1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
CrazyBird | 84 | 2926 | 1782 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odd | 0.122 | 0.916 | 1.233 | 35.0 | -109 | 739 | 2879 | 2737 | 545 |
EloSRM | 0.116 | 0.919 | 1.235 | 34.4 | -117 | 724 | 3037 | 2926 | 534 |
SRMFix | 0.150 | 0.924 | 1.241 | 43.3 | -158 | 643 | 2569 | 2323 | 629 |
SRM | 0.345 | 0.935 | 1.256 | 67.2 | -209 | 330 | 2253 | 1782 | 729 |
initial | 0.136 | 0.976 | 1.284 | 117.5 | -338 | 465 | 3162 | 2543 | 914 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
84 | 2010-08-26 | SRM 480 | 1 | 234 | 124.17 | -0.91 | -12 | 2926 | 534 | -29 | 1782 | 729 |
83 | 2010-08-04 | Member SRM 478 | 1 | 351 | 171.39 | -1.03 | -15 | 2938 | 513 | -56 | 1811 | 691 |
82 | 2010-07-28 | SRM 477 | 1 | 308 | 173.78 | -0.83 | -12 | 2952 | 478 | -35 | 1867 | 595 |
81 | 2010-07-17 | SRM 476 | 1 | 151 | 206.53 | 0.45 | 13 | 2964 | 457 | 51 | 1902 | 551 |
80 | 2010-07-06 | SRM 475 | 1 | 225 | 150.77 | -0.58 | -9 | 2951 | 474 | -15 | 1851 | 628 |
79 | 2010-05-20 | SRM 470 | 1 | 175 | 199.14 | 0.18 | 8 | 2960 | 416 | 44 | 1866 | 559 |
78 | 2010-05-04 | SRM 469 | 1 | 137 | 202.54 | 0.56 | 16 | 2952 | 409 | 73 | 1822 | 599 |
77 | 2010-04-20 | Member SRM 468 | 1 | 375 | 185.55 | -1.01 | -17 | 2936 | 418 | -32 | 1749 | 687 |
76 | 2010-03-16 | SRM 464 | 1 | 418 | 265.88 | -1.00 | -16 | 2953 | 402 | -113 | 1781 | 663 |
75 | 2010-01-19 | SRM 459 | 1 | 151 | 174.05 | 0.20 | 8 | 2969 | 381 | 48 | 1894 | 548 |
74 | 2010-01-14 | Member SRM 458 | 1 | 197 | 160.44 | -0.30 | -3 | 2961 | 387 | 25 | 1846 | 606 |
73 | 2009-12-17 | Member SRM 455 | 1 | 142 | 136.93 | -0.05 | 3 | 2964 | 368 | 50 | 1821 | 636 |
72 | 2009-12-05 | SRM 454 | 1 | 374 | 149.82 | -1.32 | -19 | 2961 | 372 | -45 | 1771 | 736 |
71 | 2009-11-05 | SRM 452 | 1 | 446 | 175.28 | -1.53 | -22 | 2981 | 348 | -169 | 1816 | 648 |
70 | 2009-10-20 | SRM 451 | 1 | 76 | 104.49 | 0.46 | 13 | 3003 | 313 | 61 | 1985 | 442 |
69 | 2009-08-25 | SRM 447 | 1 | 244 | 123.70 | -0.98 | -14 | 2990 | 310 | -25 | 1924 | 492 |
68 | 2009-07-08 | SRM 444 | 1 | 448 | 222.90 | -1.30 | -16 | 3004 | 295 | -151 | 1949 | 457 |
67 | 2009-06-13 | SRM 442 | 1 | 196 | 131.90 | -0.57 | -7 | 3020 | 281 | -16 | 2100 | 329 |
66 | 2009-05-27 | SRM 441 | 1 | 78 | 118.30 | 0.60 | 14 | 3027 | 271 | 48 | 2116 | 315 |
65 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 1 | 142 | 123.94 | -0.20 | 0 | 3013 | 287 | 15 | 2068 | 364 |
64 | 2009-04-30 | SRM 439 | 1 | 356 | 87.06 | -2.03 | -22 | 3013 | 285 | -156 | 2053 | 371 |
63 | 2009-03-24 | SRM 437 | 1 | 148 | 149.59 | 0.02 | 3 | 3036 | 258 | -1 | 2209 | 254 |
62 | 2009-03-21 | TCO09 Round 3 | 1 | 172 | 154.25 | -0.16 | -1 | 3032 | 263 | -12 | 2210 | 256 |
61 | 2009-03-14 | TCO09 Round 2 | 1 | 299 | 227.70 | -0.39 | -4 | 3033 | 260 | -31 | 2222 | 246 |
60 | 2009-03-11 | SRM 436 | 1 | 119 | 146.19 | 0.30 | 9 | 3037 | 246 | 13 | 2253 | 231 |
