1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fory | 85 | 2591 | 1429 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EloSRM | 0.051 | 0.547 | 0.702 | 28.0 | -53 | 482 | 2626 | 2591 | 3076 |
| SRMFix | 0.088 | 0.547 | 0.715 | 27.0 | -42 | 314 | 2106 | 2011 | 2302 |
| SRM | 0.182 | 0.574 | 0.757 | 63.0 | -181 | 284 | 1680 | 1429 | 2471 |
| initial | 0.089 | 0.596 | 0.766 | 71.8 | -155 | 276 | 2540 | 2104 | 2936 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 2014-04-19 | TCO14 Round 1B | 1 | 1101 | 667.39 | -0.72 | -31 | 2591 | 3076 | -77 | 1429 | 2471 |
| 84 | 2013-03-31 | TCO13 Round 2A | 1 | 438 | 776.75 | 0.00 | 4 | 2622 | 2660 | -13 | 1506 | 2060 |
| 83 | 2013-03-09 | TCO13 Round 1C | 1 | 412 | 433.34 | 0.07 | 12 | 2618 | 2633 | 3 | 1519 | 1992 |
| 82 | 2012-04-07 | TCO12 Round 1B | 1 | 821 | 547.95 | -0.58 | -21 | 2606 | 2301 | -46 | 1516 | 1841 |
| 81 | 2011-06-18 | TCO11 Round 1 | 1 | 317 | 943.44 | 1.57 | 74 | 2626 | 1726 | 115 | 1562 | 1442 |
| 80 | 2011-05-24 | TCO11 Qual 3 | 1 | 427 | 243.84 | -0.81 | -30 | 2552 | 2018 | -46 | 1447 | 1925 |
| 79 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 1006 | 750.60 | -0.42 | -16 | 2582 | 1441 | -56 | 1493 | 1448 |
| 78 | 2010-05-02 | TCO10 Qual 1 | 1 | 217 | 319.88 | 0.56 | 35 | 2598 | 1225 | 37 | 1549 | 1127 |
| 77 | 2009-08-08 | SRM 446 | 1 | 311 | 378.62 | 0.28 | 18 | 2563 | 1328 | 36 | 1512 | 1368 |
| 76 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 758 | 810.02 | 0.10 | 8 | 2545 | 1351 | 25 | 1476 | 1595 |
| 75 | 2009-02-28 | TCO09 Qual 2 | 1 | 468 | 355.96 | -0.40 | -8 | 2537 | 1344 | 4 | 1451 | 1697 |
| 74 | 2008-05-28 | SRM 403 | 1 | 288 | 218.12 | -0.40 | -7 | 2545 | 1127 | -18 | 1447 | 1717 |
| 73 | 2008-05-06 | SRM 401 | 1 | 552 | 348.01 | -0.76 | -13 | 2552 | 1092 | -138 | 1465 | 1544 |
| 72 | 2008-04-23 | SRM 399 | 1 | 212 | 215.40 | 0.00 | 3 | 2565 | 1030 | 2 | 1603 | 1020 |
| 71 | 2008-04-12 | SRM 397 | 1 | 297 | 298.77 | 0.01 | 3 | 2563 | 1037 | 4 | 1601 | 1037 |
| 70 | 2008-03-01 | TCO08 Round 3 | 1 | 189 | 263.38 | 0.48 | 17 | 2560 | 1017 | 76 | 1597 | 1046 |
| 69 | 2008-02-26 | SRM 391 | 1 | 370 | 239.50 | -0.63 | -11 | 2543 | 1070 | -98 | 1521 | 1281 |
| 68 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 197 | 577.97 | 1.55 | 35 | 2554 | 1029 | 138 | 1619 | 986 |
| 67 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 360 | 744.53 | 1.05 | 24 | 2519 | 1136 | 111 | 1481 | 1402 |
| 66 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 254 | 353.32 | 0.48 | 12 | 2495 | 1176 | 71 | 1370 | 1917 |
| 65 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 421 | 359.68 | -0.23 | -3 | 2483 | 1165 | 15 | 1299 | 2311 |
| 64 | 2007-12-27 | SRM 385 | 1 | 526 | 307.33 | -0.82 | -14 | 2486 | 1137 | -149 | 1284 | 2418 |
| 63 | 2007-12-19 | SRM 384 | 1 | 301 | 208.13 | -0.53 | -9 | 2500 | 1092 | -50 | 1433 | 1551 |
| 62 | 2007-11-28 | SRM 379 | 1 | 207 | 212.35 | 0.04 | 3 | 2510 | 1029 | 27 | 1483 | 1316 |
