mktong

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

Player	Rounds	Elo	SRM
mktong	96	2094	1163

Rating	perf	err	err2	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max	R	rank
SRM	0.189	0.577	0.803	50.4	-244	163	1505	1163	1406
EloSRM	0.089	0.594	0.798	18.0	-65	206	2129	2094	750
SRMFix	0.161	0.600	0.808	26.2	-121	197	1921	1860	705
initial	0.057	0.632	0.839	76.1	-244	317	2357	1849	856

#	date	round	division	rank	seed	perf	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
96	2005-02-08	SRM 230	1	125	127.23	-0.23	-5	2094	750	-17	1163	1406
95	2005-01-27	SRM 228	1	115	128.99	-0.15	-3	2099	731	-3	1180	1337
94	2005-01-22	SRM 227	1	216	163.83	-0.39	-10	2101	720	-60	1183	1303
93	2004-12-28	SRM 225	1	167	115.34	-0.55	-14	2111	673	-165	1243	1093
92	2004-12-22	SRM 224	1	131	115.98	-0.18	-4	2126	645	-39	1408	675
91	2004-12-18	SRM 223	1	121	125.86	0.06	6	2129	641	-7	1447	611
90	2004-10-27	SRM 217	1	99	123.49	0.32	16	2124	639	25	1454	613
89	2004-10-18	SRM 216	1	94	113.58	0.27	15	2108	676	20	1429	668
88	2004-09-07	TCO04 Qual 3	1	133	76.84	-0.79	-24	2093	681	-86	1409	676
87	2004-03-16	SRM 187	1	108	109.17	0.02	3	2117	547	-10	1495	484
86	2004-03-13	SRM 186	1	70	105.41	0.59	21	2114	544	45	1505	468
85	2004-01-07	SRM 178	1	75	124.15	0.73	23	2093	533	62	1460	508
84	2003-11-12	SRM 171	1	142	137.94	-0.36	-7	2070	539	-57	1398	568
83	2003-10-28	SRM 169	1	88	116.83	0.41	14	2077	529	35	1455	485
82	2003-10-15	TCO '03 Round 1	1	336	282.42	-0.25	-5	2063	565	-40	1420	544
81	2003-10-09	TCO '03 Qual. Round 2	1	25	110.76	2.15	35	2068	547	104	1460	489
80	2003-10-07	TCO '03 Qual. Round 1	1	405	174.46	-1.22	-22	2033	588	-87	1356	633
79	2003-08-06	SRM 158	1	107	92.44	-0.21	-3	2055	496	-38	1443	429
78	2003-07-28	SRM 157	1	69	85.55	0.31	12	2058	492	15	1481	395
77	2003-07-01	SRM 153	1	33	84.63	1.36	36	2046	506	96	1466	412
76	2003-06-25	SRM 152	1	107	84.03	-0.35	-8	2009	571	-63	1370	566
75	2003-03-05	TCCC '03 Round 3	1	98	103.45	0.08	4	2017	561	-13	1433	476
74	2003-02-26	TCCC '03 Round 2	1	101	159.13	0.67	19	2013	567	50	1446	458
73	2003-02-20	TCCC '03 W/MW Regional	1	95	61.79	-0.62	-11	1994	587	-63	1396	555
72	2003-01-30	SRM 131	1	22	91.96	2.06	45	2005	538	149	1459	422
71	2002-12-23	SRM 126	1	65	57.61	-0.39	-8	1960	593	-72	1310	671
70	2002-10-15	SRM 116	1	50	99.10	0.99	23	1968	531	93	1382	496
69	2002-10-10	TCI '02 Round 1 B	1	200	181.56	-0.48	-7	1945	568	-104	1289	673
68	2002-09-24	SRM 114	1	91	98.87	0.14	5	1952	541	1	1393	474
67	2002-09-10	SRM 113	1	95
66	2002-09-04	SRM 111	1	71	76.72	0.11	5	1947	537	-6	1392	476
65	2002-08-27	SRM 110	1	37	76.82	1.05	24	1942	542	87	1398	453
64	2002-08-21	SRM 109	1	83	73.82	-0.17	-2	1918	566	-55	1311	603
63	2002-08-07	SRM 107	1	37	78.91	1.09	25	1920	559	88	1366	498
62	2002-07-24	SRM 105	1	111	94.70	-0.23	-4	1895	597	-69	1278	674
61	2002-07-10	SRM 103	1	79	89.85	0.19	7	1899	577	0	1347	526
60	2002-06-26	SRM 101	1	208	191.78	-0.12	-1	1892	585	-51	1347	521
59	2002-06-24	SRM 100	1	226	222.93	-0.02	1	1893	567	-43	1398	425
58	2002-06-05	SRM 95	1	199	186.35	-0.10	0	1892	530	-61	1441	360
57	2002-06-03	SRM 94	1	107	185.61	0.80	20	1892	520	29	1502	280
56	2002-05-18	SRM 89	1	81	129.14	0.67	17	1872	490	25	1473	287
55	2002-04-27	SRM 83	1	89	160.85	0.85	21	1855	439	50	1448	296
54	2002-04-10	SRM 79	1	195	182.78	-0.09	0	1834	434	-57	1398	324
