1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ice-man | 58 | 2734 | 1444 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.370 | 1.112 | 1.742 | 52.4 | -88 | 672 | 2813 | 2734 | 1204 |
| Odd | 0.371 | 1.122 | 1.757 | 51.4 | -86 | 662 | 2606 | 2528 | 1054 |
| SRMFix | 0.291 | 1.151 | 1.758 | 61.6 | -124 | 641 | 2273 | 2152 | 698 |
| initial | 0.155 | 1.218 | 1.774 | 146.7 | -399 | 808 | 2934 | 2265 | 857 |
| SRM | 0.675 | 1.256 | 2.130 | 105.0 | -379 | 476 | 1906 | 1444 | 1090 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 2018-05-03 | 2018 TCO 1B | 1 | 156 | 109.60 | -0.51 | -33 | 2734 | 1204 | -45 | 1444 | 1090 |
| 57 | 2014-07-05 | TCO14 Round 2C | 1 | 558 | 589.10 | -0.27 | -10 | 2767 | 2143 | -66 | 1489 | 2075 |
| 56 | 2014-06-07 | TCO14 Round 2B | 1 | 779 | 758.69 | -0.35 | -16 | 2778 | 2080 | -93 | 1555 | 1714 |
| 55 | 2014-05-17 | TCO14 Round 2A | 1 | 790 | 783.73 | -0.40 | -20 | 2793 | 1989 | -109 | 1648 | 1390 |
| 54 | 2014-04-26 | TCO14 Round 1C | 1 | 91 | 318.74 | 1.81 | 101 | 2813 | 1906 | 51 | 1757 | 1121 |
| 53 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 858 | 600.93 | -0.51 | -19 | 2712 | 994 | -59 | 1706 | 866 |
| 52 | 2010-05-12 | TCO10 Qual 2 | 1 | 185 | 243.83 | 0.40 | 26 | 2731 | 883 | 24 | 1765 | 723 |
| 51 | 2010-05-04 | SRM 469 | 1 | 383 | 333.91 | -0.20 | -6 | 2705 | 913 | -24 | 1741 | 737 |
| 50 | 2008-11-12 | SRM 425 | 1 | 520 | 248.95 | -1.06 | -24 | 2710 | 756 | -122 | 1765 | 739 |
| 49 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 292 | 257.51 | -0.18 | -1 | 2734 | 691 | -19 | 1887 | 553 |
| 48 | 2008-09-11 | SRM 417 | 1 | 49 | 270.88 | 2.47 | 59 | 2736 | 675 | 134 | 1906 | 517 |
| 47 | 2008-08-06 | SRM 413 | 1 | 63 | 290.18 | 2.20 | 56 | 2677 | 805 | 139 | 1772 | 724 |
| 46 | 2008-07-31 | SRM 412 | 1 | 294 | 259.50 | -0.18 | -2 | 2620 | 955 | -4 | 1633 | 1053 |
| 45 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 1 | 236 | 299.68 | 0.34 | 17 | 2622 | 938 | 42 | 1637 | 1026 |
| 44 | 2008-07-10 | SRM 409 | 1 | 448 | 279.10 | -0.68 | -19 | 2606 | 975 | -63 | 1595 | 1157 |
| 43 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 512 | 503.73 | -0.02 | 2 | 2624 | 822 | 2 | 1658 | 880 |
| 42 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 314 | 630.71 | 1.01 | 30 | 2622 | 829 | 91 | 1656 | 901 |
| 41 | 2008-02-13 | TCO08 Qual 3 | 1 | 215 | 143.16 | -0.59 | -9 | 2592 | 890 | 5 | 1565 | 1146 |
| 40 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 599 | 249.35 | -1.26 | -23 | 2600 | 865 | -48 | 1560 | 1148 |
| 39 | 2008-02-05 | TCO08 Qual 1 | 1 | 475 | 340.81 | -0.89 | -18 | 2624 | 800 | -105 | 1608 | 1002 |
| 38 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 382 | 261.38 | -0.55 | -15 | 2642 | 754 | -55 | 1713 | 764 |
| 37 | 2007-09-26 | SRM 367 | 1 | 285 | 228.34 | -0.32 | -5 | 2657 | 616 | -16 | 1768 | 613 |
| 36 | 2007-09-22 | TCCC07 Round 4 | 1 | 99 | 109.31 | -0.07 | -1 | 2662 | 595 | -17 | 1784 | 592 |
| 35 | 2007-09-15 | TCCC07 Round 3 | 1 | 83 | 209.82 | 1.34 | 45 | 2662 | 590 | 120 | 1801 | 566 |
| 34 | 2007-09-12 | SRM 365 | 1 | 294 | 317.64 | -0.42 | -8 | 2617 | 687 | -67 | 1681 | 754 |
| 33 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 42 | 373.09 | 3.15 | 72 | 2626 | 651 | 195 | 1748 | 638 |
