po

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1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.

Player	Rounds	Elo	SRM
po	100	2920	2335

Rating	perf	err	err2	\|ΔR\|	ΔR min	ΔR max	max	R	rank
EloSRM	0.189	1.105	1.420	31.6	-73	967	2958	2920	126
Odd	0.218	1.113	1.422	32.3	-73	971	2790	2758	134
SRMFix	0.168	1.133	1.446	49.1	-133	837	2684	2556	122
SRM	0.394	1.185	1.486	69.1	-228	573	2491	2335	97
initial	0.130	1.232	1.566	148.3	-482	694	3185	2716	175

#	date	round	division	rank	seed	perf	Δ Elo	Elo new	Elo rank	Δ SRM	SRM new	SRM rank
100	2006-10-07	TCCC06 Round 2B	1	81	39.84	-1.02	-16	2920	126	-84	2335	97
99	2006-09-23	TCCC06 Round 1B	1	122	45.77	-1.41	-21	2936	114	-72	2419	73
98	2006-05-04	TCO06 Wildcard	1	4	10.04	1.33	36	2958	86	85	2491	50
97	2006-05-03	TCO06 Semi 2	1	4	12.22	1.61	42	2922	95	101	2406	67
96	2006-03-22	TCO06 Round 4	1	45	60.83	0.44	16	2880	107	29	2305	84
95	2006-03-15	TCO06 Round 3	1	66	89.96	0.45	16	2864	115	25	2276	90
94	2006-03-08	TCO06 Round 2	1	55	132.32	1.27	34	2848	119	63	2251	97
93	2006-03-04	TCO06 Round 1	1	151
92	2006-02-28	TCO06 Qual 5/6/12	1	18	22.99	0.35	14	2815	133	29	2188	124
91	2005-11-21	SRM 273	1	54	76.61	0.50	18	2801	116	35	2159	105
90	2005-11-19	SRM 272	1	256	68.73	-1.90	-38	2782	120	-136	2124	115
89	2005-02-02	TCCC05 Round 4	1	26	27.51	0.08	5	2821	72	11	2260	72
88	2005-01-31	SRM 229	1	74	34.99	-1.08	-13	2816	77	-54	2249	73
87	2005-01-26	TCCC05 Round 3	1	34	40.65	0.26	9	2829	70	17	2303	62
86	2005-01-22	SRM 227	1	32	37.95	0.25	9	2820	73	16	2286	69
85	2005-01-19	TCCC05 Round 2	1	9	59.61	2.73	49	2811	76	123	2270	69
84	2005-01-15	TCCC05 Round 1	1	118	61.86	-0.93	-16	2761	87	-39	2147	96
83	2005-01-11	TCCC05 Qual 2	1	26	14.46	-0.85	-13	2777	80	-27	2186	86
82	2004-09-01	SRM 210	1	43	38.46	-0.16	1	2791	57	4	2213	70
81	2004-03-16	SRM 187	1	96	21.84	-2.14	-18	2790	43	-116	2209	66
80	2004-03-10	TCCC '04 Round 3	1	42	28.69	-0.55	-5	2808	38	-35	2325	40
79	2004-03-03	TCCC '04 Round 2	1	42	30.40	-0.47	-4	2813	36	-25	2360	39
78	2004-03-01	SRM 185	1	29	25.66	-0.18	1	2817	34	-11	2385	33
77	2004-02-28	TCCC '04 Round 1	1	26	33.43	0.36	9	2816	33	12	2396	32
76	2004-02-23	TCCC '04 Qual. 1	1	9	8.46	-0.09	2	2807	33	2	2384	33
75	2004-02-17	SRM 184	1	59	24.54	-1.27	-15	2805	34	-68	2382	33
