1.27 It is only differences on the scale that have real significance in terms of probabilities.
| Player | Rounds | Elo | SRM |
|---|---|---|---|
| the_poly | 106 | 2868 | 1540 |
| Rating | perf | err | err2 | |ΔR| | ΔR min | ΔR max | max | R | rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd | 0.148 | 0.635 | 0.901 | 25.2 | -119 | 343 | 2638 | 2606 | 1728 |
| EloSRM | 0.147 | 0.636 | 0.906 | 24.7 | -133 | 346 | 2868 | 2868 | 1641 |
| SRMFix | 0.180 | 0.646 | 0.919 | 29.0 | -162 | 243 | 2159 | 2095 | 1686 |
| SRM | 0.343 | 0.665 | 1.017 | 61.3 | -673 | 194 | 1744 | 1540 | 1654 |
| initial | 0.098 | 0.670 | 0.948 | 80.6 | -451 | 439 | 2713 | 2425 | 1618 |
| # | date | round | division | rank | seed | perf | Δ Elo | Elo new | Elo rank | Δ SRM | SRM new | SRM rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 | 2015-05-05 | SRM 658 | 1 | 262 | 269.38 | 0.04 | 4 | 2868 | 1641 | 6 | 1540 | 1654 |
| 105 | 2015-04-27 | SRM 657 | 1 | 97 | 183.05 | 0.93 | 26 | 2865 | 1644 | 88 | 1534 | 1671 |
| 104 | 2015-04-25 | 2015 TCO 1B | 1 | 384 | 245.35 | -0.65 | -12 | 2839 | 1780 | -27 | 1446 | 2138 |
| 103 | 2015-04-17 | SRM 656 | 1 | 227 | 285.54 | 0.33 | 14 | 2851 | 1768 | 44 | 1473 | 2053 |
| 102 | 2015-01-12 | SRM 645 | 1 | 189 | 276.95 | -0.22 | -3 | 2837 | 1853 | -22 | 1429 | 2368 |
| 101 | 2014-12-27 | SRM 643 | 1 | 235 | 296.30 | 0.33 | 12 | 2840 | 1835 | 53 | 1451 | 2260 |
| 100 | 2014-11-28 | SRM 639 | 1 | 233 | 307.31 | -0.24 | -4 | 2828 | 1898 | -18 | 1398 | 2605 |
| 99 | 2014-10-14 | SRM 636 | 1 | 374 | 274.16 | -0.45 | -9 | 2832 | 1874 | -31 | 1416 | 2513 |
| 98 | 2014-09-25 | SRM 634 | 1 | 157 | 212.40 | 0.44 | 15 | 2840 | 1825 | 61 | 1447 | 2336 |
| 97 | 2014-08-12 | SRM 629 | 1 | 250 | 343.30 | 0.46 | 15 | 2825 | 1871 | 74 | 1386 | 2668 |
| 96 | 2014-05-28 | SRM 622 | 1 | 310 | 309.97 | -0.40 | -7 | 2810 | 1889 | -39 | 1312 | 3263 |
| 95 | 2014-05-10 | SRM 620 | 1 | 743 | 513.36 | -0.68 | -12 | 2817 | 1889 | -88 | 1351 | 3030 |
| 94 | 2014-04-24 | SRM 618 | 1 | 334 | 275.90 | -0.28 | -4 | 2829 | 1785 | -6 | 1439 | 2396 |
| 93 | 2014-04-12 | TCO14 Round 1A | 1 | 904 | 597.85 | -0.60 | -9 | 2833 | 1726 | -10 | 1445 | 2302 |
