1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
magicpig | 143 | 2563 | 1276 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odd | 0.029 | 0.814 | 1.056 | 25.4 | -81 | 564 | 2549 | 2387 | 1589 |
EloSRM | -0.017 | 0.817 | 1.063 | 23.6 | -87 | 557 | 2662 | 2563 | 1517 |
SRMFix | 0.056 | 0.819 | 1.061 | 30.2 | -117 | 465 | 2316 | 2024 | 1468 |
initial | 0.053 | 0.849 | 1.132 | 102.2 | -413 | 460 | 3041 | 2079 | 2098 |
SRM | 0.403 | 0.850 | 1.219 | 88.8 | -284 | 306 | 2016 | 1276 | 2526 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
143 | 2010-06-19 | TCO10 Round 1 | 1 | 1084 | 778.22 | -0.48 | -11 | 2563 | 1517 | -36 | 1276 | 2526 |
142 | 2010-05-24 | TCO10 Qual 3 | 1 | 205 | 228.73 | 0.16 | 7 | 2574 | 1429 | 67 | 1312 | 2302 |
141 | 2010-04-03 | SRM 466 | 2 | 51 | 29.71 | -0.78 | -5 | 2567 | 1284 | 83 | 1245 | 2568 |
140 | 2010-03-16 | SRM 464 | 1 | 719 | 385.06 | -0.90 | -21 | 2572 | 1294 | -161 | 1162 | 3233 |
139 | 2009-09-23 | SRM 449 | 1 | 499 | 408.51 | -0.29 | -4 | 2593 | 1243 | 13 | 1323 | 2226 |
138 | 2009-08-08 | SRM 446 | 1 | 448 | 343.93 | -0.38 | -5 | 2597 | 1209 | 5 | 1310 | 2286 |
137 | 2009-06-13 | SRM 442 | 1 | 648 | 322.90 | -1.01 | -15 | 2602 | 1174 | -161 | 1305 | 2326 |
136 | 2009-03-24 | SRM 437 | 1 | 627 | 370.62 | -0.82 | -10 | 2617 | 1111 | -154 | 1466 | 1627 |
135 | 2009-03-21 | TCO09 Round 3 | 1 | 255 | 246.86 | -0.13 | -2 | 2627 | 1074 | -53 | 1620 | 1081 |
134 | 2009-03-14 | TCO09 Round 2 | 1 | 208 | 495.42 | 1.25 | 23 | 2629 | 1067 | 123 | 1673 | 955 |
133 | 2009-03-07 | TCO09 Round 1 | 1 | 560 | 734.32 | 0.39 | 8 | 2606 | 1125 | 53 | 1550 | 1301 |
132 | 2009-02-24 | TCO09 Qual 1 | 1 | 345 | 349.54 | 0.02 | 2 | 2598 | 1092 | 30 | 1497 | 1447 |
131 | 2009-01-21 | SRM 433 | 1 | 369 | 363.51 | -0.36 | -4 | 2595 | 1134 | -40 | 1467 | 1687 |
130 | 2008-12-20 | SRM 430 | 1 | 187 | 350.24 | 0.90 | 14 | 2599 | 1108 | 100 | 1507 | 1500 |
129 | 2008-12-14 | TC China 08 - Finals | 1 | 205 | 86.22 | -1.25 | -12 | 2585 | 1142 | -16 | 1407 | 1986 |
128 | 2008-12-11 | SRM 429 | 1 | 267 | 322.45 | 0.27 | 6 | 2597 | 1094 | 65 | 1423 | 1878 |
127 | 2008-12-10 | TC China 08 - 1D | 1 | 114 | 28.15 | -2.02 | -18 | 2591 | 1104 | -88 | 1358 | 2313 |
126 | 2008-10-18 | SRM 422 | 1 | 546 | 327.92 | -0.74 | -8 | 2610 | 1020 | -68 | 1446 | 1756 |
