1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
At_the_Summit | 100 | 2436 | 1382 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EloSRM | 0.213 | 0.630 | 0.970 | 17.0 | -32 | 191 | 2441 | 2436 | 1460 |
Odd | 0.225 | 0.632 | 0.986 | 18.3 | -33 | 186 | 2301 | 2288 | 1527 |
SRMFix | 0.179 | 0.647 | 0.993 | 26.3 | -99 | 187 | 2056 | 1994 | 1410 |
initial | 0.086 | 0.676 | 1.040 | 81.4 | -314 | 517 | 2487 | 2212 | 1329 |
SRM | 0.431 | 0.745 | 1.343 | 62.4 | -235 | 177 | 1580 | 1382 | 1852 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
100 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 1 | 428 | 390.42 | -0.36 | -5 | 2436 | 1460 | -62 | 1382 | 1852 |
99 | 2008-03-11 | SRM 393 | 1 | 351 | 357.38 | 0.03 | 2 | 2441 | 1418 | 9 | 1444 | 1575 |
98 | 2008-03-06 | SRM 392 | 1 | 364 | 404.35 | 0.15 | 4 | 2439 | 1415 | 28 | 1435 | 1601 |
97 | 2008-02-26 | SRM 391 | 1 | 318 | 285.06 | -0.16 | -1 | 2434 | 1420 | -19 | 1407 | 1701 |
96 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 865 | 934.31 | -0.27 | -3 | 2436 | 1408 | -64 | 1426 | 1626 |
95 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 219 | 400.29 | 0.87 | 13 | 2439 | 1361 | 56 | 1490 | 1364 |
94 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 296 | 381.75 | 0.36 | 8 | 2426 | 1392 | 51 | 1434 | 1560 |
93 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 419 | 397.21 | -0.08 | 0 | 2417 | 1401 | 2 | 1383 | 1788 |
92 | 2008-01-05 | SRM 386 | 1 | 308 | 355.75 | 0.21 | 5 | 2417 | 1384 | 42 | 1381 | 1789 |
91 | 2007-12-27 | SRM 385 | 1 | 260 | 351.60 | 0.44 | 9 | 2412 | 1393 | 74 | 1339 | 2044 |
90 | 2007-12-19 | SRM 384 | 1 | 353 | 241.92 | -0.55 | -8 | 2403 | 1423 | -84 | 1265 | 2548 |
89 | 2007-12-13 | SRM 383 | 1 | 298 | 282.70 | -0.08 | 0 | 2410 | 1393 | 14 | 1349 | 1982 |
88 | 2007-12-11 | SRM 382 | 1 | 189 | 274.19 | 0.54 | 11 | 2410 | 1383 | 92 | 1335 | 2055 |
87 | 2007-12-08 | SRM 381 | 1 | 359 | 364.74 | -0.30 | -4 | 2399 | 1408 | -8 | 1243 | 2693 |
86 | 2007-12-04 | SRM 380 | 1 | 327 | 303.67 | -0.32 | -5 | 2403 | 1373 | -26 | 1251 | 2576 |
85 | 2007-11-28 | SRM 379 | 1 | 314 | 244.40 | -0.36 | -5 | 2407 | 1354 | -30 | 1277 | 2323 |
84 | 2007-11-20 | SRM 378 | 1 | 285 | 338.17 | 0.25 | 7 | 2413 | 1324 | 60 | 1307 | 2128 |
83 | 2007-11-14 | SRM 376 | 1 | 317 | 279.08 | -0.39 | -6 | 2406 | 1321 | -41 | 1247 | 2491 |
82 | 2007-11-10 | SRM 375 | 1 | 357 | 257.39 | -0.58 | -9 | 2412 | 1305 | -103 | 1288 | 2204 |
81 | 2007-11-06 | SRM 374 | 1 | 447 | 324.96 | -0.46 | -7 | 2421 | 1267 | -61 | 1391 | 1654 |
