
| 16 | 2007-09-04 | SRM 364 | 1 | 464 | 197.93 | -1.23 | -38 | 2665 | 575 | -185 | 1672 | 764 |
| 15 | 2007-09-01 | TCCC07 Round 1C | 1 | 193 | 119.68 | -0.69 | -22 | 2704 | 513 | -47 | 1857 | 487 |
| 14 | 2007-08-23 | TCCC07 Qual 3 | 1 | 7 | 33.70 | 2.27 | 64 | 2725 | 463 | 113 | 1904 | 419 |
| 13 | 2007-08-01 | SRM 361 | 1 | 146 | 213.17 | 0.55 | 34 | 2662 | 562 | 53 | 1791 | 558 |
| 12 | 2007-07-24 | SRM 360 | 1 | 92 | 264.47 | 1.52 | 78 | 2628 | 629 | 117 | 1738 | 634 |
| 11 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 67 | 312.93 | 2.22 | 119 | 2550 | 778 | 173 | 1621 | 846 |
| 10 | 2007-07-17 | SRM 358 | 1 | 230 | 279.36 | 0.28 | 30 | 2431 | 1087 | 40 | 1448 | 1284 |
| 9 | 2007-07-12 | SRM 357 | 1 | 342 | 281.79 | -0.46 | -31 | 2401 | 1152 | -109 | 1408 | 1424 |
| 8 | 2007-04-24 | SRM 346 | 1 | 181 | 269.23 | 0.57 | 53 | 2432 | 998 | 66 | 1517 | 1055 |
| 7 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 97 | 469.17 | 2.27 | 189 | 2378 | 1114 | 228 | 1451 | 1226 |
| 6 | 2007-04-10 | TCO07 Round 1B | 1 | 276 | 295.70 | -0.34 | -25 | 2189 | 1646 | -64 | 1223 | 2319 |
| 5 | 2007-04-03 | TCO07 Qual 3 | 1 | 233 | 176.87 | -0.40 | -20 | 2215 | 1551 | 20 | 1287 | 1922 |
| 4 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 721 | 328.24 | -1.14 | -97 | 2235 | 1465 | -103 | 1267 | 2008 |
| 3 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 1 | 472 | 292.76 | -0.73 | -87 | 2332 | 1175 | -288 | 1370 | 1528 |
| 2 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 1 | 155 | 297.79 | 0.94 | 214 | 2419 | 942 | 101 | 1658 | 733 |
| 1 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 2 | 23 | 428.38 | 4.22 | 712 | 2205 | 1532 | 357 | 1557 | 930 |