1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| caeser | 54 | 2151 | 1219 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd | 0.237 | 0.862 | 1.165 | 32.9 | -100 | 245 | 2038 | 2037 | 2932 |
| EloSRM | 0.255 | 0.863 | 1.172 | 31.8 | -110 | 252 | 2152 | 2151 | 2963 |
| SRMFix | 0.269 | 0.899 | 1.203 | 45.8 | -142 | 211 | 1748 | 1744 | 2715 |
| initial | 0.118 | 0.965 | 1.304 | 116.2 | -350 | 477 | 2042 | 1970 | 2247 |
| SRM | 0.604 | 0.982 | 1.420 | 69.7 | -471 | 193 | 1366 | 1219 | 3583 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 2008-08-16 | SRM 414 | 1 | 414 | 449.28 | -0.06 | -1 | 2151 | 2963 | -30 | 1219 | 3583 |
| 53 | 2008-08-06 | SRM 413 | 1 | 370 | 475.19 | 0.05 | 6 | 2152 | 2922 | 8 | 1249 | 3249 |
| 52 | 2008-07-23 | SRM 411 | 1 | 363 | 415.97 | 0.20 | 16 | 2146 | 2901 | 10 | 1241 | 3307 |
| 51 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 1 | 396 | 490.46 | -0.05 | -1 | 2131 | 2998 | -15 | 1231 | 3437 |
| 50 | 2008-05-24 | SRM 402 | 2 | 36 | 160.95 | 2.16 | 56 | 2131 | 2821 | 75 | 1246 | 3115 |
| 49 | 2008-02-13 | TCO08 Qual 3 | 1 | 668 | 453.36 | -0.56 | -19 | 2075 | 2969 | -65 | 1171 | 3350 |
| 48 | 2008-02-09 | TCO08 Qual 2 | 1 | 805 | 701.66 | -0.20 | -6 | 2094 | 2848 | -42 | 1236 | 2823 |
| 47 | 2007-06-14 | SRM 354 | 1 | 347 | 487.76 | 0.49 | 23 | 2100 | 2184 | 46 | 1278 | 2042 |
| 46 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 529 | 503.61 | -0.16 | -6 | 2077 | 2254 | -90 | 1232 | 2332 |
| 45 | 2007-03-31 | TCO07 Qual 2 | 1 | 621 | 517.92 | -0.26 | -5 | 2082 | 2035 | -40 | 1322 | 1723 |
| 44 | 2007-03-22 | SRM 343 | 1 | 291 | 381.92 | 0.39 | 18 | 2087 | 1936 | 18 | 1362 | 1486 |
| 43 | 2007-03-10 | SRM 341 | 1 | 405 | 454.86 | 0.17 | 9 | 2069 | 1976 | -22 | 1344 | 1543 |
| 42 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 1 | 248 | 435.96 | 0.81 | 34 | 2060 | 2147 | 65 | 1366 | 1543 |
| 41 | 2007-02-07 | SRM 338 | 1 | 223 | 355.02 | 0.67 | 29 | 2026 | 2262 | 57 | 1301 | 1865 |
| 40 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 1 | 352 | 395.55 | -0.05 | 0 | 1998 | 2375 | -39 | 1244 | 2247 |
| 39 | 2007-01-17 | SRM 335 | 2 | 20 | 125.72 | 2.65 | 39 | 1998 | 2349 | 102 | 1283 | 1948 |
| 38 | 2006-12-13 | SRM 330 | 2 | 94 | 80.21 | -0.23 | 0 | 1959 | 2450 | 5 | 1181 | 2583 |
| 37 | 2006-12-09 | SRM 329 | 2 | 58 | 120.80 | 1.06 | 22 | 1959 | 2428 | 60 | 1176 | 2603 |
| 36 | 2006-11-29 | SRM 328 | 2 | 28 | 120.34 | 2.10 | 34 | 1938 | 2519 | 109 | 1116 | 3001 |
| 35 | 2006-11-22 | SRM 327 | 2 | 397 | 138.91 | -1.66 | -21 | 1903 | 2673 | -136 | 1007 | 3849 |
| 34 | 2006-11-11 | SRM 326 | 2 | 48 | 123.52 | 1.36 | 28 | 1925 | 2563 | 59 | 1143 | 2802 |
| 33 | 2006-11-02 | SRM 325 | 2 | 153 | 121.35 | -0.33 | -3 | 1897 | 2681 | 0 | 1084 | 3191 |
| 32 | 2006-10-25 | SRM 324 | 2 | 229 | 121.75 | -0.91 | -14 | 1900 | 2634 | -36 | 1084 | 3142 |
| 31 | 2006-10-19 | SRM 323 | 2 | 95 | 124.94 | 0.40 | 14 | 1913 | 2537 | 35 | 1120 | 2887 |