| 32 | 2007-08-28 | TCCC07 Round 1A | 1 | 139 | 131.08 | -0.08 | 1 | 2554 | 794 | 30 | 1553 | 1041 |
| 31 | 2007-08-21 | TCCC07 Qual 2 | 1 | 149 | 104.07 | -0.52 | -8 | 2552 | 791 | 26 | 1523 | 1120 |
| 30 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 100 | 271.77 | 1.44 | 45 | 2561 | 749 | 140 | 1497 | 1140 |
| 29 | 2007-07-12 | SRM 357 | 1 | 342 | 249.48 | -0.64 | -17 | 2515 | 868 | -81 | 1357 | 1630 |
| 28 | 2007-06-20 | SRM 355 | 1 | 164 | 251.68 | -0.21 | -4 | 2533 | 792 | -13 | 1438 | 1319 |
| 27 | 2007-06-14 | SRM 354 | 1 | 260 | 282.03 | 0.12 | 9 | 2536 | 773 | 49 | 1451 | 1266 |
| 26 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 529 | 302.54 | -0.90 | -26 | 2527 | 799 | -138 | 1402 | 1440 |
| 25 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 113 | 272.02 | 1.27 | 47 | 2554 | 718 | 127 | 1540 | 1023 |
| 24 | 2007-05-09 | SRM 348 | 1 | 353 | 194.55 | -0.86 | -28 | 2507 | 839 | -113 | 1413 | 1370 |
| 23 | 2007-05-01 | SRM 347 | 1 | 117 | 265.17 | 1.18 | 50 | 2534 | 757 | 121 | 1526 | 1047 |
| 22 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 500 | 488.33 | -0.34 | -12 | 2485 | 856 | -43 | 1405 | 1359 |
| 21 | 2007-04-07 | TCO07 Round 1A | 1 | 116 | 331.39 | 1.51 | 65 | 2497 | 809 | 145 | 1448 | 1232 |
| 20 | 2007-04-03 | TCO07 Qual 3 | 1 | 65 | 117.54 | 0.86 | 38 | 2432 | 961 | 119 | 1303 | 1831 |
| 19 | 2007-03-10 | SRM 341 | 1 | 502 | 302.00 | -0.78 | -33 | 2394 | 966 | -136 | 1184 | 2498 |
| 18 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 1 | 323 | 280.48 | -0.20 | -6 | 2427 | 940 | 10 | 1320 | 1787 |
| 17 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 1 | 296 | 238.11 | -0.54 | -25 | 2433 | 907 | -83 | 1310 | 1822 |
| 16 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 2 | 1 | 21.07 | 4.40 | 84 | 2459 | 831 | 213 | 1393 | 1431 |
| 15 | 2006-12-09 | SRM 329 | 1 | 375 | 274.74 | -0.61 | -30 | 2374 | 966 | -74 | 1180 | 2580 |
| 14 | 2006-11-22 | SRM 327 | 2 | 3 | 17.95 | 2.58 | 66 | 2404 | 876 | 197 | 1254 | 2100 |
| 13 | 2006-10-19 | SRM 323 | 2 | 300 | 100.14 | -1.95 | -36 | 2338 | 986 | -94 | 1057 | 3303 |
| 12 | 2006-09-30 | SRM 320 | 1 | 427 | 290.95 | -0.68 | -38 | 2374 | 864 | -87 | 1151 | 2642 |
| 11 | 2006-09-23 | TCCC06 Round 1B | 1 | 532 | 155.07 | -1.77 | -88 | 2411 | 781 | -286 | 1238 | 2092 |
| 10 | 2006-09-07 | TCCC06 Qual 1 | 1 | 2 | 199.42 | 6.64 | 235 | 2500 | 579 | 300 | 1524 | 878 |
| 9 | 2006-07-26 | SRM 313 | 1 | 348 | 227.05 | -0.68 | -50 | 2265 | 1088 | -122 | 1224 | 2163 |
| 8 | 2006-07-22 | SRM 312 | 1 | 376 | 220.14 | -0.77 | -64 | 2315 | 945 | -163 | 1346 | 1481 |
| 7 | 2006-07-12 | SRM 311 | 1 | 257 | 174.15 | -0.72 | -65 | 2379 | 788 | -147 | 1509 | 911 |
| 6 | 2006-03-04 | TCO06 Round 1 | 1 | 232 | ||||||||
| 5 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 1/3/8 | 1 | 72 | 75.01 | 0.08 | 22 | 2444 | 555 | 55 | 1656 | 545 |
| 4 | 2006-01-30 | SRM 286 | 1 | 66 | 221.70 | 1.75 | 209 | 2422 | 529 | 194 | 1601 | 573 |
| 3 | 2006-01-24 | SRM 285 | 1 | 126 | 254.50 | 1.01 | 191 | 2213 | 913 | 110 | 1407 | 968 |
| 2 | 2006-01-19 | SRM 283 | 2 | 3 | 309.76 | 6.69 | 672 | 2022 | 1369 | 476 | 1297 | 1326 |
| 1 | 2005-12-17 | SRM 277 | 2 | 394 | 323.19 | -0.41 | -86 | 1350 | 4551 | -379 | 821 | 3922 |