53	2002-04-09	SRM 78	1	28	165.72	2.56	46	1835	426	161	1455	272
52	2002-04-03	SRM 77	1	123	185.08	0.59	17	1788	471	59	1294	455
51	2002-04-01	SRM 76	1	173	187.50	0.12	5	1772	480	8	1235	531
50	2002-03-25	SRM 74	1	160	154.06	-0.26	-5	1767	464	-56	1227	521
49	2002-03-21	SRM 73	1	108	152.82	0.50	15	1771	434	47	1283	433
48	2002-02-28	SRM 69	1	162	162.52	0.00	2	1756	403	-5	1236	439
47	2002-02-21	TCCC '02 W/MW Reg. Quart.	1	85	81.04	-0.07	1	1754	377	2	1241	398
46	2002-02-20	SRM 67	1	152	168.16	0.15	6	1753	379	8	1239	405
45	2002-01-31	SRM 62	2	202	92.94	-1.12	-12	1747	314	-86	1231	365
44	2002-01-26	SRM 60	2	66	79.12	0.26	8	1759	273	12	1317	274
43	2002-01-03	SRM 54	2	55	58.85	0.10	5	1751	221	15	1305	240
42	2001-12-27	SRM 53	2	69	42.70	-0.69	-7	1746	220	-24	1290	249
41	2001-12-19	SRM 52	2	80	44.64	-0.84	-9	1753	207	-56	1314	224
40	2001-12-17	SRM 51	2	45	50.92	0.18	6	1762	198	7	1370	186
39	2001-12-12	SRM 49	2	17	44.53	1.39	21	1755	196	99	1363	185
38	2001-11-29	SRM 46	2	83	46.20	-0.84	-9	1734	195	-34	1264	241
37	2001-11-20	SRM 44	2	67	40.36	-0.73	-7	1743	176	-29	1298	199
36	2001-11-14	SRM 43	2	51	45.80	-0.30	-2	1750	167	-3	1327	185
35	2001-11-12	SRM 42	2	91	34.04	-1.42	-15	1752	159	-97	1330	179
34	2001-11-07	SRM 40	2	13	39.36	1.60	26	1767	141	84	1427	116
33	2001-10-23	SRM 37	2	40	22.63	-0.84	-9	1741	140	-40	1343	154
32	2001-10-19	SRM 36	2	29	22.57	-0.36	-2	1750	131	-16	1383	129
31	2001-10-17	SRM 35	2	57
30	2001-10-11	SRM 34	2	23	19.70	-0.22	0	1752	129	0	1399	116
29	2001-10-03	TCI '01 Round 2	1	47	50.07	0.09	6	1752	123	1	1399	116
28	2001-10-02	SRM 33	2	24	22.16	-0.12	2	1746	124	-12	1398	117
27	2001-09-29	SRM 32	2	23	24.28	0.08	6	1745	123	46	1410	110
26	2001-09-25	TCI '01 Round 1	1	60	82.48	0.46	16	1739	122	49	1364	133
25	2001-09-17	SRM 31	2	52	28.51	-0.92	-12	1723	118	-44	1315	152
24	2001-09-13	SRM 30	2	32	19.24	-0.73	-8	1734	106	-12	1359	125
23	2001-09-06	SRM 29	2	14	32.25	1.20	26	1742	100	66	1371	116
22	2001-09-04	SRM 28	2	19	21.72	0.19	9	1716	101	61	1305	135
21	2001-08-29	SRM 27	2	18	34.69	0.95	24	1708	100	90	1244	147
20	2001-08-27	SRM 26	2	37	23.04	-0.68	-10	1683	106	11	1154	194
19	2001-08-23	SRM 25	2	63	27.81	-1.18	-19	1693	92	-40	1143	195
18	2001-08-21	SRM 24	2	70	38.67	-1.18	-18	1712	85	-72	1183	174
17	2001-08-13	SRM 22	2	64	19.95	-1.68	-26	1730	72	-114	1255	129
16	2001-08-09	SRM 21	2	43	15.65	-1.46	-22	1756	62	-65	1369	88
15	2001-08-07	SRM 20	2	17	16.48	-0.04	6	1778	55	7	1434	67
14	2001-08-01	SRM 19	2	23	18.36	-0.32	-3	1773	55	11	1427	70
13	2001-07-30	SRM 18	1	23	21.55	-0.09	1	1775	53	-45	1416	75
12	2001-07-26	SRM 17	1	10	16.16	0.69	39	1774	47	23	1461	61
11	2001-07-24	SRM 16	1	19	25.73	0.44	32	1735	58	23	1438	65
10	2001-07-18	SRM 15	1	20	21.86	0.13	15	1703	61	-25	1415	63
9	2001-07-16	SRM 14	1	13	26.03	1.00	74	1688	61	92	1440	57
8	2001-07-12	SRM 13	2	10	17.78	0.83	47	1614	71	26	1348	71
7	2001-07-10	SRM 12	2	14	18.98	0.44	35	1567	83	16	1322	78
6	2001-07-05	SRM 11	2	18	15.16	-0.25	-2	1532	82	4	1306	83
5	2001-07-02	SRM 10	2	9	21.79	1.28	93	1534	80	92	1302	82
4	2001-06-28	SRM 9	2	21	20.53	-0.03	15	1441	93	26	1210	104
3	2001-06-26	SRM 8	2	11	34.90	1.67	206	1426	88	163	1184	99
2	2001-05-31	SRM 4	2	32	39.84	0.32	80	1220	116	65	1021	144
1	2001-05-24	SRM 3	2	41	36.31	-0.46	-65	1140	137	-244	956	135