80 | 2007-10-23 | SRM 373 | 1 | 225 | 228.91 | 0.02 | 2 | 2427 | 1240 | 8 | 1452 | 1353 |
79 | 2007-10-17 | SRM 372 | 1 | 248 | 356.63 | 0.52 | 12 | 2425 | 1242 | 60 | 1444 | 1370 |
78 | 2007-10-13 | SRM 371 | 1 | 562 | 378.62 | -0.57 | -10 | 2413 | 1270 | -94 | 1384 | 1628 |
77 | 2007-10-09 | SRM 370 | 1 | 244 | 337.78 | 0.47 | 12 | 2423 | 1233 | 48 | 1478 | 1256 |
76 | 2007-10-04 | SRM 369 | 1 | 310 | ||||||||
75 | 2007-09-26 | SRM 367 | 1 | 179 | 370.14 | 1.05 | 22 | 2411 | 1263 | 100 | 1430 | 1415 |
74 | 2007-09-18 | SRM 366 | 1 | 361 | 278.87 | -0.37 | -6 | 2389 | 1321 | -56 | 1330 | 1834 |
73 | 2007-09-04 | SRM 364 | 1 | 468 | 334.64 | -0.54 | -10 | 2395 | 1257 | -155 | 1386 | 1580 |
72 | 2007-08-11 | SRM 363 | 1 | 494 | ||||||||
71 | 2007-08-01 | SRM 361 | 1 | 172 | 320.20 | 0.90 | 19 | 2405 | 1182 | 71 | 1541 | 1037 |
70 | 2007-07-24 | SRM 360 | 1 | 182 | 356.24 | 0.97 | 20 | 2386 | 1223 | 84 | 1470 | 1219 |
69 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 269 | 348.42 | 0.37 | 10 | 2367 | 1279 | 47 | 1386 | 1535 |
68 | 2007-07-02 | SRM 356 | 1 | 181 | 253.19 | -0.06 | 1 | 2357 | 1284 | 0 | 1339 | 1714 |
67 | 2007-06-14 | SRM 354 | 1 | 289 | 372.55 | 0.37 | 9 | 2356 | 1264 | 50 | 1339 | 1689 |
66 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 457 | 390.51 | -0.23 | -3 | 2347 | 1284 | -24 | 1289 | 1954 |
65 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 2 | 2 | 34.53 | 4.11 | 25 | 2350 | 1265 | 172 | 1313 | 1824 |
64 | 2007-05-29 | SRM 351 | 1 | 522 | 348.04 | -0.60 | -11 | 2325 | 1320 | -168 | 1141 | 2892 |
63 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 332 | 355.48 | 0.10 | 4 | 2336 | 1284 | 27 | 1309 | 1801 |
62 | 2007-05-09 | SRM 348 | 1 | 218 | 265.95 | 0.29 | 8 | 2332 | 1288 | 52 | 1282 | 1982 |
61 | 2007-05-01 | SRM 347 | 1 | 482 | 333.62 | -0.58 | -10 | 2323 | 1298 | -130 | 1230 | 2330 |
60 | 2007-04-24 | SRM 346 | 1 | 329 | 284.53 | -0.22 | -3 | 2333 | 1262 | -41 | 1360 | 1548 |
59 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 171 | 414.40 | 1.28 | 28 | 2337 | 1247 | 114 | 1401 | 1396 |
58 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 735 | 559.00 | -0.46 | -10 | 2309 | 1295 | -128 | 1287 | 1873 |
57 | 2007-04-12 | TCO07 Round 1C | 1 | 132 | 183.80 | 0.48 | 12 | 2319 | 1260 | 52 | 1415 | 1333 |
56 | 2007-03-31 | TCO07 Qual 2 | 1 | 161 | 366.43 | 1.19 | 22 | 2307 | 1276 | 96 | 1363 | 1526 |
55 | 2007-03-29 | TCO07 Qual 1 | 1 | 675 | 350.81 | -0.94 | -14 | 2284 | 1305 | -47 | 1267 | 2008 |
