1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| lucasr | 113 | 3455 | 1794 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.186 | 0.942 | 1.360 | 34.8 | -75 | 968 | 3558 | 3455 | 166 |
| Odd | 0.165 | 0.942 | 1.362 | 33.9 | -69 | 997 | 3197 | 3092 | 158 |
| SRMFix | 0.131 | 0.954 | 1.365 | 41.0 | -134 | 1035 | 2780 | 2520 | 138 |
| SRM | 0.294 | 1.001 | 1.382 | 68.4 | -203 | 700 | 2666 | 1794 | 236 |
| initial | 0.095 | 1.030 | 1.439 | 124.0 | -335 | 1038 | 3525 | 2461 | 226 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 | 2022-08-06 | TCO22 Wildcard | 1 | 83 | 41.07 | -1.01 | -30 | 3455 | 166 | -161 | 1794 | 236 |
| 112 | 2022-07-07 | 2022 TCO Round 3 | 1 | 200 | 77.22 | -1.44 | -38 | 3485 | 178 | -163 | 1955 | 208 |
| 111 | 2022-05-21 | 2022 TCO 2A | 1 | 73 | 60.66 | -0.27 | -5 | 3523 | 169 | -7 | 2118 | 164 |
| 110 | 2021-08-08 | 2021 TCO Wildcard 1 | 1 | 18 | ||||||||
| 109 | 2021-08-05 | 2021 Regional 2 | 1 | 26 | 48.98 | 0.91 | 26 | 3528 | 175 | 73 | 2125 | 168 |
| 108 | 2021-08-04 | 2021 Regional 1 | 1 | 114 | 53.09 | -1.10 | -24 | 3501 | 187 | -59 | 2052 | 206 |
| 107 | 2021-07-08 | TCO21 Round 3 | 1 | 94 | 77.90 | -0.27 | -4 | 3525 | 182 | -3 | 2111 | 187 |
| 106 | 2021-05-22 | TCO21 Round 2A | 1 | 190 | 75.72 | -1.33 | -29 | 3529 | 178 | -71 | 2114 | 187 |
| 105 | 2021-02-13 | SRM 800 | 1 | 55 | 77.28 | 0.49 | 18 | 3558 | 150 | 48 | 2185 | 153 |
| 104 | 2020-10-07 | TCO20 Wildcard | 1 | 27 | 22.77 | -0.42 | -10 | 3540 | 153 | -114 | 2137 | 166 |
| 103 | 2020-09-05 | 2020 TCO Round 4 | 1 | 36 | 69.44 | 0.95 | 31 | 3550 | 141 | 73 | 2251 | 121 |
| 102 | 2020-08-01 | TCO20 Round 3A | 1 | 10 | 95.95 | 3.26 | 54 | 3519 | 167 | 221 | 2178 | 148 |
| 101 | 2020-07-19 | TCO20 SA Elimination 2 | 1 | 6 | ||||||||
| 100 | 2020-07-19 | TCO20 SA Elmination 1 | 1 | 4 | 6.77 | -0.41 | -3 | 3466 | 196 | -60 | 1957 | 253 |
| 99 | 2020-07-19 | TCO20 South America | 1 | 3 | 4.31 | 0.52 | 15 | 3469 | 196 | 73 | 2017 | 224 |
| 98 | 2020-07-09 | TCO20 Round 2A | 1 | 78 | 101.00 | 0.37 | 16 | 3454 | 199 | 61 | 1944 | 265 |
| 97 | 2020-06-21 | SRM 787 | 1 | 108 | 103.51 | -0.64 | -20 | 3437 | 220 | -115 | 1883 | 310 |
| 96 | 2020-04-18 | TCO20 Round 1A | 1 | 75 | 38.72 | -0.95 | -14 | 3458 | 218 | 28 | 1998 | 286 |
| 95 | 2019-08-17 | TCO19 Wildcard | 1 | 28 | 8.85 | -1.66 | -29 | 3471 | 207 | -165 | 1970 | 272 |
