1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| starforever | 103 | 2900 | 1358 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.075 | 0.739 | 1.060 | 29.3 | -100 | 790 | 2986 | 2900 | 1482 |
| SRMFix | 0.057 | 0.753 | 1.056 | 36.2 | -121 | 779 | 2446 | 2131 | 1667 |
| SRM | 0.254 | 0.763 | 1.155 | 62.4 | -416 | 440 | 2062 | 1358 | 2931 |
| initial | 0.087 | 0.766 | 1.115 | 92.2 | -210 | 624 | 2985 | 2252 | 2336 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 | 2014-05-17 | TCO14 Round 2A | 1 | 790 | 722.58 | -0.52 | -7 | 2900 | 1482 | -47 | 1358 | 2931 |
| 102 | 2014-05-10 | SRM 620 | 1 | 658 | 421.66 | -0.64 | -8 | 2907 | 1473 | -23 | 1405 | 2664 |
| 101 | 2014-04-24 | SRM 618 | 1 | 352 | 234.39 | -0.59 | -7 | 2916 | 1421 | -15 | 1428 | 2457 |
| 100 | 2014-04-21 | SRM 617 | 1 | 688 | 400.49 | -0.92 | -12 | 2923 | 1392 | -117 | 1443 | 2360 |
| 99 | 2014-04-12 | TCO14 Round 1A | 1 | 513 | 480.55 | -0.09 | 1 | 2935 | 1313 | 26 | 1560 | 1699 |
| 98 | 2014-04-10 | SRM 616 | 1 | 292 | 354.55 | 0.28 | 8 | 2934 | 1264 | 55 | 1534 | 1744 |
| 97 | 2014-03-29 | SRM 614 | 1 | 397 | 394.01 | -0.49 | -6 | 2926 | 1304 | -52 | 1479 | 2043 |
| 96 | 2014-02-25 | SRM 610 | 1 | 328 | 230.64 | -0.51 | -7 | 2933 | 1284 | -21 | 1531 | 1820 |
| 95 | 2014-02-07 | SRM 608 | 1 | 389 | 373.40 | -0.56 | -7 | 2940 | 1244 | -77 | 1552 | 1734 |
| 94 | 2014-02-03 | SRM 607 | 1 | 374 | 289.79 | -0.37 | -4 | 2947 | 1228 | -14 | 1629 | 1436 |
| 93 | 2014-01-29 | SRM 606 | 1 | 237 | 194.64 | -0.28 | -3 | 2951 | 1210 | -4 | 1643 | 1387 |
| 92 | 2014-01-06 | SRM 603 | 1 | 433 | 233.69 | -0.89 | -12 | 2954 | 1186 | -79 | 1647 | 1367 |
| 91 | 2013-12-28 | SRM 602 | 1 | 216 | 312.27 | 0.53 | 12 | 2966 | 1111 | 47 | 1726 | 1143 |
| 90 | 2013-12-04 | SRM 599 | 1 | 369 | 267.95 | -0.46 | -6 | 2954 | 1146 | -23 | 1679 | 1235 |
| 89 | 2013-11-28 | SRM 598 | 1 | 294 | 169.37 | -0.80 | -10 | 2960 | 1123 | -56 | 1702 | 1155 |
| 88 | 2013-11-20 | SRM 597 | 1 | 323 | 255.63 | -0.34 | -3 | 2970 | 1072 | -16 | 1758 | 1034 |
| 87 | 2013-11-01 | SRM 596 | 1 | 163 | 267.65 | 0.72 | 15 | 2973 | 1045 | 53 | 1774 | 975 |
| 86 | 2013-10-15 | SRM 594 | 1 | 320 | 254.66 | -0.33 | -3 | 2958 | 1091 | -14 | 1721 | 1088 |
| 85 | 2013-10-05 | SRM 593 | 1 | 317 | 267.88 | -0.24 | -2 | 2962 | 1073 | -3 | 1735 | 1071 |
| 84 | 2013-09-27 | SRM 592 | 1 | 37 | 256.37 | 2.79 | 38 | 2964 | 1054 | 154 | 1738 | 1060 |
| 83 | 2013-09-16 | SRM 591 | 1 | 299 | 191.68 | -0.64 | -9 | 2925 | 1165 | -33 | 1584 | 1512 |
| 82 | 2013-08-12 | SRM 588 | 1 | 331 | 257.58 | -0.36 | -4 | 2935 | 1124 | 1 | 1617 | 1401 |