54 | 2007-03-28 | SRM 344 | 2 | 2 | 44.48 | 4.47 | 31 | 2299 | 1238 | 177 | 1314 | 1716 |
53 | 2007-03-22 | SRM 343 | 1 | 430 | 310.70 | -0.50 | -11 | 2268 | 1312 | -128 | 1137 | 2835 |
52 | 2007-03-14 | SRM 342 | 2 | 11 | 36.89 | 1.75 | 20 | 2279 | 1283 | 120 | 1265 | 1983 |
51 | 2007-03-10 | SRM 341 | 2 | 271 | 41.70 | -2.70 | -18 | 2259 | 1335 | -18 | 1145 | 2751 |
50 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 2 | 56 | 28.02 | -1.00 | -7 | 2277 | 1321 | 63 | 1163 | 2828 |
49 | 2007-01-25 | SRM 336 | 1 | 346 | 226.61 | -0.62 | -13 | 2284 | 1263 | -180 | 1100 | 3197 |
48 | 2007-01-17 | SRM 335 | 1 | 464 | 312.27 | -0.59 | -13 | 2297 | 1211 | -157 | 1280 | 1970 |
47 | 2007-01-13 | SRM 334 | 1 | 315 | 320.00 | -0.26 | -5 | 2310 | 1166 | -57 | 1437 | 1254 |
46 | 2006-12-28 | SRM 332 | 1 | 198 | 199.01 | 0.01 | 3 | 2314 | 1127 | -13 | 1494 | 1064 |
45 | 2006-12-21 | SRM 331 | 1 | 156 | 249.14 | 0.68 | 19 | 2312 | 1117 | 57 | 1507 | 1026 |
44 | 2006-12-13 | SRM 330 | 1 | 306 | 239.61 | -0.47 | -10 | 2292 | 1179 | -130 | 1450 | 1196 |
43 | 2006-12-09 | SRM 329 | 1 | 224 | 311.79 | 0.48 | 16 | 2302 | 1142 | 23 | 1580 | 842 |
42 | 2006-11-22 | SRM 327 | 1 | 149 | 233.80 | 0.05 | 4 | 2287 | 1160 | -19 | 1557 | 883 |
41 | 2006-11-11 | SRM 326 | 1 | 154 | 292.93 | 0.93 | 26 | 2283 | 1173 | 57 | 1576 | 829 |
40 | 2006-11-02 | SRM 325 | 1 | 246 | 283.16 | 0.20 | 9 | 2257 | 1254 | -4 | 1519 | 980 |
39 | 2006-10-25 | SRM 324 | 1 | 274 | 283.86 | 0.05 | 4 | 2248 | 1269 | -27 | 1523 | 963 |
38 | 2006-10-19 | SRM 323 | 1 | 204 | 312.21 | 0.61 | 21 | 2244 | 1269 | 37 | 1550 | 884 |
37 | 2006-10-09 | SRM 322 | 1 | 237 | 340.89 | 0.52 | 19 | 2223 | 1323 | 30 | 1513 | 975 |
36 | 2006-10-02 | SRM 321 | 1 | 204 | 298.28 | 0.55 | 20 | 2204 | 1355 | 34 | 1483 | 1042 |
35 | 2006-09-30 | SRM 320 | 1 | 137 | 393.94 | 1.52 | 47 | 2184 | 1394 | 121 | 1449 | 1155 |
34 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 1 | 354 | 324.10 | -0.13 | -2 | 2138 | 1540 | -38 | 1328 | 1599 |
33 | 2006-09-07 | TCCC06 Qual 1 | 1 | 161 | 260.72 | 0.70 | 22 | 2140 | 1501 | 50 | 1366 | 1373 |
32 | 2006-08-29 | SRM 318 | 1 | 281 | 334.73 | 0.25 | 13 | 2117 | 1549 | 20 | 1316 | 1583 |
31 | 2006-08-19 | SRM 316 | 1 | 164 | 307.72 | 0.91 | 34 | 2105 | 1602 | 93 | 1296 | 1712 |
30 | 2006-08-03 | SRM 314 | 2 | 32 | 49.23 | 0.62 | 14 | 2070 | 1708 | 64 | 1203 | 2295 |
29 | 2006-07-26 | SRM 313 | 2 | 226 | 54.32 | -2.06 | -21 | 2056 | 1760 | -43 | 1139 | 2687 |
28 | 2006-07-12 | SRM 311 | 1 | 316 | 254.95 | -0.35 | -11 | 2077 | 1648 | -133 | 1182 | 2380 |