59 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 243 | 281.62 | 0.21 | 8 | 3028 | 263 | 11 | 2240 | 242 |
58 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 18 | 107.43 | 2.58 | 32 | 3021 | 268 | 83 | 2229 | 254 |
57 | 2009-02-07 | SRM 434 | 1 | 220 | 132.01 | -0.74 | -10 | 2989 | 288 | -40 | 2146 | 300 |
56 | 2008-12-20 | SRM 430 | 1 | 48 | 142.51 | 1.57 | 25 | 2999 | 276 | 71 | 2186 | 267 |
55 | 2008-12-14 | TC China 08 - Finals | 1 | 130 | 31.31 | -2.05 | -23 | 2973 | 299 | -88 | 2115 | 314 |
54 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 1 | 106 | 127.24 | 0.26 | 8 | 2996 | 278 | 10 | 2203 | 260 |
53 | 2008-12-04 | TC China 08 - 1C | 1 | 9 | 11.29 | 0.33 | 9 | 2988 | 281 | 14 | 2193 | 265 |
52 | 2008-12-02 | SRM 428 | 1 | 108 | 146.31 | 0.43 | 13 | 2978 | 290 | 21 | 2179 | 273 |
51 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 1 | 184 | 138.65 | -0.41 | -5 | 2966 | 304 | -22 | 2158 | 290 |
50 | 2008-11-12 | SRM 425 | 1 | 39 | 150.93 | 1.95 | 35 | 2970 | 299 | 83 | 2180 | 267 |
49 | 2008-11-06 | SRM 424 | 1 | 183 | 126.80 | -0.53 | -7 | 2935 | 336 | -28 | 2097 | 324 |
48 | 2008-10-28 | SRM 423 | 1 | 61 | 114.17 | 0.90 | 24 | 2942 | 326 | 48 | 2125 | 309 |
47 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 128 | 170.44 | 0.41 | 14 | 2919 | 349 | 28 | 2077 | 338 |
46 | 2008-10-08 | SRM 421 | 1 | 57 | 165.85 | 1.54 | 36 | 2904 | 366 | 89 | 2049 | 364 |
45 | 2008-10-02 | SRM 420 | 1 | 144 | 167.37 | 0.22 | 11 | 2868 | 426 | 29 | 1960 | 463 |
44 | 2008-09-24 | SRM 419 | 1 | 90 | 134.20 | 0.58 | 21 | 2858 | 440 | 55 | 1931 | 487 |
43 | 2008-09-20 | SRM 418 | 1 | 162 | 198.94 | 0.30 | 14 | 2836 | 468 | 44 | 1876 | 556 |
42 | 2008-09-11 | SRM 417 | 1 | 412 | 183.25 | -1.17 | -27 | 2822 | 500 | -81 | 1832 | 624 |
41 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 1 | 299 | 165.20 | -0.86 | -18 | 2849 | 437 | -37 | 1913 | 505 |
40 | 2008-06-17 | SRM 406 | 1 | 142 | 113.81 | -0.32 | -5 | 2867 | 403 | 6 | 1950 | 453 |
39 | 2008-06-14 | SRM 405 | 1 | 46 | 200.82 | 2.13 | 60 | 2873 | 396 | 141 | 1944 | 459 |
38 | 2008-04-23 | SRM 399 | 1 | 219 | 175.96 | -0.76 | -17 | 2813 | 466 | -106 | 1803 | 632 |
37 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 380 | 344.05 | -0.14 | 0 | 2830 | 417 | 7 | 1909 | 482 |
36 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 324 | 390.03 | 0.27 | 13 | 2831 | 416 | 49 | 1902 | 503 |
35 | 2008-02-05 | TCO08 Qual 1 | 1 | 51 | 141.81 | 1.48 | 37 | 2818 | 421 | 114 | 1853 | 552 |
34 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 197 | 212.45 | 0.11 | 9 | 2781 | 464 | 52 | 1739 | 704 |
33 | 2007-09-26 | SRM 367 | 1 | 477 | 201.77 | -1.37 | -23 | 2772 | 418 | -152 | 1687 | 750 |
32 | 2007-09-18 | SRM 366 | 1 | 280 | 124.66 | -1.17 | -21 | 2795 | 386 | -73 | 1839 | 523 |
31 | 2007-09-12 | SRM 365 | 1 | 83 | 173.34 | 1.06 | 28 | 2816 | 345 | 96 | 1912 | 423 |