| 94 | 2019-07-20 | TCO19 South America Regional | 1 | 4 | ||||||||
| 93 | 2019-07-18 | TCO19 Round 3B | 1 | 77 | 39.92 | -0.95 | -19 | 3500 | 201 | -73 | 2135 | 207 |
| 92 | 2019-07-06 | TCO19 Round 3A | 1 | 99 | 70.96 | -0.48 | -11 | 3519 | 193 | -38 | 2208 | 177 |
| 91 | 2019-05-22 | TCO19 Round 2A | 1 | 36 | 58.10 | 0.69 | 26 | 3530 | 193 | 41 | 2246 | 170 |
| 90 | 2019-03-30 | TCO19 SRM 754 | 1 | 9 | 28.53 | 1.66 | 54 | 3504 | 200 | 87 | 2205 | 184 |
| 89 | 2018-10-20 | TCO19 SRM 740 | 1 | 37 | 49.73 | 0.43 | 17 | 3450 | 234 | 40 | 2118 | 220 |
| 88 | 2018-08-25 | TCO18 Wildcard | 1 | 19 | 11.53 | -0.72 | -17 | 3434 | 243 | -68 | 2078 | 239 |
| 87 | 2018-08-04 | 2018 TCO Argentina | 1 | 1 | 2.62 | 1.39 | 27 | 3451 | 235 | 91 | 2146 | 222 |
| 86 | 2018-07-28 | TCO18 Parallel Round 4 | 1 | 9 | 9.04 | 0.01 | 5 | 3423 | 256 | 18 | 2055 | 257 |
| 85 | 2018-07-19 | 2018 TCO 3B | 1 | 235 | 80.92 | -1.56 | -44 | 3418 | 262 | -167 | 2037 | 275 |
| 84 | 2018-07-07 | 2018 TCO 3A | 1 | 117 | 127.35 | 0.12 | 11 | 3463 | 231 | -2 | 2204 | 209 |
| 83 | 2018-06-02 | 2018 TCO 2A | 1 | 149 | 144.55 | -0.04 | 4 | 3451 | 236 | -14 | 2206 | 206 |
| 82 | 2017-07-22 | TCO17 Round 2C | 1 | 60 | 86.22 | 0.52 | 28 | 3447 | 256 | 16 | 2220 | 215 |
| 81 | 2017-05-06 | TCO17 Round 1C | 1 | 23 | 29.36 | 0.35 | 23 | 3420 | 296 | 20 | 2204 | 239 |
| 80 | 2016-06-18 | 2016 TCO Algo 2C | 1 | 205 | 114.77 | -0.86 | -22 | 3396 | 323 | -70 | 2184 | 281 |
| 79 | 2016-05-12 | 2016 TCO Algo 2A | 1 | 106 | 172.25 | 0.63 | 31 | 3419 | 299 | 27 | 2254 | 238 |
| 78 | 2016-04-12 | 2016 TCO Algo 1B | 1 | 50 | 61.90 | 0.31 | 22 | 3388 | 319 | 18 | 2227 | 259 |
| 77 | 2015-05-31 | 2015 TCO 2A | 1 | 293 | 186.66 | -0.65 | -18 | 3366 | 340 | -37 | 2209 | 317 |
| 76 | 2015-04-25 | 2015 TCO 1B | 1 | 57 | 63.59 | 0.16 | 15 | 3384 | 314 | 21 | 2246 | 301 |
| 75 | 2014-06-07 | TCO14 Round 2B | 1 | 779 | 360.36 | -1.42 | -28 | 3369 | 284 | -169 | 2225 | 305 |
| 74 | 2014-05-17 | TCO14 Round 2A | 1 | 126 | 233.24 | 0.89 | 36 | 3397 | 243 | 27 | 2394 | 187 |
| 73 | 2014-04-19 | TCO14 Round 1B | 1 | 92 | 79.25 | -0.22 | 1 | 3361 | 270 | -15 | 2367 | 200 |
| 72 | 2013-05-11 | TCO13 Round 2C | 1 | 226 | 134.80 | -0.75 | -12 | 3360 | 209 | -38 | 2382 | 195 |
| 71 | 2013-04-20 | TCO13 Round 2B | 1 | 111 | 174.15 | 0.65 | 27 | 3373 | 190 | 23 | 2420 | 170 |