125 | 2008-10-08 | SRM 421 | 1 | 388 | 287.91 | -0.43 | -4 | 2617 | 999 | -15 | 1514 | 1474 |
124 | 2008-10-02 | SRM 420 | 1 | 294 | 279.27 | -0.07 | 1 | 2621 | 979 | 23 | 1529 | 1405 |
123 | 2008-09-20 | SRM 418 | 1 | 532 | 297.72 | -0.84 | -9 | 2621 | 974 | -106 | 1506 | 1506 |
122 | 2008-09-11 | SRM 417 | 1 | 316 | 297.11 | -0.09 | 0 | 2630 | 958 | 9 | 1612 | 1110 |
121 | 2008-09-04 | SRM 416 | 1 | 132 | 279.28 | 1.08 | 15 | 2629 | 951 | 103 | 1603 | 1136 |
120 | 2008-08-16 | SRM 414 | 1 | 250 | 264.66 | 0.08 | 3 | 2614 | 986 | 39 | 1500 | 1550 |
119 | 2008-08-06 | SRM 413 | 1 | 609 | 289.04 | -1.08 | -11 | 2611 | 981 | -163 | 1461 | 1702 |
118 | 2008-07-31 | SRM 412 | 1 | 252 | 260.61 | 0.05 | 2 | 2623 | 949 | 23 | 1624 | 1089 |
117 | 2008-07-23 | SRM 411 | 1 | 175 | 231.09 | 0.40 | 7 | 2620 | 949 | 57 | 1601 | 1140 |
116 | 2008-07-19 | SRM 410 | 1 | 97 | 307.31 | 1.66 | 20 | 2613 | 962 | 138 | 1544 | 1340 |
115 | 2008-07-10 | SRM 409 | 1 | 137 | 306.46 | 1.16 | 16 | 2592 | 1009 | 134 | 1406 | 2006 |
114 | 2008-07-01 | SRM 408 | 2 | 17 | 16.54 | -0.04 | 2 | 2576 | 1052 | 110 | 1272 | 3030 |
113 | 2008-06-26 | SRM 407 | 1 | 491 | 293.17 | -0.74 | -9 | 2574 | 1046 | -43 | 1162 | 3965 |
112 | 2008-06-14 | SRM 405 | 1 | 623 | 310.48 | -1.00 | -12 | 2583 | 1004 | -145 | 1205 | 3625 |
111 | 2008-06-05 | SRM 404 | 1 | 408 | 285.58 | -0.52 | -6 | 2595 | 969 | 0 | 1350 | 2383 |
110 | 2008-05-24 | SRM 402 | 1 | 154 | 236.52 | 0.61 | 10 | 2600 | 947 | 100 | 1350 | 2311 |
109 | 2008-05-06 | SRM 401 | 1 | 627 | 306.38 | -1.03 | -12 | 2590 | 962 | -163 | 1250 | 2855 |
108 | 2008-05-01 | SRM 400 | 1 | 95 | 311.80 | 1.72 | 22 | 2602 | 931 | 164 | 1413 | 1672 |
107 | 2008-04-23 | SRM 399 | 1 | 377 | 209.32 | -0.89 | -10 | 2580 | 974 | -134 | 1249 | 2635 |
106 | 2008-04-15 | SRM 398 | 1 | 557 | 270.57 | -1.04 | -12 | 2590 | 950 | -164 | 1383 | 1819 |
105 | 2008-04-12 | SRM 397 | 1 | 47 | 292.85 | 2.64 | 30 | 2602 | 930 | 164 | 1547 | 1202 |
104 | 2008-04-03 | SRM 396 | 1 | 193 | 276.24 | 0.52 | 10 | 2572 | 1010 | 98 | 1383 | 1855 |
103 | 2008-03-26 | SRM 395 | 1 | 367 | 230.63 | -0.77 | -9 | 2562 | 1045 | -98 | 1285 | 2447 |
102 | 2008-03-22 | SRM 394 | 1 | 409 | 306.31 | -0.42 | -5 | 2571 | 1000 | -5 | 1383 | 1848 |