30 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 794 | 214.14 | -1.89 | -34 | 2788 | 382 | -201 | 1816 | 545 |
29 | 2007-09-04 | SRM 364 | 1 | 277 | 142.86 | -0.96 | -18 | 2822 | 334 | -66 | 2017 | 319 |
28 | 2007-08-30 | TCCC07 Round 1B | 1 | 38 | 74.59 | 0.97 | 28 | 2840 | 298 | 58 | 2083 | 258 |
27 | 2007-08-18 | TCCC07 Qual 1 | 1 | 149 | 74.73 | -1.00 | -13 | 2812 | 327 | -13 | 2025 | 307 |
26 | 2007-08-11 | SRM 363 | 1 | 148 | ||||||||
25 | 2007-08-07 | SRM 362 | 1 | 34 | ||||||||
24 | 2007-08-01 | SRM 361 | 1 | 384 | 125.55 | -1.62 | -31 | 2825 | 304 | -158 | 2038 | 288 |
23 | 2007-07-24 | SRM 360 | 1 | 40 | 145.50 | 1.86 | 47 | 2857 | 267 | 75 | 2196 | 182 |
22 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 60 | 159.15 | 1.41 | 43 | 2810 | 322 | 62 | 2121 | 218 |
21 | 2007-07-17 | SRM 358 | 1 | 33 | 151.00 | 2.19 | 60 | 2767 | 378 | 103 | 2059 | 265 |
20 | 2007-07-12 | SRM 357 | 1 | 116 | 168.19 | 0.54 | 26 | 2707 | 470 | 30 | 1956 | 339 |
19 | 2007-06-20 | SRM 355 | 1 | 16 | 199.73 | 3.64 | 99 | 2681 | 512 | 188 | 1926 | 365 |
18 | 2007-06-14 | SRM 354 | 1 | 156 | 275.29 | 0.82 | 41 | 2582 | 694 | 63 | 1738 | 618 |
17 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 281 | 292.25 | 0.06 | 9 | 2541 | 758 | 4 | 1675 | 725 |
16 | 2007-05-23 | SRM 350 | 1 | 257 | 227.17 | -0.18 | -4 | 2532 | 772 | -20 | 1671 | 720 |
15 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 249 | 263.64 | 0.08 | 11 | 2536 | 761 | 7 | 1691 | 679 |
14 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 467 | 424.57 | -0.16 | -4 | 2524 | 755 | -24 | 1684 | 688 |
13 | 2007-04-07 | TCO07 Round 1A | 1 | 27 | 362.05 | 3.74 | 151 | 2528 | 725 | 225 | 1708 | 653 |
12 | 2007-03-31 | TCO07 Qual 2 | 1 | 434 | 286.08 | -0.60 | -24 | 2377 | 1065 | -24 | 1483 | 1101 |
11 | 2007-03-22 | SRM 343 | 1 | 300 | 260.99 | -0.20 | -8 | 2402 | 964 | -27 | 1507 | 996 |
10 | 2007-03-14 | SRM 342 | 1 | 206 | 212.44 | 0.04 | 13 | 2410 | 945 | 3 | 1534 | 956 |
9 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 1 | 217 | 325.42 | 0.58 | 67 | 2397 | 993 | 58 | 1531 | 1021 |
8 | 2006-10-19 | SRM 323 | 1 | 152 | 304.26 | 1.00 | 86 | 2330 | 1007 | 109 | 1473 | 1073 |
7 | 2006-10-09 | SRM 322 | 1 | 197 | 359.38 | 0.87 | 91 | 2245 | 1258 | 105 | 1364 | 1459 |
6 | 2006-09-30 | SRM 320 | 2 | 28 | 65.85 | 1.23 | 69 | 2154 | 1521 | 146 | 1259 | 1980 |
5 | 2006-09-21 | TCCC06 Round 1A | 1 | 399 | 215.18 | -0.97 | -83 | 2085 | 1701 | -209 | 1113 | 2884 |
4 | 2006-09-09 | TCCC06 Qual 2 | 1 | 428 | 139.71 | -1.62 | -117 | 2168 | 1400 | -161 | 1322 | 1598 |
3 | 2006-08-29 | SRM 318 | 1 | 274 | 287.54 | 0.07 | 26 | 2285 | 1034 | -21 | 1483 | 954 |
2 | 2006-08-19 | SRM 316 | 1 | 232 | 268.75 | 0.21 | 65 | 2258 | 1118 | -26 | 1504 | 921 |
1 | 2006-08-09 | SRM 315 | 2 | 15 | 235.58 | 3.97 | 725 | 2193 | 1322 | 330 | 1530 | 894 |