1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
---|---|---|---|
Firewind | 81 | 2351 | 1767 |
Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EloSRM | 0.152 | 0.684 | 0.816 | 20.3 | -28 | 408 | 2361 | 2351 | 124 |
SRMFix | 0.151 | 0.687 | 0.828 | 33.3 | -81 | 440 | 2281 | 2229 | 123 |
Odd | 0.200 | 0.690 | 0.827 | 21.7 | -33 | 416 | 2286 | 2273 | 125 |
SRM | 0.239 | 0.716 | 0.865 | 56.4 | -176 | 340 | 2048 | 1767 | 149 |
initial | 0.131 | 0.724 | 0.887 | 87.2 | -173 | 273 | 2650 | 2478 | 153 |
# | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 | 2002-10-23 | TCI '02 Round 3 | 1 | 179 | 96.49 | -0.89 | -10 | 2351 | 124 | -81 | 1767 | 149 |
80 | 2002-10-16 | TCI '02 Round 2 | 1 | 63 | 114.12 | 0.86 | 14 | 2361 | 112 | 53 | 1848 | 119 |
79 | 2002-10-10 | TCI '02 Round 1 B | 1 | 43 | 65.60 | 0.61 | 11 | 2347 | 122 | 47 | 1795 | 138 |
78 | 2002-06-26 | SRM 101 | 1 | 201 | 76.35 | -1.40 | -10 | 2336 | 98 | -122 | 1748 | 136 |
77 | 2002-06-24 | SRM 100 | 1 | 41 | 89.02 | 1.12 | 13 | 2346 | 89 | 57 | 1870 | 91 |
76 | 2002-06-19 | SRM 98 | 1 | 167 | 76.42 | -1.13 | -8 | 2334 | 93 | -92 | 1813 | 106 |
75 | 2002-06-11 | SRM 96 | 1 | 112 | 66.52 | -0.75 | -5 | 2342 | 83 | -66 | 1905 | 78 |
74 | 2002-06-03 | SRM 94 | 1 | 58 | 64.88 | 0.16 | 4 | 2347 | 77 | -11 | 1971 | 61 |
73 | 2002-05-30 | SRM 93 | 1 | 49 | 68.27 | 0.48 | 7 | 2343 | 77 | 6 | 1982 | 58 |
72 | 2002-05-29 | SRM 92 | 1 | 80 | 61.28 | -0.38 | -2 | 2336 | 77 | -40 | 1976 | 54 |
71 | 2002-05-08 | SRM 86 | 1 | 35 | 59.22 | 0.76 | 10 | 2338 | 68 | 17 | 2016 | 49 |
70 | 2002-04-30 | SRM 84 | 1 | 69 | 63.89 | -0.11 | 1 | 2328 | 69 | -22 | 1999 | 52 |
69 | 2002-04-10 | SRM 79 | 1 | 41 | 62.85 | 0.62 | 8 | 2328 | 59 | 16 | 2021 | 48 |
68 | 2002-04-09 | SRM 78 | 1 | 34 | 57.07 | 0.75 | 10 | 2319 | 59 | 28 | 2005 | 47 |
67 | 2002-04-03 | SRM 77 | 1 | 32 | 64.89 | 1.02 | 12 | 2310 | 61 | 45 | 1977 | 48 |
66 | 2002-04-01 | SRM 76 | 1 | 26 | 60.94 | 1.23 | 13 | 2298 | 63 | 56 | 1932 | 61 |
65 | 2002-03-26 | SRM 75 | 1 | 79 | 52.34 | -0.59 | -4 | 2284 | 58 | -32 | 1876 | 63 |
64 | 2002-03-20 | SRM 72 | 1 | 35 | 43.18 | 0.30 | 6 | 2288 | 52 | 23 | 1908 | 59 |
63 | 2002-03-13 | TCCC '02 Reg. Final | 1 | 23 | 19.78 | -0.22 | -2 | 2283 | 52 | -22 | 1885 | 62 |
62 | 2002-03-07 | SRM 70 | 1 | 39 | 51.42 | 0.40 | 7 | 2284 | 52 | 31 | 1907 | 55 |
61 | 2002-03-06 | TCCC '02 Reg. Semifinal | 1 | 24 | 38.98 | 0.70 | 10 | 2277 | 52 | 64 | 1876 | 56 |
60 | 2002-02-28 | SRM 69 | 1 | 28 | 54.02 | 0.95 | 12 | 2267 | 55 | 74 | 1812 | 76 |