| 92 | 2014-03-11 | SRM 612 | 1 | 324 | 255.17 | -0.58 | -11 | 2842 | 1590 | -87 | 1455 | 2156 |
| 91 | 2014-02-25 | SRM 610 | 1 | 344 | 266.53 | -0.37 | -6 | 2853 | 1576 | -33 | 1542 | 1768 |
| 90 | 2014-02-07 | SRM 608 | 1 | 389 | 400.75 | -0.46 | -8 | 2859 | 1556 | -79 | 1575 | 1643 |
| 89 | 2014-01-29 | SRM 606 | 1 | 72 | 246.81 | 1.78 | 37 | 2867 | 1505 | 111 | 1654 | 1343 |
| 88 | 2013-12-22 | SRM 601 | 1 | 475 | 374.60 | -0.34 | -6 | 2830 | 1618 | -29 | 1543 | 1749 |
| 87 | 2013-11-28 | SRM 598 | 1 | 137 | 233.02 | 0.77 | 19 | 2835 | 1577 | 64 | 1572 | 1604 |
| 86 | 2013-11-01 | SRM 596 | 1 | 418 | 351.84 | -0.25 | -3 | 2816 | 1645 | -10 | 1508 | 1890 |
| 85 | 2013-10-24 | SRM 595 | 1 | 161 | 203.26 | 0.34 | 11 | 2819 | 1616 | 48 | 1518 | 1808 |
| 84 | 2013-10-15 | SRM 594 | 1 | 386 | 345.23 | -0.16 | -1 | 2808 | 1669 | 4 | 1470 | 2085 |
| 83 | 2013-09-16 | SRM 591 | 1 | 309 | 240.62 | -0.36 | -6 | 2809 | 1619 | -17 | 1466 | 2060 |
| 82 | 2013-06-18 | SRM 583 | 1 | 527 | 405.01 | -0.62 | -10 | 2816 | 1560 | -106 | 1483 | 1971 |
| 81 | 2013-05-25 | SRM 580 | 1 | 407 | 392.07 | -0.05 | 1 | 2826 | 1560 | 0 | 1589 | 1559 |
| 80 | 2013-05-18 | SRM 579 | 1 | 563 | 435.70 | -0.62 | -10 | 2824 | 1555 | -115 | 1589 | 1547 |
| 79 | 2013-04-26 | SRM 577 | 1 | 338 | 381.67 | 0.18 | 6 | 2834 | 1526 | -1 | 1704 | 1179 |
| 78 | 2013-04-20 | TCO13 Round 2B | 1 | 445 | 621.57 | 0.48 | 13 | 2828 | 1566 | 26 | 1705 | 1199 |
| 77 | 2013-04-11 | SRM 576 | 1 | 271 | 269.92 | -0.01 | 2 | 2815 | 1630 | -14 | 1679 | 1289 |
| 76 | 2013-04-06 | SRM 575 | 1 | 578 | 469.32 | -0.30 | -4 | 2813 | 1645 | -51 | 1693 | 1267 |
| 75 | 2013-03-31 | TCO13 Round 2A | 1 | 249 | 682.05 | 1.45 | 32 | 2817 | 1617 | 95 | 1744 | 1105 |
| 74 | 2013-03-14 | SRM 573 | 1 | 305 | 302.76 | -0.01 | 2 | 2785 | 1756 | -15 | 1649 | 1426 |
| 73 | 2013-02-23 | TCO13 Round 1A | 1 | 294 | 427.35 | 0.54 | 13 | 2783 | 1675 | 28 | 1664 | 1292 |
| 72 | 2013-02-19 | SRM 571 | 1 | 450 | 402.10 | -0.16 | -1 | 2770 | 1723 | -32 | 1636 | 1369 |
| 71 | 2013-02-06 | SRM 569 | 1 | 77 | 315.22 | 2.03 | 40 | 2771 | 1700 | 123 | 1668 | 1244 |
| 70 | 2013-01-29 | SRM 568 | 1 | 259 | 416.81 | 0.69 | 19 | 2731 | 1873 | 57 | 1545 | 1720 |