101 | 2008-03-11 | SRM 393 | 1 | 583 | 279.93 | -1.05 | -13 | 2576 | 968 | -165 | 1388 | 1822 |
100 | 2008-03-06 | SRM 392 | 1 | 386 | 321.58 | -0.26 | -3 | 2589 | 930 | -13 | 1553 | 1182 |
99 | 2008-02-23 | TCO08 Round 2 | 1 | 409 | 532.88 | 0.38 | 9 | 2591 | 910 | 64 | 1566 | 1127 |
98 | 2008-02-16 | TCO08 Round 1 | 1 | 727 | 639.61 | -0.18 | -1 | 2583 | 923 | 16 | 1502 | 1346 |
97 | 2008-02-05 | TCO08 Qual 1 | 1 | 370 | 242.96 | -0.63 | -6 | 2584 | 900 | -3 | 1486 | 1364 |
96 | 2008-02-02 | SRM 390 | 1 | 277 | 296.69 | 0.10 | 4 | 2590 | 876 | 47 | 1489 | 1361 |
95 | 2008-01-24 | SRM 389 | 1 | 261 | 273.10 | 0.06 | 3 | 2586 | 874 | 52 | 1442 | 1513 |
94 | 2008-01-15 | SRM 388 | 1 | 476 | 302.70 | -0.65 | -9 | 2583 | 882 | -38 | 1390 | 1754 |
93 | 2008-01-05 | SRM 386 | 1 | 386 | 255.74 | -0.59 | -7 | 2592 | 844 | -12 | 1428 | 1573 |
92 | 2007-12-27 | SRM 385 | 1 | 342 | 250.67 | -0.45 | -5 | 2598 | 824 | 1 | 1440 | 1519 |
91 | 2007-12-13 | SRM 383 | 1 | 450 | 198.48 | -1.18 | -14 | 2604 | 808 | -167 | 1439 | 1533 |
90 | 2007-12-08 | SRM 381 | 1 | 339 | 245.15 | -0.47 | -5 | 2618 | 768 | -18 | 1606 | 989 |
89 | 2007-12-04 | SRM 380 | 1 | 327 | 234.95 | -0.69 | -9 | 2623 | 747 | -101 | 1624 | 935 |
88 | 2007-11-14 | SRM 376 | 1 | 245 | 189.34 | -0.37 | -4 | 2632 | 706 | -26 | 1725 | 693 |
87 | 2007-10-23 | SRM 373 | 1 | 256 | 156.29 | -0.71 | -8 | 2636 | 689 | -68 | 1751 | 650 |
86 | 2007-10-13 | SRM 371 | 1 | 319 | 261.53 | -0.29 | -3 | 2644 | 664 | -22 | 1819 | 541 |
85 | 2007-10-09 | SRM 370 | 1 | 534 | 215.25 | -1.31 | -15 | 2647 | 652 | -168 | 1841 | 512 |
84 | 2007-10-04 | SRM 369 | 1 | 59 | ||||||||
83 | 2007-10-02 | SRM 368 | 1 | 56 | 211.69 | 1.92 | 26 | 2662 | 606 | 95 | 2009 | 337 |
82 | 2007-09-26 | SRM 367 | 1 | 134 | 248.72 | 0.89 | 15 | 2636 | 663 | 50 | 1914 | 420 |
81 | 2007-09-18 | SRM 366 | 1 | 382 | 187.60 | -1.03 | -13 | 2621 | 685 | -152 | 1864 | 490 |
80 | 2007-09-12 | SRM 365 | 1 | 38 | 264.95 | 2.80 | 34 | 2634 | 641 | 126 | 2016 | 327 |
79 | 2007-08-11 | SRM 363 | 1 | 55 | ||||||||
78 | 2007-08-07 | SRM 362 | 1 | 213 | ||||||||
77 | 2007-08-01 | SRM 361 | 1 | 84 | 234.80 | 1.48 | 21 | 2600 | 697 | 82 | 1890 | 413 |
76 | 2007-07-24 | SRM 360 | 1 | 38 | 266.24 | 2.81 | 32 | 2578 | 731 | 148 | 1808 | 520 |
