1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
Effect | 80 | 2829 | 1663 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SRMFix | 0.207 | 0.922 | 1.281 | 37.3 | -72 | 358 | 2226 | 2153 | 1598 |
Odd | 0.196 | 0.926 | 1.277 | 35.0 | -81 | 468 | 2605 | 2603 | 1807 |
EloSRM | 0.179 | 0.928 | 1.279 | 34.9 | -85 | 452 | 2829 | 2829 | 1815 |
SRM | 0.544 | 0.954 | 1.489 | 79.5 | -207 | 180 | 1866 | 1663 | 1385 |
initial | 0.126 | 1.005 | 1.383 | 121.1 | -340 | 709 | 2877 | 2418 | 1755 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 | 2014-04-26 | TCO14 Round 1C | 1 | 250 | 236.75 | -0.08 | 4 | 2829 | 1815 | -2 | 1663 | 1385 |
79 | 2013-03-31 | TCO13 Round 2A | 1 | 363 | 683.74 | 0.91 | 41 | 2825 | 1580 | 71 | 1665 | 1367 |
78 | 2013-03-14 | SRM 573 | 1 | 355 | 298.96 | -0.25 | -6 | 2784 | 1761 | -29 | 1594 | 1666 |
77 | 2013-03-09 | TCO13 Round 1C | 1 | 166 | 320.16 | 0.95 | 53 | 2790 | 1710 | 59 | 1623 | 1531 |
76 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 984 | 696.54 | -0.50 | -11 | 2737 | 1259 | -45 | 1564 | 1432 |
75 | 2011-05-24 | TCO11 Qual 3 | 1 | 347 | 151.71 | -1.19 | -19 | 2747 | 1174 | -37 | 1609 | 1275 |
74 | 2011-05-14 | TCO11 Qual 1 | 1 | 613 | 349.00 | -0.81 | -14 | 2766 | 1080 | -32 | 1646 | 1104 |
73 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 1 | 87 | 364.46 | 2.07 | 52 | 2781 | 1014 | 137 | 1678 | 1016 |
72 | 2011-02-01 | SRM 496 | 1 | 414 | 309.52 | -0.42 | -8 | 2729 | 1115 | -18 | 1541 | 1367 |
71 | 2011-01-22 | Member SRM 494 | 1 | 419 | 318.32 | -0.40 | -8 | 2737 | 1059 | -13 | 1559 | 1277 |
70 | 2011-01-12 | SRM 493 | 1 | 485 | 232.91 | -1.11 | -27 | 2745 | 1032 | -171 | 1572 | 1248 |
69 | 2010-12-28 | SRM 492 | 1 | 123 | 243.48 | 0.98 | 34 | 2772 | 941 | 72 | 1743 | 839 |
68 | 2010-11-18 | SRM 488 | 1 | 248 | 225.19 | -0.14 | -1 | 2738 | 1011 | -9 | 1671 | 959 |
67 | 2010-09-09 | SRM 481 | 1 | 388 | 330.41 | -0.61 | -13 | 2738 | 980 | -102 | 1680 | 950 |
66 | 2010-08-26 | SRM 480 | 1 | 342 | 189.78 | -0.85 | -19 | 2752 | 934 | -84 | 1782 | 729 |
65 | 2010-06-05 | SRM 472 | 1 | 123 | 313.11 | 1.35 | 38 | 2771 | 825 | 75 | 1866 | 578 |
64 | 2010-05-02 | TCO10 Qual 1 | 1 | 148 | 228.72 | 0.63 | 19 | 2733 | 834 | 34 | 1791 | 636 |
63 | 2010-03-02 | SRM 463 | 1 | 253 | 288.81 | 0.19 | 9 | 2713 | 936 | 12 | 1757 | 752 |
62 | 2010-02-13 | Member SRM 461 | 1 | 138 | 325.05 | 1.24 | 33 | 2704 | 961 | 85 | 1745 | 783 |
61 | 2010-02-06 | SRM 460 | 1 | 363 | 299.98 | -0.28 | -5 | 2671 | 1055 | -25 | 1660 | 953 |
60 | 2010-01-14 | Member SRM 458 | 1 | 256 | 309.03 | 0.27 | 12 | 2676 | 1032 | 25 | 1685 | 890 |
59 | 2010-01-04 | SRM 457 | 1 | 40 | 275.04 | 2.78 | 67 | 2663 | 1056 | 175 | 1660 | 949 |
58 | 2009-11-25 | SRM 453.5 | 1 | 452 | 328.06 | -0.46 | -11 | 2596 | 1253 | -48 | 1485 | 1475 |