| 69 | 2013-01-12 | SRM 566 | 1 | 387 | 409.52 | 0.08 | 5 | 2712 | 1952 | 12 | 1488 | 1943 |
| 68 | 2012-12-20 | SRM 565 | 1 | 465 | 450.31 | -0.35 | -7 | 2707 | 1977 | -75 | 1476 | 2009 |
| 67 | 2012-12-08 | SRM 563 | 1 | 304 | 314.28 | 0.05 | 4 | 2714 | 1922 | -4 | 1551 | 1677 |
| 66 | 2012-11-30 | SRM 562 | 1 | 284 | ||||||||
| 65 | 2012-11-20 | SRM 561 | 1 | 345 | 349.87 | 0.02 | 3 | 2710 | 1943 | -9 | 1555 | 1678 |
| 64 | 2012-11-10 | SRM 560 | 1 | 407 | 364.40 | -0.16 | -2 | 2707 | 1946 | -34 | 1564 | 1623 |
| 63 | 2012-10-30 | SRM 559 | 1 | 97 | 265.69 | 1.45 | 36 | 2708 | 1918 | 101 | 1598 | 1467 |
| 62 | 2012-10-19 | SRM 558 | 1 | 257 | 406.36 | 0.66 | 20 | 2672 | 2121 | 57 | 1497 | 1926 |
| 61 | 2012-09-13 | SRM 556 | 1 | 414 | 378.23 | -0.39 | -8 | 2652 | 2222 | -84 | 1440 | 2239 |
| 60 | 2012-09-01 | SRM 554 | 1 | 217 | 517.83 | 1.25 | 32 | 2660 | 2145 | 91 | 1524 | 1796 |
| 59 | 2012-08-22 | SRM 553 | 1 | 343 | 335.62 | -0.37 | -8 | 2628 | 2325 | -74 | 1433 | 2232 |
| 58 | 2012-08-16 | SRM 552 | 1 | 179 | 352.39 | 0.98 | 29 | 2635 | 2260 | 75 | 1507 | 1866 |
| 57 | 2012-07-02 | SRM 548 | 1 | 384 | 390.18 | 0.02 | 3 | 2606 | 2385 | -12 | 1432 | 2244 |
| 56 | 2012-06-16 | SRM 546 | 1 | 310 | 522.38 | 0.75 | 23 | 2603 | 2453 | 73 | 1444 | 2253 |
| 55 | 2012-06-07 | SRM 545 | 1 | 480 | 539.50 | -0.22 | -4 | 2580 | 2594 | -43 | 1371 | 2745 |
| 54 | 2012-04-21 | TCO12 Round 2A | 1 | 458 | 829.19 | -0.01 | 2 | 2584 | 2549 | 14 | 1414 | 2470 |
| 53 | 2012-04-11 | SRM 540 | 1 | 381 | 556.24 | -0.11 | -1 | 2582 | 2489 | -12 | 1400 | 2510 |
| 52 | 2012-04-07 | TCO12 Round 1B | 1 | 405 | 622.82 | 0.62 | 16 | 2583 | 2457 | 45 | 1412 | 2393 |
| 51 | 2012-04-04 | SRM 539 | 1 | 396 | ||||||||
| 50 | 2012-03-31 | TCO12 Round 1A | 1 | 950 | 733.28 | -0.37 | -6 | 2567 | 2495 | -28 | 1367 | 2651 |
| 49 | 2012-03-20 | SRM 538 | 1 | 484 | 501.95 | 0.05 | 4 | 2573 | 2418 | -2 | 1395 | 2444 |
| 48 | 2012-03-17 | SRM 537 | 1 | 592 | 631.03 | 0.09 | 6 | 2569 | 2447 | 2 | 1397 | 2453 |
| 47 | 2012-03-07 | SRM 536 | 1 | 430 | 528.09 | 0.30 | 12 | 2564 | 2455 | 26 | 1395 | 2448 |
| 46 | 2012-03-03 | SRM 535 | 1 | 627 | 587.42 | -0.34 | -8 | 2552 | 2486 | -73 | 1369 | 2591 |