75 | 2007-07-21 | SRM 359 | 1 | 293 | 256.33 | -0.19 | -1 | 2546 | 789 | -14 | 1660 | 763 |
74 | 2007-07-17 | SRM 358 | 1 | 53 | 227.36 | 2.10 | 28 | 2548 | 767 | 130 | 1674 | 720 |
73 | 2007-07-12 | SRM 357 | 1 | 60 | 244.10 | 2.02 | 29 | 2520 | 857 | 152 | 1544 | 1014 |
72 | 2007-07-02 | SRM 356 | 1 | 346 | 206.10 | -0.75 | -11 | 2490 | 929 | -100 | 1392 | 1499 |
71 | 2007-06-20 | SRM 355 | 1 | 134 | 236.96 | 0.82 | 16 | 2501 | 893 | 92 | 1492 | 1147 |
70 | 2007-06-07 | SRM 353 | 1 | 481 | 312.70 | -0.62 | -8 | 2485 | 920 | -56 | 1400 | 1450 |
69 | 2007-06-02 | SRM 352 | 1 | 187 | 296.84 | 0.67 | 13 | 2494 | 890 | 85 | 1456 | 1246 |
68 | 2007-05-29 | SRM 351 | 1 | 532 | 274.24 | -0.96 | -14 | 2480 | 921 | -172 | 1371 | 1522 |
67 | 2007-05-23 | SRM 350 | 1 | 91 | 254.05 | 1.48 | 25 | 2494 | 885 | 134 | 1543 | 1015 |
66 | 2007-05-15 | SRM 349 | 1 | 358 | 288.41 | -0.31 | -4 | 2468 | 933 | -6 | 1409 | 1380 |
65 | 2007-05-01 | SRM 347 | 1 | 245 | 300.42 | -0.27 | -3 | 2472 | 916 | -23 | 1415 | 1350 |
64 | 2007-04-24 | SRM 346 | 1 | 142 | 237.87 | 0.74 | 15 | 2475 | 899 | 96 | 1438 | 1265 |
63 | 2007-04-21 | TCO07 Round 3 | 1 | 265 | 246.05 | -0.11 | -2 | 2460 | 922 | -37 | 1342 | 1620 |
62 | 2007-04-18 | SRM 345 | 1 | 584 | 326.82 | -0.85 | -13 | 2462 | 919 | -174 | 1379 | 1476 |
61 | 2007-04-14 | TCO07 Round 2 | 1 | 226 | 470.76 | 1.06 | 23 | 2475 | 872 | 109 | 1553 | 957 |
60 | 2007-04-07 | TCO07 Round 1A | 1 | 181 | 330.14 | 0.87 | 18 | 2452 | 916 | 102 | 1444 | 1247 |
59 | 2007-03-31 | TCO07 Qual 2 | 1 | 382 | 261.45 | -0.55 | -6 | 2434 | 939 | 24 | 1342 | 1626 |
58 | 2007-03-28 | SRM 344 | 1 | 343 | 278.58 | -0.30 | -4 | 2440 | 897 | 7 | 1318 | 1693 |
57 | 2007-03-22 | SRM 343 | 1 | 453 | 242.28 | -0.91 | -15 | 2444 | 878 | -176 | 1311 | 1717 |
56 | 2007-03-14 | SRM 342 | 1 | 239 | 189.60 | -0.33 | -5 | 2460 | 842 | -17 | 1487 | 1040 |
55 | 2007-03-10 | SRM 341 | 1 | 249 | 281.40 | 0.18 | 7 | 2464 | 822 | 37 | 1504 | 1003 |
54 | 2007-02-20 | SRM 340 | 1 | 332 | 267.88 | -0.33 | -5 | 2458 | 862 | -16 | 1467 | 1172 |
53 | 2007-02-14 | SRM 339 | 1 | 264 | 209.02 | -0.34 | -5 | 2463 | 838 | -16 | 1483 | 1118 |
52 | 2007-02-07 | SRM 338 | 1 | 106 | 209.22 | 0.98 | 22 | 2468 | 812 | 104 | 1499 | 1073 |
51 | 2007-02-03 | SRM 337 | 1 | 101 | 268.69 | 1.41 | 31 | 2446 | 864 | 148 | 1395 | 1420 |
