1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| litwin | 40 | 2902 | 1587 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd | 0.399 | 0.919 | 1.441 | 52.1 | -55 | 407 | 2770 | 2707 | 978 |
| EloSRM | 0.402 | 0.923 | 1.444 | 56.0 | -72 | 426 | 2968 | 2902 | 976 |
| SRMFix | 0.424 | 0.934 | 1.465 | 53.1 | -106 | 365 | 2373 | 2251 | 1028 |
| initial | 0.270 | 0.945 | 1.493 | 113.8 | -299 | 786 | 3016 | 2498 | 1350 |
| SRM | 0.532 | 0.991 | 1.526 | 85.5 | -378 | 239 | 1864 | 1587 | 1543 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 2012-05-19 | SRM 543 | 1 | 364 | 330.67 | -0.14 | 0 | 2902 | 976 | 30 | 1587 | 1543 |
| 39 | 2012-05-12 | TCO12 Round 2B | 1 | 806 | 559.54 | -0.77 | -24 | 2902 | 983 | -99 | 1557 | 1709 |
| 38 | 2012-04-21 | TCO12 Round 2A | 1 | 1219 | 500.60 | -1.32 | -42 | 2926 | 897 | -188 | 1656 | 1295 |
| 37 | 2012-04-14 | TCO12 Round 1C | 1 | 113 | 162.59 | 0.52 | 27 | 2968 | 750 | 46 | 1844 | 800 |
| 36 | 2012-03-07 | SRM 536 | 1 | 193 | 271.29 | 0.49 | 33 | 2941 | 758 | 49 | 1798 | 848 |
| 35 | 2011-09-19 | SRM 519 | 1 | 227 | 191.24 | -0.25 | -4 | 2908 | 753 | 14 | 1749 | 886 |
| 34 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 716 | 485.00 | -0.56 | -15 | 2911 | 708 | -12 | 1735 | 930 |
| 33 | 2011-06-08 | SRM 509 | 1 | 653 | 222.48 | -1.55 | -39 | 2926 | 666 | -117 | 1747 | 884 |
| 32 | 2011-05-28 | SRM 507 | 1 | 32 | 255.93 | 3.00 | 84 | 2965 | 552 | 165 | 1864 | 657 |
| 31 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 119 | 307.29 | 1.37 | 53 | 2881 | 749 | 104 | 1699 | 962 |
| 30 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 1 | 775 | 271.01 | -1.53 | -53 | 2828 | 874 | -198 | 1595 | 1246 |
| 29 | 2011-04-07 | SRM 502 | 1 | 133 | 187.32 | 0.49 | 35 | 2881 | 732 | 45 | 1793 | 763 |
| 28 | 2011-03-19 | SRM 500 | 1 | 290 | 367.72 | 0.34 | 33 | 2845 | 810 | 39 | 1748 | 842 |
| 27 | 2010-12-08 | SRM 490 | 1 | 351 | 252.06 | -0.48 | -22 | 2812 | 842 | -21 | 1709 | 898 |
| 26 | 2010-06-26 | TCO10 Round 2 | 1 | 652 | 371.73 | -0.81 | -37 | 2834 | 716 | -115 | 1730 | 814 |
| 25 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 340 | 497.89 | 0.55 | 45 | 2872 | 622 | 48 | 1845 | 624 |
| 24 | 2010-05-12 | TCO10 Qual 2 | 1 | 153 | 193.53 | 0.34 | 35 | 2826 | 666 | 37 | 1797 | 673 |
| 23 | 2009-11-05 | SRM 452 | 1 | 81 | 269.95 | 1.74 | 107 | 2792 | 695 | 125 | 1760 | 744 |
| 22 | 2009-03-24 | SRM 437 | 1 | 369 | 375.14 | -0.41 | -14 | 2685 | 915 | -70 | 1635 | 1032 |
| 21 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 1087 | 570.00 | -0.93 | -34 | 2699 | 871 | -105 | 1705 | 877 |
| 20 | 2009-02-28 | TCO09 Qual 2 | 1 | 172 | 237.44 | 0.46 | 28 | 2733 | 757 | 33 | 1810 | 669 |
| 19 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 1 | 113 | 314.74 | 1.48 | 75 | 2705 | 825 | 105 | 1777 | 735 |
| 18 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 1 | 296 | 305.66 | 0.05 | 10 | 2630 | 992 | 5 | 1672 | 941 |
| 17 | 2008-12-02 | SRM 428 | 1 | 392 | 302.37 | -0.38 | -16 | 2621 | 1013 | -46 | 1667 | 958 |
| 16 | 2008-11-12 | SRM 425 | 1 | 145 | 354.17 | 1.29 | 81 | 2637 | 959 | 93 | 1713 | 847 |
| 15 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 256 | 400.38 | 0.64 | 55 | 2556 | 1195 | 51 | 1620 | 1078 |
| 14 | 2008-07-31 | SRM 412 | 1 | 419 | 311.71 | -0.43 | -21 | 2501 | 1367 | -72 | 1569 | 1247 |
| 13 | 2008-05-01 | SRM 400 | 1 | 46 | 419.74 | 3.19 | 146 | 2522 | 1182 | 239 | 1641 | 922 |
| 12 | 2008-04-12 | SRM 397 | 1 | 325 | 403.03 | 0.31 | 29 | 2376 | 1687 | 35 | 1402 | 1745 |
| 11 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 1 | 353 | 440.80 | 0.32 | 32 | 2347 | 1778 | 41 | 1367 | 1927 |
| 10 | 2008-03-11 | SRM 393 | 1 | 416 | 422.28 | 0.02 | 8 | 2315 | 1895 | -12 | 1326 | 2163 |
| 9 | 2008-03-06 | SRM 392 | 1 | 304 | 498.60 | 0.71 | 76 | 2307 | 1925 | 99 | 1338 | 2086 |
| 8 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 456 | 448.75 | -0.19 | -14 | 2231 | 2156 | -78 | 1239 | 2812 |
| 7 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 320 | 520.73 | 0.70 | 85 | 2245 | 2041 | 84 | 1317 | 2191 |
| 6 | 2008-01-09 | SRM 387 | 2 | 2 | 155.76 | 6.28 | 209 | 2160 | 2416 | 230 | 1233 | 2834 |
| 5 | 2008-01-05 | SRM 386 | 2 | 270 | 208.68 | -0.37 | -13 | 1951 | 3541 | -6 | 1003 | 4766 |
| 4 | 2007-12-27 | SRM 385 | 2 | 193 | 220.22 | 0.19 | 37 | 1964 | 3449 | 37 | 1009 | 4729 |
| 3 | 2007-12-19 | SRM 384 | 2 | 148 | 189.47 | 0.36 | 68 | 1927 | 3667 | 36 | 972 | 5032 |
| 2 | 2007-12-13 | SRM 383 | 2 | 120 | 374.55 | 1.64 | 426 | 1859 | 4181 | 114 | 936 | 5397 |
| 1 | 2007-05-01 | SRM 347 | 2 | 432 | 390.65 | -0.32 | -72 | 1434 | 6247 | -378 | 822 | 5289 |