27 | 2006-07-06 | SRM 310 | 1 | 163 | 237.13 | 0.54 | 25 | 2088 | 1590 | 61 | 1315 | 1602 |
26 | 2006-06-28 | SRM 309 | 1 | 252 | 246.19 | -0.22 | -7 | 2063 | 1664 | -51 | 1254 | 1915 |
25 | 2006-06-24 | SRM 308 | 1 | 234 | 252.54 | 0.11 | 8 | 2070 | 1623 | -6 | 1305 | 1614 |
24 | 2006-06-14 | SRM 307 | 1 | 162 | 204.81 | -0.09 | -1 | 2062 | 1657 | -16 | 1311 | 1604 |
23 | 2006-06-08 | SRM 306 | 1 | 178 | 236.17 | 0.01 | 3 | 2063 | 1641 | -4 | 1327 | 1517 |
22 | 2006-05-31 | SRM 305 | 1 | 144 | 249.94 | 0.80 | 40 | 2060 | 1640 | 83 | 1331 | 1481 |
21 | 2006-05-27 | SRM 304 | 1 | 190 | 290.85 | 0.07 | 7 | 2021 | 1772 | 33 | 1248 | 1926 |
20 | 2006-05-18 | SRM 303 | 1 | 196 | 229.24 | -0.07 | -1 | 2014 | 1779 | -9 | 1215 | 2069 |
19 | 2006-04-27 | SRM 300 | 1 | 186 | 223.39 | -0.03 | 1 | 2014 | 1740 | 0 | 1224 | 1969 |
18 | 2006-04-22 | SRM 299 | 2 | 42 | 80.96 | 0.95 | 27 | 2013 | 1727 | 62 | 1224 | 1954 |
17 | 2006-04-11 | SRM 298 | 1 | 339 | 294.13 | -0.20 | -9 | 1986 | 1814 | -93 | 1162 | 2293 |
16 | 2006-04-03 | SRM 296 | 1 | 160 | 226.85 | 0.09 | 9 | 1995 | 1749 | 22 | 1255 | 1750 |
15 | 2006-03-29 | SRM 295 | 1 | 265 | 311.74 | 0.23 | 20 | 1986 | 1765 | 23 | 1233 | 1837 |
14 | 2006-03-25 | SRM 294 | 2 | 75 | 115.66 | 0.62 | 26 | 1966 | 1822 | 43 | 1210 | 1936 |
13 | 2006-03-17 | SRM 293 | 2 | 32 | 105.19 | 1.72 | 53 | 1941 | 1895 | 90 | 1167 | 2141 |
12 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 2/10/13 | 1 | 159 | 243.47 | -0.26 | -10 | 1888 | 2027 | -41 | 1077 | 2581 |
11 | 2006-02-21 | SRM 291 | 2 | 268 | 104.72 | -1.36 | -32 | 1898 | 1915 | -75 | 1118 | 2290 |
10 | 2006-02-16 | SRM 290 | 2 | 23 | 78.49 | 1.77 | 63 | 1930 | 1778 | 71 | 1193 | 1910 |
9 | 2006-02-14 | SRM 289 | 2 | 94 | 80.34 | -0.23 | 0 | 1867 | 1982 | 4 | 1122 | 2234 |
8 | 2006-02-08 | SRM 288 | 2 | 51 | 91.51 | 0.84 | 48 | 1867 | 1969 | 53 | 1118 | 2252 |
7 | 2006-02-04 | SRM 287 | 2 | 186 | 122.49 | -0.60 | -20 | 1820 | 2141 | -30 | 1065 | 2514 |
6 | 2006-01-30 | SRM 286 | 2 | 29 | 145.32 | 2.33 | 128 | 1839 | 2041 | 117 | 1095 | 2337 |
5 | 2006-01-24 | SRM 285 | 2 | 138 | 156.60 | 0.18 | 29 | 1711 | 2591 | 21 | 978 | 2974 |
4 | 2006-01-21 | SRM 284 | 2 | 150 | 207.10 | 0.46 | 61 | 1682 | 2700 | 27 | 957 | 3070 |
3 | 2006-01-19 | SRM 283 | 2 | 109 | 277.25 | 1.35 | 191 | 1621 | 2938 | 86 | 930 | 3198 |
2 | 2005-12-28 | SRM 280 | 2 | 263 | 250.26 | -0.07 | 5 | 1430 | 4005 | -121 | 844 | 3839 |
1 | 2005-12-17 | SRM 277 | 2 | 356 | 323.51 | -0.14 | -11 | 1425 | 3979 | -235 | 965 | 3001 |