50 | 2007-01-25 | SRM 336 | 1 | 338 | 186.59 | -0.87 | -17 | 2414 | 920 | -171 | 1247 | 2207 |
49 | 2007-01-17 | SRM 335 | 1 | 227 | 266.70 | 0.23 | 9 | 2431 | 878 | 56 | 1418 | 1323 |
48 | 2007-01-04 | SRM 333 | 1 | 286 | 233.72 | -0.30 | -5 | 2423 | 875 | 2 | 1362 | 1522 |
47 | 2006-12-21 | SRM 331 | 1 | 309 | 198.37 | -0.64 | -12 | 2428 | 861 | -49 | 1360 | 1500 |
46 | 2006-12-13 | SRM 330 | 1 | 234 | 187.43 | -0.32 | -5 | 2439 | 825 | -3 | 1409 | 1324 |
45 | 2006-12-09 | SRM 329 | 1 | 233 | 246.57 | 0.08 | 5 | 2444 | 813 | 43 | 1412 | 1321 |
44 | 2006-11-29 | SRM 328 | 1 | 370 | 193.23 | -0.94 | -18 | 2439 | 799 | -113 | 1369 | 1468 |
43 | 2006-11-22 | SRM 327 | 1 | 33 | 204.17 | 2.63 | 52 | 2457 | 759 | 185 | 1482 | 1062 |
42 | 2006-11-11 | SRM 326 | 1 | 255 | 234.12 | -0.12 | 0 | 2405 | 870 | 33 | 1297 | 1817 |
41 | 2006-11-02 | SRM 325 | 2 | 7 | 15.93 | 1.19 | 17 | 2406 | 873 | 138 | 1264 | 1996 |
40 | 2006-10-25 | SRM 324 | 1 | 408 | 223.42 | -0.87 | -18 | 2388 | 893 | -145 | 1126 | 2852 |
39 | 2006-10-19 | SRM 323 | 1 | 452 | 233.66 | -0.95 | -21 | 2407 | 834 | -189 | 1271 | 1927 |
38 | 2006-10-11 | TCCC06 Round 2C | 1 | 52 | 81.83 | 0.65 | 23 | 2428 | 775 | 99 | 1460 | 1120 |
37 | 2006-10-02 | SRM 321 | 1 | 281 | 227.72 | -0.55 | -12 | 2405 | 809 | -45 | 1361 | 1470 |
36 | 2006-09-30 | SRM 320 | 1 | 418 | 263.31 | -0.67 | -15 | 2417 | 775 | -54 | 1406 | 1287 |
35 | 2006-09-27 | TCCC06 Round 1C | 1 | 73 | 97.52 | 0.42 | 16 | 2432 | 733 | 81 | 1460 | 1107 |
34 | 2006-09-18 | SRM 319 | 1 | 319 | 214.20 | -0.57 | -14 | 2416 | 751 | -23 | 1379 | 1371 |
33 | 2006-09-09 | TCCC06 Qual 2 | 1 | 155 | 94.96 | -0.71 | -12 | 2430 | 713 | 35 | 1402 | 1264 |
32 | 2006-08-19 | SRM 316 | 1 | 261 | 175.59 | -0.57 | -13 | 2442 | 679 | -11 | 1367 | 1387 |
31 | 2006-08-09 | SRM 315 | 1 | 180 | 175.15 | -0.04 | 2 | 2455 | 656 | 42 | 1378 | 1354 |
30 | 2006-07-22 | SRM 312 | 2 | 6 | 11.26 | 0.91 | 19 | 2452 | 652 | 146 | 1336 | 1533 |
29 | 2006-06-28 | SRM 309 | 2 | 139 | 7.73 | -4.17 | -30 | 2434 | 658 | -5 | 1190 | 2297 |
28 | 2006-06-24 | SRM 308 | 1 | 295 | 135.51 | -1.12 | -26 | 2464 | 606 | -107 | 1195 | 2264 |
27 | 2006-06-08 | SRM 306 | 1 | 293 | 145.25 | -1.07 | -26 | 2491 | 552 | -137 | 1302 | 1630 |