| 30 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 2 | 57 | 136.05 | 1.25 | 30 | 1899 | 2507 | 78 | 1085 | 3103 |
| 29 | 2006-08-29 | SRM 318 | 2 | 187 | 110.08 | -0.76 | -11 | 1870 | 2548 | -12 | 1007 | 3533 |
| 28 | 2006-08-19 | SRM 316 | 2 | 43 | 121.60 | 1.50 | 33 | 1880 | 2526 | 92 | 1019 | 3475 |
| 27 | 2006-07-26 | SRM 313 | 2 | 76 | 135.96 | 0.84 | 23 | 1847 | 2694 | 80 | 927 | 4270 |
| 26 | 2006-07-22 | SRM 312 | 2 | 407 | 170.38 | -1.41 | -23 | 1824 | 2797 | -110 | 847 | 4981 |
| 25 | 2006-06-28 | SRM 309 | 2 | 169 | 110.54 | -0.61 | -9 | 1847 | 2598 | 6 | 957 | 3915 |
| 24 | 2006-06-24 | SRM 308 | 2 | 106 | 106.95 | 0.01 | 6 | 1856 | 2531 | 40 | 951 | 3927 |
| 23 | 2006-05-27 | SRM 304 | 2 | 77 | 146.36 | 0.93 | 26 | 1850 | 2507 | 91 | 911 | 4136 |
| 22 | 2006-05-18 | SRM 303 | 2 | 138 | 210.01 | -0.38 | -4 | 1825 | 2587 | -3 | 820 | 4900 |
| 21 | 2006-05-11 | SRM 302 | 2 | 194 | 92.00 | -1.08 | -18 | 1829 | 2536 | -6 | 823 | 4823 |
| 20 | 2006-05-09 | SRM 301 | 2 | 338 | 89.51 | -1.94 | -33 | 1847 | 2431 | -165 | 829 | 4733 |
| 19 | 2006-04-27 | SRM 300 | 2 | 137 | 116.58 | -0.78 | -14 | 1881 | 2270 | -53 | 994 | 3439 |
| 18 | 2006-04-22 | SRM 299 | 2 | 232 | 103.63 | -1.16 | -22 | 1894 | 2191 | -21 | 1047 | 3051 |
| 17 | 2006-04-11 | SRM 298 | 1 | 349 | 306.32 | -0.22 | -12 | 1917 | 2080 | -149 | 1068 | 2849 |
| 16 | 2006-04-03 | SRM 296 | 2 | 7 | 103.81 | 3.89 | 79 | 1928 | 2000 | 156 | 1217 | 1948 |
| 15 | 2006-03-25 | SRM 294 | 2 | 237 | 150.63 | -0.65 | -14 | 1850 | 2261 | -15 | 1061 | 2793 |
| 14 | 2006-03-17 | SRM 293 | 2 | 69 | 128.79 | 0.90 | 37 | 1863 | 2180 | 67 | 1076 | 2634 |
| 13 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 7/9/14 | 1 | 203 | 213.61 | 0.07 | 10 | 1826 | 2279 | 16 | 1009 | 3081 |
| 12 | 2006-02-21 | SRM 291 | 2 | 64 | 180.32 | 1.49 | 63 | 1816 | 2227 | 93 | 993 | 2997 |
| 11 | 2006-02-16 | SRM 290 | 2 | 190 | 103.32 | -0.88 | -27 | 1753 | 2496 | -34 | 900 | 3512 |
| 10 | 2006-02-04 | SRM 287 | 2 | 35 | 193.57 | 2.47 | 104 | 1781 | 2316 | 134 | 934 | 3255 |
| 9 | 2006-01-30 | SRM 286 | 2 | 114 | 177.12 | 0.64 | 48 | 1676 | 2776 | 67 | 800 | 4167 |
| 8 | 2006-01-24 | SRM 285 | 2 | 247 | 187.77 | -0.70 | -33 | 1628 | 2969 | -57 | 733 | 4527 |
| 7 | 2006-01-21 | SRM 284 | 2 | 140 | 216.93 | 0.63 | 60 | 1661 | 2789 | 64 | 790 | 4150 |
| 6 | 2006-01-05 | SRM 281 | 2 | 266 | 182.99 | -0.55 | -33 | 1601 | 3082 | -23 | 726 | 4650 |
| 5 | 2005-12-19 | SRM 278 | 2 | 43 | 234.31 | 2.45 | 252 | 1633 | 2844 | 193 | 749 | 4443 |
| 4 | 2005-12-17 | SRM 277 | 2 | 271 | 408.60 | 0.59 | 132 | 1381 | 4272 | 65 | 556 | 5295 |
| 3 | 2005-08-16 | TCO05 Qual 7/8 | 1 | 311 | 304.09 | -0.03 | 1 | 1249 | 4832 | -80 | 491 | 4833 |
| 2 | 2005-06-09 | SRM 246 | 2 | 220 | 196.01 | -0.29 | -48 | 1248 | 4030 | -158 | 571 | 3941 |
| 1 | 2005-05-14 | SRM 242 | 2 | 250 | 186.99 | -0.49 | -110 | 1296 | 3619 | -471 | 729 | 3420 |