| 81 | 2013-08-01 | SRM 587 | 1 | 48 | 199.85 | 2.06 | 32 | 2939 | 1103 | 149 | 1616 | 1396 |
| 80 | 2013-07-27 | SRM 586 | 1 | 362 | 340.17 | -0.57 | -8 | 2907 | 1198 | -62 | 1467 | 2052 |
| 79 | 2013-07-19 | SRM 585 | 1 | 330 | 306.60 | -0.11 | 0 | 2915 | 1170 | 33 | 1529 | 1741 |
| 78 | 2013-07-10 | SRM 584 | 1 | 471 | 268.61 | -0.99 | -15 | 2915 | 1168 | -131 | 1496 | 1888 |
| 77 | 2013-06-18 | SRM 583 | 1 | 350 | 298.14 | -0.23 | -2 | 2930 | 1129 | 2 | 1627 | 1344 |
| 76 | 2013-06-03 | SRM 581 | 1 | 303 | 192.89 | -0.65 | -10 | 2932 | 1118 | -39 | 1625 | 1362 |
| 75 | 2013-05-25 | SRM 580 | 1 | 429 | 311.04 | -0.46 | -7 | 2941 | 1108 | -23 | 1664 | 1265 |
| 74 | 2013-05-18 | SRM 579 | 1 | 248 | 326.27 | 0.40 | 11 | 2948 | 1081 | 46 | 1687 | 1196 |
| 73 | 2013-05-11 | TCO13 Round 2C | 1 | 294 | 458.70 | 0.64 | 17 | 2937 | 1132 | 67 | 1641 | 1366 |
| 72 | 2013-05-02 | SRM 578 | 1 | 101 | 246.80 | 1.29 | 28 | 2920 | 1187 | 119 | 1574 | 1652 |
| 71 | 2013-04-26 | SRM 577 | 1 | 408 | 418.18 | -0.48 | -8 | 2892 | 1274 | -51 | 1455 | 2231 |
| 70 | 2013-04-20 | TCO13 Round 2B | 1 | 498 | 637.34 | -0.29 | -5 | 2900 | 1260 | -27 | 1506 | 1996 |
| 69 | 2013-04-11 | SRM 576 | 1 | 371 | 219.08 | -0.76 | -14 | 2905 | 1241 | -41 | 1533 | 1890 |
| 68 | 2013-04-06 | SRM 575 | 1 | 630 | 446.66 | -0.76 | -15 | 2919 | 1192 | -95 | 1574 | 1750 |
| 67 | 2013-03-31 | TCO13 Round 2A | 1 | 328 | 558.71 | 0.77 | 25 | 2933 | 1112 | 83 | 1669 | 1353 |
| 66 | 2013-03-25 | SRM 574 | 1 | 418 | 315.26 | -0.41 | -7 | 2908 | 1193 | 1 | 1586 | 1693 |
| 65 | 2013-02-23 | TCO13 Round 1A | 1 | 571 | 283.42 | -1.01 | -18 | 2916 | 1112 | -13 | 1585 | 1603 |
| 64 | 2013-02-19 | SRM 571 | 1 | 657 | 308.78 | -1.20 | -27 | 2933 | 1032 | -172 | 1598 | 1512 |
| 63 | 2013-02-13 | SRM 570 | 1 | 475 | 248.00 | -0.94 | -22 | 2960 | 924 | -82 | 1770 | 952 |
| 62 | 2013-02-06 | SRM 569 | 1 | 70 | 217.75 | 1.64 | 55 | 2983 | 848 | 89 | 1852 | 770 |
| 61 | 2012-10-19 | SRM 558 | 1 | 273 | 242.75 | -0.17 | -1 | 2927 | 960 | -9 | 1763 | 926 |
| 60 | 2012-10-10 | SRM 557 | 1 | 403 | 263.33 | -0.61 | -15 | 2928 | 952 | -54 | 1772 | 918 |
| 59 | 2012-09-13 | SRM 556 | 1 | 257 | 209.81 | -0.29 | -5 | 2943 | 894 | -28 | 1826 | 796 |
| 58 | 2012-09-07 | SRM 555 | 1 | 350 | 228.41 | -0.62 | -17 | 2948 | 877 | -56 | 1854 | 742 |
| 57 | 2012-08-22 | SRM 553 | 1 | 256 | 165.40 | -0.63 | -21 | 2965 | 805 | -63 | 1910 | 631 |
| 56 | 2012-08-16 | SRM 552 | 1 | 168 | 177.69 | 0.08 | 16 | 2986 | 742 | -18 | 1973 | 540 |
| 55 | 2010-07-10 | TCO10 Round 3 | 1 | 176 | 181.52 | -0.35 | -8 | 2970 | 447 | -46 | 1991 | 450 |