26 | 2006-05-31 | SRM 305 | 1 | 117 | 126.73 | 0.12 | 8 | 2517 | 512 | 65 | 1439 | 1082 |
25 | 2006-05-11 | SRM 302 | 1 | 304 | 114.09 | -1.40 | -33 | 2508 | 510 | -212 | 1374 | 1264 |
24 | 2006-05-09 | SRM 301 | 1 | 45 | 163.20 | 1.86 | 58 | 2541 | 446 | 166 | 1586 | 688 |
23 | 2006-04-27 | SRM 300 | 1 | 87 | 134.91 | 0.63 | 27 | 2482 | 537 | 107 | 1420 | 1085 |
22 | 2006-04-11 | SRM 298 | 1 | 348 | 147.59 | -1.24 | -33 | 2455 | 580 | -163 | 1313 | 1502 |
21 | 2006-03-29 | SRM 295 | 1 | 319 | 159.82 | -1.00 | -29 | 2488 | 513 | -122 | 1476 | 908 |
20 | 2006-03-22 | TCO06 Round 4 | 1 | 94 | 86.56 | -0.12 | -6 | 2518 | 462 | -94 | 1598 | 643 |
19 | 2006-03-15 | TCO06 Round 3 | 1 | 81 | 157.10 | 0.96 | 55 | 2524 | 445 | 115 | 1692 | 498 |
18 | 2006-03-08 | TCO06 Round 2 | 1 | 128 | 272.83 | 1.09 | 60 | 2468 | 535 | 127 | 1577 | 672 |
17 | 2006-03-06 | SRM 292 | 1 | 115 | 191.08 | 0.73 | 40 | 2409 | 626 | 103 | 1450 | 967 |
16 | 2006-03-04 | TCO06 Round 1 | 1 | 291 | ||||||||
15 | 2006-02-28 | TCO06 Qual 2/10/13 | 1 | 118 | 81.91 | -0.53 | -15 | 2368 | 688 | 43 | 1347 | 1261 |
14 | 2006-02-16 | SRM 290 | 1 | 125 | 161.44 | 0.37 | 27 | 2384 | 621 | 88 | 1304 | 1349 |
13 | 2006-01-19 | SRM 283 | 1 | 129 | 169.52 | -0.26 | -9 | 2357 | 623 | 9 | 1216 | 1715 |
12 | 2006-01-05 | SRM 281 | 1 | 345 | 166.67 | -1.05 | -45 | 2365 | 619 | -275 | 1207 | 1775 |
11 | 2005-12-28 | SRM 280 | 1 | 139 | 145.72 | 0.07 | 12 | 2410 | 525 | 45 | 1482 | 783 |
10 | 2005-12-21 | SRM 279 | 1 | 371 | ||||||||
9 | 2005-12-19 | SRM 278 | 1 | 114 | 153.02 | 0.42 | 36 | 2398 | 546 | 87 | 1437 | 874 |
8 | 2005-12-17 | SRM 277 | 1 | 370 | 194.95 | -0.93 | -52 | 2362 | 599 | -126 | 1350 | 1122 |
7 | 2005-12-08 | SRM 276 | 1 | 225 | 188.36 | -0.26 | -12 | 2413 | 497 | 10 | 1476 | 768 |
6 | 2005-11-30 | SRM 275 | 1 | 167 | 116.65 | -0.52 | -32 | 2425 | 477 | -19 | 1466 | 781 |
5 | 2005-11-23 | SRM 274 | 1 | 35 | 142.33 | 2.02 | 181 | 2458 | 430 | 225 | 1485 | 735 |
4 | 2005-11-21 | SRM 273 | 1 | 339 | 192.15 | -0.83 | -87 | 2277 | 684 | -284 | 1260 | 1345 |
3 | 2005-11-19 | SRM 272 | 1 | 53 | 314.69 | 2.57 | 425 | 2364 | 559 | 306 | 1544 | 630 |
2 | 2005-11-03 | SRM 270 | 1 | 209 | 212.35 | -0.14 | -29 | 1939 | 1463 | -171 | 1238 | 1423 |
1 | 2005-06-21 | SRM 248 | 2 | 35 | 210.36 | 2.59 | 557 | 1968 | 1117 | 209 | 1409 | 760 |