| 70 | 2013-03-02 | TCO13 Round 1B | 1 | 13 | 78.84 | 2.60 | 67 | 3346 | 192 | 72 | 2397 | 185 |
| 69 | 2012-06-02 | Round 2C | 1 | 103 | 179.52 | 0.80 | 24 | 3279 | 226 | 35 | 2325 | 219 |
| 68 | 2012-05-12 | TCO12 Round 2B | 1 | 212 | 207.26 | -0.03 | 5 | 3255 | 245 | 3 | 2290 | 234 |
| 67 | 2012-04-21 | TCO12 Round 2A | 1 | 214 | 244.20 | 0.19 | 13 | 3250 | 235 | 19 | 2287 | 233 |
| 66 | 2012-04-14 | TCO12 Round 1C | 1 | 138 | 46.06 | -1.58 | -29 | 3238 | 244 | -21 | 2268 | 257 |
| 65 | 2011-07-23 | TCO11 Round 4 | 1 | 133 | 74.96 | -0.83 | -20 | 3267 | 169 | -172 | 2289 | 236 |
| 64 | 2011-07-09 | TCO11 Round 3 | 1 | 127 | 124.73 | -0.03 | 4 | 3287 | 160 | -8 | 2461 | 146 |
| 63 | 2011-06-25 | TCO11 Round 2 | 1 | 208 | 159.37 | -0.38 | -5 | 3283 | 156 | -29 | 2469 | 142 |
| 62 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 158 | 188.98 | 0.26 | 15 | 3288 | 148 | 2 | 2498 | 128 |
| 61 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 131 | 54.33 | -1.27 | -20 | 3273 | 144 | -43 | 2496 | 119 |
| 60 | 2010-10-13 | TCO10 Semi 1 | 1 | 11 | 8.59 | -0.36 | -8 | 3294 | 118 | -60 | 2539 | 95 |
| 59 | 2010-09-25 | SRM 483 | 1 | 156 | 57.09 | -1.45 | -22 | 3301 | 106 | -67 | 2599 | 78 |
| 58 | 2010-08-07 | TCO10 Round 5 | 1 | 23 | 28.72 | 0.32 | 15 | 3323 | 91 | 15 | 2666 | 66 |
| 57 | 2010-07-24 | TCO10 Round 4 | 1 | 44 | 48.47 | 0.14 | 9 | 3308 | 102 | 0 | 2651 | 69 |
| 56 | 2010-07-10 | TCO10 Round 3 | 1 | 22 | 93.63 | 2.09 | 53 | 3299 | 104 | 75 | 2651 | 68 |
| 55 | 2010-06-26 | TCO10 Round 2 | 1 | 58 | 165.85 | 1.52 | 45 | 3246 | 130 | 42 | 2576 | 82 |
| 54 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 237 | 183.55 | -0.37 | -6 | 3201 | 166 | -32 | 2534 | 101 |
| 53 | 2010-05-12 | TCO10 Qual 2 | 1 | 52 | 46.87 | -0.15 | 4 | 3207 | 152 | -16 | 2566 | 88 |
| 52 | 2009-06-04 | TCO09 Championship | 1 | 6 | 6.30 | -0.15 | -2 | 3203 | 128 | -5 | 2582 | 91 |
| 51 | 2009-06-03 | TCO09 Semifinal | 1 | 8 | 15.14 | 0.92 | 33 | 3205 | 127 | 91 | 2587 | 89 |
| 50 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 1 | 168 | 72.16 | -1.22 | -17 | 3172 | 154 | -53 | 2496 | 123 |
| 49 | 2009-04-04 | TCO09 Round 5 | 1 | 15 | 32.23 | 1.10 | 34 | 3188 | 135 | 87 | 2549 | 103 |
| 48 | 2009-03-28 | TCO09 Round 4 | 1 | 19 | 72.93 | 1.94 | 49 | 3154 | 160 | 124 | 2462 | 130 |
| 47 | 2009-03-21 | TCO09 Round 3 | 1 | 54 | 143.56 | 1.41 | 37 | 3106 | 195 | 91 | 2338 | 177 |