57 | 2009-10-17 | SRM 450 | 1 | 43 | 344.56 | 3.00 | 68 | 2607 | 1201 | 175 | 1533 | 1300 |
56 | 2009-09-23 | SRM 449 | 2 | 3 | 47.15 | 3.97 | 41 | 2539 | 1435 | 173 | 1358 | 2036 |
55 | 2009-08-08 | SRM 446 | 2 | 327 | 37.01 | -3.14 | -24 | 2498 | 1554 | -13 | 1185 | 3195 |
54 | 2009-06-23 | SRM 443 | 1 | 436 | 301.12 | -0.64 | -15 | 2522 | 1445 | -94 | 1198 | 3093 |
53 | 2009-05-12 | SRM 440 | 2 | 20 | 31.93 | 0.68 | 12 | 2538 | 1383 | 102 | 1292 | 2631 |
52 | 2009-04-30 | SRM 439 | 2 | 104 | 24.68 | -2.08 | -16 | 2525 | 1433 | 34 | 1190 | 3576 |
51 | 2009-04-19 | SRM 438 | 2 | 160 | 27.44 | -2.54 | -19 | 2541 | 1372 | 28 | 1156 | 4167 |
50 | 2009-03-24 | SRM 437 | 1 | 627 | 399.36 | -0.71 | -16 | 2560 | 1311 | -102 | 1128 | 4404 |
49 | 2009-03-14 | TCO09 Round 2 | 1 | 420 | 518.30 | 0.30 | 13 | 2576 | 1245 | 75 | 1230 | 3235 |
48 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 438 | 812.78 | 0.89 | 28 | 2563 | 1279 | 148 | 1155 | 4170 |
47 | 2009-03-04 | TCO09 Qual 3 | 1 | 514 | 183.57 | -1.48 | -23 | 2535 | 1374 | 25 | 1007 | 6352 |
46 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 1176 | 403.97 | -1.60 | -30 | 2558 | 1225 | -155 | 982 | 6939 |
45 | 2009-02-07 | SRM 434 | 1 | 625 | 324.29 | -0.95 | -23 | 2588 | 1171 | -182 | 1137 | 4436 |
44 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 1 | 566 | 323.47 | -0.88 | -21 | 2611 | 1087 | -131 | 1319 | 2635 |
43 | 2009-01-06 | SRM 432 | 1 | 514 | 257.78 | -1.02 | -23 | 2632 | 1014 | -184 | 1450 | 1762 |
42 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 1 | 448 | 277.57 | -0.69 | -15 | 2655 | 914 | -70 | 1634 | 1034 |
41 | 2008-11-25 | SRM 427 | 1 | 153 | 216.17 | 0.50 | 19 | 2670 | 868 | 49 | 1704 | 861 |
40 | 2008-11-22 | SRM 426 | 1 | 522 | 280.23 | -0.90 | -22 | 2652 | 918 | -111 | 1655 | 976 |
39 | 2008-11-06 | SRM 424 | 1 | 232 | 244.91 | 0.08 | 7 | 2673 | 855 | 8 | 1766 | 728 |
38 | 2008-10-28 | SRM 423 | 1 | 215 | 202.49 | -0.13 | -1 | 2666 | 866 | -16 | 1758 | 740 |
37 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 117 | 328.10 | 1.49 | 50 | 2667 | 860 | 100 | 1774 | 728 |
36 | 2008-09-04 | SRM 416 | 1 | 123 | 300.96 | 1.29 | 45 | 2617 | 978 | 103 | 1674 | 928 |
35 | 2008-08-06 | SRM 413 | 1 | 550 | 309.77 | -0.89 | -25 | 2572 | 1107 | -168 | 1571 | 1239 |
34 | 2008-07-31 | SRM 412 | 1 | 228 | 280.89 | 0.30 | 16 | 2597 | 1019 | 18 | 1739 | 783 |
33 | 2008-06-14 | SRM 405 | 1 | 49 | 361.27 | 2.88 | 79 | 2581 | 1014 | 180 | 1721 | 790 |
32 | 2008-05-24 | SRM 402 | 1 | 169 | 294.83 | 0.80 | 32 | 2501 | 1270 | 72 | 1541 | 1286 |
31 | 2008-04-03 | SRM 396 | 1 | 214 | 333.58 | 0.64 | 27 | 2469 | 1357 | 71 | 1469 | 1480 |
30 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 1 | 343 | 382.74 | 0.16 | 10 | 2442 | 1431 | 28 | 1398 | 1777 |
29 | 2008-03-06 | SRM 392 | 1 | 564 | 398.85 | -0.55 | -18 | 2432 | 1448 | -161 | 1370 | 1922 |