74	2004-02-11	SRM 183	1	13	24.26	0.90	19	2820	32	25	2450	25
73	2004-02-07	SRM 182	1	14	23.28	0.73	17	2801	37	20	2425	31
72	2003-11-20	SRM 172	1	9	23.39	1.38	22	2784	33	47	2405	28
71	2003-11-17	CRPF Charity Finals	1	3
70	2003-11-12	SRM 171	1	5	29.04	2.54	32	2763	35	81	2358	33
69	2003-11-11	CRPF Charity Round 1	1	4
68	2003-10-22	TCO '03 Round 2	1	103	49.04	-1.07	-13	2731	40	-73	2277	40
67	2003-10-21	SRM 168	1	15	27.53	0.88	17	2744	35	25	2350	31
66	2003-10-15	TCO '03 Round 1	1	38	62.88	0.73	16	2727	38	25	2325	33
65	2003-10-14	SRM 167	1	15	32.35	1.11	22	2711	36	38	2300	37
64	2003-09-20	SRM 164	1	29	24.93	-0.22	0	2689	40	-11	2262	42
63	2003-09-08	SRM 163	1	16	26.42	0.72	18	2689	38	30	2273	42
62	2003-09-03	SRM 162	1	13	25.66	0.98	23	2672	41	42	2243	44
61	2003-08-28	SRM 161	1	32	21.62	-0.57	-8	2649	47	-22	2201	50
60	2003-08-23	SRM 160	1	20	18.80	-0.09	3	2656	44	4	2223	46
59	2003-03-12	TCCC '03 Round 4	1	32	16.65	-0.94	-11	2653	32	-68	2219	39
58	2003-03-05	TCCC '03 Round 3	1	27	28.66	0.09	5	2665	28	15	2287	31
57	2003-02-26	TCCC '03 Round 2	1	29	33.15	0.24	8	2660	26	30	2272	33
56	2003-02-20	TCCC '03 W/MW Regional	1	4	13.40	1.74	27	2652	27	91	2242	34
55	2003-02-01	SRM 132	1	29	16.30	-0.83	-10	2625	30	-5	2151	53
54	2003-01-30	SRM 131	1	4	23.84	2.58	40	2635	30	130	2156	48
53	2002-10-30	TCI '02 Round 4	1	62	28.76	-1.12	-15	2595	35	-176	2026	71
52	2002-10-23	TCI '02 Round 3	1	48	48.04	0.00	3	2610	35	13	2202	39
51	2002-10-21	SRM 117	1	14	21.17	0.60	12	2607	31	44	2189	37
50	2002-10-16	TCI '02 Round 2	1	32	56.46	0.82	16	2594	31	56	2145	47
49	2002-10-09	TCI '02 Round 1 A	1	151	25.22	-2.58	-24	2579	30	-122	2089	53
48	2002-09-30	SRM 115	1	61	18.77	-1.70	-19	2602	26	-85	2211	33
47	2002-06-26	SRM 101	1	77	29.67	-1.38	-11	2622	22	-54	2296	24
46	2002-06-12	SRM 97	1	10	28.81	1.53	18	2633	16	63	2350	17
45	2002-06-11	SRM 96	1	9	27.98	1.64	19	2615	17	71	2287	25
44	2002-06-05	SRM 95	1	12	28.99	1.27	17	2596	19	66	2216	32
43	2002-06-03	SRM 94	1	12	30.93	1.37	18	2579	20	78	2150	35
42	2002-05-22	SRM 91	1	116	24.97	-2.22	-17	2561	20	-75	2072	40
41	2002-05-21	SRM 90	1	23	24.65	0.10	5	2578	18	44	2147	32
40	2002-05-18	SRM 89	1	105	40.56	-1.70	-14	2573	18	-138	2103	38
39	2002-05-15	SRM 88	1	115	20.76	-2.47	-19	2587	17	-100	2241	24
38	2002-05-09	SRM 87	1	6	24.83	2.05	25	2606	14	87	2341	16