| 54 | 2010-06-26 | TCO10 Round 2 | 1 | 307 | 299.62 | -0.04 | 4 | 2978 | 427 | -5 | 2037 | 401 |
| 53 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 294 | 368.82 | 0.33 | 16 | 2975 | 420 | 16 | 2042 | 388 |
| 52 | 2010-05-24 | TCO10 Qual 3 | 1 | 60 | 80.79 | 0.43 | 18 | 2958 | 433 | 19 | 2026 | 402 |
| 51 | 2010-02-17 | SRM 462 | 1 | 151 | 130.03 | -0.22 | -2 | 2940 | 428 | -9 | 2007 | 414 |
| 50 | 2010-02-13 | Member SRM 461 | 1 | 191 | 180.38 | -0.08 | 3 | 2941 | 425 | 0 | 2016 | 409 |
| 49 | 2010-02-06 | SRM 460 | 1 | 272 | 157.19 | -0.79 | -19 | 2939 | 426 | -46 | 2016 | 409 |
| 48 | 2009-09-23 | SRM 449 | 1 | 125 | 196.50 | 0.65 | 21 | 2958 | 370 | 44 | 2062 | 355 |
| 47 | 2009-08-25 | SRM 447 | 1 | 140 | 150.12 | 0.10 | 7 | 2937 | 388 | 22 | 2018 | 386 |
| 46 | 2009-07-23 | SRM 445 | 1 | 41 | 199.33 | 2.28 | 49 | 2929 | 393 | 133 | 1996 | 403 |
| 45 | 2009-07-08 | SRM 444 | 1 | 148 | 200.49 | 0.44 | 16 | 2881 | 466 | 57 | 1863 | 554 |
| 44 | 2009-06-23 | SRM 443 | 1 | 365 | 146.74 | -1.32 | -27 | 2864 | 490 | -105 | 1806 | 642 |
| 43 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 1 | 303 | 165.53 | -0.87 | -16 | 2891 | 450 | -45 | 1911 | 510 |
| 42 | 2009-04-30 | SRM 439 | 1 | 123 | 127.56 | 0.05 | 6 | 2907 | 421 | 23 | 1956 | 460 |
| 41 | 2009-03-14 | TCO09 Round 2 | 1 | 547 | 299.80 | -0.87 | -18 | 2901 | 422 | -99 | 1933 | 503 |
| 40 | 2009-03-11 | SRM 436 | 1 | 104 | 207.66 | 1.00 | 29 | 2919 | 384 | 73 | 2032 | 394 |
| 39 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 163 | 436.82 | 1.42 | 38 | 2891 | 434 | 99 | 1959 | 462 |
| 38 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 66 | 195.18 | 1.56 | 37 | 2852 | 479 | 94 | 1860 | 580 |
| 37 | 2009-02-12 | SRM 435 | 1 | 196 | 176.61 | -0.15 | 0 | 2815 | 560 | 21 | 1766 | 756 |
| 36 | 2009-02-07 | SRM 434 | 1 | 447 | 258.82 | -1.03 | -24 | 2816 | 563 | -152 | 1745 | 794 |
| 35 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 1 | 344 | 192.56 | -0.84 | -20 | 2840 | 511 | -67 | 1897 | 540 |
| 34 | 2008-12-14 | TC China 08 - Finals | 1 | 105 | 42.50 | -1.30 | -27 | 2860 | 463 | -51 | 1964 | 450 |
| 33 | 2008-12-12 | TC China 08 - 1E | 1 | 9 | 17.07 | 0.92 | 31 | 2887 | 413 | 52 | 2015 | 399 |
| 32 | 2008-12-02 | SRM 428 | 1 | 219 | 192.06 | -0.19 | -2 | 2855 | 470 | -13 | 1963 | 445 |
| 31 | 2008-11-25 | SRM 427 | 1 | 111 | 143.16 | 0.37 | 21 | 2857 | 468 | 24 | 1976 | 433 |
| 30 | 2008-11-06 | SRM 424 | 1 | 137 | 176.41 | 0.36 | 22 | 2836 | 491 | 26 | 1952 | 464 |
| 29 | 2008-10-28 | SRM 423 | 1 | 145 | 150.12 | 0.05 | 9 | 2815 | 526 | 5 | 1926 | 499 |
| 28 | 2008-10-02 | SRM 420 | 1 | 276 | 180.59 | -0.61 | -20 | 2805 | 544 | -47 | 1921 | 505 |