| 45 | 2012-02-23 | SRM 534 | 1 | 149 | 460.02 | 1.63 | 47 | 2559 | 2420 | 131 | 1442 | 2105 |
| 44 | 2012-02-18 | SRM 533 | 1 | 425 | 604.27 | 0.51 | 21 | 2513 | 2664 | 61 | 1311 | 3032 |
| 43 | 2012-02-09 | SRM 532 | 1 | 413 | 511.43 | -0.12 | -2 | 2492 | 2759 | -8 | 1250 | 3573 |
| 42 | 2012-01-31 | SRM 531 | 2 | 52 | 96.78 | 0.90 | 19 | 2494 | 2734 | 75 | 1258 | 3486 |
| 41 | 2012-01-19 | SRM 530 | 1 | 406 | 406.55 | -0.26 | -7 | 2475 | 2832 | -34 | 1183 | 4208 |
| 40 | 2012-01-14 | SRM 529 | 2 | 24 | 113.94 | 2.25 | 35 | 2483 | 2769 | 111 | 1217 | 3834 |
| 39 | 2011-12-28 | SRM 528 | 2 | 403 | 96.57 | -2.06 | -23 | 2448 | 2981 | -17 | 1106 | 4884 |
| 38 | 2011-12-23 | SRM 526.5 | 2 | 71 | 72.84 | 0.03 | 6 | 2471 | 2810 | 69 | 1123 | 4687 |
| 37 | 2011-12-17 | SRM 527 | 2 | 521 | 86.08 | -2.60 | -30 | 2464 | 2834 | -25 | 1054 | 5390 |
| 36 | 2011-09-14 | SRM 518 | 2 | 554 | 79.30 | -2.80 | -26 | 2494 | 2498 | -29 | 1079 | 5033 |
| 35 | 2011-09-10 | SRM 517 | 1 | 845 | 541.00 | -0.65 | -19 | 2520 | 2315 | -191 | 1108 | 4681 |
| 34 | 2011-08-30 | SRM 516 | 1 | 501 | 448.05 | -0.41 | -12 | 2539 | 2184 | -74 | 1299 | 2891 |
| 33 | 2011-08-20 | SRM 515 | 1 | 208 | 508.01 | 1.29 | 48 | 2550 | 2107 | 137 | 1373 | 2325 |
| 32 | 2011-08-09 | SRM 514 | 1 | 299 | 362.80 | -0.18 | -4 | 2502 | 2352 | -1 | 1236 | 3437 |
| 31 | 2011-07-26 | SRM 513 | 1 | 542 | 470.55 | -0.20 | -5 | 2506 | 2343 | -15 | 1237 | 3435 |
| 30 | 2011-07-02 | SRM 511 | 1 | 588 | 567.29 | -0.29 | -9 | 2512 | 2300 | -40 | 1252 | 3262 |
| 29 | 2011-05-28 | SRM 507 | 1 | 448 | 529.99 | 0.24 | 14 | 2521 | 2178 | 44 | 1292 | 2901 |
| 28 | 2011-05-03 | Member SRM 505 | 1 | 665 | 453.28 | -0.62 | -19 | 2507 | 2126 | -136 | 1248 | 3157 |
| 27 | 2011-04-16 | Member SRM 503 | 1 | 363 | 525.07 | 0.53 | 25 | 2526 | 2035 | 65 | 1384 | 2181 |
| 26 | 2011-03-30 | Member SRM 501 | 1 | 487 | 472.36 | -0.30 | -9 | 2501 | 2126 | -56 | 1319 | 2565 |
| 25 | 2011-03-08 | SRM 499 | 1 | 456 | 504.42 | 0.15 | 10 | 2510 | 2040 | 18 | 1375 | 2162 |
| 24 | 2011-02-26 | SRM 498 | 1 | 610 | 505.18 | -0.27 | -9 | 2500 | 2059 | -57 | 1357 | 2237 |