59 | 2002-02-20 | SRM 67 | 1 | 117 | 56.65 | -1.05 | -8 | 2255 | 57 | -45 | 1738 | 75 |
58 | 2002-02-19 | TCCC '02 NE/SE Reg. Quart. | 1 | 36 | 29.38 | -0.29 | -1 | 2263 | 51 | 22 | 1783 | 67 |
57 | 2002-02-13 | SRM 66 | 1 | 31 | 37.34 | 0.27 | 6 | 2264 | 50 | 71 | 1761 | 72 |
56 | 2002-02-12 | SRM 65 | 1 | 52 | 41.12 | -0.34 | -2 | 2259 | 49 | 6 | 1690 | 79 |
55 | 2002-02-06 | SRM 64 | 1 | 77 | 39.40 | -1.07 | -10 | 2261 | 44 | -176 | 1684 | 78 |
54 | 2002-02-04 | SRM 63 | 1 | 46 | 31.37 | -0.55 | -4 | 2270 | 39 | -51 | 1860 | 48 |
53 | 2002-01-31 | SRM 62 | 1 | 11 | 32.18 | 1.55 | 20 | 2275 | 39 | 100 | 1911 | 42 |
52 | 2002-01-30 | SRM 61 | 1 | 28 | 33.48 | 0.26 | 6 | 2255 | 42 | 42 | 1811 | 54 |
51 | 2002-01-26 | SRM 60 | 1 | 62 | 31.56 | -0.97 | -9 | 2249 | 44 | -110 | 1769 | 62 |
50 | 2002-01-23 | SRM 59 | 1 | 13 | 33.93 | 1.38 | 20 | 2258 | 38 | 85 | 1879 | 40 |
49 | 2002-01-16 | SRM 58 | 1 | 45 | 29.39 | -0.62 | -6 | 2239 | 44 | -32 | 1794 | 52 |
48 | 2002-01-15 | SRM 57 | 1 | 20 | 31.46 | 0.65 | 12 | 2245 | 37 | 47 | 1826 | 47 |
47 | 2002-01-09 | SRM 56 | 1 | 39 | 28.80 | -0.44 | -4 | 2233 | 41 | -57 | 1779 | 55 |
46 | 2001-12-27 | SRM 53 | 1 | 21 | 22.90 | 0.12 | 5 | 2237 | 37 | 34 | 1836 | 41 |
45 | 2001-12-19 | SRM 52 | 1 | 42 | 24.45 | -0.78 | -8 | 2232 | 35 | -80 | 1802 | 44 |
44 | 2001-12-17 | SRM 51 | 1 | 17 | 23.85 | 0.49 | 10 | 2240 | 32 | 33 | 1882 | 34 |
43 | 2001-12-13 | SRM 50 | 1 | 15 | 23.82 | 0.67 | 12 | 2230 | 35 | 35 | 1849 | 41 |
42 | 2001-12-12 | SRM 49 | 1 | 29 | 22.22 | -0.38 | -3 | 2217 | 38 | -43 | 1814 | 45 |
41 | 2001-12-04 | SRM 47 | 1 | 41 | 23.65 | -0.79 | -9 | 2220 | 33 | -94 | 1857 | 39 |
40 | 2001-11-29 | SRM 46 | 1 | 10 | 22.18 | 1.15 | 19 | 2229 | 32 | 54 | 1951 | 24 |
39 | 2001-11-28 | SRM 45 | 1 | 9 | 25.85 | 1.52 | 24 | 2210 | 34 | 54 | 1897 | 28 |
38 | 2001-11-20 | SRM 44 | 1 | 21 | 22.79 | 0.12 | 5 | 2186 | 37 | 3 | 1843 | 39 |
37 | 2001-11-14 | SRM 43 | 1 | 25 | 24.08 | -0.05 | 2 | 2181 | 38 | -14 | 1840 | 38 |
36 | 2001-11-08 | SRM 41 | 1 | 25 | 22.24 | -0.17 | 0 | 2179 | 36 | -32 | 1854 | 34 |
35 | 2001-11-07 | SRM 40 | 1 | 17 | 22.08 | 0.38 | 10 | 2179 | 35 | 43 | 1886 | 31 |
34 | 2001-10-29 | SRM 39 | 1 | 32 | 20.81 | -0.62 | -8 | 2168 | 37 | -54 | 1843 | 38 |
33 | 2001-10-24 | SRM 38 | 1 | 7 | 24.14 | 1.79 | 31 | 2176 | 33 | 114 | 1897 | 30 |
32 | 2001-10-23 | SRM 37 | 1 | 16 | 19.57 | 0.29 | 9 | 2145 | 37 | 47 | 1783 | 35 |
31 | 2001-10-19 | SRM 36 | 1 | 20 | 17.28 | -0.21 | -1 | 2136 | 37 | -8 | 1736 | 38 |