| 61 | 2007-11-14 | SRM 376 | 1 | 267 | 238.32 | -0.16 | -1 | 2506 | 1025 | 10 | 1456 | 1395 |
| 60 | 2007-11-10 | SRM 375 | 1 | 190 | 216.86 | 0.19 | 7 | 2508 | 1013 | 54 | 1446 | 1435 |
| 59 | 2007-11-06 | SRM 374 | 1 | 375 | 285.97 | -0.39 | -7 | 2501 | 1031 | -10 | 1392 | 1649 |
| 58 | 2007-10-23 | SRM 373 | 1 | 315 | 203.22 | -0.74 | -14 | 2507 | 1000 | -109 | 1402 | 1549 |
| 57 | 2007-10-13 | SRM 371 | 1 | 471 | 321.05 | -0.55 | -10 | 2521 | 972 | -53 | 1511 | 1163 |
| 56 | 2007-09-12 | SRM 365 | 1 | 294 | 345.35 | -0.30 | -4 | 2531 | 902 | -49 | 1564 | 1018 |
| 55 | 2007-09-08 | TCCC07 Round 2 | 1 | 557 | 378.43 | -0.56 | -10 | 2535 | 874 | -67 | 1613 | 894 |
| 54 | 2007-09-04 | SRM 364 | 1 | 163 | 277.62 | 0.77 | 20 | 2545 | 832 | 62 | 1680 | 753 |
| 53 | 2007-08-28 | TCCC07 Round 1A | 1 | 100 | 142.20 | 0.51 | 14 | 2525 | 885 | 43 | 1618 | 869 |
| 52 | 2007-08-23 | TCCC07 Qual 3 | 1 | 97 | 53.68 | -0.85 | -10 | 2511 | 924 | -19 | 1575 | 976 |
| 51 | 2007-07-12 | SRM 357 | 1 | 313 | 228.52 | -0.45 | -8 | 2521 | 851 | -54 | 1594 | 890 |
| 50 | 2007-07-02 | SRM 356 | 1 | 151 | 201.10 | 0.41 | 13 | 2528 | 812 | 37 | 1648 | 771 |
| 49 | 2007-06-20 | SRM 355 | 1 | 113 | 235.00 | 1.06 | 26 | 2516 | 851 | 92 | 1611 | 842 |
| 48 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 414 | 310.69 | -0.41 | -7 | 2490 | 902 | -36 | 1519 | 1078 |
| 47 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 1 | 277 | 290.59 | 0.07 | 5 | 2497 | 878 | 20 | 1555 | 979 |
| 46 | 2007-05-23 | SRM 350 | 1 | 339 | 261.19 | -0.56 | -11 | 2493 | 887 | -99 | 1535 | 1042 |
| 45 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 323 | 271.63 | -0.25 | -4 | 2504 | 846 | -29 | 1634 | 792 |
| 44 | 2007-05-09 | SRM 348 | 1 | 71 | 216.87 | 1.61 | 38 | 2507 | 836 | 119 | 1663 | 727 |
| 43 | 2007-04-24 | SRM 346 | 1 | 276 | 232.83 | -0.24 | -4 | 2469 | 913 | -24 | 1544 | 1000 |
| 42 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 348 | 327.91 | -0.12 | -1 | 2473 | 894 | -10 | 1568 | 932 |
| 41 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 343 | 467.89 | 0.45 | 17 | 2474 | 877 | 55 | 1578 | 897 |
| 40 | 2007-04-10 | TCO07 Round 1B | 1 | 96 | 187.31 | 0.96 | 28 | 2457 | 906 | 93 | 1523 | 1031 |
| 39 | 2007-03-31 | TCO07 Qual 2 | 1 | 357 | 264.51 | -0.43 | -7 | 2429 | 956 | 13 | 1430 | 1276 |
| 38 | 2007-03-28 | SRM 344 | 1 | 362 | 294.49 | -0.54 | -13 | 2435 | 903 | -70 | 1417 | 1286 |
| 37 | 2007-03-14 | SRM 342 | 1 | 267 | 191.44 | -0.48 | -11 | 2448 | 864 | -43 | 1487 | 1040 |
| 36 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 1 | 99 | 288.79 | 1.54 | 45 | 2459 | 860 | 136 | 1530 | 1023 |
| 35 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 1 | 280 | 269.26 | -0.06 | 1 | 2415 | 934 | 28 | 1394 | 1425 |
| 34 | 2007-01-17 | SRM 335 | 1 | 296 | 270.27 | -0.13 | -1 | 2413 | 920 | 20 | 1366 | 1507 |
| 33 | 2007-01-13 | SRM 334 | 1 | 452 | 264.05 | -0.83 | -21 | 2414 | 908 | -165 | 1346 | 1592 |
| 32 | 2007-01-04 | SRM 333 | 1 | 212 | 233.25 | 0.14 | 9 | 2436 | 850 | 32 | 1511 | 1027 |