28 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 187 | 409.71 | 1.13 | 36 | 2450 | 1318 | 72 | 1531 | 1251 |
27 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 449 | 377.84 | -0.26 | -8 | 2414 | 1434 | -55 | 1459 | 1475 |
26 | 2008-01-24 | SRM 389 | 1 | 164 | 374.21 | 1.19 | 50 | 2422 | 1396 | 101 | 1514 | 1277 |
25 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 215 | 446.55 | 1.05 | 49 | 2372 | 1557 | 105 | 1413 | 1643 |
24 | 2008-01-09 | SRM 387 | 1 | 300 | 303.95 | -0.23 | -8 | 2323 | 1720 | -48 | 1308 | 2256 |
23 | 2008-01-05 | SRM 386 | 1 | 140 | 437.51 | 1.64 | 76 | 2331 | 1682 | 146 | 1356 | 1931 |
22 | 2007-12-04 | SRM 380 | 1 | 327 | 341.53 | -0.15 | -5 | 2255 | 1871 | -29 | 1210 | 2887 |
21 | 2007-11-20 | SRM 378 | 2 | 45 | 72.57 | 0.69 | 23 | 2261 | 1832 | 80 | 1239 | 2590 |
20 | 2007-11-14 | SRM 376 | 1 | 415 | 328.27 | -0.37 | -19 | 2237 | 1892 | -158 | 1159 | 3110 |
19 | 2007-11-06 | SRM 374 | 1 | 403 | 406.69 | 0.01 | 5 | 2257 | 1798 | -19 | 1317 | 2020 |
18 | 2007-10-23 | SRM 373 | 2 | 3 | 63.73 | 4.41 | 81 | 2251 | 1806 | 151 | 1336 | 1848 |
17 | 2007-10-17 | SRM 372 | 2 | 121 | 92.75 | -0.38 | -4 | 2170 | 2121 | 33 | 1185 | 2817 |
16 | 2007-10-13 | SRM 371 | 2 | 62 | 115.41 | 0.90 | 41 | 2173 | 2085 | 81 | 1152 | 3007 |
15 | 2007-10-09 | College Tour SRM 370 | 1 | 104 | 40.49 | -1.36 | -85 | 2133 | 2253 | -71 | 1071 | 3544 |
14 | 2007-09-01 | TCCC07 Round 1C | 1 | 482 | 257.35 | -0.90 | -64 | 2218 | 1824 | -207 | 1142 | 2999 |
13 | 2007-08-18 | TCCC07 Qual 1 | 1 | 325 | 361.62 | 0.15 | 23 | 2282 | 1592 | 18 | 1349 | 1731 |
12 | 2007-04-07 | TCO07 Round 1A | 1 | 402 | 420.60 | -0.25 | -14 | 2259 | 1431 | -44 | 1331 | 1660 |
11 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 291 | 398.22 | 0.45 | 42 | 2273 | 1338 | 42 | 1375 | 1451 |
10 | 2007-01-13 | SRM 334 | 1 | 315 | 339.42 | -0.17 | -9 | 2231 | 1413 | -39 | 1333 | 1654 |
9 | 2006-12-13 | SRM 330 | 1 | 207 | 263.14 | 0.35 | 38 | 2240 | 1353 | 51 | 1372 | 1460 |
8 | 2006-11-11 | SRM 326 | 1 | 272 | 325.76 | 0.26 | 32 | 2201 | 1423 | 42 | 1321 | 1680 |
7 | 2006-11-02 | SRM 325 | 1 | 289 | 297.09 | -0.18 | -14 | 2169 | 1523 | -55 | 1279 | 1907 |
6 | 2006-10-19 | SRM 323 | 1 | 264 | 308.39 | -0.14 | -8 | 2183 | 1453 | -24 | 1334 | 1594 |
5 | 2006-10-02 | SRM 321 | 1 | 217 | 322.74 | 0.57 | 82 | 2191 | 1390 | 77 | 1358 | 1481 |
4 | 2006-09-23 | TCCC06 Round 1B | 1 | 249 | 310.46 | 0.32 | 57 | 2109 | 1643 | 54 | 1281 | 1828 |
3 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 1 | 417 | 338.55 | -0.30 | -45 | 2052 | 1819 | -198 | 1227 | 2183 |
2 | 2006-09-09 | TCCC06 Qual 2 | 1 | 149 | 275.70 | 0.89 | 174 | 2097 | 1634 | 77 | 1425 | 1182 |
1 | 2006-08-29 | SRM 318 | 2 | 78 | 291.32 | 1.90 | 452 | 1923 | 2315 | 148 | 1348 | 1448 |