| 46 | 2009-03-14 | TCO09 Round 2 | 1 | 142 | 221.70 | 0.64 | 21 | 3068 | 219 | 42 | 2247 | 232 |
| 45 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 175 | 276.94 | 0.66 | 21 | 3048 | 237 | 38 | 2205 | 264 |
| 44 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 111 | 92.86 | -0.26 | 0 | 3026 | 260 | 0 | 2167 | 282 |
| 43 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 1 | 156 | 122.67 | -0.35 | -4 | 3027 | 257 | -6 | 2167 | 279 |
| 42 | 2009-01-06 | SRM 432 | 1 | 160 | 95.15 | -0.75 | -13 | 3031 | 247 | -25 | 2173 | 275 |
| 41 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 1 | 65 | 121.52 | 0.90 | 27 | 3044 | 227 | 57 | 2198 | 263 |
| 40 | 2008-09-24 | SRM 419 | 1 | 165 | 79.10 | -1.06 | -18 | 3017 | 243 | -44 | 2141 | 296 |
| 39 | 2008-09-20 | SRM 418 | 1 | 128 | 112.73 | -0.18 | 0 | 3035 | 229 | 13 | 2185 | 258 |
| 38 | 2008-08-16 | SRM 414 | 1 | 339 | 84.69 | -2.00 | -30 | 3035 | 225 | -117 | 2172 | 270 |
| 37 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 1 | 79 | 97.00 | 0.30 | 12 | 3065 | 199 | 30 | 2289 | 203 |
| 36 | 2008-06-26 | SRM 407 | 1 | 32 | 110.82 | 1.79 | 39 | 3053 | 205 | 93 | 2259 | 208 |
| 35 | 2008-06-14 | SRM 405 | 1 | 387 | 111.31 | -1.80 | -31 | 3014 | 231 | -113 | 2166 | 264 |
| 34 | 2008-05-24 | SRM 402 | 1 | 22 | 83.86 | 1.93 | 41 | 3044 | 203 | 81 | 2279 | 201 |
| 33 | 2008-05-01 | SRM 400 | 1 | 254 | 118.00 | -1.11 | -21 | 3003 | 232 | -65 | 2198 | 242 |
| 32 | 2008-03-26 | SRM 395 | 1 | 130 | 70.36 | -0.89 | -14 | 3024 | 205 | -41 | 2263 | 198 |
| 31 | 2008-03-06 | SRM 392 | 1 | 80 | 129.78 | 0.70 | 21 | 3038 | 187 | 42 | 2304 | 182 |
| 30 | 2008-03-01 | TCO08 Round 3 | 1 | 178 | 145.79 | -0.29 | -5 | 3017 | 208 | -24 | 2262 | 201 |
| 29 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 68 | 241.03 | 1.83 | 44 | 3021 | 193 | 95 | 2286 | 186 |
| 28 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 196 | 268.52 | 0.45 | 18 | 2977 | 229 | 37 | 2191 | 240 |
| 27 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 18 | 98.32 | 2.45 | 47 | 2959 | 244 | 98 | 2154 | 262 |
| 26 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 53 | 167.74 | 1.66 | 50 | 2912 | 281 | 111 | 2056 | 329 |
| 25 | 2008-01-24 | SRM 389 | 1 | 145 | 155.75 | 0.10 | 10 | 2862 | 351 | 35 | 1945 | 439 |
| 24 | 2007-12-11 | SRM 382 | 1 | 288 | 155.18 | -1.18 | -26 | 2852 | 349 | -148 | 1910 | 449 |