| 27 | 2008-09-04 | SRM 416 | 1 | 60 | 215.90 | 1.85 | 83 | 2826 | 487 | 106 | 1968 | 452 |
| 26 | 2008-07-31 | SRM 412 | 1 | 132 | 223.20 | 0.76 | 47 | 2743 | 652 | 51 | 1862 | 567 |
| 25 | 2008-07-23 | SRM 411 | 1 | 130 | 220.70 | 0.76 | 58 | 2695 | 732 | 53 | 1811 | 641 |
| 24 | 2008-02-13 | TCO08 Qual 3 | 1 | 216 | 119.42 | -0.86 | -22 | 2638 | 777 | -37 | 1758 | 702 |
| 23 | 2007-10-04 | SRM 369 | 1 | 250 | ||||||||
| 22 | 2007-10-02 | SRM 368 | 1 | 209 | 202.87 | -0.05 | 3 | 2660 | 609 | 1 | 1795 | 577 |
| 21 | 2007-09-18 | SRM 366 | 1 | 53 | 204.47 | 1.95 | 68 | 2657 | 611 | 134 | 1794 | 578 |
| 20 | 2007-09-12 | SRM 365 | 1 | 212 | 282.49 | 0.40 | 23 | 2589 | 751 | 45 | 1660 | 797 |
| 19 | 2007-09-04 | SRM 364 | 1 | 210 | 270.12 | 0.36 | 24 | 2566 | 782 | 49 | 1615 | 886 |
| 18 | 2007-08-18 | TCCC07 Qual 1 | 1 | 204 | 195.62 | -0.06 | 4 | 2542 | 817 | 24 | 1566 | 980 |
| 17 | 2007-08-11 | SRM 363 | 1 | 325 | ||||||||
| 16 | 2007-08-07 | SRM 362 | 1 | 252 | ||||||||
| 15 | 2007-08-01 | SRM 361 | 1 | 316 | 247.86 | -0.35 | -12 | 2537 | 832 | -26 | 1542 | 1036 |
| 14 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 332 | 248.17 | -0.42 | -16 | 2549 | 779 | -26 | 1568 | 967 |
| 13 | 2007-07-17 | SRM 358 | 1 | 285 | 235.28 | -0.61 | -24 | 2565 | 731 | -93 | 1594 | 899 |
| 12 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 1 | 280 | 241.42 | -0.22 | -5 | 2589 | 659 | -8 | 1687 | 701 |
| 11 | 2007-04-21 | TCO07 Round 3 | 1 | 246 | 217.35 | -0.18 | -8 | 2594 | 617 | -58 | 1695 | 665 |
| 10 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 120 | 440.82 | 1.88 | 104 | 2602 | 598 | 163 | 1753 | 577 |
| 9 | 2007-04-12 | TCO07 Round 1C | 1 | 208 | 119.75 | -0.80 | -35 | 2499 | 814 | -50 | 1590 | 873 |
| 8 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 148 | 229.98 | 0.64 | 45 | 2534 | 686 | 71 | 1640 | 732 |
| 7 | 2007-03-28 | SRM 344 | 1 | 93 | 320.19 | 1.78 | 132 | 2488 | 783 | 165 | 1569 | 864 |
| 6 | 2007-03-14 | SRM 342 | 1 | 219 | 232.36 | 0.08 | 18 | 2356 | 1073 | 20 | 1404 | 1320 |
| 5 | 2007-03-10 | SRM 341 | 1 | 329 | 350.03 | 0.09 | 22 | 2338 | 1119 | 13 | 1384 | 1372 |
| 4 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 2 | 5 | 64.38 | 3.69 | 159 | 2316 | 1222 | 232 | 1371 | 1525 |
| 3 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 1 | 296 | 301.55 | -0.20 | -26 | 2157 | 1726 | -85 | 1139 | 2997 |
| 2 | 2007-02-07 | SRM 338 | 1 | 399 | 269.66 | -0.59 | -100 | 2184 | 1608 | -416 | 1224 | 2381 |
| 1 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 2 | 11 | 428.38 | 5.28 | 790 | 2283 | 1279 | 440 | 1640 | 744 |