30 | 2001-10-11 | SRM 34 | 1 | 13 | 20.70 | 0.67 | 17 | 2137 | 34 | 81 | 1744 | 38 |
29 | 2001-10-03 | TCI '01 Round 2 | 1 | 38 | 26.41 | -0.52 | -7 | 2120 | 34 | -11 | 1663 | 45 |
28 | 2001-10-02 | SRM 33 | 1 | 26 | 16.91 | -0.62 | -9 | 2127 | 28 | -35 | 1674 | 44 |
27 | 2001-09-29 | SRM 32 | 1 | 29 | 19.80 | -0.76 | -11 | 2136 | 21 | -145 | 1709 | 36 |
26 | 2001-09-25 | TCI '01 Round 1 | 1 | 56 | 28.44 | -0.98 | -13 | 2147 | 19 | -49 | 1854 | 20 |
25 | 2001-09-17 | SRM 31 | 1 | 13 | 19.21 | 0.56 | 17 | 2159 | 19 | 37 | 1903 | 17 |
24 | 2001-09-13 | SRM 30 | 1 | 12 | 21.86 | 0.86 | 23 | 2143 | 18 | 68 | 1866 | 18 |
23 | 2001-09-06 | SRM 29 | 1 | 31 | 16.95 | -0.87 | -14 | 2120 | 20 | -78 | 1798 | 21 |
22 | 2001-09-04 | SRM 28 | 1 | 14 | 12.78 | -0.13 | 1 | 2134 | 18 | -22 | 1876 | 17 |
21 | 2001-08-29 | SRM 27 | 1 | 18 | 12.89 | -0.48 | -6 | 2132 | 18 | -41 | 1898 | 17 |
20 | 2001-08-27 | SRM 26 | 1 | 8 | 15.21 | 0.93 | 27 | 2139 | 18 | 69 | 1939 | 14 |
19 | 2001-08-23 | SRM 25 | 1 | 20 | 16.00 | -0.32 | -4 | 2112 | 19 | 6 | 1870 | 18 |
18 | 2001-08-21 | SRM 24 | 1 | 14 | 15.37 | 0.13 | 9 | 2116 | 16 | -20 | 1864 | 16 |
17 | 2001-08-09 | SRM 21 | 1 | 6 | 13.10 | 1.13 | 35 | 2106 | 14 | 50 | 1884 | 16 |
16 | 2001-08-07 | SRM 20 | 1 | 23 | 13.38 | -0.78 | -16 | 2071 | 18 | -30 | 1834 | 19 |
15 | 2001-08-01 | SRM 19 | 1 | 11 | 9.28 | -0.25 | -2 | 2087 | 14 | -5 | 1864 | 16 |
14 | 2001-07-26 | SRM 17 | 1 | 18 | 6.86 | -1.39 | -28 | 2089 | 11 | -157 | 1869 | 14 |
13 | 2001-07-24 | SRM 16 | 1 | 10 | 11.41 | 0.19 | 14 | 2117 | 11 | 6 | 2026 | 9 |
12 | 2001-07-18 | SRM 15 | 1 | 12 | 9.43 | -0.35 | -4 | 2103 | 10 | -28 | 2020 | 10 |
11 | 2001-07-12 | SRM 13 | 1 | 5 | 12.26 | 1.29 | 49 | 2107 | 10 | 63 | 2048 | 11 |
10 | 2001-07-10 | SRM 12 | 1 | 8 | 11.28 | 0.50 | 28 | 2058 | 10 | 41 | 1985 | 11 |
9 | 2001-07-05 | SRM 11 | 1 | 10 | 12.01 | 0.26 | 21 | 2029 | 10 | 36 | 1944 | 12 |
8 | 2001-07-02 | SRM 10 | 1 | 11 | 11.27 | 0.04 | 12 | 2008 | 11 | 16 | 1908 | 12 |
7 | 2001-06-28 | SRM 9 | 1 | 6 | 13.48 | 1.17 | 66 | 1996 | 10 | 84 | 1892 | 12 |
6 | 2001-06-26 | SRM 8 | 1 | 7 | 15.77 | 1.17 | 80 | 1930 | 10 | 87 | 1808 | 14 |
5 | 2001-06-24 | SRM 7 | 1 | 8 | 17.00 | 1.09 | 93 | 1850 | 12 | 120 | 1721 | 16 |
4 | 2001-06-18 | SRM 6 | 1 | 12 | 17.34 | 0.53 | 73 | 1757 | 21 | 91 | 1601 | 24 |
3 | 2001-06-13 | SRM 5 | 1 | 19 | 15.33 | -0.31 | -21 | 1684 | 27 | -95 | 1510 | 39 |
2 | 2001-05-31 | SRM 4 | 1 | 12 | 15.76 | 0.39 | 92 | 1705 | 20 | 65 | 1605 | 19 |
1 | 2001-05-24 | SRM 3 | 2 | 7 | 36.01 | 2.36 | 408 | 1613 | 28 | 340 | 1540 | 27 |