| 23 | 2007-12-08 | SRM 381 | 1 | 110 | 144.63 | 0.40 | 20 | 2879 | 309 | 32 | 2058 | 311 |
| 22 | 2007-12-04 | SRM 380 | 1 | 50 | 143.86 | 1.52 | 55 | 2859 | 330 | 100 | 2026 | 333 |
| 21 | 2007-10-13 | SRM 371 | 1 | 263 | 179.84 | -0.55 | -13 | 2804 | 388 | -25 | 1926 | 412 |
| 20 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 474 | 198.52 | -1.26 | -31 | 2818 | 341 | -91 | 1951 | 390 |
| 19 | 2007-08-28 | TCCC07 Round 1A | 1 | 140 | 59.70 | -1.23 | -28 | 2848 | 287 | -61 | 2042 | 301 |
| 18 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 40 | 137.50 | 1.78 | 53 | 2876 | 243 | 87 | 2103 | 233 |
| 17 | 2007-07-12 | SRM 357 | 1 | 234 | 109.73 | -1.09 | -26 | 2824 | 296 | -77 | 2016 | 292 |
| 16 | 2007-06-14 | SRM 354 | 1 | 46 | 160.03 | 1.80 | 56 | 2850 | 261 | 100 | 2093 | 237 |
| 15 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 217 | 161.62 | -0.42 | -9 | 2793 | 325 | -24 | 1993 | 302 |
| 14 | 2007-05-29 | SRM 351 | 1 | 176 | 138.56 | -0.34 | -7 | 2803 | 309 | -15 | 2017 | 285 |
| 13 | 2007-05-23 | SRM 350 | 1 | 58 | 145.71 | 1.33 | 56 | 2810 | 299 | 91 | 2032 | 279 |
| 12 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 96 | 181.38 | 0.91 | 46 | 2753 | 359 | 71 | 1941 | 349 |
| 11 | 2007-04-28 | TCO07 Round 4 | 1 | 128 | 114.18 | -0.16 | -8 | 2707 | 421 | -52 | 1870 | 425 |
| 10 | 2007-04-21 | TCO07 Round 3 | 1 | 72 | 214.96 | 1.58 | 103 | 2715 | 409 | 157 | 1922 | 364 |
| 9 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 302 | 251.49 | -0.26 | -8 | 2612 | 585 | -23 | 1765 | 564 |
| 8 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 147 | 432.46 | 1.56 | 109 | 2621 | 565 | 140 | 1788 | 532 |
| 7 | 2007-04-10 | TCO07 Round 1B | 1 | 131 | 174.60 | 0.41 | 43 | 2511 | 771 | 48 | 1648 | 744 |
| 6 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 289 | 236.10 | -0.29 | -10 | 2468 | 833 | 2 | 1600 | 812 |
| 5 | 2007-03-22 | SRM 343 | 1 | 155 | 273.47 | 0.82 | 99 | 2478 | 795 | 98 | 1598 | 801 |
| 4 | 2007-03-10 | SRM 341 | 1 | 482 | 283.68 | -0.76 | -75 | 2379 | 1005 | -203 | 1500 | 1012 |
| 3 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 1 | 203 | 230.03 | 0.18 | 46 | 2453 | 866 | -16 | 1703 | 644 |
| 2 | 2007-01-17 | SRM 335 | 1 | 327 | 253.93 | -0.38 | -50 | 2408 | 931 | -181 | 1719 | 614 |
| 1 | 2007-01-13 | SRM 334 | 2 | 1 | 424.91 | 8.73 | 968 | 2458 | 807 | 700 | 1900 | 358 |