37	2002-05-08	SRM 86	1	7	26.72	1.93	25	2581	17	88	2254	23
36	2002-05-01	SRM 85	1	17	30.91	0.86	16	2556	20	67	2166	32
35	2002-04-30	SRM 84	1	190	49.42	-2.10	-21	2540	19	-191	2099	39
34	2002-04-27	SRM 83	1	21	27.29	0.38	10	2561	18	20	2290	17
33	2002-04-19	TCCC '02 Semifinals 3	1	2	2.61	0.38	11	2551	18	42	2270	25
32	2002-04-15	SRM 80	1	132	26.43	-2.32	-24	2540	20	-135	2228	28
31	2002-04-10	SRM 79	1	30	27.79	-0.11	2	2564	17	-13	2363	15
30	2002-04-09	SRM 78	1	10	27.38	1.45	27	2562	16	44	2376	13
29	2002-04-03	SRM 77	1	12	33.10	1.46	28	2535	18	45	2332	19
28	2002-03-26	SRM 75	1	36	23.81	-0.60	-6	2507	24	-30	2287	21
27	2002-03-25	SRM 74	1	6	26.59	2.15	37	2513	21	65	2317	20
26	2002-03-13	TCCC '02 Reg. Final	1	14	13.53	-0.05	3	2476	25	-1	2252	20
25	2002-03-11	SRM 71	1	24	34.28	0.51	17	2472	25	21	2253	20
24	2002-03-06	TCCC '02 Reg. Semifinal	1	8	25.77	1.69	40	2455	23	82	2232	19
23	2002-02-28	SRM 69	1	22	33.47	0.60	20	2416	27	30	2150	27
22	2002-02-21	TCCC '02 W/MW Reg. Quart.	1	12	15.47	0.37	16	2396	29	24	2120	26
21	2002-01-03	SRM 54	1	16	18.29	0.19	11	2380	17	38	2096	20
20	2001-12-27	SRM 53	1	36	14.62	-1.30	-22	2370	16	-85	2058	21
19	2001-12-19	SRM 52	1	5	17.75	1.83	44	2392	14	100	2143	17
18	2001-12-17	SRM 51	1	27	16.63	-0.70	-13	2348	17	-35	2043	23
17	2001-12-13	SRM 50	1	14	16.28	0.22	13	2361	16	25	2078	18
16	2001-12-12	SRM 49	1	9	17.03	0.92	34	2348	17	71	2053	21
15	2001-12-04	SRM 47	1	14	20.24	0.53	26	2313	19	79	1982	25
14	2001-09-29	SRM 32	1	29	15.00	-1.16	-21	2287	10	-157	1903	18
13	2001-09-25	TCI '01 Round 1	1	72	14.75	-2.29	-39	2308	10	-96	2060	15
12	2001-09-17	SRM 31	1	12	10.68	-0.17	2	2347	7	30	2156	10
11	2001-09-13	SRM 30	1	5	12.89	1.37	47	2345	5	131	2126	11
10	2001-09-06	SRM 29	1	5	12.03	1.27	49	2297	6	131	1995	13
9	2001-09-04	SRM 28	1	29	7.71	-1.91	-45	2248	9	-217	1864	18
8	2001-08-29	SRM 27	1	3	10.01	1.74	70	2293	4	136	2081	14
7	2001-08-27	SRM 26	1	10	11.92	0.25	25	2223	8	65	1945	13
6	2001-08-23	SRM 25	1	21	11.48	-0.87	-31	2198	8	26	1880	17
5	2001-08-21	SRM 24	1	2	17.32	3.12	171	2229	7	232	1854	17
4	2001-08-13	SRM 22	1	16	15.51	-0.04	11	2058	21	57	1622	34
3	2001-08-09	SRM 21	1	24	11.58	-1.05	-73	2046	18	-228	1565	43
2	2001-08-07	SRM 20	1	18	10.17	-0.82	-62	2120	12	20	1793	22
1	2001-08-01	SRM 19	2	1	59.78	5.90	967	2181	8	573	1773	19