| 23 | 2011-02-10 | SRM 497 | 1 | 233 | 377.50 | 0.70 | 33 | 2509 | 2022 | 76 | 1414 | 1944 |
| 22 | 2011-02-01 | SRM 496 | 1 | 406 | 476.16 | 0.23 | 15 | 2475 | 2158 | 31 | 1338 | 2376 |
| 21 | 2011-01-27 | SRM 495 | 1 | 480 | 465.99 | -0.31 | -11 | 2460 | 2209 | -67 | 1307 | 2540 |
| 20 | 2011-01-22 | Member SRM 494 | 1 | 536 | 488.25 | -0.35 | -14 | 2471 | 2143 | -95 | 1374 | 2118 |
| 19 | 2011-01-12 | SRM 493 | 1 | 220 | 346.46 | -0.02 | 3 | 2485 | 2071 | -24 | 1469 | 1635 |
| 18 | 2010-12-28 | SRM 492 | 1 | 280 | 378.14 | 0.43 | 29 | 2482 | 2087 | 25 | 1493 | 1525 |
| 17 | 2010-12-08 | SRM 490 | 1 | 380 | 485.51 | 0.35 | 26 | 2453 | 2178 | 13 | 1468 | 1612 |
| 16 | 2010-11-30 | Member SRM 489 | 1 | 160 | 528.83 | 1.72 | 95 | 2427 | 2272 | 136 | 1455 | 1673 |
| 15 | 2010-11-18 | SRM 488 | 1 | 216 | 411.67 | 0.93 | 70 | 2332 | 2703 | 98 | 1319 | 2380 |
| 14 | 2010-11-13 | SRM 487 | 2 | 140 | 167.23 | 0.26 | 18 | 2262 | 3070 | 34 | 1221 | 3069 |
| 13 | 2010-10-26 | SRM 486 | 2 | 42 | 240.11 | 2.52 | 76 | 2244 | 3149 | 107 | 1187 | 3385 |
| 12 | 2010-10-21 | Member SRM 485 | 2 | 44 | 254.51 | 2.53 | 90 | 2168 | 3578 | 122 | 1080 | 4121 |
| 11 | 2010-10-05 | SRM 484 | 2 | 160 | 238.25 | 0.57 | 39 | 2078 | 4222 | 59 | 958 | 5303 |
| 10 | 2010-09-25 | SRM 483 | 2 | 557 | 297.35 | -0.91 | -33 | 2039 | 4460 | -28 | 899 | 5842 |
| 9 | 2010-08-04 | Member SRM 478 | 2 | 375 | 265.67 | -0.50 | -15 | 2072 | 4138 | 11 | 927 | 5526 |
| 8 | 2010-07-28 | SRM 477 | 2 | 492 | 236.44 | -1.06 | -41 | 2088 | 3959 | -20 | 916 | 5577 |
| 7 | 2010-07-17 | SRM 476 | 2 | 188 | 300.80 | 0.68 | 56 | 2129 | 3692 | 84 | 936 | 5339 |
| 6 | 2010-07-06 | SRM 475 | 2 | 142 | 308.60 | 1.12 | 98 | 2072 | 4052 | 104 | 852 | 6219 |
| 5 | 2010-05-12 | TCO10 Qual 2 | 1 | 1018 | 808.32 | -0.45 | -53 | 1974 | 4617 | -133 | 748 | 7677 |
| 4 | 2010-04-03 | SRM 466 | 2 | 94 | 484.96 | 2.37 | 198 | 2027 | 3940 | 174 | 881 | 5713 |
| 3 | 2010-03-16 | SRM 464 | 2 | 623 | 479.05 | -0.38 | -30 | 1829 | 5387 | -14 | 707 | 7670 |
| 2 | 2010-03-02 | SRM 463 | 2 | 217 | 713.42 | 1.72 | 346 | 1859 | 5446 | 194 | 721 | 7876 |
| 1 | 2010-02-13 | Member SRM 461 | 2 | 1106 | 748.49 | -0.58 | -133 | 1513 | 9143 | -673 | 527 | 9199 |