| 31 | 2006-12-09 | SRM 329 | 1 | 337 | 247.32 | -0.45 | -11 | 2427 | 856 | -32 | 1479 | 1096 |
| 30 | 2006-11-29 | SRM 328 | 1 | 153 | 206.63 | 0.43 | 18 | 2438 | 805 | 61 | 1511 | 1016 |
| 29 | 2006-11-11 | SRM 326 | 1 | 372 | 232.35 | -0.81 | -21 | 2419 | 842 | -134 | 1450 | 1156 |
| 28 | 2006-11-02 | SRM 325 | 1 | 182 | 223.65 | 0.30 | 15 | 2440 | 786 | 36 | 1584 | 816 |
| 27 | 2006-10-11 | TCCC06 Round 2C | 1 | 64 | 81.50 | 0.35 | 17 | 2425 | 784 | 52 | 1548 | 886 |
| 26 | 2006-10-09 | SRM 322 | 1 | 362 | 252.43 | -0.52 | -15 | 2408 | 811 | -59 | 1496 | 1012 |
| 25 | 2006-10-02 | SRM 321 | 1 | 272 | 208.55 | -0.40 | -11 | 2423 | 771 | -35 | 1555 | 861 |
| 24 | 2006-09-30 | SRM 320 | 1 | 155 | 279.46 | 0.85 | 36 | 2433 | 735 | 78 | 1590 | 785 |
| 23 | 2006-09-27 | TCCC06 Round 1C | 1 | 42 | 110.78 | 1.40 | 54 | 2397 | 807 | 130 | 1512 | 954 |
| 22 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 1 | 287 | 245.59 | -0.22 | -6 | 2343 | 913 | 3 | 1382 | 1359 |
| 21 | 2006-09-09 | TCCC06 Qual 2 | 1 | 70 | 131.70 | 0.91 | 38 | 2349 | 884 | 98 | 1379 | 1343 |
| 20 | 2006-08-29 | SRM 318 | 1 | 312 | 269.31 | -0.40 | -17 | 2311 | 958 | -57 | 1281 | 1744 |
| 19 | 2006-08-19 | SRM 316 | 1 | 239 | 220.73 | -0.12 | -1 | 2328 | 925 | 17 | 1338 | 1517 |
| 18 | 2006-05-31 | SRM 305 | 1 | 293 | 168.06 | -0.83 | -30 | 2329 | 851 | -181 | 1321 | 1532 |
| 17 | 2006-05-27 | SRM 304 | 1 | 167 | 232.54 | 0.48 | 29 | 2359 | 788 | 62 | 1502 | 906 |
| 16 | 2006-05-18 | SRM 303 | 1 | 162 | 163.00 | 0.00 | 6 | 2330 | 837 | 21 | 1440 | 1067 |
| 15 | 2006-05-09 | SRM 301 | 1 | 249 | 205.32 | -0.28 | -11 | 2324 | 835 | -25 | 1419 | 1095 |
| 14 | 2006-04-27 | SRM 300 | 1 | 163 | 167.59 | 0.04 | 8 | 2335 | 814 | 27 | 1444 | 1025 |
| 13 | 2006-03-29 | SRM 295 | 1 | 292 | 211.95 | -0.46 | -21 | 2326 | 801 | -69 | 1417 | 1060 |
| 12 | 2006-03-25 | SRM 294 | 1 | 296 | 233.63 | -0.34 | -14 | 2348 | 748 | -38 | 1486 | 882 |
| 11 | 2006-03-06 | SRM 292 | 1 | 105 | 213.78 | 1.03 | 67 | 2362 | 703 | 112 | 1524 | 786 |
| 10 | 2006-03-04 | TCO06 Round 1 | 1 | 624 | ||||||||
| 9 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 1/3/8 | 1 | 48 | 119.56 | 1.35 | 76 | 2296 | 824 | 126 | 1412 | 1035 |
| 8 | 2006-02-21 | SRM 291 | 1 | 305 | 257.82 | -0.24 | -14 | 2220 | 951 | -29 | 1286 | 1441 |
| 7 | 2006-02-16 | SRM 290 | 1 | 173 | 201.08 | 0.22 | 28 | 2234 | 902 | 52 | 1315 | 1300 |
| 6 | 2006-02-08 | SRM 288 | 1 | 221 | 185.41 | -0.40 | -31 | 2206 | 944 | -94 | 1263 | 1515 |
| 5 | 2006-02-04 | SRM 287 | 1 | 170 | 238.72 | -0.13 | -5 | 2237 | 877 | -17 | 1357 | 1134 |
| 4 | 2006-01-30 | SRM 286 | 1 | 283 | 200.51 | -0.50 | -53 | 2242 | 856 | -148 | 1374 | 1076 |
| 3 | 2006-01-24 | SRM 285 | 1 | 221 | 174.72 | -0.34 | -33 | 2294 | 738 | -84 | 1522 | 709 |
| 2 | 2006-01-21 | SRM 284 | 1 | 66 | 305.77 | 2.21 | 482 | 2328 | 671 | 284 | 1606 | 565 |
| 1 | 2006-01-19 | SRM 283 | 2 | 87 | 272.87 | 1.65 | 405 | 1846 | 1964 | 122 | 1322 | 1233 |